Monday, August3, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Sodus, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:02AMSunset 8:30PM Monday August 3, 2020 2:19 PM EDT (18:19 UTC) Moonrise 7:56PMMoonset 4:38AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ043 Hamlin Beach To Sodus Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 653 Am Edt Mon Aug 3 2020
.small craft advisory in effect until 11 am edt this morning...
Today..West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north and diminishing to less than 10 knots this afternoon. A chance of waterspouts early. A chance of showers early. A chance of Thunderstorms early this afternoon, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms late. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 1 to 2 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Tonight..Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Showers likely in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday night..West winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..West winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday..South winds 10 knots or less. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. The water temperature off rochester is 72 degrees.
LOZ043 Expires:202008031515;;863164 FZUS51 KBUF 031053 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 653 AM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ043-031515-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sodus, NY
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location: 43.24, -77.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 031523 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1123 AM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

SYNOPSIS. Unsettled weather will remain over the region through Tuesday night as weak disturbances pass through, while a tropical system rides up the coast. High pressure will build across the region late Wednesday with near normal temperatures and a dry weather pattern through the end of the work week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. Low pressure exits across eastern Quebec to the Canadian Maritimes this afternoon and evening with with winds continuing to diminish as pressure gradient weakens.

A weak frontal boundary over the central Great Lakes will slowly approach the region this afternoon. Daytime heating will leave a somewhat unstable environment and locally generated lake breeze boundaries will provide a focus for afternoon convection. It will be cooler and notably less humid today with highs in the upper 70s to around 80.

The frontal boundary will push closer to Western New York tonight along with a weak disurbance aloft which will result in showers becoming a bit more widespread. Meanwhile, tropical moisture will spread into eastern Pennsylvania with increasing chances for showers across central New York late tonight.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. A weak sfc low over the western end of Lake Erie on Tuesday morning will strengthen and move northeast as a shortwave trough rounds the base of the larger trough over the Central Great Lakes. As the area of low pressure tracks northeast it will follow along a weak stationary boundary draped across Lake Erie and Lake Ontario. Increasing frontogenesis as the low strengthens will help increase shower coverage across WNY as the low tracks northeast on Tuesday. Tropical Storm Isaias will also track up the east coast and center over the NY/MA state line by Tuesday evening. The western swath of the heavier rain associated with Isaias may just clip the far eastern portion of Lewis County. For the areas between these two systems, there looks like there will be the potential for a lull on Tuesday afternoon, but guidance isn't in complete agreement, and timing of the lull if any will be dependent on timing of both systems. Temperatures on Tuesday will be in the upper 60s across the higher terrain and in the upper 70s to around 80 for the lower elevations.

As the remnants of Isaias and the low pressure over the Lakes tracks northeast, showers will slowly diminish in coverage later Tuesday night from west to east. Temperatures Tuesday night will be in the mid 50s to low 60s.

On Wednesday, some showers will still be possible from Rochester and the Genesee Valley eastward, but will taper off through the day from west to east as an area of high pressure moves toward the region from the mid-Mississippi Valley. Temperatures on Wednesday will be in the upper 60s across the higher terrain and in the the upper 70s across the lower terrain.

Wednesday night, will be quiet for most of the area, there is a slight chance for some rain showers off of the southeast end of Lake Ontario as cold air advection drops 850Ts to around 7C over the 25C lakes. The limiting factor will be the area of high pressure moving into the area, along with some drier air. But if there are any showers the above mentioned area would have the best chance as a west to west-northwest flow over Lake Ontario will increase the amount of fetch the cooler winds aloft have to work with. Wednesday night, temperatures will be in the low 50s across the higher terrain and in the upper 50s along the lake shores. Temperatures on Wednesday night will be the coolest in some areas since late June.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. This period will be mostly dry, with a warming trend as an area of high pressure settles over the area on Saturday. A weakening shortwave trough will cross the area and potentially cause some showers and a few thunderstorms from Friday afternoon into early Saturday, with the best chance for showers along the NY/PA state line. Temperatures will be coolest on Thursday with highs from around 70 across the higher terrain to near 80 for the lowers elevations. Day to day warming of around 3 degrees will end this period with highs on Sunday in the upper 70s across the higher terrain and in the upper 80s for the lower elevations.

AVIATION /16Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Patchy MVFR cigs, though most locations will stay low-end VFR. Not much in way of showers currently, but with daytime heating and an approaching frontal boundary, expect scattered showers and a possible thunderstorm mid to late afternoon, with best chance at ROC. Scattered showers will linger into the evening hours and may expand for a time (with BUF and IAG seeing more potential) with the approach of a mid-level trough and the frontal boundary. Mainly VFR flight conditions outside of these showers and storms which will be localized. A period of steadier showers may move in late tonight with a mix of VFR/MVFR flight conditions.

Outlook .

Tuesday . MVFR/VFR with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Wednesday . VFR, but showers possible east of Lake Ontario. Thursday through Saturday . VFR.

MARINE. Low pressure over eastern Quebec and an associated cold front will exit across the Canadian Maritmes into this evening allowing winds and waves to diminish. Once winds diminish this afternoon, expect negligible winds and waves through Tuesday afternoon before a cold front crosses the lower Great Lakes Tuesday night helping to freshen winds from the northwest, especially on Lake Ontario. It is possible another round of Small Craft Advisories may be needed Tuesday night on Lake Ontario, mainly east of Hamlin Beach over the southeast and eastern sections of Lake Ontario.

Waterspouts will be possible behind the cold front Tuesday night into Thursday with lowering temperatures aloft. Looks like the period for best waterspout potential would be later Wednesday into Thursday morning with cold temps aloft and winds becoming light enough to favor developing low-level convergence zones where waterspouts typically form.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . None. MARINE . None.



SYNOPSIS . Apffel NEAR TERM . Apffel/JLA SHORT TERM . SW LONG TERM . SW AVIATION . Apffel/JLA MARINE . JLA


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 30 mi79 min N 7 G 8.9 71°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 31 mi49 min 74°F 1016.4 hPa
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 32 mi49 min W 8 G 9.9 73°F 1016.6 hPa63°F
45012 - Lake Ontario Buoy - 20NM North Northeast of Rochester, NY 33 mi29 min WNW 7.8 G 12 70°F 72°F2 ft1016.2 hPa66°F
45135 - Prince Edward Pt 38 mi79 min WSW 12 G 14 70°F 73°F3 ft1016.1 hPa (+1.1)

Wind History for Oswego, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rochester, Greater Rochester International Airport, NY34 mi25 minE 410.00 miMostly Cloudy79°F60°F52%1016.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KROC

Wind History from ROC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW14
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W12W10W9W6W76W8SW10W73E4
1 day agoS8SE7SE7SE7SE8SE5S5SW6CalmS4SE8E9E9SE7SE9SE7SE6S6SW5SW8S14
G22
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2 days agoNE12N7NE8NE7NE5--N3CalmW3SW4SW4SW3SW4W3SW3SW4SW4SW5SW5S6S76E7SE8

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.