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Marine Weather and Tides Chester, VT Version 3.4

NOTICE 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 7:12AM

Sunset 4:17PM

Monday December 16, 2019 4:52 AM EST (09:52 UTC)

Moonrise 10:08PM

Moonset 11:59AM

Illumination 78%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chester, VT

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Area Discussion for - Albany, NY

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FXUS61 KALY 160931 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 431 AM EST Mon Dec 16 2019

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will be over the region on today, providing dry and seasonably cold conditions. Another storm system approaching from the south and west is expected to bring snow and or a wintry mix to the region late Monday night through Tuesday. The best chance for a wintry mix will be for areas south of Albany.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Clouds and snow flurries into the western Mohawk Valley and Schoharie Valley will dissipate by daybreak. Weak warm advection will begin today which will help end the lake effect snow flurry activity. Winds will be light with high clouds spreading over our region through the day but quite thin high clouds. Thicker clouds will spread to southern areas ahead of the approaching system from the central U.S.

Highs in the 30s with 20s higher terrain.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. . Winter Weather Advisory tonight through Tuesday evening for all areas except northern Herkimer, Hamilton, northern Warren and northern Washington Counties .

Snow spreads to southern areas late this evening and the rest of the region by daybreak. Snow amounts through daybreak will be light but enough to affect the morning commute. Possible 1-3 inches in southern areas and around an inch to the Mohawk Valley and southern VT through the morning commute.

There is a good consensus for strong frontogenesis at 850-700 hPa across our region during the day Tuesday but the saturated layer and best upward motion do not necessarily cut through the dendritic growth zone. Upper level jet divergence should enhance upward motion. Southwesterly low level jet convergence will be quick as the upper energy is an open wave and associated low level forcing will be exiting quickly.

Increasing consensus from guidance/ensembles for the mixed precipitation zone spreading north between daybreak and mid morning Tuesday to areas along and south of the eastern Catskills, mid Hudson Valley, southern Taconics, southern Berkshires and Litchfield CT. The mixed precipitation will continue through much of the afternoon. Sleet will likely mix in from about Greene County east to the southern Berkshires. Sleet and a light accumulation of freezing rain would be from southern Ulster through the KPOU area and Litchfield, CT.

Snow totals are expected to be 2-5 inches in the advisory areas. Some sleet and up to a tenth of an inch of sleet and freezing rain in southern areas. Highs Tuesday in the 20s to lower 30s as light north winds are expected across the region, anchoring the cold air.

By Tuesday evening the system exits and mixed precipitation will end as a brief period of snow before ending. A strong closed upper low dropping out of Canada will track through our region later Wednesday and Wednesday night and the associated cold front will support snow shower and potential snow squall activity. The low level forcing along the tight thermal gradient at the leading edge of the cold advection along with some instability aloft could again support snow squalls in some areas. Highs Wednesday in the 20s to lower 30s with a few mid 30s southern areas.

Rapid cooling Wednesday night with lows in the single numbers to around 10 but below zero in northern areas. Some lake effect snow shower activity should extend into the western Mohawk valley, Schoharie Valley and eastern Catskills on northwest winds.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Thursday will be the coldest day of the long term period, and of the season thus far, in the wake of a strong arctic boundary. Latest GEFS show that the 925mb, 850mb and 700mb temps are all -2 to -3 S.D. below normal, with 700 and 500 mb heights also below normal. The latest operational GFS has surface and 925mb temps around -8 to - 14C and -15 to -20C, respectively, Thursday afternoon. Winds also look breezy which could lead to wind chills 0 to 10 degrees, below zero in the high terrain. Thursday night will be frigid, with temps plummeting into the single digits to below zero in the Dacks. Wind chill headlines may be needed during this time frame.

Friday, temperatures start to slowly moderate as upper level ridging builds into the region. Highs look to be in the upper teens to upper 20s. High pressure will be centered over us Friday night, resulting in another frigid night with lows in the single digits to low teens.

There is a slight chance precip returns to the region during the Saturday-Sunday time frame as upper level energy dives out of Canada. However, without much model continuity, have kept PoPs limited during this time frame. Models are in agreement, however, with temps returning to normal by Sunday.

AVIATION /09Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Snow showers continue to diminish early this morning with VFR conditions prevailing across all TAF sites. This will lead to a dry day today with continued VFR conditions. Mid and high level clouds will spread into the region throughout the day ahead of the upcoming winter storm system.

West winds will gradually diminish through the overnight period and into the daytime hours. Although, gusts up to 25 kts will still be possible at KALB/KPSF for at least the next few hours.

Outlook .

Tuesday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SN. Wednesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHSN. Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

HYDROLOGY. There are still river flood warnings in effect at Falls Village and Gaylordsville along the Housatonic. River levels are cresting and are expected to fall below flood stage later today.

Another storm system will bring snow and or a wintry mix to the region, with bitter arctic cold expected from the middle of next week through at least the end of the work week. With colder air in place and primarily frozen precip expected, no additional flooding is anticipated. Ice will build on some bodies of water by later this week.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . Winter Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 1 AM EST Wednesday for CTZ001-013. NY . Winter Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 1 AM EST Wednesday for NYZ058>061-063>066. Winter Weather Advisory from 1 AM Tuesday to 1 AM EST Wednesday for NYZ038>041-047>054-082>084. MA . Winter Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 1 AM EST Wednesday for MAZ025. Winter Weather Advisory from 1 AM Tuesday to 1 AM EST Wednesday for MAZ001. VT . Winter Weather Advisory from 1 AM Tuesday to 1 AM EST Wednesday for VTZ013>015.

SYNOPSIS . NAS NEAR TERM . NAS SHORT TERM . NAS LONG TERM . JLV AVIATION . JLV HYDROLOGY . NAS

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
BGXN3 - Great Bay Reserve, NH	96 mi	68 min	W 16	28°F			1019 hPa	13°F

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Springfield, Hartness State Springfield Airport, VT	8 mi	59 min	Var 6	10.00 mi	Fair	23°F	5°F	46%	1021.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVSF

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Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York

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Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (4,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT

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