Saturday, August15, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Chester, VT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:54AMSunset 7:52PM Saturday August 15, 2020 12:24 PM EDT (16:24 UTC) Moonrise 1:51AMMoonset 5:43PM Illumination 11% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chester, VT
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location: 43.26, -72.62     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 151423 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 1023 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2020

SYNOPSIS. Beautiful weather to start the weekend with plenty of sunshine and seasonable temperatures. Slightly cooler Sunday and Monday with chances for showers both days.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. Clouds building west toward the Berkshires and NW CT will make for a partly cloudy afternoon there. Otherwise lots of sun and light winds. Minor adjustments to temperatures and sky cover through this afternoon. Previous Discussion has a few more details and is below .

Today will be a beautiful summer day with plenty of sunshine and seasonable temperatures. Afternoon highs are expected to reach the mid 70s to low 80s with light winds.

Tonight, clouds will begin increasing from the south as a wave of low pressure tracks south of Long Island/Cape. Areas north of Albany will see more clear skies and thus cooler temperatures, with lows ranging from the mid 50s to low 60s. Some locations in the Dacks could see cooler temps once again depending on cloud cover.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. High pressure starts losing its grip on the region on Sunday as a cold front and its associated upper trough approach from the northwest. A low pressure system will also be tracking across the mid-Atlantic region and up towards the Cape. These two features will result in increasing cloud cover throughout the day. Showers will also be possible, mainly south and east of Albany, closest to the low track. It is possible that none of the forecast area sees rainfall depending on the low track and the dry air in place from the high pressure.

The better chance for showers and thunderstorms appears to be Monday afternoon and evening as the surface cold front and upper energy track across the area. The Storm Prediction Center has placed much of the area in a Marginal Risk for severe weather with damaging winds being the primary threat. It is likely that timing of the front will determine the severe weather threat.

Temperatures will be cooler Sunday and Monday due to more cloud cover and shower activity. Highs will likely remain in the 70s both days.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. An upper level trough will reside over the region through much of the long term, with ridging ensuing for later in the period.

A check of several GEFs parameters shows most variables (PWAT, 850mb T, 500mb T, 500mb heights) remaining near normal.

The blended forecast yields a dry week with only Thursday and Friday showing only low chance/slight chances of precipitation. Our forecast does not deviate from the blended forecast. However, it would not be out of the question to see some diurnally driven afternoon showers on Tuesday and Wednesday under the trough. Instability parameters are quite low, so where there are chances of precipitation, only SHRA forecast.

Temperatures start out just about normal (80/58 at Albany). The trend is slightly upward through the week, with highs on Friday ranging from the mid 80s valley locations to 70s higher elevations. Dew points start out in the 50s with some 40s Adirondacks, then climb into the low 60s by Thursday.

AVIATION /15Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. High pressure will continue to build southward across the TAF sites through today.

Mainly VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period.

However, conditions appear favorable for the development of IFR FG/BR at KGFL and KPSF. Have timed this for about 10-12Z. More or less clear skies and no winds should allows these sites to cool enough to allow for fog formation. Meanwhile, expecting KALB and KPOU to elude any IFR BR. Could see some 6SM BR at KALB around dawn.

Otherwise expecting VFR conditions through the remainder of the forecast period.

Outlook .

Sunday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA. Monday: Moderate Operational Impact Scattered SHRA. TSRA. Monday Night: Moderate Operational Impact Scattered SHRA. TSRA. Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday: Low Operational Impact. Isolated SHRA.

FIRE WEATHER. Beautiful weather to start the weekend with plenty of sunshine and seasonable temperatures. Slightly cooler Sunday and Monday with chances for showers both days.

Winds will be light. Minimum relatively humidity values will range from 40-55 percent this afternoon and 55-70 percent Sunday afternoon.

HYDROLOGY. Beautiful weather to start the weekend with plenty of sunshine and seasonable temperatures. Slightly cooler Sunday and Monday with chances for showers both days.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . JLV NEAR TERM . NAS/JLV SHORT TERM . JLV LONG TERM . OKeefe AVIATION . OKeefe FIRE WEATHER . JLV HYDROLOGY . JLV


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BGXN3 - Great Bay Reserve, NH 96 mi100 min ENE 6 68°F 1020 hPa62°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Springfield, Hartness State Springfield Airport, VT8 mi31 minE 810.00 miA Few Clouds76°F59°F56%1019.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVSF

Wind History from VSF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr54CalmCalm4N5N3CalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE5E4E8
1 day ago4N334CalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3N44
2 days ago6NW76W6NW6W4W4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:57 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:43 AM EDT     4.88 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:43 AM EDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:08 PM EDT     3.57 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:45 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:44 PM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.24.24.74.94.33.42.51.810.2-00.71.82.73.33.63.32.61.71.10.6-0-0.20.6

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:57 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:35 AM EDT     4.88 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:02 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:33 AM EDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:00 PM EDT     3.57 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:45 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:34 PM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.44.34.84.84.23.22.41.70.90.100.922.83.33.63.32.41.610.5-0.1-0.10.8

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.