Tuesday, March2, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Olcott, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 6:06PM Tuesday March 2, 2021 9:57 PM EST (02:57 UTC) Moonrise 10:20PMMoonset 8:49AM Illumination 80% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ042 Niagara River To Hamlin Beach Along Lake Ontario- 547 Pm Est Tue Mar 2 2021
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday afternoon...
Tonight..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to 30 knots. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Wednesday..West winds 15 to 25 knots. Rain showers likely in the afternoon. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 10 to 15 knots. Scattered flurries with a chance of rain showers in the evening, then scattered flurries overnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Thursday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Friday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Scattered snow showers Friday night. Waves 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Saturday..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Scattered snow showers during the day. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
LOZ042 Expires:202103030415;;379566 FZUS51 KBUF 022247 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 547 PM EST Tue Mar 2 2021 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ042-030415-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Olcott, NY
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location: 43.33, -78.7     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 030004 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 704 PM EST Tue Mar 2 2021

SYNOPSIS. Breezy tonight with snow showers east of Lake Ontario. Snow showers will continue east of Lake Ontario Wednesday. A few inches are possible on the Tug Hill Plateau tonight through Wednesday. A brief warm up is expected Wednesday before colder air returns for the remainder of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. A warm front will approach the region tonight. Clouds will increase mainly across Lake Ontario and the North Country this evening while most of western NY stays mostly clear. A strong westerly 50-60 kt low level jet will move across the region tonight. Southwest winds at the surface will also increase with surface temperatures rising overnight. Stable conditions under warm air advection should keep the strongest winds elevated however it will still get breezy overnight with the strongest winds from Lake Erie northeast across the Niagara Frontier to the City of Rochester. Southwest winds 15-25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph are possible. Lesser winds south and east of this region.

Moisture will be confined to the warm front with light snow moving into the northern Tug Hill region this evening. There should be a break as the snow moves east before snow moves back across the entire Tug Hill region as an approaching shortwave trough and surface trough move south from the Ottawa Valley. Minor accumulations expected with 1-3 inches possible on the Tug Hill into Wednesday morning.

Temperatures will continue to increase Wednesday with daytime highs reaching the upper 30s to low 40s and the low 30s on the Tug Hill. Weather will remain quiet across Western NY Wednesday morning with increasing clouds. As the surface trough nears Lake Ontario, forcing and an increase in moisture will increase the chance for rain and snow showers across Western NY Wednesday afternoon.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. An amplifying ridge over the western Conus will encourage a sharpening longwave trough over eastern Canada and the northeastern U.S. during this period. This will support temps that will be solidly below normal . especially during the day.

The only real weather this period will be the passage of an arctic front Wednesday night. This will generate some snow showers throughout the region to open this period while setting the stage for nuisance lake snow showers in the ensuing periods.

Given H85 temps that will average in the minus teens c . the northwest flow Thursday through Friday night will support some nuisance lake snow showers . mainly southeast of Lk Ontario. Otherwise . mainly fair weather can be expected.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. The longwave pattern will become progressive during this period with the western ridge sliding east. This will allow for Pacific modified air to flood the country . which eventually will lead to a PRONOUNCED warm up for our region at the end of this forecast period . and particularly the second half of next week. The mercury will climb well into the 50s across the western counties by Tuesday with 60s possible just outside of the scope of this package.

The warm up will be accompanied by mainly dry weather.

AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. A warm front will approach from the northwest and clouds will increase mainly near Lake Ontario and east of Lake Ontario. A strong 50-60kt low-level jet will move across the region tonight. These strong winds will remain elevated however southwest winds will increase at the surface with 15-20kts and gusts up to 35 mph towards daybreak Wednesday. Winds will be less at KART. Low confidence in LLWS as mixing will result in gusty winds reaching the surface.

Light snow will move into the Eastern Lake Ontario region tonight and vsby restrictions are possible at KART late tonight into Wednesday morning. Snow will then be confined to the higher terrain through Wednesday afternoon. Mostly dry conditions expected across Western NY Wednesday morning with ceilings falling to 025-030.

Outlook .

Wednesday night . VFR/MVFR. Snow showers likely across Western NY. Thursday . VFR/MVFR. A chance of snow showers. Friday and Saturday . Mainly VFR. A chance of snow showers. Sunday . Mainly VFR.

MARINE. Low pressure will then be quick to drop into the northern Lakes and the resultant gradient will bring an uptick in southwest winds across the Lower Great Lakes tonight. Small craft advisory conditions expected across the eastern end of Lake Erie and the Upper Niagara River and western Lake Ontario. A period of higher end small craft advisory conditions is likely for the rest of Lake Ontario later tonight until winds subside later Wednesday.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Wednesday for LEZ040-041. Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Wednesday for LEZ020. Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST Wednesday for LOZ043>045. Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST Wednesday for LOZ042.



SYNOPSIS . HSK NEAR TERM . Apffel/HSK SHORT TERM . RSH LONG TERM . RSH AVIATION . Apffel/HSK MARINE . HSK/TMA


Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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G28
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Niagara Falls, Niagara Falls International Airport, NY20 mi64 minSW 1510.00 miFair28°F19°F69%1016.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KIAG

Wind History from IAG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW20
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NW11NW7NW5NW9W4W5SW6SW10SW12SW18
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1 day agoS12S14
G20
S10SW13W14W11W12W14W16NW16
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--NW20
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G36
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W22
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NW19
G30
2 days agoSW9S4SE4S3SE3SE3E3E4E6SE4E6E6E9SE9SE13SE8SE10S11S8S7S7--S10S8

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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