Friday, August23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Barview, OR

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:29AMSunset 8:09PM Friday August 23, 2019 12:16 AM PDT (07:16 UTC) Moonrise 11:26PMMoonset 1:28PM Illumination 48% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ350 Coastal Waters From Florence To Cape Blanco Or Out 10 Nm- 1053 Pm Pdt Thu Aug 22 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through late Friday night...
Tonight..N wind 20 to 25 kt...easing to 15 to 20 kt late tonight. Wind waves 6 to 7 ft. Mixed swell nw 4 to 5 ft at 11 seconds and W 3 to 4 ft at 9 seconds...shifting to the W 3 ft at 11 seconds and sw 1 to 2 ft at 19 seconds after midnight.
Fri..N wind 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 4 to 6 ft. Mixed swell W 2 to 3 ft at 11 seconds and sw 2 ft at 17 seconds.
Fri night..N wind 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft. Mixed swell W 2 to 3 ft at 11 seconds and sw 2 ft at 17 seconds.
Sat..N wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. Mixed swell nw 3 to 5 ft and sw 2 ft.
Sat night..N wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 4 to 5 ft. W swell 3 ft...building to 5 ft after midnight.
Sun..N wind 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 4 to 6 ft. NW swell 5 ft.
Sun night..N wind 20 to 25 kt...easing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Wind waves 5 to 8 ft. NW swell 4 to 5 ft.
Mon..N wind 25 kt...easing to 20 kt in the afternoon, then... Rising to 25 kt in the evening...easing to 20 kt after midnight. Wind waves 7 ft...building to 9 to 10 ft. W swell 4 ft...becoming nw 2 ft.
Tue..N wind 15 to 20 kt...veering to ne 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 6 to 7 ft...subsiding to 4 to 5 ft. W swell 2 ft.
PZZ300 1053 Pm Pdt Thu Aug 22 2019
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters..The thermal trough has returned and will persist into early next week. North winds and very steep and hazardous seas are expected south of cape blanco, with small craft advisory conditions elsewhere. The thermal trough is expected to push inland and weaken late Tuesday or Wednesday, allowing conditions to improve for the latter half of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Barview, OR
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location: 43.35, -124.33     debug


Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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Fxus66 kmfr 230603
afdmfr
area forecast discussion
national weather service medford or
1100 pm pdt Thu aug 22 2019

Updated aviation and marine discussions
Discussion Current satellite imagery are showing some stratus
continuing just north of the umpqua divide and in the valley just
west of the cascade foothills. This stratus is continuing to
evaporate. Additionally, there are some higher clouds as well
that are moving to the southeast. Overall, a rather benign night
is expected. The forecast looks like it's in pretty good shape,
and no changes are needed. To learn more about the upcoming warm-
up, please read the previous discussion below. -schaaf

Prev discussion issued 444 pm pdt Thu aug 22 2019
discussion... 22 12z nam GFS ec in.

Partly cloudy skies linger this afternoon, mostly over the umpqua,
but the air mass is drying out rapidly. The weather will be more
summer like through next Wednesday night... Dry and hot.

An upper ridge is building over the area along with a thermal
trough offshore, and skies are clearing at this time. A strong
warming trend will affect all areas through Friday. By that time
highs will be 5-10 degrees above normal.

Short waves moving over the top of the ridge will keep it from
building any further this weekend, and this will put the brakes
on the warming trend. Saturday and Sunday highs will be about the
same as the Friday highs. A dry cold front will move through
Saturday. It won't bring any cooling, but it will bring gusty
winds to the east side Saturday afternoon and evening.

The ridge will build in more strongly next week, and the thermal
trough will move inland. That's when it will get really hot over
the area. Another strong warming trend will occur Monday into
Tuesday, and the Tuesday highs will be 10-15 degrees above normal.

The medford high will be near 100 degrees Monday and will exceed
it Tuesday. Wednesday will be similar to Tuesday with mostly clear
skies and hot temperatures.

At some point the ridge will break down and the possibility of
thunderstorms will enter the forecast with slightly cooler
temperatures. The latest GFS run shows that lis will remain
positive Wednesday afternoon and evening with pws of around 0.5
inches, which is too stable and dry. However, on Thursday
afternoon and evening there is a significant area of negative lis
east of the cascades and pws rise to near an inch. That is
sufficient for thunderstorm activity and thus will add a slight
chance of thunder at that time and location.

Marine... Updated 1030 pm pdt Thursday 22 august 2019... The thermal
trough has returned and will persist into early next week, although
there will be periods of weakening and strengthening over the next
several days.

Winds have diminished some below gales this evening but gusty north
winds and steep to very steep and hazardous seas are likely to
continue south of CAPE blanco into Friday.

Mainly small craft advisory conditions are expected Saturday into
Saturday night. After that, winds will strengthen again Sunday with
an area of gales possible again south of CAPE blanco from Sunday
afternoon through Monday evening. The thermal trough is expected to
push inland and weaken late Tuesday or Wednesday, allowing
conditions to improve for the latter half of next week. -bpn keene
aviation... For the 23 06z tafs... A drier air mass is moving over the
region, and we expectVFR conditions at all terminals through
Friday. There is a chance that low clouds and or fog could form at
the coast and coastal valleys, but favored guidance supports clear
skies so expect koth to stayVFR overnight. Gusty north winds will
again impact the coast Friday afternoon. Keene
fire weather... Updated 200 pm pdt Thursday 22 august 2019... A
strong warming and drying trend will begin on Friday. The warmest
and driest conditions are likely on Tuesday, but improvement during
the remainder of the week will be barely noticeable.

While the passage of a weak, dry cold front on Saturday will not
bring any cooling, it will bring gusty westerly winds east of the
cascades with afternoon and evening speeds stronger than normal at
12 to 18 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

Associated with the warming and drying trend will be night into
morning northeast winds of 5 to 15 mph over the coast range with
moderate mid slope and ridge humidity recoveries tonight through
Monday night.

The air mass will remain stable at least through Tuesday night, and
likely through Wednesday night. Model uncertainty increases beyond
day 5 with differences in the track of a closed low over the
pacific. -dw

Mfr watches warnings advisories
Or... None.

Ca... None.

Pacific coastal waters... Small craft advisory until 5 am pdt
Saturday for pzz350-356-370-376. Gale warning until 5 am
pdt Saturday for pzz356-376.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CHAO3 - 9432780 - Charleston, OR 0 mi40 min N 5.1 G 8 59°F1015 hPa
SNTO3 5 mi46 min Calm 56°F 1016 hPa55°F
46128 12 mi76 min NNE 21 57°F 59°F
46229 - UMPQUA OFFSHORE, OR (139) 31 mi16 min 62°F9 ft
PORO3 - 9431647 - Port Orford, OR 43 mi46 min NW 12 G 16 59°F 49°F1014.2 hPa

Wind History for Charleston, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Southwest Oregon Regional Airport, OR7 mi2.3 hrsN 810.00 miFair59°F55°F87%1016.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOTH

Wind History from OTH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN8N7N8N9NW4N5N5NE4N9NE12N10NE8N12N13N18N18N21
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1 day agoSE6SE7SE6SE6SE8SE7SE6S5S5SE5SE5SE8SE6S6SE84W9W8W6W4CalmW3N7N9
2 days agoSE3SE5SE4SE5SE6SE4SE6SE6SE5SE6W8W6W10W12SW10SW11SW8SW10SW9SW6SE6SE5SE6SE6

Tide / Current Tables for Charleston, Oregon
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Charleston
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Fri -- 12:13 AM PDT     1.52 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:21 AM PDT     5.01 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:31 AM PDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:58 AM PDT     Last Quarter
Fri -- 11:38 AM PDT     2.78 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:27 PM PDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:08 PM PDT     6.89 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:07 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.72.23.13.94.654.94.53.93.32.92.83.23.94.95.86.66.96.764.93.72.5

Tide / Current Tables for Coos Bay, Oregon
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.