Monday, October14, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Barview, OR

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:28AMSunset 6:37PM Monday October 14, 2019 4:14 AM PDT (11:14 UTC) Moonrise 6:28PMMoonset 7:07AM Illumination 99% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ350 Coastal Waters From Florence To Cape Blanco Or Out 10 Nm- 408 Am Pdt Mon Oct 14 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 8 am pdt this morning...
Today..N wind 10 to 15 kt...veering to ne 5 kt in the morning, then...backing to N in the afternoon. Cape arago southward, N wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 5 ft... Subsiding to 3 to 4 ft. NW swell 6 to 7 ft at 11 seconds.
Tonight..N wind 10 to 15 kt...veering to ne 5 kt after midnight, then...veering to S early in the morning. Wind waves 3 ft in the evening...becoming 2 ft or less. NW swell 4 to 5 ft at 10 seconds.
Tue..S wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Mixed swell nw 3 to 4 ft at 9 seconds and W 2 ft at 21 seconds.
Tue night..S wind 15 to 20 kt. Wind waves 3 ft... Building to 4 to 5 ft after midnight. W swell 5 to 6 ft. Rain likely.
Wed..S wind 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 5 to 8 ft. W swell 6 ft... Building to 9 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
Wed night..SW wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 6 to 7 ft... Subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. W swell 11 to 13 ft. Showers.
Thu..S wind 10 to 15 kt...veering to sw 15 to 20 kt. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. W swell 16 to 17 ft.
Fri..SW wind 10 kt...veering to w. Wind waves 3 ft. NW swell 14 ft.
PZZ300 408 Am Pdt Mon Oct 14 2019
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters..High pressure will remain over the waters today. Steep seas and gusty north winds will persist across the waters early this morning, then for the waters south of cape blanco into this afternoon. An active pattern is expected with a series of stronger fronts moving through Tuesday night through Saturday. Gusty south winds and steep to very steep seas are expected late Tuesday and Wednesday. Then building long period west swell may bring high and steep to very steep seas late in the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Barview, OR
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location: 43.35, -124.33     debug


Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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Fxus66 kmfr 141036
afdmfr
area forecast discussion
national weather service medford or
336 am pdt Mon oct 14 2019

Discussion A couple more dry days are expected before a
transition to an active, wet and cool pattern. Afternoon
temperatures will be near normal Monday and Tuesday under an upper
ridge of high pressure. It is remarkable how quickly the summer
afternoon breezes shut off in october as we have recently observed
much calmer afternoon winds in most valleys. As we head deeper
into fall, frontal systems will be mainly responsible for any
increasing winds. This will be the case on Tuesday east of the
cascades as winds increase ahead of the approaching frontal
system. Fog and low clouds are occurring as of 3:30 am in the
umpqua basin and coastal valleys such as coquille. They will
return again tomorrow night.

On Wednesday the cold front reaches the coast and brings breezy
conditions to the coast and areas east of the cascades. Gusts to
around 40 mph are possible in windier areas like the summer lake
area along highway 31, but wind advisory criteria (gusts to 45 mph)
will not likely be met per the latest data. The GFS has been steady
over the past 3 days or so in depicting rainfall reaching the coast
Wednesday morning. Rain will spread inland during the afternoon on
Wednesday. For the front and associated rainfall Wednesday through
Wednesday night, latest national blend of models (nbm) output
suggests and inch of rain at the coast, around a half inch of rain
for west side valleys, and a quarter inch of rainfall or less east
of the cascades. Snow levels will start out around 9000 feet and
then lower to about 7000 feet behind the front Wednesday night.

Therefore, we don't expect significant winter impacts with this
front.

This active trend is expected to continue through the latter half
of the week into the weekend. Model guidance has slowed and
trended slightly north in regards to the overall pattern, but do
agree that three distinct waves of heavier precipitation are
likely between Thursday and Sunday as multiple fronts make their
way through the region. Meanwhile, swift and moist onshore
mid upper level flow will keep precipitation chances ongoing,
especially along the coast and over the mountains where upslope
winds will be common. Although temperatures will be slightly below
normal for this time of year, snow levels should remain above
5000 feet throughout the extended term, so only the higher
mountain passes have the potential to see travel impacts due to
accumulating snow. -keene bpn schaaf

Aviation For the 14 06z tafs... Stratus withVFR ceilings has
filled in over the umpqua basin this evening and should remain in
place through the night. Guidance still suggests a lowering of this
stratus to MVFR ceilings by dawn, but confidence remains low that
this will actually occur.

Elsewhere,VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. This
includes the north coast around koth due to persistent drying of the
air from offshore flow. It's not out of the question that local
stratus forms around dawn, but the odds are not high enough to
include in the koth taf. -wright

Marine Updated 300 am pdt Monday 14 october 2019... Steep seas and
gusty north winds will linger over the waters this morning into
early this afternoon. Seas are expected to subside Monday afternoon
into Tuesday morning. Winds will shift from north to south by early
Tuesday morning ahead of the arrival of the first in a a series of
stronger fronts which are expected to move across the waters through
late this week. Strong and gusty south winds and steep to very steep
seas are possible with the first front Tuesday night into Wednesday.

As additional fronts move through, high and very long period
northwest swell may build into the coastal waters Wednesday into
Thursday. Seas could reach hazardous conditions and high surf is
possible due to a longer period (between 15 and 16 seconds). Seas
are expected to gradually diminish late in the week into the
weekend. -cc

Mfr watches warnings advisories
Or... None.

Ca... None.

Pacific coastal waters... Small craft advisory until 11 am pdt this morning for
pzz356-376.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CHAO3 - 9432780 - Charleston, OR 0 mi99 min E 1.9 G 2.9 50°F1017.6 hPa
SNTO3 5 mi45 min Calm 40°F 1018 hPa40°F
46128 12 mi75 min NNE 16 50°F 53°F
46229 - UMPQUA OFFSHORE, OR (139) 31 mi45 min 56°F10 ft
PORO3 - 9431647 - Port Orford, OR 43 mi63 min NW 8 G 11 49°F 49°F1017.2 hPa

Wind History for Charleston, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Southwest Oregon Regional Airport, OR7 mi19 minN 010.00 miFair44°F44°F100%1018 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOTH

Wind History from OTH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN3N4CalmCalmCalmNE3N5N14N12N15
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N15N15N11N9N4CalmCalmN4CalmCalm
1 day agoSE6CalmSE6SE5SE6SE7SE4N4N3W8W4W4W6W3NW5N3NW53NE4N5NE5NW5N3Calm
2 days agoE14
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Tide / Current Tables for Charleston, Oregon
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Charleston
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Mon -- 01:09 AM PDT     7.08 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:03 AM PDT     1.66 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:29 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:07 AM PDT     Moonset
Mon -- 01:09 PM PDT     7.76 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:35 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:27 PM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:34 PM PDT     0.61 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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6.67.16.85.94.53.12.11.7234.567.27.77.56.44.83.11.60.70.71.42.84.4

Tide / Current Tables for Coos Bay, Oregon
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.