Monday, September28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ludlow, VT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 6:39PM Monday September 28, 2020 12:23 AM EDT (04:23 UTC) Moonrise 5:44PMMoonset 3:10AM Illumination 83% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ludlow, VT
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location: 43.4, -72.7     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 280233 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 1033 PM EDT Sun Sep 27 2020

SYNOPSIS. Mild to warm weather continues through Tuesday under strong western Atlantic high pressure. A few very light showers or sprinkles will be possible later tonight into Monday as Atlantic moisture streams northward, though amounts will be light to negligible. Sorely needed rainfall finally arrives by Tuesday into Wednesday as a cold front pushes across the region. Behind this front, a trend toward cooler weather is expected for the back end of the work week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. As of 1029 PM EDT Sunday . Just some small adjustments to the temperatures and dewpoints for the next few hours as cloud cover has slowed temps from falling in the Champlain Valley, while lack of clouds have sped up falling temps in the northern St Lawrence Valley. Have also allowed SPS for fire weather concerns to expire along with ending the lake wind advisory for Lake Champlain. Previous forecast follows.

Another nice early fall day has unfolded across the area under breezy south winds and variable mid to high level clouds. Temperatures have climbed to near forecasted values from the mid 70s to around 80. Some smoke aloft has also been evident, and captured nicely by latest runs of NOAA's HRRR integrated smoke output.

For tonight a broad increase in cloud cover is expected once again as weak low pressure off the Delmarva coast and an associated push of Atlantic moisture are advected northward into New England. Will maintain slight to lower end chances of a few light showers or sprinkles (20-40%) across mainly the higher terrain and portions of southern/eastern VT later tonight into tomorrow morning per model consensus. However, with a broad lack of dynamical forcing I've undercut MOS values by about 50% accordingly and cut back on model blended QPF. Any measurable amounts that do occur will be very negligible and on the order of a few hundredths at best. Low temperatures to remain quite mild by late September standards - mainly in the 60s to locally near 70 at KBTV.

Any morning sprinkles end and cloud cover gradually trends partly sunny tomorrow as mean synoptic upper flow continues to amplify in response to a fairly deep meridional trough digging southward through the Great Lakes and Mississippi Valley. Temperatures to warm quite nicely once again, topping out in the 70s to around 80 or so in the broader valleys. Mild weather then continues into Monday night under variable cloud cover. Rainfall chances begin to increase late across far western counties as aforementioned upper trough and associated surface front begin to approach.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. As of 400 PM EDT Sunday . Chance for rain showers will increase from west to east across our area on Tuesday as cold front pushes across the north country. Think that most areas will have measurable precipitation with plenty of deep moisture across the area. Temperatures will warm into the upper 60s to lower 70s, coolest west where the precipitation arrives the soonest. This front will be slow to cross the area, and showers will continue into the overnight hours Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning. During the second half of the overnight, a second wave of low pressure will approach from the south, riding along nearly stationary cold front which is situated across our area. Overnight min lows will remain mild across Vermont where showers continue, and a bit cooler across Northern New York where we'll start to see some breaks in the clouds as the precip ends. Lows will be in the 50s across VT and 40s in NY.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 400 PM EDT Sunday . Active weather will continue into the long term portion of the forecast as large upper level trough remains anchored over the eastern conus and will continue to be focus for shortwaves crossing the area and increased chances for precipitation. Still pretty good shot at showers Wednesday morning with low pressure system lifting out of our area, showers ending towards the afternoon hours. Several of the longer range models show yet another low pressure system lifting across Southern New England on Thursday, though looks like we'll more on the fringe with this circulation but will still have increase in pops for eastern Vermont. From Tuesday through Thursday rainfall totals will range from around an inch in Northern New York, to about two and a half inches in eastern Vermont. Since the rain will fall over a period of three days, do not anticipate any issues with this much rainfall as our region has been very dry. The weather will remain showery through the weekend though as upper trough takes a long time to make it east of our region. Finally, from Sunday into early next week we'll see a surface ridge build into the region shutting down chances for precipitation towards the end of the period and into early next week. Temperatures will trend back below seasonal normals over the weekend.

AVIATION /03Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Through 00Z Tuesday . VFR conditions with decreasing winds to start the period. After 05Z scattered to broken mix of VFR/MVFR expected as lower level stratus pushes northward, mainly over the eastern most locations. Some scattered very light shower or sprinkle activity possible with this activity, mainly after 09Z at KMPV and KRUT but there is still a high level of uncertainty. Dry elsewhere. After 12Z scattered/broken mix of VFR/MVFR trends VFR at all terminals under light/modest southerly flow in the 6-10 kt range.

Outlook .

Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Slight chance SHRA. Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Likely SHRA. Tuesday Night: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Definite SHRA. Wednesday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA. Wednesday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA. Thursday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA. Thursday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA. Friday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. VT . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . JMG NEAR TERM . JMG/Verasamy SHORT TERM . Neiles LONG TERM . Neiles AVIATION . JMG/Verasamy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Springfield, Hartness State Springfield Airport, VT10 mi30 minN 010.00 miOvercast67°F63°F87%1014.8 hPa
Rutland-Southern Vermont Regional Airport, VT16 mi28 minESE 1010.00 miOvercast71°F64°F79%1013.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVSF

Wind History from VSF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE4W33NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS8S11
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE8S9SE8SE7SE7S8S5S43S4S9S3
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm34Calm6S8S8N4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
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Mon -- 03:06 AM EDT     4.99 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:16 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:44 AM EDT     -0.41 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:36 PM EDT     4.15 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:46 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:02 PM EDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.73.74.654.73.93.12.21-0.1-0.40.41.52.53.444.13.632.41.50.5-0.10.4

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
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Mon -- 02:58 AM EDT     4.99 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:16 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:34 AM EDT     -0.41 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:28 PM EDT     4.15 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:46 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:52 PM EDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.93.84.654.63.832.10.8-0.2-0.30.51.72.63.54.14.13.52.92.31.40.3-0.10.6

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.