Friday, December6, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Wells, VT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:08AMSunset 4:17PM Friday December 6, 2019 12:19 AM EST (05:19 UTC) Moonrise 2:44PMMoonset 2:10AM Illumination 68% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wells, VT
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location: 43.43, -73.2     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 060337 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 1037 PM EST Thu Dec 5 2019

SYNOPSIS. Snow near the summits tonight followed by light snow associated with a clipper system. Additional light snow, mainly across the Adirondacks and southern Vermont, will take place Friday afternoon. Seasonably cold and dry weather returns for the upcoming weekend. Breezy conditions on Sunday will be the first sign of the warmer weather on the way for the start of the week. Active weather is expected on Monday and Tuesday along with mild temperatures with chances for rain or snow. A return to seasonal norms is expected for the middle of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. As of 1035 PM EST Thursday . Surface dewpoints continue to fall through the teens and snow showers are becoming lighter and increasingly confined to the northern Green Mtn upslope areas, per recent KCXX/KTYX reflectivity. Will see only partial clearing overnight, but NW winds of 10-20 mph will lessen to 10 mph or less after midnight as p-gradient relaxes during the pre-dawn period. May see some brief/partial sun early Friday. However, a clipper system translating along a strong 850mb baroclinic zone to our south and west will bring a rapid increase in cloud cover once again toward mid-day. The clipper system moves south of the North Country Friday evening while an elongated vort lobe advects into the region associated with a 120kt jet streak. Modest isentropic upglide and good surface convergence should provide some forcing for ascent as well along this feature. A developing surface trough in the Champlain Valley on the backside of the feature should provide an additional focus. The best chances for precipitation will be south-central Vermont, which should be positioned towards where better dynamics and moisture are present. Areas further north will be combating dry air resulting in sublimation. The clipper quickly moves across the region during rush hour. There could be a few traffic headaches. Snow amounts should range between a dusting to 2" with locally up to 3" for a few summits across the southern Green Mtns as the system shifts eastward. Some snow showers in elevated terrain will remain possible. Highs should reach the upper 20s, overnight lows will fall into the teens and upper single digits.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 337 PM EST Thursday . Synoptic scale shows building mid/upper level ridge with 1032mb high pres building into central NY/PA. However, investigation of sounding data shows plenty of moisture below developing subsidence inversion in the sfc to 875mb layer, which will result in plenty of stratus type clouds. Given favorable rh profiles in DZG and upslope flow a few flurries/light snow showers are possible in the mtns on Saturday. Depth of moisture and sfc to 850mb trajectory from 260 to 290 will limit precip in the cpv and keep best focus along the western slopes/northern dacks. A chilly day anticipated with progged 925mb temps btwn -10c and -12c, supporting near 20f slk to mid 20s cpv. Based on progged model soundings low clouds should break up overnight on Saturday with cold lows anticipated by 12z Sunday. Have undercut NBM by 3 to 5 degrees, especially at SLK. Thinking lows near 0F slk/nek to lower teens cpv/lower ct river valley. Sunday will be quiet with some mid level moisture developing during the aftn as temps warm back into the mid 20s to mid 30s.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 337 PM EST Thursday . An active with changeable weather expected this period as several systems will impact the North Country. Guidance shows building mid/upper level ridge across the se conus, while 1036mb high pres shifts across the north Atlantic. The combination of building heights/thickness values and developing southwest 925mb to 850mb jet of 40 to 50 knots will advect a very warm airmass into our fa. This waa lift will come with a period of rain showers, with some mixed sleet/freezing rain possible east of the Green where bl warming will be delayed as cold air remains trapped in the deeper valleys. Sfc low pres will deepen across the MS Valley and track into the central Great Lakes on Monday Night into Tuesday, while a sharp cold front cross our fa on Tues. This track places our cwa well in the warm sector as 925mb to 850mb thermal profiles climb into the 6 to 8c range ahead of boundary. Expecting a period of rain showers with boundary late Monday Night into Tues as pw climb into the 0.75 to 1.0 range and sharp convergence occurs with fropa. In addition, nose of low level jet will produce favorable moisture advection/convergence, with some enhanced rainfall amounts possible across the High Peaks and northern Greens on southwest flow. Rainfall amounts generally in the 0.25 to 0.75 with localized amounts near 1.0 possible in the favorable southwest upslope regions of the dacks and northern Greens. Hydro related issues should be minimum with anticipated rainfall and snowmelt across our fa. Temps will be on the mild side Monday into Tues with highs generally 40 to 50 and lows 35 to 45. Temps quickly fall on Tues aftn/evening with strong llvl caa and gusty westerly winds. Soundings indicating good mixing develops with steepening sfc to 850mb lapse rates, supporting mixed layer winds of 35 to 45 knots, especially slv on southwest channeled flow. Will continue to watch closely for potential headlines by early next week. Otherwise, much cooler temps arrive by mid week with some potential for lake effect snow showers across northern NY/southern SLV. Progged 925mb temps drop btwn -14c and -16c by 12z Thurs, supporting highs back in the teens to mid 20s and lows 10 to 15F.

AVIATION /04Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Through 00Z Saturday . Snow shower activity has ended this evening at all TAF locations, but lingering stratus (ceilings 3-5kft) will remain throughout tonight. Anticipate localized lower ceilings in the MVFR range at KSLK with HIR TRRN of the Green Mtns and Adirondacks OBSCD. Northwesterly winds of 5 to 10 knots with occasional 15 knot gusts possible tonight, before a shift toward light sw winds Friday morning. A clipper system passing south of the region will bring a chance for periodic light snow at KRUT between 18-00Z Friday afternoon/eve.

Outlook .

Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance SHSN. Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX. Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday Night: VFR. Chance RA, Chance SN. Monday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Likely RA, Likely SHRA. Monday Night: Mainly IFR, with areas MVFR possible. Likely SHRA, Patchy BR. Tuesday: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Chance SHRA.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. VT . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . Haynes NEAR TERM . Banacos/Haynes SHORT TERM . Taber LONG TERM . Taber AVIATION . Banacos


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rutland-Southern Vermont Regional Airport, VT15 mi24 minW 510.00 miOvercast25°F16°F69%1015.4 hPa
Glens Falls, Floyd Bennett Memorial Airport, NY23 mi27 minN 010.00 miOvercast26°F14°F60%1017.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRUT

Wind History from RUT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmS4S5CalmSE4CalmS3CalmSW5SW4W6SW8NW10
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1 day agoSE3SE3CalmCalmSE5CalmCalmSE3SE3E3CalmW7SW45SW54CalmCalm4CalmSE4SE4S3SW8
2 days agoN7NW83NW5NW7NW5NW5NW8NW8NW7N12
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Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
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Fri -- 12:05 AM EST     4.39 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:12 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 06:54 AM EST     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:43 PM EST     4.47 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:45 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:20 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:26 PM EST     0.35 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.44.13.32.41.710.2-0.20.51.72.93.84.34.43.93.12.51.91.20.40.51.52.63.4

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
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Fri -- 01:12 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 06:44 AM EST     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:35 PM EST     4.47 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:45 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:21 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:16 PM EST     0.35 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.443.22.31.60.90.1-0.10.61.93.13.84.44.43.832.41.810.40.61.62.73.5

Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.