Saturday, August15, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
SUNY Oswego, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:10AMSunset 8:10PM Saturday August 15, 2020 3:14 AM EDT (07:14 UTC) Moonrise 1:07AMMoonset 5:00PM Illumination 14% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:202008150315;;453931 Fzus51 Kbuf 142015 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 415 Pm Edt Fri Aug 14 2020 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-150315- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 415 Pm Edt Fri Aug 14 2020
Tonight..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east. Clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday night..East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. A chance of showers during the day, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms Monday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Mainly clear, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. The water temperature off rochester is 74 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near SUNY Oswego, NY
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location: 43.46, -76.53     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 150543 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 143 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2020

SYNOPSIS. Above average temperatures will continue this weekend, along with increasing humidity and shower chances. Passage of a cold front on Monday will mark a reprieve in temperature and thus expect below normal temperatures for much of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. To start off the weekend, an area of surface low pressure will deepen and track across Kentucky and West Virginia today. Meanwhile, high pressure will begin to drift northeast into the Canadian Maritimes, though the high will continue to span southwest into the eastern Great Lakes for much of the day. As a result, the region will become under a southerly flow regime which will aid moisture advection at 850 mb. Daytime heating along with an influx in moisture may produce a few showers and thunderstorms across the western portions of the state this afternoon. However, subsidence from the high pressure will dominate across the eastern portions of the state, thus keeping the North Country dry throughout the day.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. A pool of higher precipitable water currently resides over the Mid Atlantic. With southerly flow in place during Saturday night, this moisture source should have moved north into WNY with a continued chance of showers and thunderstorms, while CNY remains dry being closer to a departing upper level ridge to the NE along with its associated surface high pressure.

This of course means that an upper level trough and associated surface pressure is upstream and approaching the region. By Sunday, weak forcing will be overhead. This will only increase the probability of precipitation aided by midsummer daytime heating together with local mesoscale/lake boundaries.

As the above noted trough moves SE, a surface cold front should move across the region with a continued threat for convection Sunday night and again on Monday.

Both instability and shear are unimpressive throughout the weekend and into early next week, so severe concerns are low. However, any slow moving or training storms may result in locally heavy rain. Temperatures should be near normal with a slow decrease in both daytime highs and nighttime lows into early next week.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. A mid level trough axis will cross the eastern Great Lakes Tuesday in the wake of a cold front moving off the east coast. This will bring a cooler airmass into the eastern Great Lakes, with highs in the 70s on Tuesday. A few showers may linger east of Lake Ontario in upslope areas, otherwise the rest of the area will be mainly dry.

Weak high pressure will settle over the Ohio Valley and eastern Great Lakes Tuesday night through Wednesday night with dry weather. The cool/dry airmass will allow lows to drop into the 50s each night, with upper 40s possible in the cooler Southern Tier valleys and North Country. Highs Wednesday will reach the upper 70s to around 80 at lower elevations, and mid 70s across higher terrain.

Another mid level trough will pass to the north of the region Thursday, with the associated trailing cold front drifting southeast into the eastern Great Lakes. The bulk of the stronger large scale forcing will be found well north of the Canadian border, with a weak, moisture starved boundary crossing our region. With this in mind, kept the Thursday period mainly dry, with high pressure allowing dry weather to continue into Friday. Temperatures will begin to warm again later next week, with highs in the lower 80s.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. VFR conditions will persist overnight as high pressure dominates. There could be a brief period of light fog at KJHW around sunrise.

Clear skies will remain until cumulus develop this afternoon with widely scattered showers and thunderstorms too far apart to bother mentioning generally from KROC westward.

Outlook .

Tonight through Monday . Mainly VFR with a chance of showers. Tuesday through Wednesday . VFR.

MARINE. High pressure will drift to the northeast overnight. Meanwhile, low pressure will move through the Ohio Valley, leading to general northeast flow conditions. This is allowing for near small craft conditions on the nearshore waters of Lake Ontario.

Northeasterly winds of about 10 to 15 knots today veer to southerly tonight as high pressure exits to the east and a cold front approaches from the west.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . None. MARINE . None.



SYNOPSIS . EAJ/TMA NEAR TERM . EAJ/Fries/TMA SHORT TERM . HSK/Zaff LONG TERM . Hitchcock AVIATION . EAJ/Fries/TMA MARINE . EAJ/Fries/TMA


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 1 mi57 min SE 8.9 G 14 71°F 1016 hPa59°F
45135 - Prince Edward Pt 29 mi75 min ENE 18 G 19 73°F 75°F3 ft1016.2 hPa (-1.0)
45012 - Lake Ontario Buoy - 20NM North Northeast of Rochester, NY 47 mi45 min ENE 16 G 19 74°F 74°F1016 hPa68°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 58 mi135 min ENE 15 G 18 76°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 60 mi57 min 75°F 1016.3 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY10 mi21 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy68°F59°F73%1016.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFZY

Wind History from FZY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmNW3CalmCalmNE4N45N94N10N8N7N10N10N10N10NE8NE5NE3NE3CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3N4CalmNE733N8N7N6CalmCalmNE3CalmCalmNE3CalmCalm
2 days agoNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmSW44W4W6NW8W7N8N8NW7N5NW5N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.