Saturday, January23, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Warrensburg, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:16AMSunset 4:57PM Saturday January 23, 2021 3:53 AM EST (08:53 UTC) Moonrise 1:36PMMoonset 3:50AM Illumination 75% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Warrensburg, NY
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location: 43.54, -73.81     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 230822 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 322 AM EST Sat Jan 23 2021

SYNOPSIS. An arctic air mass will settle southward this weekend. This will keep temperatures below normal with a brisk northwesterly wind. Combination of chilly temperatures and winds will result in even colder wind chill values. High pressure builds in later this weekend and into the start of the new work and school week. We continue to monitor a storm developing across the center of the nation as this system tracks eastward through the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 330 AM EST . A couple of lake effect bands this early Saturday morning continue to drift southward as low level wind trajectories back in the wake of the arctic frontal boundary. In fact, per hires HRRR/NAM3km and HREF guidance, given the increase instability over Lake Ontario, occasional light lake effect snow showers will continue to impact southern portions of Herkimer County, into Schoharie and eastern Catskills today. Elsewhere, mountain clouds and valley breaks in the overcast will continue through the day. Brisk northwesterly winds are expected as mixing layer heights near 3k feet point toward 20+kt wind transfer to the surface. Under the mix of clouds and sunshine, high temperatures generally into the lower 20s for Hudson Valley locations with teens for most other areas . around 10F for the Dacks.

Tonight, given the combination of below normal temperatures and brisk northwesterly winds, wind chill impacts will become increasingly apparent. As H850 temperatures plunge back into the negative mid-teens under increasing subsidence and dry advection, temperatures overnight will be cold. Lows below zero across the Dacks to mid-teens for the mid-Hudson River Valley and southern Litchfield County. Wind chills below -20F across the Dacks where we will place Wind Chill Advisories, between -5F to -15F for most other locations overnight.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Sunday, ridge axis both at the surface and aloft approach. This should make for a tranquil end to the weekend but chilly under plenty of sunshine, with some increase in high clouds during the afternoon. Highs range from near 30F for the mid-Hudson Valley to mid-teens for the higher terrain.

These aforementioned clouds are associated with a weakening short wave as it approaches our ridge axis and confluence over the eastern conus. So some additional cloud coverage, partly cloudy, Sunday night with not as cold temperatures. Lows into the teens south of Albany with near zero across the Dacks. As winds are expected to be lighter in magnitude and some cloud coverage, this should preclude mention of wind chill headlines.

The ridge axis slides overhead Monday as surface high from eastern Canada extends its influence southward. This should result in a tranquil start to the work/school week with a return toward seasonable temperatures.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. A weakening area of low pressure will be moving from the Midwest towards the northern mid-Atlantic States for Monday night into Tuesday. As this occurs, another weak area of low pressure will be developing offshore the mid Atlantic Coast for Tuesday afternoon, before exiting offshore for Tuesday night.

With isentropic lift in place ahead of this storm system, some snow light may spread across our area for late Monday night into Tuesday. The best chance is mainly for areas south of the Capital Region and I-90. Models still don't agree totally on the northern extent of precip and exact amounts, but most guidance agrees that any amounts will be fairly light (sub-advisory levels), as limited moisture and surface high pressure just north of the area, will keep a dry, northerly flow in place over the area. Overnight lows will mainly be in the teens, with daytime temps generally in the 20s.

Behind this departing storm, continued cold and dry weather is expected for Tuesday night through the rest of the week. Another storm system is expected to pass across the mid Atlantic for Thursday into Thursday night, but most of the model and ensemble guidance keeps this storm well to the south of the region. Temps will be below normal, with highs only in the 20s and overnight lows in the single digits and teens.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. A secondary cold front is making its way across the region. There are a few light snow showers near KALB/KPSF, which may briefly allow for MVFR conditions over the next hour or two. Otherwise, this front will move through the region, allowing winds to shift from the west to the northwest by the late night hours. Outside of any brief snow showers, flying conditions will be VFR with bkn-ovc cigs of 4-6 kft. West winds around 10 kts will become northwest towards daybreak Saturday.

During the day on Saturday, flying conditions will be VFR. BKN cigs around 3500-5000 ft will gradually sct out by the late day hours. No additional snow showers are anticipated through the day Saturday behind the Arctic boundary. Northwest winds will increase to 10 to 20 kts within daytime mixing. Some gusts approaching 30 kts are possible, especially for KALB/KPSF. Winds may gradually start to diminish for Saturday night with clearing skies.

Outlook .

Sunday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Monday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SN. Tuesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SN. Tuesday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHSN. Wednesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

HYDROLOGY. No widespread hydrological issues are expected during the weekend and upcoming week. A few periods of light snow and lake effect snow are possible which will have little impact on the rivers.

Cold temperatures will persist through the middle of next week. Cold air will support river and lake ice development, especially this weekend.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . Wind Chill Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Sunday for NYZ032-033-042. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . BGM NEAR TERM . BGM SHORT TERM . BGM LONG TERM . Frugis AVIATION . Frugis HYDROLOGY . SND/BGM

www.weather.gov/albany


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Glens Falls, Floyd Bennett Memorial Airport, NY16 mi61 minNNW 1310.00 miOvercast24°F13°F62%1012.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KGFL

Wind History from GFL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW3CalmCalmNW3CalmS6S9S4S5N8W3NW3W4NW5W5W12W6W5W6W5W6W8W3N13
1 day agoS4CalmCalmCalmCalm34SW4CalmSW5SW5SW4SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmSW7SW11CalmS6SW5NW3Calm
2 days agoSW5S3CalmCalmCalmCalmW4NW10W6NW11
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Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
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Sat -- 12:36 AM EST     3.81 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:47 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 07:15 AM EST     0.08 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:17 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:37 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 01:11 PM EST     4.96 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:56 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 08:04 PM EST     0.31 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.73.83.32.41.81.30.60.10.41.52.83.94.654.743.22.51.80.80.30.71.72.6

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
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Sat -- 12:28 AM EST     3.81 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:47 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 07:05 AM EST     0.08 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:17 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:37 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 01:03 PM EST     4.96 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:57 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:54 PM EST     0.31 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.73.73.12.31.71.20.50.10.51.7344.754.73.93.12.41.60.70.30.91.92.7

Weather Map
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.