Friday, August23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Warrensburg, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:08AMSunset 7:47PM Friday August 23, 2019 8:02 AM EDT (12:02 UTC) Moonrise 11:58PMMoonset 1:57PM Illumination 46% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Warrensburg, NY
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location: 43.54, -73.81     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 231057
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
657 am edt Fri aug 23 2019

Synopsis
Cooler and less humid conditions are expected for today
into Saturday as high pressure builds into the region. A weak upper
level disturbance could bring a passing shower to portions of the
region Sunday, mainly across higher elevations, otherwise fair
conditions are expected.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
As of 615 am edt, spotty light rain showers sprinkles continue
to pass across the i-84 corridor in the mid hudson valley,
southern taconics and litchfield county ct. These should
continue across these areas intermittently through around 9 am
this morning.

Elsewhere, skies are generally clear to partly cloudy. Temps
have dropped into the mid upper 40s across portions of the sw
adirondacks and southern vt, with generally 50s to lower 60s
elsewhere, except for some mid upper 60s across some southeast
areas where clouds have lingered through the night.

We expect the light showers across southeast areas to shift
south and east of the region after 9 am, although could linger
a bit longer across southern litchfield county.

Otherwise, a mix of Sun and clouds for today, with high clouds
becoming more prevalent for areas from the i-88 i-90 corridors
south and east for this afternoon, as another mid level impulse
approaches from the west and backs the upper level flow for a
bit.

Also, some high-res models suggest an isolated shower or
sprinkle may occur across portions of the upper hudson valley
this afternoon, where some enhanced low level convergence and
moisture from lake champlain develop. Otherwise, mainly dry.

Max temps should reach 75-80 in valley areas, and upper 60s to
mid 70s elsewhere, coolest across higher elevations of the
southern adirondacks, green mountains and eastern catskills.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Sunday night
Tonight-Saturday, mainly clear sunny and cool. Expect low temps
tonight mainly in the 50s, except 40s across the southern
adirondacks southern vt and eastern catskills, with some upper
40s possible into the lake george region. Highs Saturday mainly
in the mid upper 70s for lower elevations, and mid 60s to lower
70s across higher terrain areas.

Saturday night-Sunday night, an upper level disturbance is
expected to pass across the region late Saturday night into
Sunday. In addition, some low level moisture is expected to
expand westward within a developing easterly low level flow from
off the new england coast. This should bring patchy clouds into
the region at times, and could also promote isolated showers,
especially across higher terrain areas of the berkshires,
catskills and litchfield hills on Sunday. If the upper level
disturbance tracks a bit farther south and west than currently
expected, shower coverage could be a bit more numerous and even
include valley areas from i-90 southward due to slightly better
placement of upper level dynamics across the region. Otherwise,
remaining cool with lows Saturday night mainly in the 50s, with
some 40s across the northern areas. Highs Sunday mainly in the
70s for lower elevations, and mid 60s to lower 70s across higher
terrain.

Long term Monday through Thursday
The extended forecast period begins with fair and tranquil weather,
but then a slow moving frontal boundary will bring unsettled weather
late Tuesday through the mid week.

High pressure will be over ny and new england on Monday. A cut-off
low will be slowly lifting northeast from maine into the canadian
maritimes. Fair and cool weather will continue from the weekend
with highs 70-75f in the lower elevations, and mid 60s to around 70f
over the hills and mountains. The sfc anticyclone slowly shifts
eastward Monday night with some high clouds increasing, as another
cool night is expected for late august with lows in the 50s with
some upper 40s over the southern adirondacks, and southern greens.

Tue-tue night... The mid-level ridge axis may hold on for one more
day, as some of the ensembles and 00z ECMWF shows this. However,
the 00z GFS has a warm front approach the region from the lower
great lakes region and oh valley. Increasing clouds and a slight
chance to low chance of showers will be possible during the daytime.

An isolated thunderstorm is possible west of the hudson river
valley. There is a better chance of showers Tue night, as the slow
moving cold front approaches. Highs will be similar to Monday, with
mid 60s to around 70f over the higher terrain, and lower to mid 70s
over the mtns.

Wed-thu... An digging upper trough will approach the region, as a
slow moving cold front will move through. The 00z GFS is faster
than the ECMWF on Wednesday. The 00z ECMWF moves the front through
wed night. The best low-level convergence will be along the frontal
axis with a chance of shower and isolated thunderstorms. Pwats
briefly increase to +1 to +2 stdevs above normal mid week. The
front swings east by Thu with mid and upper level cyclonic flow
persisting. Temps will trend above normal Wed and Thu with highs in
the 70s to lower 80s and lows in the 50s to lower 60s. Drier
weather looks to return late Thu pm into fri.

Aviation 12z Friday through Tuesday
A cold front will settle further south of long island and
southern new england today. An upper level disturbance will pass
through during the day with just some clouds, as high pressure
will build in tonight.

Some patchy ifr MVFR mist at kgfl will dissipate over the next
hour. Mid and high clouds will prevail prior to 15z at
kalb kpsf kpou.

Some diurnally timed scattered cumulus and sct-bkn cirrus will
persist in the late morning into the afternoon at
kgfl kalb kpou kpsf with the upper trough axis moving through
the region.

The skies will become clear by 00z Sat with high pressure
building in. Some patchy ifr shallow radiative mist fog is
possible at kgfl after 06z.

The winds will increase from the northwest to north at 5-10 kts
by the afternoon, and then become light to calm early this
evening.

Outlook...

sat night to Mon night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Tuesday: low operational impact. Slight chance of shra.

Fire weather
Cooler and less humid conditions are expected for today
into Saturday as high pressure builds into the region. A weak upper
level disturbance could bring a passing shower to portions of the
region Sunday, mainly across higher elevations, otherwise fair
conditions are expected.

Rh values will decrease to minimum values of around 40 to 50
percent this afternoon and again Saturday afternoon, and
increase to around 80 to 100 percent tonight with areas of dew
formation likely.

Winds will be from the north to northwest at 5 to 15 mph today,
decreasing to 5 mph or less tonight. On Saturday, winds will be
from the north to northeast at 5 to 15 mph.

Hydrology
Some light rain showers will be possible this morning across the
mid hudson valley and northwest connecticut. Otherwise, dry
conditions are expected Friday through Saturday night. Isolated
showers are possible Sunday mainly for higher elevations as an
upper level disturbance passes across the region.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed
and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the
advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs on our website.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Iaa kl jpv
near term... Kl
short term... Kl
long term... Wasula
aviation... Wasula
fire weather... Kl jpv
hydrology... Kl jpv


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45188 43 mi63 min 71°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Glens Falls, Floyd Bennett Memorial Airport, NY16 mi70 minN 010.00 miFair51°F48°F92%1015.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KGFL

Wind History from GFL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7S64--SW8
G15
SW9W8SW73SW5SW5SW6W4------Calm--Calm--CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day ago----N4CalmE3NE4N6--NE4N4CalmCalmS3S3--S5S6--S6Calm----S4S4
2 days agoW3--SE4S4SE655S9----S5CalmCalm----Calm----------CalmS3SW4

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
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Fri -- 06:09 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:13 AM EDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:58 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Fri -- 11:12 AM EDT     3.87 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:54 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:20 PM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:56 PM EDT     4.71 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.43.52.41.71.20.80.40.71.72.93.63.93.73.121.10.60.3-00.11.22.73.94.5

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Fri -- 06:03 AM EDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:09 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:58 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Fri -- 11:04 AM EDT     3.87 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:54 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:10 PM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:48 PM EDT     4.71 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.33.42.31.61.20.70.40.81.933.73.93.731.910.50.2-0.10.21.42.944.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.