Tuesday, January26, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Pulaski, NY

Version 3.4
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1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:25AMSunset 5:11PM Tuesday January 26, 2021 7:59 PM EST (00:59 UTC) Moonrise 2:54PMMoonset 6:02AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ045 Expires:202101261615;;519099 Fzus51 Kbuf 261243 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 743 Am Est Tue Jan 26 2021 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz044-045-261615- Sodus Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 743 Am Est Tue Jan 26 2021
Today..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Snow from late morning on. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Snow. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..Northwest winds increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves building to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Friday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Saturday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
LOZ045


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pulaski, NY
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location: 43.57, -76.19     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 262335 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 635 PM EST Tue Jan 26 2021

SYNOPSIS. A weak area of low pressure will pass over our region this evening. This will result in steady accumulating snow east of Lake Ontario with areas of snow and freezing drizzle over the western counties. As the system exits tonight, colder air will change leftover mixed precipitation to snow. The pattern turns colder for the rest of the week and into the weekend with chances for a little lake effect snow.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. Following 3-hr surface pressure falls, expect weak surface low pressure just south of Buffalo to track eastward this evening. At 5 p.m. precipitation north of I-90 from Buffalo to Syracuse was all (or mostly) snow, with precipitation also changing to snow just behind the surface low in far Western New York. Meanwhile, there's still areas of freezing drizzle across the Western Southern Tier and most of the Genesee River Valley. Based on this, have extended the Winter Weather Advisory for the Western Southern Tier a few hours (until 10 p.m.) to account for the lingering freezing drizzle.

Otherwise, steady snow will continue east of Lake Ontario this evening, with an additional 1-3 inches expected there. There also will be a burst of an inch or so of snow across the Niagara Frontier late this evening just after the surface low passes by and winds shift to the northwest.

Otherwise, steady snow will taper to snow showers, with some upslope enhancement across the Chautauqua Ridge in the northwesterly flow late tonight.

On Wednesday . northerly flow of cold moist air will upslope and maintain plenty of low clouds. A cap around 5kft though will limit lake snow accumulations.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. Arctic front slips through Thursday with H850T falling to -18/-20C over the course of the day. With ongoing CAA and support from a mid- level shortwave dropping southeast through the NW'erly flow, scattered lake effect snow showers will then become more numerous with some accumulating snows Thursday night. Shortwave trough departs to our southeast and then out to sea on Friday. Subsidence in its wake and a drier air mass filtering in will then limit lake effect snows Friday with diminishing returns. Lake snows finally wrap up Friday night with sfc high pressure build southeast into the Lower Lakes overnight.

Otherwise, cold both days with highs anticipated in the teens Thursday areawide. A bit colder Friday with single digits expected across the North Country, teens elsewhere.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Light lake effect snow will continue Saturday morning with temperatures at 850 hPa in the negative teens. Northerly flow will favor areas along the southern Lake Ontario shoreline . with perhaps a few flurries early southeast of Lake Erie before surface high pressure and a drier airmass crosses into our region. The light winds will restrict any accumulations closer to the shorelines.

The 12Z GFS, and the better half of their ensemble members continue to not be as strong with this surface high pressure when compared to the 12Z deterministic of the ECMWF and Canadian. Will favor the stronger surface high pressure with this forecast package . which will delay the approaching mid level trough and surface low and its associated precipitation until Sunday night and Monday.

The slower arrival of this trough will allow for another chilly night Saturday night with temperatures east of Lake Ontario dropping well below 0F and single digit lows common across WNY.

It will not be as cold Monday and Tuesday of next week with ample cloud cover around.

AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Variable conditions through 06Z with mainly snow but some freezing drizzle possible through 03Z or so. Precipitation will be all snow at KART which will be well north of the track of the surface low. Expect mainly IFR in low cigs and snow, with local LIFR just behind the surface low, and in steadier snow and low cigs tonight.

Wednesday will start of with a mix of IFR/MVFR conditions, but snow will taper off and cigs will lift leaving mainly MVFR flight conditions by Wednesday afternoon.

Outlook .

Thursday . MVFR/VFR with a chance of snow showers. Friday . MVFR conditions with the likelihood of lake snow showers. Saturday . Mainly VFR but MVFR possible early in Rochester. Sunday . VFR.

MARINE. Low pressure will move northeast from the Ohio Valley and weaken as it moves across Western New York through tonight. High pressure remaining to the north of the Great Lakes will result in a period of stronger east-northeast winds on the lakes, which requires small craft headlines most of Lake Ontario. Latest update extended the headlines to include all of the south shores as outlined below.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . Winter Weather Advisory until 6 AM EST Wednesday for NYZ005>008. Winter Weather Advisory until 1 AM EST Wednesday for NYZ001>004-010-011-014. Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for NYZ012-013-019>021-085. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Wednesday for LOZ042-043. Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 10 AM EST Wednesday for LOZ044.



SYNOPSIS . RSH/Apffel NEAR TERM . Apffel/RSH SHORT TERM . AR LONG TERM . Thomas AVIATION . Apffel/RSH MARINE . Apffel/RSH/TMA


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 19 mi300 min SE 7 G 15 26°F 1009 hPa (-2.8)24°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 78 mi300 min E 16 G 18 28°F 1007.5 hPa (-2.3)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 79 mi300 min 29°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY18 mi66 minESE 7 G 180.75 miLight Snow Fog/Mist26°F23°F88%1008.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFZY

Wind History from FZY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalm--CalmE3E6E5E4E4E3SE546E6SE8
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE4SE4SE3SE4SE3S3CalmSE5SE43CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoNW9NW10NW10
G19
NW8NW6NW8NW6NW8NW5NW3N4E5CalmCalmS3CalmNW7NW11NW6N6NW6NW5W4S3

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.