Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Auburn, MI

SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM
(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 354 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Persistence is the name of the game. The forecast has very minimal changes over the next week as the overall large scale synoptic pattern remains fairly unchanged. Every day will consist of warm and moist days with diurnally driven convection, generally forced around the sea breeze. Coverage is expected to not be as widespread as we've seen the last few days as mid-level dry air from large scale subsidence acts to limit convection. However, this could also lead to gusty winds around any thunderstorms that manage to push through the dry air. Once we get into the end of the week, a quick moving shortwave looks to move across eastern CONUS possibly enhancing PoPs on Thursday and Friday. Beyond Friday the models diverge with the Euro depicting a building ridge over eastern CONUS while the GFS has a deep trough just off the Atlantic Coastline. The latter would put the region under prevailing northwest flow with the potential to see several MCSs. We'll have to wait a few days to get some clarity on what the pattern will end up being, so be sure to check back for updates.

Expect daytime highs generally in the 90s with overnight lows generally in the 70s.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 631 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Isolated SHRA/TSRA continue this morning invof ECP, TLH, and VLD.
These continue to move NE, but aren't long lasting. Meanwhile, MVFR/IFR cigs remain away from DHN and ABY, but they could still sneak in from the NW during the next couple hours. More widespread TSRA is expected late this morning near ECP and TLH, then spread inland to VLD, DHN, and ABY this afternoon and evening. Timed this out with prevailing VCTS and TEMPO for greatest chance of TSRA.
VFR conditions are expected outside of TSRA. Late tonight, another round of isolated TSRA is possible at ECP and TLH, so have introduced PROB30s for both sites.

MARINE
Issued at 354 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Gentle southerly breezes will prevail through next Wednesday, as the strong subtropical high remains anchored south of Bermuda.
Showers and thunderstorms will be the main threats to mariners, including strong wind gusts, lightning and waterspouts.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 354 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Continued daily rounds of showers and thunderstorms remain in the forecast through the next several days. Near and within thunderstorms, frequent lightning and gusty, erratic winds will be possible. Outside of storms, south to southwest transport winds around 10 mph continue each day with generally good dispersions.

HYDROLOGY
Issued at 354 AM EDT Sat Jun 14 2025

Hydrology concerns over the next 7 days will consist of localized nuisance runoff issues and isolated flash flooding.

A typical pattern of summer thunderstorms will persist for the next week. Beneath the core of stronger thunderstorms, intense rainfall rates have potential for localized runoff issues, especially in urban and poor drainage areas. With torrential rain rates, storms that linger over the same area for too long would bring isolated flash flooding.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 87 74 90 73 / 80 30 80 20 Panama City 88 78 89 77 / 70 30 70 40 Dothan 89 74 90 72 / 70 30 70 20 Albany 89 73 91 72 / 80 30 70 30 Valdosta 89 74 91 73 / 70 30 70 20 Cross City 90 72 91 72 / 70 50 70 30 Apalachicola 86 78 87 77 / 70 50 70 40

TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.