Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Auburn, MI
December 10, 2023 6:55 PM EST (23:55 UTC)
Sunrise 7:56AM Sunset 5:00PM Moonrise 5:30AM Moonset 3:09PM
GMZ730 Apalachee Bay Or Coastal Waters From Keaton Beach To Ochlockonee River Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Suwannee River To Keaton Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 431 Pm Est Sun Dec 10 2023
.gale warning in effect until 1 am est Monday...
.small craft advisory in effect from 1 am est Monday through Monday afternoon...
Tonight..Northwest winds 25 to 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots, diminishing to 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters very rough. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms early this evening, then a chance of showers late this evening.
Monday..North winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period of 7 seconds, subsiding to 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 7 seconds in the afternoon. Protected waters rough.
Monday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming northeast 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters choppy.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters choppy.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters rough.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters rough.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters rough.
Thursday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters rough.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 25 to 30 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters very rough. A slight chance of rain.
Friday..Northeast winds 25 to 30 knots, diminishing to 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters very rough. A chance of showers.
Friday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Protected waters rough. A chance of showers.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
.gale warning in effect until 1 am est Monday...
.small craft advisory in effect from 1 am est Monday through Monday afternoon...
Tonight..Northwest winds 25 to 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots, diminishing to 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters very rough. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms early this evening, then a chance of showers late this evening.
Monday..North winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period of 7 seconds, subsiding to 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 7 seconds in the afternoon. Protected waters rough.
Monday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming northeast 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters choppy.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with a dominant period of 4 seconds. Protected waters choppy.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters rough.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters rough.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 35 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters rough.
Thursday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period of 5 seconds. Protected waters rough.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 25 to 30 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters very rough. A slight chance of rain.
Friday..Northeast winds 25 to 30 knots, diminishing to 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period of 6 seconds. Protected waters very rough. A chance of showers.
Friday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Protected waters rough. A chance of showers.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 431 Pm Est Sun Dec 10 2023
Synopsis..
a strong cold front will blast across the northeast gulf waters through early this evening, followed by gale-force northerlies. Winds will start to decrease late tonight. A strong high pressure center over the lower mississippi valley on Monday will pass across the southeast states on Tuesday, causing winds to clock around through the northeast and east. Very strong high pressure will bridge south from the ohio valley from Wednesday through Friday, with the northeast gulf experiencing near-gale or possibly gale-force easterlies on its southern periphery around Friday.
Synopsis..
a strong cold front will blast across the northeast gulf waters through early this evening, followed by gale-force northerlies. Winds will start to decrease late tonight. A strong high pressure center over the lower mississippi valley on Monday will pass across the southeast states on Tuesday, causing winds to clock around through the northeast and east. Very strong high pressure will bridge south from the ohio valley from Wednesday through Friday, with the northeast gulf experiencing near-gale or possibly gale-force easterlies on its southern periphery around Friday.
Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
(on/off) HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KTAE 102323 AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 623 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
New AVIATION
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 337 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
A strong cold front will blast across the region through early this evening, followed by a sudden turn to drier and blustery conditions tonight. High pressure will persist north of the region all week, keeping seasonably cool and dry conditions in place through Thursday. Low pressure will start to develop over the southern and eastern Gulf late this week, bringing the possibility of our next round of wet weather over the course of next weekend.
NEAR TERM
(Through Monday)
Issued at 337 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
Showers and thunderstorms will continue through the eastern half of our region for the rest of this afternoon into the evening. The severe threat has diminished, and stratiform rain and thunder is all that remains. A strong cold front will follow immediately behind the squall line, shifting winds to the northwest. The winds will be breezy around 15-25 mph and gusting up to 35 mph at times. Dew points will fall into the 30s overnight as the dry air rushes in and actual temperatures will follow suite expecting mid-30s area wide by daybreak Monday. The cold air will remain as we struggle to make it to the upper 50s in the afternoon, but at least it will be sunny. The gusty winds will calm overnight tonight and become more northerly during the day at around 10 mph.
SHORT TERM
(Monday night through Tuesday night)
Issued at 337 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
Surface high pressure will move from the Lower Mississippi Valley on Monday across the Southeast States on Tuesday. The air mass will be cool, dry and stable. After a frosty start to the day on Tuesday, surface winds will clock around northeasterly and easterly on Monday night and Tuesday, bringing a slow moderating trend.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 337 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
A very strong surface high over the Ohio Valley will bridge south across the region on Wednesday, reinforcing and strengthening the northeast and easterly low-level flow. The air mass will remain dry.
A strong subtropical jet stream will cut east across Mexico on Thursday, with favorable coupling of two separate jet streaks for low pressure development in the southern and then eastern Gulf on Friday and Saturday. There are differences among guidance members in how far north the rain shield will extend, which would ultimately affect how soon and how far north rain will spread into our service area.
Disagreement grows next Sunday in how to handle the eastern Gulf low. Recent consensus has been to move the low across the FL Peninsula next Sunday, though there is plenty of guidance that holds off until beyond the Day 7 forecast. This will affect how soon our rain chances will taper off.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 618 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
Gusty northwest winds are starting to overtake much of the area this evening, with the main cold front just pushing through the ABY and TLH regions within the last hour. The passage of the cold front should start to scour out any remaining MVFR to LIFR CIGs that are still being observed at TLH, ABY, and VLD this hour. ECP and DHN have both lifted restrictions to VFR levels, which is expected to linger through the remainder of the TAF period as surface high pressure settles into the region overnight tonight in the wake of the cold front. In the immediate passage of the cold front, expect gusty winds around 30-40 mph to persist for 1-3 hours at all sites. Winds should start to calm down across the area in the 1-3 AM EST timeframe.
MARINE
Issued at 337 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
A strong cold front will blast across the northeast Gulf waters through early this evening, followed by gale-force northerlies.
Winds will start to decrease late tonight. A strong high pressure center over the Lower Mississippi Valley on Monday will pass across the Southeast States on Tuesday, causing winds to clock around through the northeast and east. Very strong high pressure will bridge south from the Ohio Valley from Wednesday through Friday, with the northeast Gulf experiencing near-gale or possibly gale-force easterlies on its southern periphery around Friday.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 337 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
A strong cold front will make its way across the districts through this evening. Gusty northwest winds will follow the front tonight, decreasing on Monday. Dispersions will be low around 20-30 units for the next few afternoons. Given the rain today and rainfall from last week, there are no fire weather concerns for the next few days.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 337 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
1 to 3 inches of rain fell today across a large portion of the Florida Big Bend, with local amounts of 4 to 5 inches over Liberty and inland Gulf Counties. Coastal rivers were already running high from the heavy rain of a week ago, so this new round of rain will keep coastal rivers running high from Panama City all the way around through Taylor County. It is possible that a river or two could touch minor flood stage. The Saint Marks, Aucilla, Econfina, and Fenholloway and the leading candidates for touching flood stage again.
Otherwise, dry weather is coming up from tonight through at least Thursday. The next round of rain is forecast starting around Friday, possibly persisting into next weekend. There is a wide range of possible outcomes for how much rain may fall, so it will be worth checking back in a few days. Coastal rivers will still be running high as we head into the next rain event 5-7 days out.
Outside of riverine concerns, no new flash flooding is expected through at least Thursday night.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 37 56 35 61 / 20 0 0 0 Panama City 38 58 39 61 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 34 54 33 59 / 10 0 0 0 Albany 34 54 32 58 / 40 0 0 0 Valdosta 36 55 34 61 / 70 0 0 0 Cross City 37 59 35 66 / 80 0 0 0 Apalachicola 39 58 41 61 / 10 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 5 AM EST /4 AM CST/ Monday for FLZ108-115.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM CST this evening for FLZ108.
Wind Advisory until 11 PM EST /10 PM CST/ this evening for FLZ108-112-114-115-128-134.
High Rip Current Risk through Monday afternoon for FLZ112-114.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Gale Warning until 1 AM EST /midnight CST/ Monday for GMZ730-750- 752-755-765-770-772-775.
Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM EST /midnight CST/ to 1 PM EST /noon CST/ Monday for GMZ730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 623 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
New AVIATION
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 337 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
A strong cold front will blast across the region through early this evening, followed by a sudden turn to drier and blustery conditions tonight. High pressure will persist north of the region all week, keeping seasonably cool and dry conditions in place through Thursday. Low pressure will start to develop over the southern and eastern Gulf late this week, bringing the possibility of our next round of wet weather over the course of next weekend.
NEAR TERM
(Through Monday)
Issued at 337 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
Showers and thunderstorms will continue through the eastern half of our region for the rest of this afternoon into the evening. The severe threat has diminished, and stratiform rain and thunder is all that remains. A strong cold front will follow immediately behind the squall line, shifting winds to the northwest. The winds will be breezy around 15-25 mph and gusting up to 35 mph at times. Dew points will fall into the 30s overnight as the dry air rushes in and actual temperatures will follow suite expecting mid-30s area wide by daybreak Monday. The cold air will remain as we struggle to make it to the upper 50s in the afternoon, but at least it will be sunny. The gusty winds will calm overnight tonight and become more northerly during the day at around 10 mph.
SHORT TERM
(Monday night through Tuesday night)
Issued at 337 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
Surface high pressure will move from the Lower Mississippi Valley on Monday across the Southeast States on Tuesday. The air mass will be cool, dry and stable. After a frosty start to the day on Tuesday, surface winds will clock around northeasterly and easterly on Monday night and Tuesday, bringing a slow moderating trend.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 337 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
A very strong surface high over the Ohio Valley will bridge south across the region on Wednesday, reinforcing and strengthening the northeast and easterly low-level flow. The air mass will remain dry.
A strong subtropical jet stream will cut east across Mexico on Thursday, with favorable coupling of two separate jet streaks for low pressure development in the southern and then eastern Gulf on Friday and Saturday. There are differences among guidance members in how far north the rain shield will extend, which would ultimately affect how soon and how far north rain will spread into our service area.
Disagreement grows next Sunday in how to handle the eastern Gulf low. Recent consensus has been to move the low across the FL Peninsula next Sunday, though there is plenty of guidance that holds off until beyond the Day 7 forecast. This will affect how soon our rain chances will taper off.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 618 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
Gusty northwest winds are starting to overtake much of the area this evening, with the main cold front just pushing through the ABY and TLH regions within the last hour. The passage of the cold front should start to scour out any remaining MVFR to LIFR CIGs that are still being observed at TLH, ABY, and VLD this hour. ECP and DHN have both lifted restrictions to VFR levels, which is expected to linger through the remainder of the TAF period as surface high pressure settles into the region overnight tonight in the wake of the cold front. In the immediate passage of the cold front, expect gusty winds around 30-40 mph to persist for 1-3 hours at all sites. Winds should start to calm down across the area in the 1-3 AM EST timeframe.
MARINE
Issued at 337 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
A strong cold front will blast across the northeast Gulf waters through early this evening, followed by gale-force northerlies.
Winds will start to decrease late tonight. A strong high pressure center over the Lower Mississippi Valley on Monday will pass across the Southeast States on Tuesday, causing winds to clock around through the northeast and east. Very strong high pressure will bridge south from the Ohio Valley from Wednesday through Friday, with the northeast Gulf experiencing near-gale or possibly gale-force easterlies on its southern periphery around Friday.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 337 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
A strong cold front will make its way across the districts through this evening. Gusty northwest winds will follow the front tonight, decreasing on Monday. Dispersions will be low around 20-30 units for the next few afternoons. Given the rain today and rainfall from last week, there are no fire weather concerns for the next few days.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 337 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2023
1 to 3 inches of rain fell today across a large portion of the Florida Big Bend, with local amounts of 4 to 5 inches over Liberty and inland Gulf Counties. Coastal rivers were already running high from the heavy rain of a week ago, so this new round of rain will keep coastal rivers running high from Panama City all the way around through Taylor County. It is possible that a river or two could touch minor flood stage. The Saint Marks, Aucilla, Econfina, and Fenholloway and the leading candidates for touching flood stage again.
Otherwise, dry weather is coming up from tonight through at least Thursday. The next round of rain is forecast starting around Friday, possibly persisting into next weekend. There is a wide range of possible outcomes for how much rain may fall, so it will be worth checking back in a few days. Coastal rivers will still be running high as we head into the next rain event 5-7 days out.
Outside of riverine concerns, no new flash flooding is expected through at least Thursday night.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 37 56 35 61 / 20 0 0 0 Panama City 38 58 39 61 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 34 54 33 59 / 10 0 0 0 Albany 34 54 32 58 / 40 0 0 0 Valdosta 36 55 34 61 / 70 0 0 0 Cross City 37 59 35 66 / 80 0 0 0 Apalachicola 39 58 41 61 / 10 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 5 AM EST /4 AM CST/ Monday for FLZ108-115.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM CST this evening for FLZ108.
Wind Advisory until 11 PM EST /10 PM CST/ this evening for FLZ108-112-114-115-128-134.
High Rip Current Risk through Monday afternoon for FLZ112-114.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Gale Warning until 1 AM EST /midnight CST/ Monday for GMZ730-750- 752-755-765-770-772-775.
Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM EST /midnight CST/ to 1 PM EST /noon CST/ Monday for GMZ730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL | 15 mi | 121 min | S 14G | 65°F | 29.76 | 64°F | ||
| APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL | 51 mi | 55 min | W 11 | 67°F | 29.83 | 66°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KMBS MBS INTL,MI | 5 sm | 62 min | NW 12 | 10 sm | Overcast | 37°F | 27°F | 65% | 29.95 | |
| KHYX SAGINAW COUNTY H W BROWNE,MI | 13 sm | 60 min | NNW 10 | 10 sm | Overcast | Lt Rain | 36°F | 28°F | 75% | 29.94 |
| KIKW JACK BARSTOW,MI | 15 sm | 60 min | NNW 05 | 10 sm | Overcast | 36°F | 27°F | 69% | 29.96 |
Wind History from 40J
(wind in knots)Aucilla River entrance
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:58 AM EST Moonrise
Sun -- 06:26 AM EST -0.36 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:21 AM EST Sunrise
Sun -- 01:00 PM EST 2.80 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:43 PM EST Moonset
Sun -- 05:36 PM EST Sunset
Sun -- 06:07 PM EST 1.34 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:51 PM EST 2.99 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:58 AM EST Moonrise
Sun -- 06:26 AM EST -0.36 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:21 AM EST Sunrise
Sun -- 01:00 PM EST 2.80 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:43 PM EST Moonset
Sun -- 05:36 PM EST Sunset
Sun -- 06:07 PM EST 1.34 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:51 PM EST 2.99 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Aucilla River entrance, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 2.8 |
| 1 am |
| 2.5 |
| 2 am |
| 1.9 |
| 3 am |
| 1.3 |
| 4 am |
| 0.6 |
| 5 am |
| -0 |
| 6 am |
| -0.3 |
| 7 am |
| -0.3 |
| 8 am |
| 0.1 |
| 9 am |
| 0.7 |
| 10 am |
| 1.4 |
| 11 am |
| 2.2 |
| 12 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 9 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.9 |
St. Marks River Entrance
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:58 AM EST Moonrise
Sun -- 06:21 AM EST -0.40 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:21 AM EST Sunrise
Sun -- 12:57 PM EST 3.02 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:44 PM EST Moonset
Sun -- 05:37 PM EST Sunset
Sun -- 06:02 PM EST 1.45 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:48 PM EST 3.22 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:58 AM EST Moonrise
Sun -- 06:21 AM EST -0.40 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:21 AM EST Sunrise
Sun -- 12:57 PM EST 3.02 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:44 PM EST Moonset
Sun -- 05:37 PM EST Sunset
Sun -- 06:02 PM EST 1.45 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:48 PM EST 3.22 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
St. Marks River Entrance, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3 |
| 1 am |
| 2.7 |
| 2 am |
| 2.1 |
| 3 am |
| 1.3 |
| 4 am |
| 0.5 |
| 5 am |
| -0.1 |
| 6 am |
| -0.4 |
| 7 am |
| -0.3 |
| 8 am |
| 0.1 |
| 9 am |
| 0.8 |
| 10 am |
| 1.6 |
| 11 am |
| 2.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 1 pm |
| 3 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 2 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 9 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.1 |
Tallahassee, FL,
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