Wednesday, August5, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Youngs, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:11AMSunset 8:37PM Wednesday August 5, 2020 9:08 AM EDT (13:08 UTC) Moonrise 9:05PMMoonset 6:58AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ030 Lower Niagara River- 531 Am Edt Wed Aug 5 2020
Today..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny.
Tonight..West winds around 10 knots becoming light and variable. Mainly clear.
Thursday..Light and variable winds. Sunny.
Thursday night..Light and variable winds. Mainly clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy.
Friday..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light and variable. Becoming mainly clear.
Saturday..Light and variable winds. Mainly clear.
Sunday..South winds 10 knots or less. A chance of showers Sunday night.
LOZ030 Expires:202008051530;;964470 FZUS51 KBUF 050931 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 531 AM EDT Wed Aug 5 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ030-051530-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Youngs, NY
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location: 43.61, -79.46     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 051205 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 805 AM EDT Wed Aug 5 2020

SYNOPSIS. Showers will linger downwind of both lakes through around midday, before an expansive area of high pressure over the upper Mississippi Valley gradually builds across the lower Great Lakes later today and tonight. This will provide us with mainly fair dry weather for much of the rest of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. The primary upper low will settle across Quebec this afternoon. Cyclonic flow aloft associated with the upper low will combine with lake enhancement to aid a west/southwest upslope flow (850Ts in the upper single digits C) to produce some showers downwind of both lakes through around midday. The more robust activity by far will be east of Lake Ontario during this time (most prevalent over the terrain), with mainly dry conditions elsewhere. By this afternoon, all areas will trend drier as sfc high pressure builds in from the southwest. High temps today will be below average, a rarity for this summer season so far. Readings will be mainly in the low to mid 70s. In fact, some areas across the interior higher terrain will likely only top out in the upper 60s. These cooler temps along with dew points in the mid 50s and a brisk westerly breeze will make it feel very refreshing outside.

Cool temps aloft persist tonight with 850Ts down to 7 to 8C, yielding delta t's across the waters of 15C on Lake Ontario and 18C on Lake Erie. Large scale subsidence and drying does not leave much synoptic moisture around, but given the over-water instability think a few convergent bands (enhanced 900-850mb moisture plume) off Lake Ontario will occur. Kept just a small chance of showers in through the overnight. Lows on tonight will be cool as we have seen in quite a while with readings over the typical cool spots possibly into the upper 40s while elsewhere temps will fall into the 50s.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. Surface high pressure under broad upper troughing will support dry, but cooler temperatures into Thursday night.

A glancing shot of precipitation expected Friday, primarily during the afternoon along the Southern Tier, as a southern stream wave interacts with a stalled boundary draped across the Mid Atlantic region.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Aside from a diurnally driven shower or storm Saturday or Sunday afternoon/early evening across the Finger Lakes and Southern Tier, weak ridging should provide mainly dry weather for the majority of the weekend. A moist southwesterly flow will develop on Monday and continue into Tuesday as high pressure slides east of the area, while an upper level trough over the upper Great Lakes approaches the region. Increasing low level moisture and lowering heights aloft combined with diurnal heating will bring the next better chance for some showers and storms to start the work week.

Near normal temperatures to start the period will trend above average by the weekend into the start of next week, along with a noticeable uptick in humidity as we progress through the period.

AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Showers will persist downwind of both lakes through around midday, with better coverage by far east of Lake Ontario. Expect areas of intermittent MVFR ceilings (isolated IFR) across the Southern Tier and east of Lake Ontario through the morning hours.

Drier air associated with high pressure over the lower Ohio Valley will continue to advect across the area through the afternoon, allowing residual MVFR/IFR ceilings to improve to VFR by early afternoon. Widespread VFR conditions are then expected from this afternoon through the remainder of the TAF period.

Outlook .

Thursday through Sunday . VFR.

MARINE. West winds will be in the increase today in the wake of a cold front that crossed the lower Great Lakes. Winds will be strongest on Lake Ontario where various Small Craft Advisories are in effect through today across the western half of the lake, and until late this evening for the eastern and southeastern shores.

Waterspouts will be possible behind the cold front today through Thursday with cooling temperatures. The period for best waterspout potential would be later today into Thursday morning with cold temperatures aloft and winds becoming light enough to favor developing low-level convergence zones where waterspouts typically form.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for NYZ005>007. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EDT this afternoon for LOZ043. Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT today for LOZ042. Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Thursday for LOZ044- 045.



SYNOPSIS . JM/RSH NEAR TERM . JLA/JM/RSH SHORT TERM . TMA LONG TERM . HSK/JM AVIATION . JM MARINE . JLA/JM/RSH


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45139 - West Lake Ontario - Grimsby 25 mi68 min W 14 G 16 64°F 64°F1 ft1016.6 hPa (+2.0)
45159 - NW Lake Ontario Ajax 28 mi68 min W 18 G 21 64°F 69°F2 ft1015 hPa (+2.5)
OLCN6 - Olcott Harbor, NY 43 mi68 min W 19 G 21 64°F 1016.6 hPa (+2.4)
NIAN6 - 9063012 - Niagara Intake, NY 44 mi50 min 63°F 1017.4 hPa

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Niagara Falls, Niagara Falls International Airport, NY44 mi75 minW 910.00 miFair61°F55°F84%1016.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KIAG

Wind History from IAG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4N3NE5NW6N9N8NW106W6SW8S5N6SW6SW5W5W9W7W9W10W10W10W8W9W12
1 day agoW7S8SW8SW7SW7SW8S6S10S8S9NW5E4E5SE4CalmCalmCalmNE4E3SE3CalmE3NE3Calm
2 days agoS9SW16
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W8W10W7W4SW5SW5SW4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.