Thursday, June4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Sandy Creek, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:24AMSunset 8:44PM Thursday June 4, 2020 10:21 PM EDT (02:21 UTC) Moonrise 6:34PMMoonset 3:40AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ045 Mexico Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 1001 Am Edt Thu Jun 4 2020
This afternoon..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly to mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..South winds less than 10 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday night..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming north. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet, then subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..North winds 10 knots or less. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..North winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Mainly clear, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LOZ045 Expires:202006042115;;742863 FZUS51 KBUF 041401 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1001 AM EDT Thu Jun 4 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ045-042115-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sandy Creek, NY
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location: 43.65, -76.21     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 050007 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 807 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2020

SYNOPSIS. Weak high pressure will generally support fair weather through much of Friday before, a cold front passes through late Friday and Friday night allowing for some unsettled weather. Fair weather will return during the weekend and remain through the first half of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/. While there may be a leftover shower across the Southern Tier early this evening . weak high pressure should provide us with fair dry weather tonight.

A surface cold front will be located over the western/central Great Lakes by the start of Friday and will make its way east throughout the day. That said, most of Friday will be warm and fair with the occasional scatter shower/thunderstorm forming along the lake breeze boundaries Friday afternoon. Highs on Friday will climb up into the upper 70s and low 80s, with the cooler places being located along the Southern Tier as they will be socked in with cloud cover from the stationary front overhead.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. As a cold front approaches and crosses the region Friday night we can expect widespread showers and thunderstorms. However the threat of severe storms should remain low. Look for temps falling to the upper 50s to low 60s.

The region remains under the cool northwest flow Saturday and Saturday night with the change of a shower lingering across the north country through Saturday. The showers and clouds will diminish Saturday night as surface high pressure builds eastward across the Great Lakes region. It will be cooler Saturday night with overnight lows dropping back into the lower 50s . to inland mid/upper 40s.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. High pressure builds across the lower Great Lakes Sunday through Tuesday. In the wake of the high, a southerly flow of warmer air overspreads the region. With 850 hPa temperatures approaching 20C daytime highs Tuesday and Wednesday will reach well into the 80s. Increasing moisture (including tropical remnants) bring an increasing threat for showers beginning Wednesday afternoon through Thursday.

AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. While there could be a shower over the Southern Tier this evening . VFR conditions can be expected through at least the first half of tonight. Cigs may lower to MVFR to IFR levels across the Southern Tier late tonight.

Thunderstorm activity will become a little more widespread on Friday . although lake shadows will help to keep convection to a minimum for all of the TAf sites but KJHW. Otherwise VFR flight rules will prevail.

Outlook .

Friday night . VFR to MVFR with more widespread thunderstorms. Saturday . Mainly VFR. A few showers possible. Sunday through Tuesday . VFR.

MARINE. Weak high pressure over the Lower Great Lakes will maintain gentle to occasional moderate breezes through Friday.

A cold front will cross the Lower Great Lakes Friday night . and while winds and waves will remain well below SCA criteria . there will be a higher risk for thunderstorm activity.

Winds will freshen somewhat in the wake of the front late Friday night and Saturday. Somewhat choppy conditions will then will be possible over the eastern half of Lake Ontario Saturday afternoon and evening . although conditions are forecast to remain below SCA criteria.

Winds and waves will lower again within a northerly flow Saturday night and Sunday.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . None. MARINE . None.



SYNOPSIS . EAJ NEAR TERM . EAJ/RSH SHORT TERM . Levan LONG TERM . Levan AVIATION . RSH MARINE . RSH


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 20 mi51 min S 6 G 7 75°F 1009 hPa61°F
45135 - Prince Edward Pt 36 mi81 min SW 3.9 G 5.8 64°F 56°F1008.5 hPa (+0.8)
ALXN6 - 8311062 - Alexandria Bay, NY 49 mi51 min 1008.6 hPa
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 78 mi81 min S 7 G 8.9 77°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 80 mi51 min 75°F 1008.9 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY22 mi27 minS 610.00 miA Few Clouds71°F61°F71%1009.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFZY

Wind History from FZY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmNW3W3CalmS3S3S3S3S6SW5W6W8W7SW5SW6--W8
G16
NW7NW6NW5CalmSW4S6S6
1 day agoCalm5SE3SE333CalmCalmCalmW3W9CalmW6W8NW9W11NW8NW12W9
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2 days agoW4W7SW4SW4S43CalmS4S3W7W5SW4SW6SW6S7S9SW7S9S5CalmCalmSE4CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.