Thursday, November21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Falmouth Foreside, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:41AMSunset 4:12PM Thursday November 21, 2019 2:41 PM EST (19:41 UTC) Moonrise 1:21AMMoonset 2:51PM Illumination 28% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ153 Casco Bay- 1158 Am Est Thu Nov 21 2019
.gale watch in effect from Friday afternoon through Saturday morning...
Rest of today..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tonight..W winds around 5 kt, becoming sw 5 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Fri night..W winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sat..W winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..NE winds 5 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Rain likely with a chance of snow. Vsby variable to less than one quarter nm.
Sun night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Rain likely with a chance of snow. Vsby variable to less than one quarter nm.
Mon..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Mon night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
ANZ100 1158 Am Est Thu Nov 21 2019
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm.. High pressure builds over the waters today before a strong cold front crosses the region Friday afternoon with gusty west winds, possibly to gale force, in its wake. High pressure then moves over the waters on Saturday. Low pressure, with possible gales may move into the gulf of maine on Sunday. &&


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Falmouth Foreside, ME
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location: 43.72, -70.19     debug


Area Discussion for - Gray/Portland, ME
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FXUS61 KGYX 211702 AFDGYX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gray ME Issued by National Weather Service Caribou ME 1202 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

SYNOPSIS. The weather will turn nicer today and Friday than it has been the last several days. We will see plenty of sunshine today downwind on the mountains with highs in the 40s. A brief period of spotty freezing rain will be possible in the mountains and foothills later tonight, but it will be very light at best. A cold front moves through Friday afternoon with gusty winds following in its wake for Friday night into Saturday. Low pressure may affect the region on Sunday with mixed precipitation and rain.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. 1200pm Update .

Clouds stubbornly persisting along and north of the mountains, and increased sky cover for next couple hours. Otherwise no changes.

Previously .

Today is shaping up to be a lot nicer than previous days as we'll see plenty of sunshine and temperature well into the 40s in many areas. Winds will also become light by this afternoon. Upslope stratocu may linger across the mountains through this morning, but they should see at least partial sunshine this afternoon as well.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. A short wave trough and associated warm front will approach from the west tonight. Most members of the 00z guidance suite spit out some spotty very light precipitation tonight in the mountains and foothills. A bit of this could be spotty freezing rain so it's possible we'll need an advisory for a few zones for after midnight tonight. However, at this time it looks too patchy and chancy to hoist one at this time. Otherwise, the rest of the region should remain dry.

A strong cold front approaches from the west on Friday and consensus has it passing through the region during the afternoon hours. The front will be fairly moisture starved but a few showers could accompany the frontal passage, especially in the mountains and foothills. Temperatures should rise fairly nicely out ahead of the front, with a few southern zones expected to get into the 52-56 degree range. Winds should increase as mixing increases right ahead of the front, with gusts around 30 MPH possible. Gusts up to 40 MPH will be possible in the wake of the front toward evening.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Fri night will remain gusty behind the front along with temps tumbling into the teens and 20s. Will likely see a period of upslope snow showers in the mtns . with a few inches possible in the highest elevations.

S/WV ridging works across the area Sat and quickly moves thru by early Sun. Then things get more interesting.

Model forecasts are for an upper low drifting across the CONUS to phase with a Nrn stream S/WV trof . currently over the NE Pacific . that will be diving thru the Great Lakes. As the phasing trof becomes negatively tilted low pressure is forecast to amplify along the East Coast. Based on the latest ensemble guidance confidence is pretty high in measurable precip across the forecast area. I have gone on the higher side of the multi- model blend as a result. The lower confidence is in track . which ultimately drives temps aloft. In this case I stayed closer to the multi-model blend . which brings some warmth aloft and at the surface into Srn and coastal zones. This gives a forecast of some snow to start transitioning to rain in the aforementioned zones with the mtns remaining mostly frozen. Given that the main player in the forecast scenario is still over the open ocean I feel like this is a fair place to start the forecast off. By 22.00z model suite a clearer picture should begin to develop.

After that system high pressure looks to hold just to our S and keep things quiet until midweek. Ensemble guidance is actually more bullish on measurable QPF for that event . and so I feel comfortable with the high likely PoP that the multi-model blend gives me.

AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Short Term . VFR conditions are expected today with pockets of MVFR cigs remaining in the mountains through midday. VFR conditions should give way to patches of MVFR cigs tonight, especially away from the coast with occasional MVFR conditions possible on Friday. A strong cold front will pass across the region Friday afternoon with strong westerly wind gusts after 20z or so, perhaps up to 35 kt.

Long Term . Lingering IFR or lower possible in upslope SHSN around HIE Fri night but otherwise VFR conditions behind the cold front. Wly surface gusts in excess of 25 kt continue into Sat morning before diminishing. Coastal storm is becoming more likely for Sun into Mon . with widespread MVFR or lower likely in precip. Low confidence in ptype which really drives chance for widespread IFR If trends are colder with more SN. IFR becomes more likely. Right now forecast keeps the majority of TAF sites predominately RA.

MARINE. Short Term . SCA conditions continue outside the bays through early afternoon today when winds and seas drop below SCA criteria. A gale watch has been posted for all waters starting Friday afternoon as a strong cold front passes across the region.

Long Term . Best chance for gale force wind gusts continues to be outside of the bays Fri night into early Sat . but bays will be close enough that gale watch continues for all waters. Winds and seas gradually diminish Sat . but fairly quickly a follow up coastal storm will track near the Gulf of ME Sun. Depending on the track another period of gales cannot be ruled out late Sun into Mon.

GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . None. NH . None. MARINE . Gale Watch from Friday afternoon through Saturday morning for ANZ150>154. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ150- 152-154.

SYNOPSIS . NEAR TERM . SHORT TERM . LONG TERM . AVIATION . MARINE .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44007 - PORTLAND 12 NM Southeast of Portland,ME 14 mi52 min N 7.8 G 9.7 46°F 49°F3 ft1016.9 hPa (-1.7)33°F
WEXM1 - Wells Reserve, ME 33 mi102 min NNW 4.1 47°F 34°F
WELM1 - 8419317 - Wells, ME 34 mi72 min NNW 5.1 G 8 47°F 44°F1017.7 hPa
44030 - Buoy B0102 - Western Maine Shelf 39 mi158 min NNW 7.8 G 12 44°F 48°F5 ft1018.1 hPa
44032 - Buoy E0104 - Central Maine Shelf 44 mi98 min N 12 G 16 44°F 50°F4 ft1015.6 hPa

Wind History for Wells, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Portland, Portland International Jetport, ME8 mi1.8 hrsNW 810.00 miA Few Clouds48°F32°F54%1017.8 hPa
Auburn-Lewiston, ME23 mi1.8 hrsWNW 610.00 miMostly Cloudy45°F30°F58%1018.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPWM

Wind History from PWM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN10N8N6N5N6NW6N5NW6NW6N6N6NW4NW3N4NW6NW6NW3NW6NW9NW11NW9NW8
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1 day agoCalmN3CalmCalmN4N4N4CalmN4N3CalmN5N5NE6N7N8N9N6N10N6N9N8N8N10
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N8N6N10N9N7N5N6NE4N3NW3NW4NW3NW4NW4N6S3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Falmouth Foreside, Maine
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Falmouth Foreside
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Thu -- 12:20 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:48 AM EST     9.24 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:42 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:53 AM EST     0.70 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:51 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 04:10 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:08 PM EST     9.60 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.21.33.35.67.78.99.28.56.94.72.61.10.71.32.95.17.38.99.69.27.85.63.11.1

Tide / Current Tables for Chebeague Point, Great Chebeague Island, Maine
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Chebeague Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:20 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:43 AM EST     9.15 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:42 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:44 AM EST     0.68 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:51 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 04:09 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:03 PM EST     9.50 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.31.53.55.87.78.99.18.36.64.42.310.71.53.15.37.599.597.65.32.80.9

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Gray/Portland, ME (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, ME
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