Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Cumberland Center, ME
December 2, 2023 1:46 PM EST (18:46 UTC)
Sunrise 6:53AM Sunset 4:06PM Moonrise 9:57PM Moonset 12:30PM
ANZ153 Casco Bay- 1245 Pm Est Sat Dec 2 2023
This afternoon..NW winds around 5 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tonight..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of rain in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon.
Sun night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..N winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Rain, mainly in the morning.
Mon night..N winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of rain in the evening. A chance of snow showers. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Tue..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Wed..N winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Wed night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
This afternoon..NW winds around 5 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tonight..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of rain in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon.
Sun night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..N winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Rain, mainly in the morning.
Mon night..N winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of rain in the evening. A chance of snow showers. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Tue..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Wed..N winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Wed night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
ANZ100 1245 Pm Est Sat Dec 2 2023
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm a cold front drops through the waters this evening and tonight with increasing northeast flow that will bring conditions hazardous to small craft Sunday afternoon and Sunday night. Waves of low pressure move through the gulf of maine Sunday night through Monday. High pressure then slowly builds back across the waters through the middle of the week.
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm a cold front drops through the waters this evening and tonight with increasing northeast flow that will bring conditions hazardous to small craft Sunday afternoon and Sunday night. Waves of low pressure move through the gulf of maine Sunday night through Monday. High pressure then slowly builds back across the waters through the middle of the week.
Area Discussion for - Gray/Portland, ME
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FXUS61 KGYX 021750 AFDGYX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gray ME 1250 PM EST Sat Dec 2 2023
SYNOPSIS
A frontal boundary will remain draped across northern Maine today. Areas of low pressure approach from the Ohio Valley Sunday bringing increasing chances for snow across the north and rain south of the mountains. Low pressure forming near southern New England will bring the potential for significant snowfall across the foothills and points northward while there is uncertainty in the rain/snow line across the south. There remains potential for impacts to the Monday morning commute due to wintry conditions. The system exits Monday afternoon with snow showers lingering into Monday night. A drying trend follows into mid week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
1245pm Update...Light precip to the west continues to erode over the higher terrain. This has prevented it spilling into the eastern foothills. As the disturbance pulls north, should see a gradual decrease in flurries/sprinkles across the mountains this afternoon. Otherwise, temps on their way to 50 across southern NH and ME, with a few occasional cloud breaks. Temps will remain in the 30s and 40s for remainder of the CWA.
950am Update...Not too many changes at this time. Temps are running a degree or two cool at this hour, likely due to existing thick cloud and fog. NAM is much cooler throughout the day, but believe blending with HRRR is a good compromise which is running warm. Some cloud breaks across southern NH and far southern ME at this hour should allow temps to near 50 deg today. There may be a brief flurry or drizzle in southern NH through the morning here as a band of showers moves along the NH/MA border.
Update...Another area of showers is approaching the forecast area...and I have updated PoP to reflect this. Showers are still expected to mainly affect the higher terrain...with downsloping scattering them out to the east. Otherwise no significant changes to the forecast.
Previous discussion...S/WV trof has pushed thru the area leaving behind drying aloft but plenty of moisture near the surface. The result is plenty of cloud cover and patchy fog...but showers mainly confined to the mtns. That trend will continue thru much of the first half of the day...and then some gradual lifting and clearing of the clouds is possible. Temps will remain near to above normal today.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/
Generally quiet tonight...and with cloud cover and continued WAA aloft temps will be mild overnight. Only a slow drop in temps is anticipated...and most of that as precip approaches near daybreak and there is a little evaporational cooling.
As the next S/WV trof approaches...and precip shield will get better organized to our southwest and lift into the area during the first half of the day. Initially temps will be above freezing and rain is likely. Over time a gradual cooling is anticipated as precip keeps falling thru the column. Eventually I have readings wetbulbing down to around 32 to 34 degrees...which should be cold enough for some snow to mix in or dominate even near the coast. As it will take time to occur very little accumulation is expected outside of the higher elevations thru Sun afternoon.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
Active winter weather will be ongoing to start the long term period Sunday night into Monday as waves of low pressure bring accumulating snow across the interior. While the 00Z guidance is in relatively good agreement, there is enough spread in ensembles with respect to the rain/snow line south of the foothills leading to low confidence in snowfall accumulations here and potential impacts to the Monday morning commute. From the foothills northward, snow will likely dominate with several inches of accumulation through Monday. The primary low pressure system exits Monday evening while lingering upper disturbances could keep snow showers going through Monday night. There will be a general drying trend Tuesday into Wednesday while an upper trough passes well south of New England with high pressure building in Thursday.
The synoptic setup Sunday night into Monday will feature a potent upper jet stretching from the TX Gulf Coast into the Gulf of Maine with northern New England in the left exit region. At 500 mb there will be short waves embedded in SW flow that lead to one wave of low pressure tracking into the eastern Great Lakes with a secondary low forming in the vicinity of coastal southern New England. The 00Z model suite generally agrees that high pressure anchored over Quebec will force the low over the eastern Great Lakes to transfer eastward. This aligns well with previous the previous forecast cycle leading to increased confidence that snow will be the dominant p- type from the foothills northward. BUFKIT profiles do not show much in the way of a warm nose that could lead to a prolonged period of sleet or freezing rain and have continued with rain or snow wording in the forecast.
The main point of uncertainty continues to be the rain/snow line south of the foothills. There are some ensemble members, mainly the EPS, that bring accumulating snow to the NH/MA border and the coast.
Granted this is a minority of members with majority of ensembles highlighting the foothills northward where there is the potential for greater than 6 inches of snow. Unfortunately, things are also unclear looking into the tail end of hi res guidance with the NAM3K showing accumulating snow across the south while the FV3 brings mostly rain into the foothills with only accumulating snow in the higher terrain. Therefore, this forecast does not deviate much from the previous forecast cycle and will await better clarity from hi res guidance with respect to the potential for Winter Storm Watches for the Sunday night into Monday timeframe.
Low pressure will be pulling away from New England Monday afternoon while a short wave will cross the region Monday night. This short wave will keep chances for snow showers going Monday night with light accumulations possible, mainly in the mountains towards central Maine. This short wave exits Tuesday morning while a second short wave dives into the Great Lakes. Tuesday looks mostly dry while the proximity of short waves at this time range suggests that showery weather may be possible. The short wave diving across the Great lakes looks to pass well south of New England Wednesday with high pressure building in for Thursday.
AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Short Term...Abundant low level moisture and continued WAA are producing fairly widespread IFR and lower conditions across the area at this hour. Those conditions are expected to linger thru mid morning...when gradual clearing is expected. MVFR CIGs may linger thru the day...but some pockets of VFR are possible. At this time confidence is too low to go with prevailing VFR. As flow turns northeasterly tonight IFR CIGs will move back in and eventually precip will overspread from the west. Widespread IFR or lower conditions are expected to continue into Sun evening...with rain and snow.
Long Term...Low cigs and periods of rain and snow likely bring IFR conditions Sunday night and Monday. Snow looks to dominate from KLEB to KAUG and points northward with KCON possibly seeing a period of snow late Sunday night mixing with rain Monday.
Coastal and southern terminals likely see mainly rain while periods of snow cannot be ruled out. Conditions improve Monday afternoon while low cigs and - SHSN may linger through Monday night. Conditions likely improve to mainly VFR Tuesday into Wednesday.
MARINE
Short Term...Light flow today will keep winds and seas below SCA thresholds into the overnight period. Wind direction becomes northeast and will gradually increase thru Sun. Northeast flow is a favored direction to be a little stronger than modeled...so I have increased winds slightly from the consensus blend. By afternoon some 25 kt wind gusts are forecast...along with building seas. A SCA has been issued into Mon.
Long Term...Waves of low pressure passing south and through the Gulf of Maine will bring NE winds gusting to greater than 25 kts Sunday night that diminish Monday while seas run to around 5 feet through Monday. Winds and seas generally stay below SCA thresholds Tuesday into Wednesday.
GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...None.
NH...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM Sunday to 4 AM EST Monday for ANZ150-152-154.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gray ME 1250 PM EST Sat Dec 2 2023
SYNOPSIS
A frontal boundary will remain draped across northern Maine today. Areas of low pressure approach from the Ohio Valley Sunday bringing increasing chances for snow across the north and rain south of the mountains. Low pressure forming near southern New England will bring the potential for significant snowfall across the foothills and points northward while there is uncertainty in the rain/snow line across the south. There remains potential for impacts to the Monday morning commute due to wintry conditions. The system exits Monday afternoon with snow showers lingering into Monday night. A drying trend follows into mid week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
1245pm Update...Light precip to the west continues to erode over the higher terrain. This has prevented it spilling into the eastern foothills. As the disturbance pulls north, should see a gradual decrease in flurries/sprinkles across the mountains this afternoon. Otherwise, temps on their way to 50 across southern NH and ME, with a few occasional cloud breaks. Temps will remain in the 30s and 40s for remainder of the CWA.
950am Update...Not too many changes at this time. Temps are running a degree or two cool at this hour, likely due to existing thick cloud and fog. NAM is much cooler throughout the day, but believe blending with HRRR is a good compromise which is running warm. Some cloud breaks across southern NH and far southern ME at this hour should allow temps to near 50 deg today. There may be a brief flurry or drizzle in southern NH through the morning here as a band of showers moves along the NH/MA border.
Update...Another area of showers is approaching the forecast area...and I have updated PoP to reflect this. Showers are still expected to mainly affect the higher terrain...with downsloping scattering them out to the east. Otherwise no significant changes to the forecast.
Previous discussion...S/WV trof has pushed thru the area leaving behind drying aloft but plenty of moisture near the surface. The result is plenty of cloud cover and patchy fog...but showers mainly confined to the mtns. That trend will continue thru much of the first half of the day...and then some gradual lifting and clearing of the clouds is possible. Temps will remain near to above normal today.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/
Generally quiet tonight...and with cloud cover and continued WAA aloft temps will be mild overnight. Only a slow drop in temps is anticipated...and most of that as precip approaches near daybreak and there is a little evaporational cooling.
As the next S/WV trof approaches...and precip shield will get better organized to our southwest and lift into the area during the first half of the day. Initially temps will be above freezing and rain is likely. Over time a gradual cooling is anticipated as precip keeps falling thru the column. Eventually I have readings wetbulbing down to around 32 to 34 degrees...which should be cold enough for some snow to mix in or dominate even near the coast. As it will take time to occur very little accumulation is expected outside of the higher elevations thru Sun afternoon.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
Active winter weather will be ongoing to start the long term period Sunday night into Monday as waves of low pressure bring accumulating snow across the interior. While the 00Z guidance is in relatively good agreement, there is enough spread in ensembles with respect to the rain/snow line south of the foothills leading to low confidence in snowfall accumulations here and potential impacts to the Monday morning commute. From the foothills northward, snow will likely dominate with several inches of accumulation through Monday. The primary low pressure system exits Monday evening while lingering upper disturbances could keep snow showers going through Monday night. There will be a general drying trend Tuesday into Wednesday while an upper trough passes well south of New England with high pressure building in Thursday.
The synoptic setup Sunday night into Monday will feature a potent upper jet stretching from the TX Gulf Coast into the Gulf of Maine with northern New England in the left exit region. At 500 mb there will be short waves embedded in SW flow that lead to one wave of low pressure tracking into the eastern Great Lakes with a secondary low forming in the vicinity of coastal southern New England. The 00Z model suite generally agrees that high pressure anchored over Quebec will force the low over the eastern Great Lakes to transfer eastward. This aligns well with previous the previous forecast cycle leading to increased confidence that snow will be the dominant p- type from the foothills northward. BUFKIT profiles do not show much in the way of a warm nose that could lead to a prolonged period of sleet or freezing rain and have continued with rain or snow wording in the forecast.
The main point of uncertainty continues to be the rain/snow line south of the foothills. There are some ensemble members, mainly the EPS, that bring accumulating snow to the NH/MA border and the coast.
Granted this is a minority of members with majority of ensembles highlighting the foothills northward where there is the potential for greater than 6 inches of snow. Unfortunately, things are also unclear looking into the tail end of hi res guidance with the NAM3K showing accumulating snow across the south while the FV3 brings mostly rain into the foothills with only accumulating snow in the higher terrain. Therefore, this forecast does not deviate much from the previous forecast cycle and will await better clarity from hi res guidance with respect to the potential for Winter Storm Watches for the Sunday night into Monday timeframe.
Low pressure will be pulling away from New England Monday afternoon while a short wave will cross the region Monday night. This short wave will keep chances for snow showers going Monday night with light accumulations possible, mainly in the mountains towards central Maine. This short wave exits Tuesday morning while a second short wave dives into the Great Lakes. Tuesday looks mostly dry while the proximity of short waves at this time range suggests that showery weather may be possible. The short wave diving across the Great lakes looks to pass well south of New England Wednesday with high pressure building in for Thursday.
AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Short Term...Abundant low level moisture and continued WAA are producing fairly widespread IFR and lower conditions across the area at this hour. Those conditions are expected to linger thru mid morning...when gradual clearing is expected. MVFR CIGs may linger thru the day...but some pockets of VFR are possible. At this time confidence is too low to go with prevailing VFR. As flow turns northeasterly tonight IFR CIGs will move back in and eventually precip will overspread from the west. Widespread IFR or lower conditions are expected to continue into Sun evening...with rain and snow.
Long Term...Low cigs and periods of rain and snow likely bring IFR conditions Sunday night and Monday. Snow looks to dominate from KLEB to KAUG and points northward with KCON possibly seeing a period of snow late Sunday night mixing with rain Monday.
Coastal and southern terminals likely see mainly rain while periods of snow cannot be ruled out. Conditions improve Monday afternoon while low cigs and - SHSN may linger through Monday night. Conditions likely improve to mainly VFR Tuesday into Wednesday.
MARINE
Short Term...Light flow today will keep winds and seas below SCA thresholds into the overnight period. Wind direction becomes northeast and will gradually increase thru Sun. Northeast flow is a favored direction to be a little stronger than modeled...so I have increased winds slightly from the consensus blend. By afternoon some 25 kt wind gusts are forecast...along with building seas. A SCA has been issued into Mon.
Long Term...Waves of low pressure passing south and through the Gulf of Maine will bring NE winds gusting to greater than 25 kts Sunday night that diminish Monday while seas run to around 5 feet through Monday. Winds and seas generally stay below SCA thresholds Tuesday into Wednesday.
GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...None.
NH...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM Sunday to 4 AM EST Monday for ANZ150-152-154.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| CASM1 - 8418150 - Portland, ME | 7 mi | 46 min | 46°F | |||||
| 44007 - PORTLAND 12 NM Southeast of Portland,ME | 17 mi | 36 min | WSW 5.8G | 46°F | 48°F | 29.93 | 40°F | |
| WEXM1 - Wells Reserve, ME | 33 mi | 106 min | WSW 1.9 | 47°F | 43°F | |||
| 44030 - Buoy B0102 - Western Maine Shelf | 41 mi | 102 min | WSW 7.8G | 47°F | 48°F | 1 ft | 29.93 | |
| 44032 - Buoy E0104 - Central Maine Shelf | 48 mi | 102 min | W 12G | 46°F | 2 ft |
toggle option: (graph/table)
No data
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KPWM PORTLAND INTL JETPORT,ME | 8 sm | 33 min | W 04 | 10 sm | Overcast | 46°F | 43°F | 87% | 29.95 | |
| KLEW AUBURN/LEWISTON MUNI,ME | 20 sm | 50 min | N 05 | 10 sm | Overcast | 43°F | 43°F | 100% | 29.95 |
Wind History from PWM
(wind in knots)Falmouth Foreside
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:20 AM EST 8.27 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:55 AM EST Sunrise
Sat -- 08:07 AM EST 1.64 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:30 AM EST Moonset
Sat -- 02:19 PM EST 9.23 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:04 PM EST Sunset
Sat -- 08:50 PM EST 0.64 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:56 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:20 AM EST 8.27 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:55 AM EST Sunrise
Sat -- 08:07 AM EST 1.64 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:30 AM EST Moonset
Sat -- 02:19 PM EST 9.23 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:04 PM EST Sunset
Sat -- 08:50 PM EST 0.64 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:56 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Falmouth Foreside, Maine, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 6 |
| 1 am |
| 7.5 |
| 2 am |
| 8.2 |
| 3 am |
| 8.1 |
| 4 am |
| 7.1 |
| 5 am |
| 5.4 |
| 6 am |
| 3.6 |
| 7 am |
| 2.2 |
| 8 am |
| 1.6 |
| 9 am |
| 2 |
| 10 am |
| 3.2 |
| 11 am |
| 5 |
| 12 pm |
| 6.9 |
| 1 pm |
| 8.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 9.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 9 |
| 4 pm |
| 8 |
| 5 pm |
| 6.2 |
| 6 pm |
| 4 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 1 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.6 |
Doyle Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:17 AM EST 8.27 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:55 AM EST Sunrise
Sat -- 08:04 AM EST 1.40 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:30 AM EST Moonset
Sat -- 02:16 PM EST 9.23 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:04 PM EST Sunset
Sat -- 08:47 PM EST 0.55 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:56 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:17 AM EST 8.27 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:55 AM EST Sunrise
Sat -- 08:04 AM EST 1.40 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:30 AM EST Moonset
Sat -- 02:16 PM EST 9.23 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:04 PM EST Sunset
Sat -- 08:47 PM EST 0.55 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:56 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Doyle Point, Maine, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 6.1 |
| 1 am |
| 7.6 |
| 2 am |
| 8.2 |
| 3 am |
| 8 |
| 4 am |
| 6.9 |
| 5 am |
| 5.2 |
| 6 am |
| 3.3 |
| 7 am |
| 1.9 |
| 8 am |
| 1.4 |
| 9 am |
| 1.8 |
| 10 am |
| 3.1 |
| 11 am |
| 4.9 |
| 12 pm |
| 7 |
| 1 pm |
| 8.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 9.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 9 |
| 4 pm |
| 7.9 |
| 5 pm |
| 6.1 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 7 pm |
| 2 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.6 |
Portland, ME,
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