Friday, March5, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Pottersville, NY

Version 3.4
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1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:19AMSunset 5:47PM Friday March 5, 2021 2:43 PM EST (19:43 UTC) Moonrise 1:34AMMoonset 11:04AM Illumination 54% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pottersville, NY
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location: 43.76, -73.78     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 051740 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 1240 PM EST Fri Mar 5 2021

SYNOPSIS. A storm system will remain anchored over southeast Canada through the weekend, bringing cold and blustery conditions to the region, along with a few snow showers or flurries. The storm will depart early next week as a high pressure ridge builds in from the west, allowing for a significant warming trend to develop by the middle of next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. UPDATED . As of 1215 pm. An unseasonably cold and blustery day is in progress with temperatures early this afternoon ranging from the teens across the north country and highest elevations to the lower 30s in the mid Hudson Valley. Deep mixing is allowing northwesterly wind gusts to reach 30 to 35 mph in many areas, especially where those winds are channeled by terrain such as the Mohawk Valley into the Capital District. A little enhanced cu is developing over the east end of Lake Ontario as of late this morning, and this increasing cloudiness trend will continue over our western and northern counties this afternoon as a shortwave trough rotates southward toward the area from Quebec. Expect some light snow showers to develop over the southern Adirondacks and western Mohawk Valley by around 21z in response to this wave, otherwise the rest of the area will remain sunny to partly cloud but dry through the afternoon.

As of 1045 am. The current forecast is on track. An unseasonably cold day is in progress with gusty winds and temperatures only slowly climbing into the 20s. There still appears to be a short wave trough dropping south into far northern NY late this morning that will affect the southern Adirondacks and Mohawk valley with a few snow showers later this afternoon, otherwise dry weather is expected through the day today. Previous discussion is below.

As of 615 AM EST, patchy high/mid level clouds continue across portions of the region, especially the southern Adirondacks and southern VT. Boundary layer remains well mixed, with northwest winds still gusting 25-35 mph in some areas. Temps range from the single digits across portions of the SW Adirondacks, with mainly mid teens to lower 20s elsewhere.

Today will feature a mix of sun and clouds, with clouds a bit more prevalent for areas north of I-90, especially later this afternoon as another weak upper level impulse approaches from the north. Some snow showers/flurries may develop after 4 PM for areas north of I-90.

Gusty northwest winds will continue today, with some gusts possibly reaching 35-45 mph within portions of the Mohawk Valley, Capital Region and Berkshires this afternoon as mixing depth increases, and 25-35 mph elsewhere.

Max temps generally in the mid teens to mid 20s, although some lower 30s will be possible across portions of the mid Hudson Valley and lower elevations in NW CT, where more sunshine and warming contributions from downsloping off the Catskills are expected.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. Tonight, aforementioned upper level disturbance and weak surface trough will pass southward across the region through midnight, with mostly cloudy skies, and isolated/scattered snow showers, although snow showers will be more numerous across the SW Adirondacks, western Mohawk Valley, Schoharie County and eastern Catskills, where some added lake moisture contribution will work in tandem with the approaching upper level disturbance. Snowfall accumulations of 1-2 inches will be possible across portions of northern Herkimer County, where snow showers should be most frequent, with perhaps up to an inch across central/southern Herkimer County and western Schoharie County. Also, up to an inch or two could occur across favorable upslope areas of SW VT. Elsewhere, scattered coatings will be possible as snow showers/flurries occur, possibly extending into the Hudson River Valley at times. After midnight, snow showers should decrease in coverage as the disturbance passes, although may linger across Schoharie County and eastern Catskills. Remaining brisk overnight, with lows by daybreak in the single digits and teens.

Saturday, another blustery day, with max temps only reaching the teens and 20s for most areas (except lower 30s for the mid Hudson Valley). West/northwest winds may reach 25-35 mph within the Mohawk Valley/Capital Region and Berkshires, especially during the afternoon hours. Some breaks of sun will be possible in the morning, before convective temperatures are reached and clouds develop for the afternoon. Some flurries/isolated snow showers will also be possible in the afternoon, especially for higher elevations.

Some clearing is possible Saturday night, which could allow for localized decoupling and colder temps dropping into the single digits below and slightly above zero (especially portions of the southern Adirondacks and upper Hudson Valley), with teens elsewhere.

For Sunday-Sunday night, one last upper level impulse looks to pass across the region with some patchy high/mid level clouds, otherwise a bit less wind compared to Saturday. Max temps should reach the mid 20s to lower 30s for most valley areas (except possibly mid/upper 30s for the mid Hudson Valley). Mainly clear Sunday night, and where winds trend to near calm, temps may fall to between zero and 10 below across portions of the southern Adirondacks and upper Hudson Valley, with mainly single digits and teens elsewhere.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As the large upper level trough over Atlantic Canada finally pulls away from the region, rising heights and warming temp aloft will occur to start the week on Monday into Tuesday. Although there may be some clouds at times thanks to stubborn low-level moisture trapped beneath an inversion, skies will probably still wind up averaging out to partly cloudy for both Monday and Tuesday. With the upper level ridging in place and surface high pressure located south of the area over the Southeast, no precip is expected. Temps will start out close to normal for Monday with mid 30s to low 40s for valley areas, but will be noticeably milder by Tuesday, with highs reaching the upper 40s to mid 50s across the entire area.

Wednesday will be even milder, as the low to mid level flow will be out of the southwest and 850 hpa temps rise to around +5 C. The one question is how many clouds will be around, as some moisture will start approaching ahead of the next frontal boundary. It looks like while there may be some clouds, it should stay precip-free. Temps will reach the mid to upper 50s for much of the area, which should allow for plenty of snowmelt, as dewpoints also rise above freezing.

Depending on the exact timing of the next frontal boundary, there could be some rain showers that finally move into the area by Wednesday night or Thursday. P-type will certainly be only plain rain, as mild temps both aloft and at the surface will ensure no frozen/freezing precip, even at the higher elevations. It is still unclear how much precip occurs as it will depend on how fast the boundary moves through the area. Thursday has the potential to be another very mild day depending on how quickly the next front moves into the area, just how much cloud cover is around and how much rain occurs.

AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Through 18z/Sat . VFR conditions are expected to continue through much if not all of the TAF period. High cirrus will continue across the terminals this afternoon. Tonight through tomorrow morning, a shortwave trough will pass through the region and bring a lowering and thickening of clouds. Expect mainly SCT-BKN stratocumulus with bases above 3000 feet at KALB/KPOU/KGFL and around or just above 3000 feet at KPSF (where brief MVFR periods are possible). An isolated flurry cannot be ruled out, but it should be insignificant should it occur, so will not include in the TAF.

Wind will remain blustery this afternoon out of the west-northwest at 10 to 20 kt with gusts to around 30 kt. Wind will gradually lessen tonight to 6 to 12 kt with fewer if any gusts. Wind will increase again tomorrow morning at 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 25 kt possible (mainly at KALB/KPSF), still out of the west- northwest.

Outlook .

Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Sunday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Sunday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

HYDROLOGY. Cold and mainly dry conditions are expected through the weekend. With temperatures below freezing most of the time and a dry airmass in place, little snowmelt is expected through Sunday and river and stream levels should generally hold fairly steady through the weekend, with ice remaining in place.

During next week, temperatures will moderate, becoming above normal by the middle and end of the week. It should continue to be dry for the early to middle portion of the week. Rivers and streams may show some diurnal fluctuation in flows during next week due to the expected melting of the snowpack. There also could be some rain showers later next week, although expected rainfall amounts remain very uncertain at this time.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . KL NEAR TERM . MSE/KL SHORT TERM . KL LONG TERM . Frugis AVIATION . Rathbun HYDROLOGY . KL/NAS


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Glens Falls, Floyd Bennett Memorial Airport, NY29 mi51 minWNW 13 G 1810.00 miFair28°F-12°F16%1007.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KGFL

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Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:30 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:07 AM EST     0.22 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:23 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:55 AM EST     5.64 feet High Tide
Fri -- 10:06 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 04:52 PM EST     0.35 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:49 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:32 PM EST     Last Quarter
Fri -- 10:13 PM EST     4.49 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.61.610.60.20.61.93.54.75.45.65.24.232.11.40.70.412.33.54.24.54.3

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:30 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:57 AM EST     0.22 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:23 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:47 AM EST     5.64 feet High Tide
Fri -- 10:07 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 04:42 PM EST     0.35 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:49 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:32 PM EST     Last Quarter
Fri -- 10:05 PM EST     4.49 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.41.510.50.20.72.13.74.85.55.65.142.921.30.60.41.22.53.64.24.54.2

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