Monday, June21, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Schroon Lake, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:06AMSunset 8:42PM Monday June 21, 2021 2:10 AM EDT (06:10 UTC) Moonrise 5:13PMMoonset 2:45AM Illumination 85% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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SLZ024 Expires:202106210315;;591726 Fzus61 Kbuf 202353 Glfsl Forecast For The Saint Lawrence River Including The Thousand Islands Region National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 753 Pm Edt Sun Jun 20 2021 Slz022-024-210315- Saint Lawrence River From Cape Vincent To Saint Regis 753 Pm Edt Sun Jun 20 2021
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. Showers and Thunderstorms likely late. Some Thunderstorms may produce gusty winds late.
Monday..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers and Thunderstorms likely. Some Thunderstorms may produce gusty winds.
Monday night..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the evening, then a chance of showers overnight. Some Thunderstorms may produce gusty winds in the evening.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of showers in the morning.
Tuesday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly to mostly cloudy.
Wednesday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Mainly clear.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 15 knots. Mainly clear, then becoming partly cloudy.
Friday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers Friday night. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Schroon Lake, NY
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location: 43.93, -73.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 210529 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 129 AM EDT Mon Jun 21 2021

SYNOPSIS. Active weather is expected across the North Country Monday afternoon and evening as the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms are possible. Storms are expected to form over northern New York in the afternoon and then move east into Vermont during the late afternoon and evening hours. Gusty winds, hail, heavy rain, and frequent lightning will be the main threats with any of the thunderstorms. Above normal temperatures are expected on Monday with highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s. Cooler and drier weather is expected by the middle part of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 122 AM EDT Monday . No significant changes were needed with this update. A little batch of showers with embedded thunder has persisted on its eastward march across southern NY early this morning, and this looks to move into southern VT shortly. Otherwise, awaiting the convection currently seen in the Buffalo area to lift along Lake Ontario and into the St Lawrence Valley toward daybreak. It's a fairly muggy night with temperatures in the upper 50s to upper 60s. Made some slight adjustments to cloud cover and PoPs to match the latest satellite and radar trends. Overall the forecast remains in good shape.

Previous discussion . Guidance continues to show ribbon of deeper moisture, favorable synoptic scale lift from 5h vort, and developing instability surging north on southwest flow to support idea of showers with a few embedded rumbles of thunder. We should experience a break in precip with some clearing btwn 15z-20z on Monday, which wl quickly help to destabilize atmosphere for next round of strong to severe storms to develop. Pre-storm environmental parameters still look very favorable for convection with some organized/rotating cells possible, given the combination of shear/instability and llvl convergence provided by pre-frontal trof. General consensus is for convection to fire btwn 17z-19z acrs the SLV and expand in areal coverage/intensity thru the aftn/evening hours, with axis of best instability located over the CPV around 21z. Should be an active and interesting day.

Forecast remains on track for Monday with the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours. Clouds and some showers should be lifting north of the area just before midday and sunshine should develop over most of the area. Thermal axis at 850 millibars will be right over the area and thus expecting highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s. Increasing south to southwest flow in the low levels will bring dew points into the 60s and this should result in an increasing unstable atmosphere during the afternoon hours. Looking at CAPE values in the 1500 to 2000 J/kg range ahead of a pre-frontal trough moving into the Saint Lawrence Valley of New York by mid-afternoon. This feature plus differential heating along any areas just to the east of more persistent cloud cover should also help to focus convective development. At this time storms should form out near Saint Lawrence and Franklin counties in New York in the 2-4 pm time period. Favorable deep layer shear will be over this area with strongest shear lagging back to the west. This should allow for storms to become organized and have the potential to become strong or severe. Strong wind gusts, hail, heavy downpours, and frequent lightning will be the main threats as the storms move across the northern Adirondacks during the mid-afternoon hours and across the Champlain Valley and points east during the late afternoon and evening hours. Threat of organized convection should come to an end overnight Monday night, but showers should still be rather prevalent.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT/. As of 327 PM EDT Sunday . Have trended drier with the forecast for Tuesday as models are now indicating the front almost clearing our area by 12z. Have just a mention for chance of showers Tuesday morning, then the pops drop off for the afternoon and we'll see increasing sunshine. High temperatures on Tuesday will reach the 60s to around 70, warmest in the Champlain valley. A large ridge of surface high pressure will then build into the region and remain through much of the week. Upper level trough will approach the region Tuesday night, but will mainly just see a slight increase in clouds with this feature. Minimum temperatures will be in the 40s to around 50.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 327 PM EDT Sunday . Dry weather is forecast from Wednesday through Friday as large ridge of surface high pressure settles over the region, but begins to slide eastward on Thursday. Our weather will turn more active on Saturday and Sunday as a low pressure system tracks from the Ohio river valley northeastward towards our region. Warm front and shortwave energy lifts across our area Saturday and spreads showers across the region. Surface low, upper level trough and another upper level shortwave moves across the area on Sunday bringing more showers to the region.

AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Through 06Z Tuesday . VFR conditions will prevail for the next 6 hours across all our TAF sites with south/southwest winds of 5 to 10 knots. Exception will be KRUT where a small batch of showers/embedded thunder will make its way 06z-08z. Otherwise, expect scattered showers with embedded rumbles of thunder possible btwn 09z-15z on Monday with brief MVFR conditions possible in the heavier convection. Additional strong to severe thunderstorms develop between 17z-19z across the St Lawrence Valley on Monday and move through northern NY/western VT by 00z Tues, into central/eastern VT by 03z. Expect localized strong/gusty erratic winds, brief heavy down pours, and frequent lighting, with areas of turbulence and shear likely in and around any convection. Winds increase from the south/southwest at 15 to 25 knots on Monday.

Outlook .

Tuesday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA. Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

MARINE. Active weather is expected across Lake Champlain Monday and Monday night. First winds will be from the south at 15 to 25 knots, especially during the afternoon hours. Choppy conditions are expected, especially over the northern portions of the lake. From mid-afternoon through the evening hours showers and thunderstorms will move from west to east across the lake and any storms will have the potential to produce strong wind gusts, hail, heavy downpours, and frequent lightning.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. VT . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . Evenson NEAR TERM . Evenson/Hastings SHORT TERM . Neiles LONG TERM . Neiles AVIATION . Hastings/Taber MARINE . Evenson


Weather Reporting Stations
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On 03/09/2021 the NDBC primary processing servers were shut off due to a facilities issue. Station pages on the NDBC website are not updating and there is no ETR at this time. We will update this banner as we learn more.
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OBGN6 - 8311030 - Ogdensburg, NY 97 mi52 min 65°F 61°F1004.6 hPa

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Saranac Lake, Adirondack Regional Airport, NY34 mi79 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds53°F52°F96%1006.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSLK

Wind History from SLK (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
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Mon -- 02:35 AM EDT     5.31 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:45 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:26 AM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:51 PM EDT     4.30 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:38 PM EDT     -0.27 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.64.65.25.24.63.42.41.60.7-00.11.12.53.54.14.33.92.91.91.10.5-0.1-0.20.7

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
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Mon -- 02:28 AM EDT     5.31 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:46 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:16 AM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:43 PM EDT     4.30 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:28 PM EDT     -0.27 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.84.75.25.24.43.32.31.40.6-0.10.21.32.73.64.24.33.82.71.710.4-0.2-0.10.9

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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