Caseville, MI Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
L-36.com
Top   Marine   7-Day   NWS   Buoy   Airport   Tide   Map   GEOS   Radar   TAF  

Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Caseville, MI

June 15, 2024 1:13 PM EDT (17:13 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:51 AM   Sunset 9:20 PM
Moonrise 1:59 PM   Moonset 1:12 AM 
  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall  New
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      HIDE   Help
LHZ421 Outer Saginaw Bay Sw Of Alabaster To Port Austin Mi To Inner Saginaw Bay- 938 Am Edt Sat Jun 15 2024

Rest of today - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.

Tonight - East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Partly cloudy in the evening becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.

Sunday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Sunday night - South winds 15 to 20 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
see lake huron open lake forecast for days 3 through 5.

LHZ400
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Caseville, MI
   Hourly   EDIT   Help   Map   HIDE
NEW! Add second zone forecast


Area Discussion for - Detroit/Pontiac, MI
      HIDE   Help   
NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS63 KDTX 151654 AFDDTX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 1254 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- Dry with seasonable temperatures today before abnormally warm conditions commence Sunday through much of next week.

-Temperatures likely peak in the mid to upper 90s next week with maximum heat indices near/above 100F.

- Low confidence thunderstorms could offset some of the warming, depending on coverage and timing.

AVIATION

High pressure centered near Georgian Bay this afternoon supporting dry low levels and a light easterly wind component through tonight.
High clouds and few mid clouds likely spillover during the next 24 hours as a warm front lifts through through the western Great Lakes.

For DTW/D21 Convection...No thunderstorms are expected.

DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...

* None.

PREV DISCUSSION
Issued at 353 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

DISCUSSION...

Atmospheric state is currently characterized by a longer wavelength ridge across the north-central tier of CONUS, flanked by a Pacific low descending along the coast of British Columbia and broad upper low over Hudson Bay that has begun to eject east. 15.00Z RAOBs reveal a region of +591 dam at H5 over the southern Plains which marks the infancy of a highly anomalous ridge that will build northeastward with time and bring dangerous heat to Southeast Michigan by Monday. As for conditions today, flow trajectories flip from cyclonically curved to anticyclonically augmented due to the approach of the aforementioned northern stream ridge. Stabilizing omega response noted with forecast soundings responding through warming/drying within the mid-levels, especially into the afternoon hours. Effectively clear skies offer broad insolation potential as the days creep toward the summer solstice. High temperatures will be tempered by the presence of veering low-level winds toward the ENE which promotes advective cooling, helped further by the influence of Lake Huron. Highs should largely hold in the upper 70s outside Metro Detroit (near 80 for the metro region).

The southern ridge closes off and centers a bit further east Sunday, primarily over northeast GA and the western Carolinas while surface high pressure over the Great Lakes slides into The Northeast, strengthening to 1025 mb. This realigns sub-H9 winds southeasterly with warming conditions under the return-flow configuration. H8 temps jump significantly as the elevated portion of an approaching warm front lifts through from the southwest. Favorable model consensus of +18C by 18Z supports highs well into the 80s for most locations. A shortwave feature embedded within the mean flow will lift across northern Lower Michigan Sunday evening. The 15.00Z deterministic GFS has now fallen in-line with the corresponding ECMWF/CMC/NAM runs in keeping the precipitation just north of the CWA Latest PoPs offer some minor refinements with a shift to only Slight Chance wording and a re-focus on Midland/Bay/Huron counties during the late evening timeframe. Overnight temperatures stay rather warm as lows hold near/above 70F.

Record-setting heat remains a possibility Monday and at various points throughout next week as the mid-level portion of the ridge builds to 594 dam over North Carolina. Highs temperatures locally are still expected to peak in the upper 90s for most urbanized locations while confidence increases for similar readings for the outlying areas. Heat indices should break into the triple digits as max 0-3 km ThetaE values approach 360K with surface dewpoints in excess of 70F. The combination of +100F heat indices, overnight lows above 70F and the multi-day impact of highly anomalous prolonged late-spring heat warrants discussion of Excess Heat Watches/Warnings within the next update cycle. From an impacts perspective, the effects of this heat wave become more amplified for areas with higher population density. This is supported by the Experimental NWS HeatRisk tool where widespread Extreme Risk for Heat-Related Impacts (Level 4 of 4) could be reached.

The ridge is expected to strengthen as it broadens northeastward along the Mid-Atlantic, peaking near 599 dam at H5 by Wednesday.
EPS/CMCE/GEFS remain on-board with highs in the 90s through Thursday. Uncertainty festers wrt convective potential and subsequent modulation of thermodynamic profiles. MEX and GEFS datasets hint at slightly more "cooling" potential with various shortwave perturbations along the western periphery of the ridge.

MARINE...

High pressure remains in control this weekend, bringing gentle winds across Lake Huron. Conditions hold ahead of a warm front moving across the area Sunday evening. Chances for showers and storms accompany the front, mainly over northern Lake Huron. Southeasterly winds will veer southwesterly behind the front, increasing to 10-15 knots. Gentle to moderate winds alongside chances for unorganized showers will persist through the rest of the week.

DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
Lake Huron...None.
Lake St Clair...None.
Michigan waters of Lake Erie...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       HIDE   Help
Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
GSLM4 - Gravelly Shoals Light MI 19 mi94 minNNE 8.9G9.9 57°F 30.26
KP58 20 mi79 minNNE 8 62°F 30.2451°F
TAWM4 - Tawas City, MI 21 mi94 minENE 6G8.9 62°F 30.29
45163 23 mi54 minNE 9.7G14 61°F 1 ft30.29
HRBM4 - 9075014 - Harbor Beach, MI 31 mi74 minNNE 9.9G12 56°F 59°F30.2149°F
SBLM4 - Saginaw Bay Light #1, MI 33 mi74 minNE 13G14 60°F 30.23
45008 - S HURON 43NM East of Oscoda, MI 44 mi64 minNNE 7.8G9.7 54°F 55°F2 ft30.2746°F


Wind History for Harbor Beach, MI
(wind in knots)    EDIT      HIDE   Help
toggle option: (graph/table)



Airport Reports
    EDIT      HIDE   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KBAX HURON COUNTY MEMORIAL,MI 20 sm18 minNNE 0610 smClear66°F43°F43%30.24
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KBAX
   
NEW Forecast page for KBAX


Wind History graph: BAX
(wind in knots)
toggle option: (graph/table)


Tide / Current for
   
EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   HIDE   Help

Tide / Current for
   EDIT      HIDE   Help

Weather Map
      HIDE   Help


GEOS Local Image of great lakes   
EDIT   HIDE



Detroit, MI,




NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE