Thursday, October17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Southwest Harbor, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 5:49PM Thursday October 17, 2019 1:34 PM EDT (17:34 UTC) Moonrise 8:09PMMoonset 10:25AM Illumination 83% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 1154 Am Edt Thu Oct 17 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday evening...
This afternoon..S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm early.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Rain likely in the evening.
Fri..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, subsiding to 2 to 4 ft in the afternoon.
Fri night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Sun..E winds around 5 kt, becoming w. Seas 1 foot or less.
Mon..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the evening, then increasing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less, then 2 to 4 ft.
ANZ005 1154 Am Edt Thu Oct 17 2019
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. Intensifying low pressure over southern new england today will cross the waters tonight. The low continues north into the maritimes on Friday. High pressure then builds in through early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Southwest Harbor CDP, ME
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location: 44.24, -68.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 171607
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1207 pm edt Thu oct 17 2019

Synopsis
A deep low pressure system over massachusetts this morning will
weaken and slide east across southern maine this evening and
into the maritimes on Friday. High pressure will return through
the weekend and into Monday. Another frontal system will move
into maine on Tuesday.

Near term through Friday
12pm update... Cancelled the high wind warning and wind
advisories except in northeast aroostook county where winds are
still close to advisory criteria. The storm warning over the
coastal waters has been converted to a small craft advisory
through Friday. The last of the stronger winds and heavier
rainfall is currently moving north through northern aroostook
county and will exit that area into canada in the next few
hours. A second area of rain with the vertically stacked low
will move across southern zones later this afternoon into the
evening, but precip amounts should remain well under a quarter
inch.

Prev discussion blo...

sfc low has deepened to 975mb over ERN massachusetts. Expect
that sfc low wl deepen further as it heads north into SRN new
hampshire this mrng. Still looking a main brunt of the winds
focused on coastal downeast fm now through 14z this mrng.

Cadillac mountain has a sustained wind of 24 mph with a gust to
52 mph. All indications are that h9 winds wl MAX out between
12z-13z this morning in the high wind warning areas before
diminishing. All headlines still look good at this time. Briefly
toyed with the idea of expanding wind warning into northern
hancock and washington counties but wl just continue with wind
advisories in these locations.

Moderate rain has finally mvd into swrn areas of CWA this
morning with reflectivities topping out around 40 dbz. More
intense echoes were present earlier tonight ovr ma nh with
lightning strike noted ovr swrn maine ahead of dry slot.

Hv mvd in dry slot much quicker than previously fcst as 1-min
satellite imagery showing it mvg in to SRN nh ATTM and likely
rotating into SRN areas shortly aft noon tda. Heaviest rainfall
likely to occur just to the north of dry slot thru the day as
evidenced drg the ovrngt hrs. Still looking at storm totals btwn
1-1.25 inches for downeast and btwn 0.5-0.75 inches elsewhere,
outside of higher terrain areas.

Short term Friday night through Sunday night
At the start of the period a low will be centered over eastern
new brunswick with wrap around precipitation affecting all of
maine. A high pressure ridge will be build from the gulf of
mexico to hudson bay. These two system will produce gusty
northwest wind across the area. The low will continue to track
east towards the maritimes Friday evening. Gusty winds will
continue into Saturday afternoon until the high pressure system
crest over the area. High pressure will dominate through the end
of the period.

Loaded a blend of the GFS nam ECMWF gem to smooth out the minor
differences in the models.

Long term Monday through Wednesday
High pressure will be crested over the area at the start of the
period. Two lows will be approaching the area one in the great
plain region the other along the coast of virginia. High
pressure will remain over the area through Tuesday morning. The
low over the plains moves east to lake superior with a front
extend through the central great lakes region. The low moving
along the coast moves north to the south east of long island ny.

Tuesday morning these system merge over new hampshire with a
warm front extending into southwest maine. By Tuesday afternoon
the warm front moves to eastern maine. Wednesday morning the
cold front moves east of maine. Northern maine will remain under
wrap around precipitation through Thursday afternoon. Another
low and frontal system moving east through the plains Thursday
afternoon, will be approaching western maine at the end of the
period.

Loaded a blend of models to smooth out the minor differences.

Aviation 16z Thursday through Monday
Near term: MVFR ifr in widespread rain this morning.

Restrictions possible in patchy fog and low-level stratus drg
the evng and overnight hours. Winds will be gusty this morning
fm the east northeast before becoming nwrly tonight.

Llws expected first several hours at bhb (65kt), bgr (55kt) and
hul (50kt) will diminish this morning.

Short term:
Friday morning through Monday. Friday morning through Saturday
morning... Low MVFR in showers, gusty winds. Skycon and vsby
improving Fri afternoon to MVFR, then toVFR Saturday morning
gusty winds will continue until Saturday afternoon.

Saturday morning through Monday...VFR conditions under high pressure.

Marine
12pm update... Cancelled the storm warning and hoisted a small
craft advisory for this afternoon through Friday.

Near term: storm warning continues until noon today. A gale will
likely be needed into early this afternoon. Seas will remain
between 5-10 feet for all waters through tonight.

Short term: a small craft advisory is likely mid morning
Saturday. Winds and seas below SCA mid day Saturday through
Monday.

Tides coastal flooding
Waves are running from 5 to 8 feet this morning. Waves will
increase to near 12 feet on the coast this morning as a
southerly swell of 10-12 sec moves in. High tide this afternoon
around 1:30 pm may result in minor splashover, mainly along the
washington county coast in vulnerable areas as well as the
southern end of mdi and schoodic point.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... Wind advisory until 4 pm edt this afternoon for mez002.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt Friday for anz050>052.

Near term... Farrar
short term... Norton
long term... Norton
aviation... Farrar norton
marine... Farrar norton
tides coastal flooding...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 13 mi46 min S 2.9 G 8.9 54°F983.8 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 16 mi90 min S 19 G 23 54°F 53°F13 ft983.2 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 22 mi34 min S 26 G 30 984 hPa (+1.2)
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 37 mi90 min S 21 G 25 53°F 54°F9 ft980.2 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME15 mi38 minS 1210.00 miOvercast53°F48°F83%984 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBHB

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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1 day agoW8W7W73W4W3CalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmNW3CalmN3N3CalmCalmSE3SW8S11
2 days agoS12S11S12S8SE6SE7SE4CalmE3CalmNW4CalmNW3NW45N4W3NW3Calm6NW7NW8W8SW9

Tide / Current Tables for Bass Harbor, Mount Desert Island, Maine
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Mackerel Cove, Maine
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Mackerel Cove
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:22 AM EDT     9.91 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:26 AM EDT     0.98 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 01:29 PM EDT     10.67 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:55 PM EDT     0.24 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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8.89.89.78.66.74.32.21.11.22.44.57.19.310.510.59.47.552.50.80.20.92.64.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.