Willsboro, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Willsboro, NY

June 18, 2024 6:48 PM EDT (22:48 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:06 AM   Sunset 8:42 PM
Moonrise 5:37 PM   Moonset 2:27 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Willsboro, NY
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Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 182005 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 405 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

SYNOPSIS
A period of dangerous heat and humidity will continue across the region into Thursday. Highs will reach well into the 90s each day, and overnight temperatures will remain muggy and uncomfortable.
Please be sure to take appropriate precautions to avoid heat stress through the remainder of this week. Although an isolated thunderstorm can't be ruled out Tuesday or Wednesday, greater chances for showers and thunderstorms arrive late Thursday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
As of 404 PM EDT Tuesday...Dangerous heat is expected to continue across the region through Thursday with a strong upper level ridge continue to amplify as it shifts towards the region. Despite the showers and cloud cover early in the day, temperatures this afternoon have warmed into the upper 80s and 90s, with heat indices in the upper 90s to low 100s. This period of prolonged heat will continue the next couple of days, with a Heat Advisory in effect until 8PM Thursday. Some isolated showers and thunderstorms may pop up throughout the afternoon into the evening due with plenty of available CAPE given the moist airmass and warm temperatures, although lack of forcing and shear will limit any development.
Overnight lows will continue to be quite warm amd humid, with temperatures struggling to drop below 70 in several locations, which will add to the cumulative impacts of the heat. Some patchy fog may develop overnight, especially across northern New York where rain had fallen this morning.

Tomorrow looks to be a few degrees hotter than today, with highs climbing into the 90s and heat indices once again near or exceeding 100F. Experimental NWS HeatRisk highlights the threat well, showing major to extreme risk of heat related impacts for the middle of this week. Be sure to practice heat safety by staying hydrated, avoiding strenuous outdoor activity and checking up on your family, friends, neighbors, and those most vulnerable to heat. Several CAMs are showing the development of some isolated to scattered thunderstorms and showers across the forecast area, particularly along the periphery of the upper level ridge and across the Adirondacks.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
As of 404 PM EDT Tuesday...Thursday will be the final day of this early summer heat have with temperatures forecast to range from the upper 80s along the Canadian border to low/mid 90s across south/central VT. Relief is in sight though as a weak cold front remains progged to drop southward through the region during the mid- day to evening hours. Timing of the front will play a large role in the forecast temps, as well as the convective potential, which right now coincides with peak heating. Forecast soundings indicate 1500-2500J/kg of SBCAPE likely, but 0-6km shear isn't very impressive. Thoughts are pulse storms will be likely, with heavy rain and downbursts the greatest threat with DCAPES > 1000 J/kg and PWATs still up around 2". As the front shifts south of the region Thursday evening, and with the loss of surface heating, showers and storms will dissipate but mild and muggy conditions will continue Thursday night with lows only in the mid/upper 60s for most areas.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 404 PM EDT Tuesday...Brief high pressure looks to build across southern Ontario and Quebec on Friday, filtering in across northern zones, but the aforementioned cold front will stall across southern New England and may provide the focus for additional showers and isolated thunderstorms to develop across Rutland/Windsor counties in the afternoon. Thereafter for the weekend, several shortwave troughs will renew chances for showers and isolated storms, with moderate to heavy rain a possibility as PWATs surge again to near 2".
Temperatures won't be quite as warm as they currently are, but will remain above normal in the 80s with dewpoints likely in the 60s so it will continue to feel quite humid.

AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Through 18Z Wednesday...VFR conditions currently prevailing across all terminals this afternoon, and are expected to continue throughout most of the forecast period. Some isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon, although the hit-or-miss nature and limited areal coverage of any storms that may develop make it hard to pinpoint their exact location. After some showers across northern New York this morning, there is a chance for some patchy fog development, particularly at KSLK although limited it to VCFG due to lack of confidence. Winds are generally light and southerly during the forecast period.

Outlook...

Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Chance TSRA.
Thursday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Friday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Friday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Saturday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Saturday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Sunday: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Likely SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.

CLIMATE
Hot temperatures will result in values near records by the middle of next week. Below are some of the records under threat of being broken.

Record High Temperatures:

June 18: KBTV: 97/1994 Forecast 95 KMPV: 93/1994 Forecast 92 KPBG: 94/1994 Forecast 91 KMSS: 97/1994 Forecast 93 KSLK: 94/1907 Forecast 90

June 19: KBTV: 100/1995 Forecast 95 KMPV: 95/1995 Forecast 93 KPBG: 93/2001 Forecast 92 KMSS: 94/1955 Forecast 92 KSLK: 93/1994 Forecast 89

June 20: KBTV: 95/2012 Forecast 93 KMPV: 90/2020 Forecast 92 KPBG: 94/1964 Forecast 90 KMSS: 92/2012 Forecast 89 KSLK: 92/1995 Forecast 87

Record High Minimum Temperatures: June 18: KBTV: 73/1994 Forecast 74

June 19: KPBG: 70/1949 Forecast 74

June 20: KPBG: 70/1953 Forecast 74 KSLK: 68/2012 Forecast 65

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VT...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for VTZ001>011-016>021.
NY...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for NYZ026>031-034-035- 087.




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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KBTV BURLINGTON INTL,VT 14 sm54 minS 0810 smPartly Cloudy91°F70°F49%30.12
KPBG PLATTSBURGH INTL,NY 24 sm55 minvar 0310 smMostly Cloudy Lt Rain 82°F70°F66%30.12
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Burlington, VT,




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