Tuesday, January26, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Winter Harbor, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:58AMSunset 4:36PM Tuesday January 26, 2021 11:26 PM EST (04:26 UTC) Moonrise 3:16PMMoonset 6:31AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ050 Coastal Waters From Eastport, Me To Schoodic Point, Me Out 25 Nm- 720 Pm Est Tue Jan 26 2021
Overnight..E winds around 5 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 foot or less, then around 2 ft. Isolated showers early this evening, then scattered showers late this evening and overnight.
Wed..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Scattered showers in the morning.
Wed night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of snow showers in the evening, then snow showers likely after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri..N winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of snow showers in the morning. Light freezing spray in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri night..N winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Sat..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, subsiding to 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
ANZ005 720 Pm Est Tue Jan 26 2021
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. Low pres will track S of the by Wed. A stronger storm system will track well S of the waters Thu into Thu night followed by an upper level low from northern ontario tracking se over the waters on Fri. Canadian high pres will then build toward the waters over the weekend then move E on Mon.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Winter Harbor, ME
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location: 44.4, -67.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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FXUS61 KCAR 270334 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 1034 PM EST Tue Jan 26 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will move east of the region overnight. Low pressure will track to our south on Wednesday. A stronger low will pass well to our south Thursday, followed by an upper level low from Ontario tracking southwest of the region Thursday night and Fri. High pressure will build in from the west Saturday and Sunday then move east Monday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. 1020 PM Update . Adjusted the pops across eastern Aroostook, especially the Houlton region as the radar was picking up some light returns. The latest HRRR/ARW was hinting at some light precip in this areas pushing in from New Brunswick. The RAP soundings picked up deep moisture through 800 mbs w/ese through the same level. Decent llvl convergence in place w/some weak lift will allow for some light precip in the form of snow/drizzle. For consistency purposes kept the wx element as snow showers. Clouds across the region have kept temps up and light adjustments were made to match the latest conditions. The rest of the forecast was unchanged.

Previous discussion . The semi ridge axis will give way to an approaching upper level trough. At the surface weak low pressure over Western New York will track East-Southeast into the Gulf of Maine. Low level moisture will advect northward from the Gulf of Maine into the FA after sunset. As clouds thicken and the column moistens up expect snow showers and eventually steady very light snow develops. This system is running into a road block which is the ridge axis that will be located over New Brunswick through Wednesday. This forces the best lift, moisture and support for light snow to be pushed south into the Gulf of Maine. At the same time a weak surface feature pushing through the St. Lawrence running into the ridging will kick off a few snow showers & perhaps some very light snow across the northern FA. By Wednesday morning only expecting a Dusting to perhaps 1/2" in Downeast areas back to the Bangor region. Generally just a dusting across the North down to the Central Highlands. Increasing cloud cover with warm air advection aloft will mean surface temperatures remain mild for this time of year with lows in the 20s with teens in the North Woods.

Wednesday an 850mb high will be pushing south over the St. Lawrence River and Gaspe Peninsula. This will likely kick back some drier air to eat away at snow showers across Eastern areas of Downeast Maine back to the Presque Isle area. Leftover 850-500mb moisture combined with remaining shortwave energy suggest still seeing isolated to scattered snow showers from the St. John Valley into the North Woods then south along GYX CWA to Bangor region. Additional snowfall during the day of a tenth to perhaps a half of an inch. Highs tomorrow will be very warm for this time of year. Bangor will be near the freezing mark which is 5 degrees above average. Caribou will top out in the upper 20s which is 10 degrees above average.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. With NAO still sig negative, mid lvl (700-500mb) anom directional comp of the flow alf will remain Nrly component not just thru the short term but nearly all of the long term. The net effect of this flow regime will be to deflect more sig moisture from low pres systems from the midwest/plains well to our south, leaving our Rgn with minor sn accumulations from ocnl very light snow, flurries, and/or isold to sct sn shwrs thru Fri.

Skies will remain mcldy Wed Ngt into Thu as weak subsidence from the N tries to push whats left of any lgt sn as sct lgt sn shwrs to Wrn ptns of the FA from the old dissipating midwest low pres system. Later in the day Thu an upper low from NE Ont prov digging SSE toward Cntl New Eng will bring more enhance sn shwrs to spcly Cntrl and Wrn ptns of the FA thru Thu ngt into erly Fri morn. Models do indicate a lmtd mid lvl warm advcn conveyor belt on the east side of the upper low transecting Cntrl/Wrn ptns of the FA ovrngt Thu that could result in lclzd enhanced banding of sn shwrs ovr this ptn of the FA where PoPs are greatest in the hi chc to low likely range.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. Ptly to mcldy skies N and ptly cldy to mclr skies Cntrl and Downeast is xpctd Fri Ngt thru Sun with brisk NNW winds are xpctd behind the departure of the upper low, allowing somewhat colder arctic air held just W of the Rgn ovr QB prov by N Atlc/NE Can blocking to advc ewrd ovr the Rgn. The coldest dytm temps look to be on Sat with a little recovery by Sun aftn. Fcst lows will be closer to seasonal norms, with only lmtd late ngt arctic sfc bas invsn potential for inland vly areas due to remnant sfc-blyr winds and cld cvr. Mon attm still looks dry with a cont'd slow moderation trend of aftn hi temps.

The first chc of any sig precip for ptns or all of our FA looks to be more toward at least late Mon ngt and more likely Tue, with tmg, track, and intensity details still uncertain attm, dependent on how much blocking ovr far Nern CAn and the N Atlc remains and phasing between Nrn/Srn branches of the upper jet. The consensus of longer range models indicate a low tracking alg of just S of the Gulf of ME from the mid Atlc states, suggest weighting high chc PoPs Downeast to low chc or even slgt chc PoPs ovr the far N in all sn this initial go round of the fcst and then adjust accordingly based on consensus model trends in subsequent updates getting closer to the event.

AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. NEAR TERM: Tonight . North Terminals: MVFR clgs becoming IFR after 03z. Scattered snow showers becoming Light Snow. N-NE winds around 5 kts. Southern Terminals: VFR becoming MVFR clgs around 03z. Becoming IFR clgs/vsby by 09z. Light snow. N-NE winds 5-10 kts.

Wednesday . IFR clgs early becoming MVFR mid morning. CAR to HUL clgs rise to VFR late afternoon. MVFR continues at FVE, BGR & BHB. NE winds 5-10 kts.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: Wed Ngt - Thu . mainly MVFR all TAF sites with intervals of VFR clgs Downeast TAF sites. Isold sn shwrs with brief MVFR vsbys. Lgt winds becoming N by Thu Ngt.

Thu Ngt - Fri Morn . mainly MVFR clgs all TAF sites with possible MVFR vsbys in sct sn shwrs. Lgt to mdt NNW winds.

Sat . MVFR clgs Nrn TAF sites with VFR conditons Downeast sites. Mdt NW winds.

Sat Ngt - Sun . VFR all TAF sites with lgt winds.

MARINE. NEAR TERM: Winds/seas remain below SCA through the period. NE Winds 5 to 15kts tonight becoming 10 to 15kts late Wed afternoon. A few gusts after sunset Wed up to 20kts. Snow showers this evening becoming light snow after midnight. Visibility 3 to 5nm drop to 1 to 3nm. Light snow mixes with rain Wednesday before tapering to showers late afternoon. Visibility improves to 5nm or greater.

SHORT TO LONG TERM: Winds and seas will be at and msly below marginal SCA thresholds Wed ngt thru Thu. Aftwrds, Thu ngt into Sat Eve at at least SCA conditions are xpctd associated with strong llvl cold advcn peaking int strong SCA with NW wind gusts to 30kt Fri aftn thru Fri eve. Cannot rule out gale force gusts during the peak time. Kept close to blended wv model guidance for fcst wv hts thru these ptns of the fcst. Wvs will be mainly composed of two spectral groups; a short 3-5sec Swrd propagating group and a second open Atlc 10 to 15sec NW propagating propagating group.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . None. MARINE . None.



Near Term . Hewitt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 12 mi507 min 35°F 36°F1015.3 hPa (-1.4)
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 22 mi563 min ENE 5.8 G 9.7 35°F 44°F2 ft1017 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 31 mi507 min NE 11 G 13 1015.1 hPa
44027 36 mi517 min 9.7 G 14 35°F
CFWM1 - Cutler Farris Wharf, ME (8411060) 44 mi507 min NE 4.1 G 8 36°F 41°F1014.7 hPa (-1.0)

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME22 mi31 minN 610.00 miOvercast30°F25°F82%1015.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBHB

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Corea Harbor, Maine
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Corea Harbor
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Tue -- 02:35 AM EST     1.62 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:31 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 06:56 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:46 AM EST     10.70 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:15 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:19 PM EST     0.35 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:33 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:27 PM EST     9.37 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.62.81.81.72.74.66.99.110.410.79.98.15.63.11.30.40.61.94.16.48.39.39.28.1

Tide / Current Tables for Pinkham Bay, Dyer Bay, Maine
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Pinkham Bay
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Tue -- 02:37 AM EST     1.69 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:31 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 06:56 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:48 AM EST     11.16 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:15 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:21 PM EST     0.36 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:32 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:29 PM EST     9.77 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.931.91.82.74.77.29.410.811.110.48.563.41.40.40.61.94.26.68.69.69.68.5

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