Saturday, September19, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Hermon, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 7:06PM Saturday September 19, 2020 2:05 PM EDT (18:05 UTC) Moonrise 8:15AMMoonset 7:37PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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SLZ024 Expires:202009191530;;044581 Fzus61 Kbuf 191041 Glfsl Forecast For The Saint Lawrence River Including The Thousand Islands Region National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 641 Am Edt Sat Sep 19 2020 Slz022-024-191530- Saint Lawrence River From Cape Vincent To Saint Regis 641 Am Edt Sat Sep 19 2020
Today..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming north. Sunny.
Tonight..Light and variable winds. Mainly clear.
Sunday..Light and variable winds. Sunny.
Sunday night..Light and variable winds. Clear.
Monday..Light and variable winds. Clear.
Tuesday..West winds 10 knots or less. Mainly clear.
Wednesday..West winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Partly cloudy.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hermon, NY
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location: 44.45, -75.09     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 191744 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 144 PM EDT Sat Sep 19 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will ridge over the north country this weekend, resulting in clear skies, light winds, and near or below freezing overnight temperatures. Temperatures will remain below seasonal normals through the weekend, and frost and freeze conditions are expected each overnight period. An upper level ridge builds into the region early next week, temperatures return to near seasonal normals. Next chance for precipitation looks to now be Friday with a weak system passing through.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 144 PM EDT Saturday . Other than some minor tweaks to temperatures and dew points . temperatures up a couple of degrees and dew points down a few degrees as good mixing taking place . forecast remains on track. Quiet conditions with below normal temperatures despite a good deal of sunshine.

Previous Discussion . Another cool but quiet weather day is expected for today with mostly sunny skies and high temperatures well below seasonal normals. Temperatures today will only range through the 50s with some higher elevation spots remaining in the 40s. Though center of the surface high will drift closer to our forecast area today, we're still in the base of an upper trough which will have an impact on our cloud cover for today and into tonight. Some clouds move in along with weak upper level short wave energy. These clouds may keep the temperatures from falling too drastically tonight, though widespread frost is still anticipated and will likely see more headlines for that tonight. Overnight lows will dip into the 20s and 30s, closer to 40 along Lake Champlain. Clouds should keep temperatures from dropping quite as low as early this morning. Sunday will be yet another dry and cooler day, though probably even more sunshine than today. Temperatures will range through the 50s with some lower 60s in the warmer valleys, Champlain and St Lawrence.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. As of 324 AM EDT Saturday . Surface high pressure will remain anchored across the North Country Sunday night through Monday night with mid-level ridging building into the region by Monday morning. Another night of temperatures 10- 15 degrees below normal looks to be on tap Sunday night as we remain underneath the 850 mb and 500 mb cold pool but by the time Monday night approaches we will under the influence of weak low level warm air advection and the building ridge. This should help allow temperatures Monday night to be a few degrees warmer than the past few nights but still 7-10 degrees below normal. Widespread frost is expected Sunday night given light winds and clear skies with less frost expected Monday night with the warmer temperatures.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 324 AM EDT Saturday . Hurricane Teddy will past well east of benchmark during the day on Tuesday and is on track to make landfall over Nova Scotia on Wednesday. With model confidence increasing that this storm stays well to the east of the region, we have lowered PoPs down to less than 10%. A weakness in the surface high on Wednesday will allow for some moisture to work into eastern Vermont which will allow for some decent cloud cover to begin entering the region. A resurgence of the surface high will build back across the region on Thursday and we should see a warming trend on Wednesday and Thursday with high temperatures right around seasonal normals. Another cold front looks poised to push through the region on Friday but with much of the dynamics and surface convergence looking to be well north of the border, we will likely see just some isolated to scattered showers with lackluster rain totals. A return to below normal temperatures is expected for Friday and Saturday behind the cold front. There is some disagreement with rain chances as we head into the Saturday timeframe as the guidance is split as the upper level trough swings through over the weekend. This is a noticeable shift from the model solutions from yesterday so we have gone with 20% PoPs for now until we can see how the models evolve over the next several cycles.

Based on the mid-level flow, it wouldn't be surprising to see some elevated smoke Thursday and Friday like we saw earlier in the week. Once the cold front swings through Friday afternoon, the smoke would one again be suppressed to our south.

AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Through 18Z Sunday . VFR conditions through the TAF period as high pressure remains over the area to minimize ceilings and limited surface moisture will preclude fog development. Will see 7 to 12 knot winds from the west to northwest, except northerly in Champlain Valley, through about 23Z before diminishing to 5 knots or less. After sunrise winds will pick back up to 5 to 9 knots generally from the north, except at MSS where flow will remain under 4 knots.

Outlook .

Sunday Night: VFR. Patchy frost. Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Monday Night: VFR. Patchy frost. Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. VT . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . Neiles NEAR TERM . Evenson/Neiles SHORT TERM . Clay LONG TERM . Clay AVIATION . Kutikoff


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OBGN6 - 8311030 - Ogdensburg, NY 28 mi47 min 52°F 68°F1030.2 hPa
ALXN6 - 8311062 - Alexandria Bay, NY 45 mi47 min 67°F1030.2 hPa

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Massena, Massena International-Richards Field, NY36 mi72 minW 810.00 miA Few Clouds53°F33°F47%1030.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMSS

Wind History from MSS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN10
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NW5NW5NW7NW4NW4NW4NW3CalmSE3CalmCalmCalmS4W3CalmCalm5W8--
1 day agoNW4NW4N4N3NW5CalmCalmN4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE5N75NW9
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2 days agoSW21
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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