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Marine Weather and Tides
Version 3.4 |
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen |
| Sunrise 6:03AM | Sunset 7:42PM | Saturday August 24, 2019 2:50 PM CDT (19:50 UTC) | Moonrise 12:00AM | Moonset 2:57PM | Illumination 32% |  |
LMZ346 Expires:201908242315;;138268 Fzus53 Kapx 241501 Nshapx Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Gaylord Mi 1101 Am Edt Sat Aug 24 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore On Lakes Huron... Michigan And Superior. Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lmz345-346-242315- Point Betsie To Sleeping Bear Point Mi- Manistee To Point Betsie Mi- 1101 Am Edt Sat Aug 24 2019
Today..East wind 5 to 10 knots becoming north. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..East wind 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday..Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday night..Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less. SEe the open lakes forecast for days 3 through 5.
Today..East wind 5 to 10 knots becoming north. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..East wind 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday..Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday night..Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less. SEe the open lakes forecast for days 3 through 5.
LMZ346
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Arcadia, MI
Hourly EDIT Helplocation: 44.48, -86.25 debug
Area Discussion for - Gaylord, MI
(on/off) Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition| Fxus63 kapx 241838 afdapx area forecast discussion national weather service gaylord mi 238 pm edt Sat aug 24 2019 Update Issued at 1139 am edt Sat aug 24 2019 morning composite analysis reveals a sharp short-wave ridge axis up through the midwest far western great lakes this morning, part of a omega block wannabe pattern currently set-up across the region. Strong surface high pressure is centered just northeast of state with northeasterly flow cycling cool dry air through the region. Skies were mainly clear earlier this morning, save for some lake streamers off lake huron into the saginaw bay oscoda region. Inland CU deck is now in the process of forming. A nice day is on tap overall. Developing CU field will continue to expand a bit over the next few hours but likely begin to "mix out" through the afternoon as we tap some very dry air aloft (per this mornings apx sounding). Mostly sunny overall although some spots might see some period of partly sunny skies. With a bit more sun and slowly moderating low level temperatures, high temps today will be a little warmer compared to Friday although still off the mark for late august normal highs. Near term (today through tonight) issued at 233 am edt Sat aug 24 2019 impactful weather: minimal none. Pattern synopsis and forecast: early this morning, mid level ridging was moving in overhead, while a vast area sfc high pressure and dry air was dominating the weather from quebec all the way down into the mid mississippi ohio valleys. Skies were pretty darn clear, and winds were light calm, with areas of fog developing. The areas of fog will burn off quickly after sunrise, with a day of plenty of Sun anticipated, more than yesterday. Just some typical cumulus again, while all of the instability and deeper moisture well south and west of here. Light east winds will turn to lake breezes this afternoon, while highs top out in the beautiful low to mid 70s. Cumulus fades with nightfall, and more clear skies for tonight. Winds remain light for good radiational cooling and likely more areas of fog. Lows mostly in the low to mid 40s. Short term (Sunday through Monday) issued at 233 am edt Sat aug 24 2019 high impact weather potential: minimal. Pattern synopsis forecast: mid-level ridge axis centered across northern michigan tonight into early Sunday will gradually shift eastward through early next week, replaced by height falls associated with an approaching vertically stacked low pressure system set to trek across southern canada during the early to middle portions of next week. Initial return flow will be relatively weak through the day Sunday before gradually strengthening Sunday night into Monday morning as the pressure gradient tightens between departing surface high pressure and an incoming cold front attendant to aforementioned low pressure. Primary forecast concerns challenges: increasing pops, mainly Monday afternoon. Little in the way of sensible weather is anticipated across northern michigan Sunday through Sunday night as sfc high pressure gradually presses eastward toward the northeast to wrap up the weekend. High temperatures Sunday expected to range from the upper 70s to low 80s area-wide, and with a rather paltry airmass remaining in place - lots of sunshine is expected to be the rule. More mild overnight |
lows than the last several nights... Bottoming out in the 50s to around 60 degrees for most. Attention rather quickly turns toward Monday with return flow ramping up in earnest across the local area, evident by increasing deep layer moisture fields (pws progged above 1.50 inches by midday Monday). As was alluded to by the prior discussion, guidance has trended a bit quicker with precip arrival than was noted just 24 hours ago, in particular lifting southern stream energy into the southern great lakes quite a bit quicker. Certainly not all guidance is on board with this thought and would continue to tend to favor a bit of a slower solution, with the idea of showers sneaking into parts of the forecast area Monday afternoon before becoming more widespread Monday night into Tuesday morning. High temperatures once again in the upper 70s and low 80s across n. Mi on Monday. Long term (Monday night through Friday) issued at 233 am edt Sat aug 24 2019 high impact weather potential: scattered thunderstorms possible Monday night into Tuesday morning. Latest trends continue to suggest cold frontal passage still appearing most likely early in the day Tuesday, with showers becoming likely Monday night through Tuesday morning... Potentially with some much-needed healthy rainfall totals across parts of the area. Suppose there could be a few embedded rumbles of thunder given the progged strength of forcing for ascent expected to slide across the region, despite poor frontal timing. Beyond Tuesday morning through midweek, can't rule out an occasional shower across parts of the area given lobes of deeper moisture expected to pinwheel around larger scale parent troughing expected to be in place across the northern tier of the conus. This to potentially be followed by another frontal passage late in the week, although confidence is rather low in that solution. Aviation (for the 18z tafs through 18z Sunday afternoon) issued at 238 pm edt Sat aug 24 2019 strong high pressure across the region will provide solidVFR conditions through Sunday morning. That said, some shallow fog will again be possible particularly across north-central and ne lower michigan. Otherwise, light winds this afternoon and tonight. SE winds pick up some Sunday afternoon. Marine Issued at 233 am edt Sat aug 24 2019 a large area of high pressure will continue to dominate the great lakes today with plenty of Sun and light winds turning out of the east, then lake breezes for this afternoon. The high pressure slides east of the great lakes tonight, with winds increasing and turning more out of the SE for Sunday night into Monday. No headlines foreseen through Sunday, but maybe some sporadic advisory level gusts are possible Sunday night, but chances are better for Monday Monday night when the next chance of showers and possible storms arrive. Apx watches warnings advisories Mi... None. Lh... None. Lm... None. Ls... None. Update... Ba near term... Smd short term... Mg long term... Mg aviation... Ba marine... Smd |
Weather Reporting Stations
EDIT (on/off) Help NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | Pressure | DewPt |
| MEEM4 - Manistee Harbor, MI | 17 mi | 70 min | NNW 8.9 G 9.9 | 71°F | 1027.1 hPa | |||
| BSBM4 - Big Sable Point, MI | 33 mi | 70 min | NNW 8.9 G 9.9 | 70°F | 1026.8 hPa | |||
| LDTM4 - 9087023 - Ludington, MI | 38 mi | 56 min | WNW 7 G 12 | 68°F | 52°F | |||
| 45024 | 39 mi | 30 min | WNW 7.8 G 9.7 | 67°F | 64°F | 1 ft | 1024.9 hPa | 54°F |
| 45183 | 41 mi | 50 min | N 9.7 G 12 | 67°F | 68°F | 1028 hPa |
Wind History for Ludington, MI
(wind in knots) EDIT (on/off) Help| 4 PM | 5 PM | 6 PM | 7 PM | 8 PM | 9 PM | 10 PM | 11 PM | 12 AM | 1 AM | 2 AM | 3 AM | 4 AM | 5 AM | 6 AM | 7 AM | 8 AM | 9 AM | 10 AM | 11 AM | 12 PM | 1 PM | 2 PM | 3 PM | |
| Last 24hr | N G13 | N G10 | N G13 | N G10 | N G9 | N G7 | NE G7 | NE G7 | E | E | E | E | E | NE | E | E | E | E | E G10 | E G9 | E G8 | E | NW G8 | W G13 |
| 1 day ago | N G13 | N G11 | N G9 | N G9 | N G8 | N | N | NE G7 | NE G7 | NE | E | NE | E | E | NE | NE | E | NE | NE G9 | NE G12 | NE G10 | NE | N G7 | N G12 |
| 2 days ago | N G11 | N G8 | NW G7 | N G8 | NE | NE | NE | NE | NE G9 | E | NE G6 | E | NE | E | E | E | E | E | E G7 | N G9 | N G9 | NW G11 | NE G10 | N G14 |
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Visibility | Sky/Weather | Temp | DewPt | Humidity | Pressure |
| Frankfort, Frankfort Dow Memorial Field Airport, MI | 10 mi | 55 min | NNW 9 | 10.00 mi | Fair | 74°F | 46°F | 38% | 1026.4 hPa |
| Manistee County - Blacker Airport, MI | 14 mi | 54 min | N 7 | 10.00 mi | Fair | 72°F | 53°F | 52% | 1025.8 hPa |
Link to 5 minute data for KFKS
Wind History from FKS (wind in knots)
| 5 PM | 6 PM | 7 PM | 8 PM | 9 PM | 10 PM | 11 PM | 12 AM | 1 AM | 2 AM | 3 AM | 4 AM | 5 AM | 6 AM | 7 AM | 8 AM | 9 AM | 10 AM | 11 AM | 12 PM | 1 PM | 2 PM | 3 PM | 4 PM | |
| Last 24hr | N G14 | N | N | N | N | Calm | Calm | NE | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | E | Calm | Calm | W | W | N |
| 1 day ago | NE | N G14 | NE | N | N | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | SE | NE | N | N | N | N | N |
| 2 days ago | NW | N | W | Calm | N | NE | N | Calm | N | N | N | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | NW | N | N | N | N | N G14 |
Tide / Current Tables for
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GOES Local Image of EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop
Other links: Northern Pacific Contential US Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Gaylord, MI (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Gaylord, MI
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Disclaimer: The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program. |