Marine Weather and Tides
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
|Sunrise 5:45AM||Sunset 8:11PM||Friday August 7, 2020 1:30 PM EDT (17:30 UTC)||Moonrise 10:25PM||Moonset 9:36AM||Illumination 86%|
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Jericho, VTHourly EDIT Help
Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT  (on/off)  Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KBTV 071339 AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 939 AM EDT Fri Aug 7 2020
SYNOPSIS. Another nice day is on tap for the North Country as we see temperatures climb into the upper 70s to low 80s under filtered sunlight. While we could see a few showers across southern Vermont today, we should be dry through much of the day. Additional showers will be possible this evening and overnight across southern and central Vermont tonight. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms will be possible Saturday afternoon but will largely be anchored to the higher terrain of the Green and Adirondack Mountains. A lull in shower activity is expected on Sunday but unsettled weather is expected to move back into the region early next week. While temperatures have been cooler over the past several days, we will begin to see a warming trend next week with temperatures approaching 90 degrees early next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 929 AM EDT Friday . Scattered showers across eastern New York and southern Vermont are currently making their way into Rutland, Windsor, and southern Addison counties in Vermont, though radar indicates that these showers are weakening. Overall, one tenth of an inch or less of rainfall can be expected in these areas through the next couple of hours. With that said, probability of precipitation was increased using the RAP model guidance, as was the rainfall accumulation forecast for southern Vermont. The rest of the going forecast remains unchanged.
Previous Discussion . A batch of cirrus clouds associated with convection yesterday across the Mid-Atlantic tracked across Vermont this morning which helped keep our temperatures from dropping as low as we say yesterday morning. Northern New York, on the other hand, has been clear much of the night with lows dropping into the mid 40s to lower 50s. The combination of clear skies and light winds have allowed for the formation of fog in the sheltered Valleys near the Adirondack Mountains. This fog will lift around 8 AM with partly to mostly sunny skies on tap for much of the North Country through much of the afternoon hours. Some low to mid-level clouds will begin to work into southern Vermont this afternoon as we see some convection over southern New York in advance of an upper level trough over far western New York. We could see a stray shower or two this afternoon across southern Vermont but our forecast soundings are very stable and should keep most, if not all, shower activity at bay today.
Continued convection over the Mid-Atlantic will move into portions of southern and central Vermont this evening and overnight as a shortwave embedded in the approaching upper level trough moves through. The 00Z runs of the GFS/NAM/ECMWF all depict some decent shower activity across the aforementioned locations but thunderstorm potential will be NIL given a very stable environment. These showers will exit quickly Saturday morning as the leading edge of the upper level trough swings through. We will see diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms across the Green and Adirondack Mountains Saturday afternoon with the latest forecast soundings showing a few hours of surface based instability. With steering current between 10-15 knots, we will see some of these showers and thunderstorms drift off the mountains but the overall areal coverage is expected to be quite limited. These showers and thunderstorms will dissipate as we head into the evening hours and the atmosphere begins to stabilize.
SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 316 AM EDT Friday . Saturday night into Sunday continues to look mainly dry as a brief ridge of high pressure builds in. Temperatures will be a few degrees warmer than the previous day given the onset of southwesterly low-level flow. Highs will be in the low to mid 80s Sunday. Precipitation chances increase slightly going into Sunday night, mainly along the Canadian Border, as a northern stream shortwave clips the northern part of our forecast area.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 316 AM EDT Friday . Subtle height rises will support dry conditions Monday morning to start off the work week. As the day progresses, increasing magnitude of westerly/southwesterly flow will result in rising temperatures, humidity, and general instability. Have included a slight chance (15 to 25 percent) of precipitation during the afternoon hours Monday as models indicating a flattening of the ridge with the potential for some weak energy to ripple through during peak daytime heating and spark some isolated showers/tstorms. Precipitation won't be widespread however given lack of forcing. Precipitation chances increase Tuesday/Tuesday night with a front progged to move through. Plenty of instability by this point with temps in the mid to upper 80s and relatively high dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s. Threat for thunderstorms as the front moves through will depend on timing of the boundary passage, but have mentioned potential for some thunderstorms for Tuesday afternoon. Deep layer shear around 15 kts will limit any widespread severe threat.
AVIATION /14Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Through 12Z Saturday . VFR conditions and light winds will continue at all terminals through the forecast period. We are monitoring a complex of showers moving into central New York as they have held together overnight and early this morning. KRUT could get into some rain showers around 13Z but the latest model soundings suggest an abundant amount of dry air that must first be overcome. This should help keep ceilings and visibilities predominantly VFR through the period of showers. A break in shower activity will develop around 17Z before another batch of showers works into the region overnight.
Saturday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA. Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Monday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA. Monday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA. Tuesday: VFR. Likely SHRA, Chance TSRA.
BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. VT . None. NY . None.
SYNOPSIS . Clay NEAR TERM . Clay/Hammond SHORT TERM . Duell LONG TERM . Duell AVIATION . Clay
Weather Reporting StationsEDIT (on/off)  Help NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
|Stations||Dist||Age||Wind||Air Temp||Water Temp||Waves||Pressure||DewPt|
|45178||22 mi||30 min||Calm||75°F||73°F||1022.6 hPa (+0.0)|
|45188||35 mi||30 min||E 1.9||74°F||73°F||1022.6 hPa|
Airport ReportsEDIT (on/off)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
|Burlington, Burlington International Airport, VT||8 mi||36 min||NW 7||10.00 mi||Mostly Cloudy||80°F||59°F||49%||1021.5 hPa|
|Morrisville-Stowe State Airport, VT||21 mi||36 min||N 0||10.00 mi||Fair||76°F||55°F||50%||1022.6 hPa|
Link to 5 minute data for KBTV
Wind History from BTV (wind in knots)
|1 day ago||SW||SW||SW|
|2 days ago||E||SE||N||N||N|
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GEOS Local Image of EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop
Other links: Northern Pacific Contential US Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (13,3,4,5)(on/off)  Help
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