Friday, December6, 2019
Privacy Policy
L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Jericho, VT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 4:14PM Friday December 6, 2019 7:59 PM EST (00:59 UTC) Moonrise 2:43PMMoonset 2:08AM Illumination 76% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Jericho, VT
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 44.49, -73     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KBTV 070008 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 708 PM EST Fri Dec 6 2019

SYNOPSIS. Steady light snow will rapidly taper off to flurries this evening as a clipper system shifts east of the North Country. A few flurries will remain possible into Saturday with snow showers across higher summits. Mainly dry and colder weather arrives in the wake of this system Saturday afternoon before temperatures rebound nicely by this coming Sunday. The milder trend continues into early next week with increasing chances for rainfall by Monday afternoon into Tuesday. Cold conditions return for the middle of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. As of 622 PM EST Friday . Forcing for ascent, including 850-700mb frontogenesis, is rapidly shifting east of VT early this evening. This will allow steady light snow to taper off to flurries by 01-02Z. Please see recently issued Public Information Statement for today's snow reports. Cold air will begin advecting into the region overnight, and we should see temps fall into the upper single digits to lower teens.

For Saturday, upslope flurries and mountain snow showers continue, but will continue to decay, especially as flow becomes unblocked during the afternoon hours and the backside of an upper trough swings east later Saturday evening. Lower thickness advection under the trough will keep temps in the upper teens to mid 20s for the afternoon with cold conditions overnight. We will start to pick up a bit of southerly winds from increasing pressure gradients as surface high pressure quickly shifts east. Expect single digits to near 10 for lows on Saturday night.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 321 PM EST Friday . 1034mb high pres shifts off the southern New England Coast on Sunday as 925mb to 850mb low level jet of 45 to 50 knots develops and strong llvl waa occurs. Soundings indicating breezy conditions developing across northern NY into the CPV, where channeled flow will enhance the gusty winds. Localized gusts to 35 to 40 mph is possible. Meanwhile, ribbon of better 850 to 500mb rh will be lifting from southwest to northeast, along with some weak embedded 5h energy, which will be supported by waa lift, produce a period of light precip. Mainly rain showers anticipated in the slv/cpv, but cold bl temps and ground temps will support mention of some pockets of freezing rain, especially east of the Greens. Any ice accumulation will be light, but some slippery travel is expected on Sunday Night into early Monday. Temps warm into the mid 20s to mid 30s aft a cold start on Sunday and continue to warm overnight Sunday into Monday, with southerly winds and precip/cloud. Lows generally in the mid/upper 20s to mid 30s with temps warming overnight with highs upper 30s to upper 40s on Monday. The best forcing associated with weak boundary and deep moisture will be located over our western cwa on Monday, while brisk southwest flow of 50 knots at 850mb will limit qpf/pops across the cpv. Have tried to show enhanced pops/qpf over the High Peaks/northern VT. Breezy to gusty winds will continue, especially across the summits and aligned south to north valleys on Monday.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 321 PM EST Friday . Long wave pattern shows mid/upper level ridge across the eastern Conus breaking down as potent short wave trof deepens over the central Great Lakes. Sfc low pres will track from the Ohio Valley into the northern Great Lakes on Monday Night into Tuesday, while a sharp cold front crosses our fa. The combination of strong llvl convergence, good moisture advection with pws around 0.75" and favorable dynamics with 5h energy/trof will produce a period of showers associated with fropa late Monday Night into Tuesday. Rainfall amounts look to range from 0.25 to 0.75 with localized near 1.0 totals possible over the high peaks. Once again, downslope southwest winds of up to 50 knots will produce the cpv shadowing in the qpf fields.

Temps will be following a non diurnal trend, with steady or rising temps on Monday Night ahead of fropa, while sharp boundary results in falling temps during the aftn on Tuesday, especially northern NY/higher trrn. The potential for a flash freeze will need to be watched during this time period as temps will fall sharply behind boundary, but amount of leftover moisture and how quickly pavement cools/drys is very much uncertain attm. Progged 925mb temps warm 6 to 8c ahead of boundary by 12z Tues, before dropping back to -4c to -6c by 00z Weds, supporting potential flash freeze. Thinking lows Monday Night m/u 30s nek to mid 40s cpv, with highs tues mid 40s to lower 50s, before dropping back toward freezing during the aftn hours, except mid 20s dacks. Any linger rain showers will change back to snow showers behind boundary, but limited moisture and lift will result in minimal accumulation.

Secondary boundary with additional s/w energy and moisture arrive acrs our cwa on Weds. This combined with some lake enhanced moisture, thinking snow showers and potential snow squalls are possible. Have continued with high chc/low likely pops with highs mainly in the upper teens to mid/upper 20s. 1040mb high pres builds back into our cwa on Thurs into Friday with drier but chilly weather anticipated. Highs mainly mid teens to mid 20s with lows single digits to near 10f, but much colder if clear skies and light winds can develop during this time period.

AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Through 00Z Sunday . Steady light snow will taper off before ending at MPV and RUT by 02Z while light snow at BTV will diminish within the next hour. Otherwise, continued low cloud cover will yield mostly MVFR conditions at these TAF sites as well as at SLK, while VFR conditions will prevail at MSS and PBG tonight with more scattered clouds and higher ceilings. All sites should be VFR tomorrow through the evening, although MVFR conditions may linger at BTV and SLK (due to ceilings between 2000 and 3000 feet) through 20Z. A shift from northwest to westerly and southwesterly winds will occur at SLK and MSS, respectively, towards daybreak, but elsewhere little change in winds through the next 24 hours. Wind speeds will remain light at under 10 knots.

Outlook .

Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Windy with gusts to 30 kt. Chance FZRA, Slight chance RA. Monday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Definite RA, Likely FZRA. Monday Night: Mainly IFR, with areas MVFR possible. Definite SHRA. Tuesday: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Chance SHRA. Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHSN. Wednesday: VFR. Chance SHSN.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. VT . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . Haynes NEAR TERM . Banacos/Haynes SHORT TERM . Taber LONG TERM . Taber AVIATION . Kutikoff


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Burlington, Burlington International Airport, VT8 mi66 minN 52.00 miLight Snow Fog/Mist26°F21°F84%1017.2 hPa
Morrisville-Stowe State Airport, VT21 mi66 minN 77.00 miLight Snow24°F21°F91%1016.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBTV

Wind History from BTV (wind in knots)
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
Last 24hrNW14
G18
W13
G19
W12
G18
NW12
G19
NW10
G20
NW11W7W11W8NW8CalmSE3S5S7S8S7S8S5S3CalmN3N3N6N5
1 day agoS7S8S6S8S5S5SW5SW5S6S5SW6SW4SW4W3CalmCalmNE5NW11NW12
G18
W12
G18
NW9
G18
NW15
G27
NW16
G24
NW12
G18
2 days agoE3E3CalmE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS4CalmSW5S7S9S8S7S6S11S6S6S7S8S9

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (19,4,5,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Cookie Policy:
This webiste uses cookies to save your settings. No personal information is saved. You can disable cookies in your browser if you like but it is not recommended for this site. I do not sell cookies. Go to a bakery for that. In fact I do not sell anything. To disable cookies from L-36.com, please refer to the Help button in your browser.
Privacy Policy:
I do not sell or share any user data or anything else for that matter. I do not keep site logs longer than I need to to keep bad actors off the site. Basically, I delete them after looking at them. If you are subject to CCPA, Google ads on this site will not be based on your past behavior so you will likely not see an ad for a lawn mower just because you looked for one at a big box website. I do not believe this site is subject to CCPA but I am doing what I can to follow the guidelines anyway.
Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.