Monday, July22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ellsworth, ME

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:08AMSunset 8:14PM Monday July 22, 2019 7:18 PM EDT (23:18 UTC) Moonrise 11:17PMMoonset 10:34AM Illumination 67% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 324 Pm Edt Mon Jul 22 2019
Tonight..Light and variable winds, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. A chance of rain early this evening, then rain late this evening and overnight. Patchy fog late. Vsby 1 to 3 nm late this evening and overnight.
Tue..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Patchy fog in the morning. Rain in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue night..W winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft, building to 2 to 3 ft after midnight. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night..W winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft, then 1 foot or less.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less, then around 2 ft.
ANZ005 324 Pm Edt Mon Jul 22 2019
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. A stationary front will remain across the waters this afternoon. Low pres is expected to move ne along the frontal boundary tonight and then across the waters Tue. High pres will build across the region Wed into Fri.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ellsworth, ME
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location: 44.5, -68.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 222238
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
638 pm edt Mon jul 22 2019

Synopsis
A stationary front will remain across the gulf of maine this
evening. A pair of low pressure waves will move along the front
tonight into Tuesday. High pressure will build across the
region Tuesday night into Thursday. The high will gradually
move offshore Friday into Saturday.

Near term through Tuesday
630 pm update...

radar showing highest echoes moving across the downeast. Obs
showing some light rain as far N as rockland. Most of the rest
was clouds ATTM as drier air exists from below 700 mbs as shown
by the latest rap soundings. Llvls are expected to moisten up
this evening allowing for some light rain to reach the surface
as far N as the bangor region. The latest run of the rap was
doing quite well W the placement of the rain. Therefore, shifted
the highest rain chances to the immediate coast and pull back on
the chances further N as the drier air should hold through late
evening. Hrly temps.Dewpints were adjusted the fit the latest
obs.

Previous discussion...

high clouds streaming northeastward along the stalled frontal
boundary will continue to thicken this evening with rain
starting in the SW corner of the forecast area and spreading
eastward this evening. The deep southern stream moisture with
pws approaching 2 inches will be funneled along the frontal
boundary near the coast. Up to an inch of rain is possible along
the immediate coast tonight. There's still some uncertainty as
to the exact location between models and have taken a consensus
approach based on all available models and analysis. Meanwhile,
no precip is expected tonight towards northern aroostook county
and lows will dip into the upper 40s and lower 50s. Most of the
precip will fall tonight for the coast, but the chance of precip
and clouds will continue along the coast on Tuesday as the
second wave of low pressure moves along the offshore frontal
boundary. The 12z guidance from GFS and ECMWF indicated a subtle
digging of the upper trough to the west which pushes steadier
precip further inland on Tuesday. Will maintain chance pops for
bangor and much of the downeast region for now and let the night
crew take a look at 00z analysis and guidance. Highs will only
be in the upper 60s... At best... Tomorrow. The warmest temps on
Tuesday will be in the far NW portion of the forecast area where
some mid to upper 70s are possible. The upper trough may
generate some light, low-topped showers inland, but most of the
energy will be focused along the frontal boundary offshore.

Short term Tuesday night through Thursday
Fairly quiet weather Tuesday night through Thursday with surface
high pressure over the region. A weak upper level trough on
Wednesday will bring a slight chance of afternoon showers, then
another weak trough on Thursday could ignite a few afternoon
showers as well. Little or no chance of storms, though, as air
is too dry and capes too low. Generally partly cloudy skies
Tuesday night through Thursday with more clouds in the afternoon
hours than overnight or morning hours due to diurnal convection.

Temperatures near or a touch below average. Light winds through
the period.

Long term Thursday night through Monday
Thursday night through the weekend, an upper level high builds
over the region with a surface high over the gulf of maine. This
will lead to warmer southwest flow. Highs will be in the 80s and
it will be fairly muggy. The upper high over the region inches
just east of us late Sunday and Monday, allowing for a return of
mainly afternoon thunderstorm chances. Models are in fairly good
agreement and forecast confidence is higher than usual.

Aviation 22z Monday through Saturday
Near term: from hul mlt gnr northward,VFR conditions with light
winds are forecast. Bgr and bhb will have cig vis reductions to
ifr in rain tonight into Tuesday morning. These sites will
improve to MVFR after mid morning Tuesday. Bhb is most likely to
experience ifr conditions tonight.

Short term: Tue night through sat... MainlyVFR with light winds
except for afternoon sea breezes mainly Thursday through
Saturday.

Marine
Near term: light winds and seas under 2 feet are expected.

Patchy fog and rain are the primary concerns. The rain could be
heavy at times.

Short term: conditions remaining below small craft levels.

Marine fog possible toward Thursday night and Friday as onshore
flow develops.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Hewitt mcw
short term... Foisy
long term... Foisy
aviation... Hewitt mcw foisy
marine... Hewitt mcw foisy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 14 mi49 min W 1.9 G 2.9 70°F 61°F1011.4 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 32 mi75 min NNW 5.8 G 5.8 60°F 55°F2 ft1010.7 hPa
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 43 mi75 min SSE 3.9 G 3.9 64°F 63°F1 ft1010.7 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME4 mi23 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy70°F57°F66%1011.9 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmSW3N3CalmSE4CalmSW3S3NW43N53N5CalmNW74W7N65NW6CalmCalm
1 day agoS4S6SW6SW7SW5SW3S5SW3CalmCalmSE4CalmS5S4S7S8S9SW7
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2 days agoSW8S8S5SW5S5S4CalmSW4CalmSW4CalmSW4SW5S564W6W7SW6S11S13SW10S8SW5

Tide / Current Tables for Union River, Maine
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Union River
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Mon -- 03:03 AM EDT     10.50 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:09 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:20 AM EDT     0.80 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:34 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:35 PM EDT     9.97 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:37 PM EDT     1.59 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:16 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.98.29.910.5108.66.33.81.80.912.24.26.68.69.89.997.3531.81.72.5

Tide / Current Tables for Mount Desert Narrows, Maine
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Mount Desert Narrows
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:04 AM EDT     10.59 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:09 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:20 AM EDT     0.81 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:34 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:36 PM EDT     10.06 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:37 PM EDT     1.61 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:16 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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68.31010.610.18.66.43.81.80.912.24.36.68.79.9109.17.35.131.81.72.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.