Friday, October18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ellsworth, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:52AMSunset 5:47PM Friday October 18, 2019 7:14 PM EDT (23:14 UTC) Moonrise 8:50PMMoonset 11:31AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 534 Pm Edt Fri Oct 18 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Saturday morning...
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sat..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Sun..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas around 1 foot.
Sun night..W winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Mon..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Mon night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue..SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Rain likely through the night. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming w. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Rain likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
ANZ005 534 Pm Edt Fri Oct 18 2019
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. High pres builds over the waters through Mon. Low pres will then cross the region later Tue into Wed.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ellsworth, ME
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location: 44.5, -68.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 182143
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
543 pm edt Fri oct 18 2019

Synopsis
High pressure builds across the region Saturday into
Monday. Low pressure will cross the region later Tuesday
into Wednesday.

Near term through Saturday
540 pm update: based on latest radar ref imagery, we bumped up
pops ovr cntr and interior downeast ptns of the fa for more of
a mention of isold to sct rn shwrs into the eve hrs. A weak
s WV alf currently crossing the fa in a NW flow alf regime is
the cause of these shwrs. Otherwise, fcst hrly cld cvr, temps,
and dwpts were updated into the ovrngt hrs based on trends from
latest Sat imagery and sfc obs, with no chgs needed to fcst
ovrngt low temps attm.

Prev disc: in a northwesterly flow on the east side of surface
high pressure, 850-925mb moisture will remain prevalent through
most of Saturday. The resultant cloud cover and the winds will
keep tonight's lows from falling below the upper 30s to lower
40s. There will be some downsloping erosion of the cloud cover
tonight into Saturday for southern piscataquis penobscot
counties as well as hancock county. A weak shortwave propagating
southward in the northwesterly upper level flow could squeeze
out isolated showers in northern zones tonight, but the main
effect will be the introduction of cooler 850mb temps, dropping
towards -5c in aroostook county by Saturday morning. This colder
air aloft, and cloud cover under a strengthening subsidence
inversion, will ensure Saturday's highs are no higher than
today.

Short term Saturday night through Monday
High pressure will build across the region Saturday night into
Monday. Expect partly cloudy skies north early Saturday night
then decreasing overnight, with mostly clear skies downeast.

Expect mostly sunny skies across the region Sunday, then partly
cloudy mostly clear skies Sunday night through Monday. Near
normal, to slightly above normal, level temperatures are
expected Sunday Monday.

Long term Monday night through Friday
High pressure begins to exit east across the maritimes Monday
night with mostly clear skies. A cold occluded front will
approach from the west Tuesday into Wednesday. A coastal low is
expected to develop along the front and lift north across the
region with rain and gusty winds. However, timing differences
still exist regarding whether the major impacts with the system
occur Tuesday into Wednesday or Wednesday into Thursday. High
pressure should build across the region in the wake of the
system later Thursday into Friday. An approaching frontal
boundary could bring a chance of showers later Friday. Near
normal, to slightly above normal, level temperatures are
expected Tuesday through Friday.

Aviation 22z Friday through Wednesday
Near term: MVFR CIGS will be persistent north of a gnr to hul
line through late Saturday. South of that line, conditions will
be predominantlyVFR. Gusty northwest winds will continue
through the period.

Short term:
Saturday night through Monday night...VFR.

Tuesday through Wednesday... Conditions dependent on the
eventual timing of a coastal low, which remains uncertain
at this time. Rain and gusty winds should accompany the low.

Marine
Near term: the small craft advisory will remain in effect into
Saturday morning as advertised. It's possible that it will need
to be extended a couple of hours, but will not make that change
at this point. Northwest winds gusting to 25 to 30 kt will
continue through the period. In terms of seas, the long period
south swell will continue to diminish late this afternoon into
the evening and the primary wave group will transition to a
lower, shorter period wind-driven variety.

Short term: winds seas will remain below small craft advisory
levels Saturday night through Monday.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 am edt Saturday for anz050>052.

Near term... Vjn
short term... Norcross
long term... Norcross
aviation... Vjn norcross
marine... Vjn norcross


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 14 mi75 min NNW 13 G 16 52°F 53°F1003.5 hPa (+2.5)
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 32 mi131 min NW 14 G 16 53°F 53°F5 ft1002.5 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 40 mi75 min WNW 14 G 15 1004.1 hPa (+2.6)
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 43 mi131 min NW 16 G 21 53°F 55°F2 ft1002.7 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME4 mi19 minW 410.00 miMostly Cloudy49°F42°F77%1005.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBHB

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE4CalmNW4NW5NW4W5W8W6W5W7W9
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S12S11S15S9S10S7SE3
2 days agoCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmNW3CalmN3N3CalmCalmSE3SW8S11S10S8S11SE6SE4SE4

Tide / Current Tables for Union River, Maine
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Union River
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:13 AM EDT     10.05 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:52 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:10 AM EDT     1.20 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:30 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:20 PM EDT     11.01 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:44 PM EDT     0.34 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:49 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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7.29.2109.78.46.442.11.21.63.15.37.89.910.910.89.57.44.82.30.70.41.33

Tide / Current Tables for Mount Desert Narrows, Maine
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Mount Desert Narrows
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:14 AM EDT     10.14 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:52 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:10 AM EDT     1.21 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:30 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 02:21 PM EDT     11.11 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:44 PM EDT     0.34 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:49 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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7.39.210.19.88.56.54.12.11.21.63.15.37.89.91110.99.67.54.82.30.70.41.33.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.