Tuesday, January21, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ellsworth, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:03AMSunset 4:29PM Tuesday January 21, 2020 5:43 AM EST (10:43 UTC) Moonrise 5:18AMMoonset 2:32PM Illumination 15% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 250 Am Est Tue Jan 21 2020
Today..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt late this morning and afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Light freezing spray this morning.
Tonight..NW winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft.
Wed night..W winds around 5 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Thu..W winds around 5 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Thu night..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 foot or less.
Fri..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..E winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of snow after midnight.
ANZ005 250 Am Est Tue Jan 21 2020
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. High pres will cross the region today. A warm front will cross the region Wed. A cold front will cross the region Thu into Fri with low pres approaching the waters late Sat.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ellsworth, ME
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location: 44.5, -68.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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FXUS61 KCAR 210806 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 306 AM EST Tue Jan 21 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will cross the region today. A warm front will cross the area Wednesday. A cold front will cross Maine Friday. Low pressure will approach the area Saturday night and will pass south of the area Sunday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. High pressure centered across the nations midsection will continue to build east through tonight. After a mainly sunny start to the day, expect increasing mid and high cloud this afternoon. Highs this afternoon will rise into the lower teens across the north and mid to upper teens central and downeast areas, which is continued below normal for this time of year.

A mid level trough will cross the region tonight. This will result in partly to mostly cloudy sky condition developing, along with scattered flurries, mainly across northern and central areas. The combination of more in the way of cloud cover and light south wind will limit radiational cooling, thus it wont be as cold as the last few nights. Still, lows are expected to fall to around zero across the north and the single digits above zero across central and downeast areas.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. A mid level trough will exit into the Maritimes Wed morning and will be followed by ridging aloft. A much milder air mass will follow as a warm front lift across the area Wed. A few flurries are possible Wed morning, mainly to the north of the Moosehead Lake and Katahdin Regions. Otherwise, there will be a mix of clouds and sun north with a partly to mostly sunny sky Downeast. Highs Wed will be 10 to 15 degrees (F) warmer than Tue, and will range from the low 20s in the north to near 30 degrees in Bangor and Downeast. Wed night and Thu will be dry with well above average temperatures. Lows will mostly be in the teens with highs Thu near freezing north with m/u 30s Downeast.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. A backdoor cold front will drop south across the area Friday with modified arctic air. There could be a few flurries with the front across the north. Temperatures will be a bit colder Friday, but still above average for late January. The front will eventually sink down into the northern Gulf of Maine by Fri night. The next system is expected to be near the NY Bight by 00z Sunday. The models and ensembles are in better agreement now that the low tracks along the frontal boundary and into the southern Gulf of Maine by 12Z Sunday. The low is expected to track south of Nova Scotia Sun night and will east of Nova Scotia during the day Mon. The most significant QPF will likely be across the Downeast with lesser amounts to the north. The Canadian along with some model ensembles have a sharp cut-off to the north with little/no snow across the northern half of the FA. Precipitation type may come into play along the immediate coast, but with the track it should be snow event inland. The potential event is still 6 days out so there is still plenty of time to refine the forecast. Will not make any significant changes to the ongoing forecast with likely PoPs Downeast and chance PoPs in the north. Refinements will likely be made in the coming days as forecaster confidence hopefully increases.

AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. NEAR TERM: VFR conditions expected today through tonight. The exception will be the possibility of a period of MVFR ceilings at the Aroostook county terminals late tonight.

SHORT TERM: Predominately VFR expected Wed-Sat. A period or two with MVFR ceilings possible at the Aroostook County terminals Wed morning and again Wed night.

MARINE. NEAR TERM: Wind/seas will remain below SCA levels through tonight, outside of a few gusts up to 25 kt early this morning. Light Freezing Spray will be an issue this morning.

SHORT TERM: The wind and seas will remain below small craft advisory levels Wednesday through Sat morning. A strong SCA or gales will be possible by late Sat or Sat night.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . None. MARINE . None.



Near Term . Duda Short Term . CB Long Term . CB Aviation . Duda/CB Marine . Duda/CB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 14 mi55 min NNW 11 G 15 11°F 34°F1026.7 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 32 mi99 min NNW 18 G 23 17°F 43°F3 ft1026.2 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 40 mi43 min NW 19 G 23 1026.1 hPa (+1.5)
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 43 mi159 min NNW 14 G 18 17°F 39°F1 ft

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME4 mi47 minN 010.00 miFair2°F-2°F80%1027.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBHB

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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N7NW75NW4CalmNW4CalmNW5NW8NW8NW5NW3NW3NW5NW6N3Calm
1 day agoCalmNW3N6NW7N10N66N9NW4N106
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2 days agoN7N8NW5N5N4N8N6N7NE5N4CalmCalmCalm--N3NE7N5NE63443SE7SE5

Tide / Current Tables for Union River, Maine
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Union River
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:39 AM EST     0.61 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:17 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:03 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:59 AM EST     11.47 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:32 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 02:28 PM EST     -0.43 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:27 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:42 PM EST     9.97 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.20.90.71.846.89.210.911.510.88.96.13.21-0.3-0.21.23.56.28.39.79.98.96.8

Tide / Current Tables for Mount Desert Narrows, Maine
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Mount Desert Narrows
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:39 AM EST     0.62 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:16 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:02 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:00 AM EST     11.57 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:32 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 02:28 PM EST     -0.43 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:26 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:43 PM EST     10.05 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.20.90.71.846.89.31111.610.996.23.31-0.3-0.21.23.66.28.49.71096.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.