Page Links Change Location One Page Printer Page HELP AIS Default setup SAVE setting RECALL saved setting

Marine Weather and Tides Ellsworth, ME Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

---

Sunrise 6:00AM

Sunset 7:13PM

Wednesday April 8, 2020 1:11 PM EDT (17:11 UTC)

Moonrise 8:03PM

Moonset 6:40AM

Illumination 99%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

---

---

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ellsworth, ME

   Hourly   EDIT   Help

---

Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME

      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KCAR 081630 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 1230 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build across the region through tonight. Intensifying low pressure will cross the region Thursday then exit across the Maritimes Friday through Saturday. High pressure will cross the region Sunday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. Update . High pressure centered across northern Quebec province will ridge south across the forecast area this afternoon. With diurnal cloud development, expect partly sunny skies across northern areas this afternoon with mostly/partly sunny skies Downeast. Afternoon high temperatures will range from the upper 30s to around 40 north, to the upper 40s to around 50 Downeast. Have updated the forecast to adjust for current conditions along with afternoon temperatures and clouds.

Previous Discussion . The high centered in northern Quebec dominates though the period with below normal temperatures and low dew points. Light winds continue through the period. May be enough moisture near 800mb for some afternoon cumulus. 925/850mb temps look similar to yesterday, leading to forecast highs about the same as yesterday given ample sunshine. For tonight, expect good radiational cooling in the north with lows in the teens and maybe end single digits for the North Woods. Further south, some mid level clouds arrive during the night and will cap lows in the mid to upper 20s.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. Major storm setting up w/a umber of impacts to deal with. Low pres is forecast to lift up across southern Quebec on Thursday while a secondary low develops near VT/NH border and then lifts to the ne and intensifies. High pres to the ne will provide colder air draining in from the n. A strong ese fetch will allow for deep moisture transport to be pulled in from the Atlc ocean. Precip will break out the swrn portion of the CWA and then overspreads the rest of the region during the day. Temps will cold enough at the start for snow across the southern areas, but warmer air trying to push in from the s to change snow to rain. The 00Z GFS shifted its track bringing the low further to the n and hence brings the warmer air as far n as Houlton and Millinocket, meaning a changeover to rain. The ECMWF and Canadian Global are colder as they both show the low tracking along the Maine coast and the lifting across central Washington County. The 00Z NAM was similar, but shows a coastal front setting up and keeps the warmer air along the immediate coast, which would allow precip to be in the form of snow further to the s including the Bangor region. Decided to lean closer to a blend of the NAM/Canadian and ECWMF which keeps the warmer along the Downeast region with any snow changing to rain.

For the Downeast region including the coast, rain could be heavy at times w/a strong ese jet of 55-60 kts. Areas such as Bangor and Old Town will see some heavy snowfall with some rain mixing during the afternoon. Further n, all snow is expected and it will pick up in intensity as the low intensifies later Thursday afternoon into Thursday night. There could be some heavy snowfall rates especially Thursday night w/1-2" per hour possible. Blowing snow will be another concern as ENE winds increase. Travel will become hazardous Thursday night into Friday. Power outages are possible w/the heavy wet snow. The Winter Storm Watch will remains in place for Northern Maine and the Maine Central Highlands. Looking for a total snowfall of 8-12 inches with some higher totals close to 15 inches possible in the higher terrain such as Piscataquis County and up into NW Aroostook Count. One thing to note, if the colder air hangs in across the Bangor region, more snow could accumulate by Friday morning reaching a possible 6-10 inch range. This will need to be monitored. The storm will exit through New Brunswick w/colder air sweeping back in on N winds on Friday w/snow transitioning to snow showers by Friday evening.

Another item to note is the strong ese jet of 55-60 kts coming into the coastal region. Winds align up through 5k ft w/gust potential of 55-60 mph. These strong winds will lead to power outages. A High Wind Watch was issued for the coast. Strong winds and a decent surge could lead to some coastal flooding at the time of high tide. See the coastal flood section below for further details.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. A chilly day on Saturday w/temps below normal for April. There will be some melting w/a NW breeze of 10-20 mph. Milder on Easter Sunday w/daytime temps climbing back to near normal w/more melting taking place. This melting will add runoff to the river and streams that are open. The latest suite of the long range guidance is showing another warmer system expected to affect the region Monday into early Tuesday. The 00Z GFS is weaker w/the system and shows potential for snow at the start on Monday and changing over to rain and continuing into early Tuesday. The ECMWF and Canadian along w/a number of their individual ensemble members support a warmer solution and bring a heavy dose of rainfall to the region. This rainfall, milder temps and melting snowpack could lead to rapid rises on rivers and streams with some possibly apchg bankfull. This is still a ways out and there is time to assess this w/the later model runs.

AVIATION /16Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. NEAR TERM: VFR conditions expected this afternoon through tonight.

SHORT TERM: VFR early dropping to IFR/LIFR w/snow especially across the northern terminals w/heavy snow and blowing snow later Thursday into Friday. ENE winds of 15 to 25 mph. Across KBGR/KBHB will see snow early, changing to rain. Strong winds from ESE winds will move into KBHB w/gust potential of 50-55 mph possible Thursday evening.

Friday night into Saturday . Snow showers winding down later Friday night w/NNW winds of 10-20 mph for all terminals. IFR going to MVFR across the northern terminals w/KBGR and KBHB seeing VFR. Saturday will be a drier day but breezy w/NW winds of 10-20 mph for all terminals and VFR.

Saturday night into Sunday . VFR to continue w/winds dropping back to around 10 mph and shifting to SSW by later Sunday.

MARINE. NEAR TERM: Winds/seas below small craft advisory levels this afternoon through tonight.

SHORT TERM: Gale Watch remains for the intra-coastal zone Thursday afternoon into Friday. A Storm Watch is now in effect for the outer zones from Thursday afternoon into Friday morning for winds gusting to 50 kts. ESE winds are expected to increase to 25-35 kt later Thursday afternoon and increase further Thursday night due to the strong ESE jet of 55-60 kts. Seas will respond accordingly reaching 10-12 feet by Friday morning.

For Friday into Friday Night . NNW winds of 25-35 kt expected w/some higher gusts possible on Friday. Seas 10-12 ft will start to subside as the offshore wind takes hold. Winds are forecast to drop off Friday night to 20-25 kt.

Saturday into Sunday . NW winds on Saturday at 15 kt w/gusts to 20 kt. Seas are expected to be down to 3-4 ft. Winds/seas will continue to drop off Saturday night into Sunday as high pres builds over the waters.

HYDROLOGY. Continuing to focus on ice jams on the Aroostook and Saint John rivers. Cooler temperatures and low dew points have slowed melting into the rivers for now, but not to the point where ice jams are likely to lock in place. An ice jam remains in place on the Aroostook River in Fort Fairfield. Local town officials reported that minor flooding was occurring at the North Caribou and Grimes Roads as well as near the boat landing near Riverside road. An ice jam has also caused water to spread over Washburn Road, route 164 in Crouseville.

The combination of melting snow and rainfall on Monday will pose a significant hydro risk with river levels already elevated.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. The coincidence of the highest astronomical tide of the year to date and a major Nor'easter creates a very credible threat for coastal flooding near the high tide early Friday morning. The high tide will be around 1247AM. There's still some uncertainty on the exact storm track and timing such that slight variations could produce large impacts on coastal flooding. At this time, the strong southerly surge coinciding with high tide is most likely for Washington County as winds will be shifting offshore further west . reducing the surge potential and maybe even causing a seiche. As a result, Machias and points eastward to Lubec and Eastport are most likely to have significant impacts such as road inundation and flooding in low-lying areas. Have issued a Coastal Flood Watch for the Friday AM tide in Washington County. A Coastal Flood Advisory may still be needed for Hancock County . and possibly more if the storm slows its eastward progress. Leaning towards ETSS output for surge at this point.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . Winter Storm Watch from Thursday afternoon through Friday afternoon for MEZ001>006-010-011-031-032. High Wind Watch from Thursday evening through late Thursday night for MEZ029-030. Coastal Flood Watch from Thursday evening through late Thursday night for MEZ030. MARINE . Gale Watch from Thursday afternoon through Friday afternoon for ANZ052. Storm Watch from Thursday afternoon through late Thursday night for ANZ050-051.



Near Term . Norcross/MCW Short Term . Hewitt Long Term . Hewitt Aviation . Norcross/Hewitt Marine . Norcross/Hewitt Hydrology . MCW/Hewitt Tides/Coastal Flooding . MCW

---

Weather Reporting Stations

   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME	14 mi	53 min	SSE 8.9 G 13	42°F	41°F		1001.6 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf	32 mi	127 min	14 G 16	40°F	41°F
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME	40 mi	71 min	NE 15 G 17				1001.4 hPa (-0.8)
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay	43 mi	127 min				1 ft

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

12 PM

1 PM

2 PM

3 PM

4 PM

5 PM

6 PM

7 PM

8 PM

9 PM

10 PM

11 PM

12 AM

1 AM

2 AM

3 AM

4 AM

5 AM

6 AM

7 AM

8 AM

9 AM

10 AM

11 AM

Last 24hr

N7 G12

NW16 G24

N17

N12 G15

S7 G11

SE9 G13

S4 G7

SE4

S1

SW1

E2

S3

--

--

NW2

SW1

NW1

NW2

W1

NE4 G7

E4

NE2

NE5

NE3

1 day ago

NW18 G25

N20

NW20 G26

NW23 G28

NW25 G34

NW17 G23

NW19

NW13 G16

W6 G10

W8 G11

NW9 G12

W10 G13

W9 G15

W9 G12

NW9 G14

NW10

NW6

NW4

NW4

N6 G9

N7

N6 G10

N6 G10

N6 G9

2 days ago

SE12

W4

W5 G8

W7 G10

SW8 G12

W6 G10

NW3 G7

NW1 G4

NW4

--

SW6 G11

--

W3 G6

W13 G18

W6 G12

W10 G16

NW11 G14

NW12 G17

NW10 G13

NW13 G17

NW17 G21

NW13 G16

N16 G20

N17 G22

---

Airport Reports

    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.

Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME	4 mi	15 min	NNE 9	10.00 mi	A Few Clouds	49°F	23°F	36%	1001.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBHB

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)

2 PM

3 PM

4 PM

5 PM

6 PM

7 PM

8 PM

9 PM

10 PM

11 PM

12 AM

1 AM

2 AM

3 AM

4 AM

5 AM

6 AM

7 AM

8 AM

9 AM

10 AM

11 AM

12 PM

1 PM

Last 24hr

NW8 G17

NW9 G14

SW11

S13

S11

SW8

Calm

Calm

Calm

NW3

Calm

N3

N4

N4

N5

N4

N3

N3

N6

N10

NE9

NE8

NE4

NE9

1 day ago

W10 G23

NW16 G24

W11 G21

NW13 G23

NW9 G14

NW8

W4

W3

W3

SW3

W4

W4

W5

NW3

Calm

Calm

NW3

N3

N7

N6

6

NW10 G14

W7 G14

N11 G19

2 days ago

S10

SW12

S10

SW13

S11

S11

SW8

S9

SW7

SW7

SW10

SW7

SW3

SW3

W3

NW6

NW5

NW5

NW8

NW9

NW8

NW10 G18

NW11 G17

NW13 G21

---

Tide / Current Tables for Union River, Maine

   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data

---

Tide / Current Tables for Mount Desert Narrows, Maine

   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data

---

Weather Map

       (on/off)   Help Weather Map

---

GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

---

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (13,3,4,5)

      (on/off)   Help

---

Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME

   (on/off)   Help

---

Cookie Policy: This website uses cookies to save your settings. No personal information is saved. I do not collect statistics on your visit. You can disable cookies in your browser if you like but it is not recommended for this site. I do not sell cookies. Go to a bakery for that. In fact I do not sell anything. To disable cookies from L-36.com, please refer to the Help button in your browser. Privacy Policy: I do not sell or share any user data or anything else for that matter. The only personal information I save is in the site log which has a line for each page view which includes the IP address your browser sends in the header as well as which page you requested. I use this to block hackers and other bad actors. I do not use this raw data to create profiles on users. I periodically delete the log files. If you are subject to CCPA, Google ads on this site will not be based on your past behavior so you will likely not see an ad for a lawn mower just because you looked for one at a big box website. I do not believe this site is subject to CCPA but I am doing what I can to follow the guidelines anyway. Disclaimer: The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.