Wednesday, August21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ellsworth, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:42AMSunset 7:33PM Wednesday August 21, 2019 4:01 PM EDT (20:01 UTC) Moonrise 10:32PMMoonset 11:29AM Illumination 63% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 138 Pm Edt Wed Aug 21 2019
This afternoon..S winds around 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt early. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Scattered showers and tstms late.
Tonight..SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Showers and scattered tstms. Patchy fog after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers in the morning. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, diminishing to around 5 kt in the afternoon, then becoming ne. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Sun..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ005 138 Pm Edt Wed Aug 21 2019
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. A warm front will approach today and cross the waters early tonight. A cold front will approach Thu and move through Thu evening. High pres will build in Fri into Sat.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ellsworth, ME
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 44.5, -68.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kcar 211752
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
152 pm edt Wed aug 21 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will slide east of the area today. A warm front
will approach this afternoon and lift across the region this
evening. A cold front will cross the area Thursday. The cold
will move out across the gulf of maine Thursday night into
Friday. High pres will gradually build toward the region from
the west Saturday into Sunday.

Near term through tonight
150 pm update...

showers contg to diminish as they head into CWA this aftn. Only
instability present appears to be acrs far sern areas with 500
joules of sbcape. Wmfnt as of 17z looks to be located as close
as SRN nh with storms aligning in convective line in warm and
moist airmass. Slight risk of svr storms hv been dropped to
marginal with spc's update last hour and previous thoughts rmn
on track that there is an outside chc of a strong TSTM this
aftn evng but the biggest threat conts to be locally hvy
rainfall. No major chgs needed at this time.

Prev discussion blo...

high pressure moving off to the east today combined with a
trough of low pressure approaching from the west will bring an
increasing southerly wind, increasing clouds and increasing
humidity today. Surface heating will allow capes to build to
between 500 and 1200 j kg across the area setting the stage for
some thunderstorms as the warm front lifts into the area late
today into this evening. The instability, although marginal in
strength, is very deep, up to as high as 35k feet. Moisture is
expected to increase with precipitable waters nearing 1.8" by
the end of the day. A strong trough digging from ontario into
southern quebec will also provide divergent support aloft to
help spawn and carry convection into the area. A complicating
factor is a shortwave currently rounding the bottom of the
trough and lifting through the upper ohio valley early this
morning. Models differ on where the focus of this shortwave
energy tracks with the NAM and SREF carrying a thunderstorm
complex from this shortwave up and into the northern part of our
area while the GFS and ECMWF carry the body of this shortwave
and its convection across downeast. SPC has all but the
northern portion of the area in a slight risk today. The deep
cape and deep moisture suggest heavy rain and perhaps flash
flooding may be the greatest concern. Otherwise, west central
areas late today and central locations early this evening seem
to have the greatest chance for any severe weather including
strong winds and hail given the timing and potential track of
the embedded shortwave. Will keep enhanced wording for gusty
winds and small hail in the forecast with categorical pops
across south central areas late today into this evening and high
likely pops further north. The convection will move away late
tonight. A cold frontal boundary following strong low pressure
to our north will push across the area Thursday possibly
spawning more thunderstorms, mainly during the afternoon across
eastern areas.

Short term Thursday through Friday
The cold front is forecast to slide off the coast Thursday
evening and stall in the gulf of maine as the upper flow
parallels the front. Cooler and drier air will begin filtering
into the region overnight as winds shift to the wnw.

A disturbance is forecast by the nam GFS and ECMWF to move up
along the stalled front in the gulf of maine to set off some
showers on Friday. The bulk of this will remain off the coast
and decided to carry 20-30% for shower over the coastal waters.

Further n, an upper trof will start sliding toward the region
and W cold air aloft and heating at the sfc, this will be enough
for clouds to form. There appears to be enough forcing in the
mid levels and llvl moisture convergence to allow for some
showers across the north and west. Stayed close to the
daycrew's thinking of 20-30% for showers. It will be cool
w daytime temps in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Clearing Friday
night and colder W temps dropping back to a range of 45-50
across the northern 1 2 of maine. Some low lying sites, such as
the valleys could see lower 40s. Wnw winds are expected to stay
up around 10 mph. The upper trof is shown by the ECMWF and gfs
to push off to the east by Saturday afternoon W high pres at the
sfc moving in from canada. The stalled front across the gulf of
maine will slide further out to sea. Clouds will form during
day across the northern and western areas. Still a cool day
w temps below normal for last week of august.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday
There is some discrepancies in the long range guidance on what
shapes up for Sunday into Monday. The 00z GFS and its ensemble
mean show high pres at the sfc and aloft building across the
region into Tuesday W dry and gradually warmer conditions. The
ecmwf on the other hand shows a closed upper low developing
over the nj ny region W low pres at the sfc lifting to the ne.

This low is then expected to pass well E of nova scotia on
Monday bringing some light rain to eastern washington county.

The canadian global shows a solution similar to the gfs.

Therefore, decided to lean away from the ECMWF solution and go
w a blend showing high pres ridge hanging on into into early
next week. This will lead to dry conditions and near normal
temps.

Aviation 18z Wednesday through Monday
Near term:VFR conditions at all locations this afternoon will
gradually diminish to ifr CIGS twd 00z at bhb and progress
slowly north aft this time. Lifr CIGS at bhb, bgr and hul
throughout the overnight. Cannot rule out vcts over downeast
terminals this evening but chances are dwindling rapidly. May
see lingering MVFR restrictions acrs the north in the morning
ahead of cold front. Winds from the south from 5-10kts may gust
this afternoon.

Short term:VFR Thursday night W wnw winds 5-10 kts.

Vfr Friday into Saturday W the exception of the northern
terminals and some MVFR CIGS could set up briefly in the
afternoon both days W some shower activity. Wnw winds 10 to 15k
kts.

Vfr continues right into Sunday W the winds dropping off to
around 10 mph from the w.

Marine
Near term: wind and seas are expected to remain below sca
through Thursday. Humid air over the waters may result in fog
across the waters tonight into early Thursday.

Short term: no headlines expected. SW winds 10-15 kt Thursday
night will shift W on Friday. Seas will build to 3-4 ft. There
will be the risk of some showers W front nearby. Winds will
drop off Friday night right into Saturday keeping a W direction.

Seas will be dropping back to 3 ft due to the offshore wind.

Shower activity will end as the front slides further out to sea.

Looking into Sunday, light winds 5 to 10 kt and seas 2-3 ft.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Bloomer farrar
short term... Hewitt
long term... Hewitt
aviation... Bloomer farrar hewitt
marine... Bloomer farrar hewitt


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 14 mi50 min ESE 5.1 G 8.9 66°F 57°F1014.1 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 32 mi58 min S 7.8 G 9.7 61°F 55°F2 ft1013.9 hPa
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 43 mi58 min WSW 5.8 G 7.8 64°F 63°F2 ft1013.4 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
Last
24hr
N4
S3
NW9
W5
W4
G7
W7
G10
S2
SE4
SE4
--
SE2
--
SE2
SE4
S2
SE2
SE5
SE2
G10
S8
SE11
N4
W7
G12
W8
G14
NW5
1 day
ago
S5
G10
SE6
G10
S1
G6
SE5
SE5
E2
NW5
NW1
SE1
NW2
N2
--
NW3
NW4
NW5
NW3
N4
N8
N8
N7
N3
G6
NE4
G7
NE3
G7
E5
2 days
ago
S4
S4
S8
G12
S5
G8
S5
S5
SE4
E3
S2
S3
S4
S4
S2
SE3
S3
S7
S5
G9
SE4
G8
SE2
NE1
S5
S8
SE5
SE5
G8

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME4 mi66 minSSW 910.00 miLight Rain67°F66°F97%1014.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBHB

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
Last 24hrNW5S7W4SW4SW3S3CalmSW5SW6CalmSW4CalmCalmCalmS5S8SW10SW9SW8S7SW14SW8S12
G19
S9
1 day agoS13
G16
S11S7SW5SW5SW3SW7SW3S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3NW4N64NW4NW4N7N56
2 days agoS5SE3S4CalmCalmE3SW3CalmE3E3E5CalmCalmCalmNE3E4E4E5E6E3E3S6S11S9

Tide / Current Tables for Union River, Maine
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Union River
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:10 AM EDT     10.14 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:18 AM EDT     1.06 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:29 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:31 PM EDT     10.28 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:43 PM EDT     1.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:31 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
5.37.69.410.19.88.56.442.11.11.32.64.66.9910.110.29.27.45.12.91.51.32.1

Tide / Current Tables for Mount Desert Narrows, Maine
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Mount Desert Narrows
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:11 AM EDT     10.23 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:18 AM EDT     1.07 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:28 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:32 PM EDT     10.37 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:43 PM EDT     1.23 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:31 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
5.37.69.410.29.98.66.54.12.11.11.42.64.67910.210.39.37.55.22.91.51.32.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (16,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.