Thursday, October1, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ellsworth, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:32AMSunset 6:16PM Thursday October 1, 2020 7:58 AM EDT (11:58 UTC) Moonrise 6:36PMMoonset 5:59AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 306 Am Edt Thu Oct 1 2020
Today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to around 5 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Fri..SE winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of rain in the afternoon.
Fri night..SE winds around 5 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of rain.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat night..NW winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon and evening, then becoming E after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
ANZ005 306 Am Edt Thu Oct 1 2020
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. High pres will build in today. Low pres will track across the region Fri and move ne of the waters Sat. High pres will build over the waters Sun. Low pres from the mid atlc states may approach on Mon.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ellsworth, ME
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location: 44.5, -68.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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FXUS61 KCAR 011017 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 617 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2020

SYNOPSIS. Weak high pressure builds in today. A cold front will slowly approach tonight into Friday. Low pressure will develop along the front and track through the area late Friday into early Saturday. High pressure will build over the region later Saturday through Sunday with another low possibly approaching from the mid- Atlantic states on Monday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. 615 am Update . Mainly clear skies across the region early this morning with light winds. This has allowed temperatures at this hour to fall into the low to mid 40s across many Northern locations. Just minor adjustments to hrly temps/dew points.

previous discussion Upper trof axis remains to our west today and tonight. This keeps a west to southwest flow across the region. Expect generally dry weather today. Can't totally rule out a few sprinkles or an isolated shower across the far north and west closer to the upper trof. Otherwise after a mainly sunny start, diurnal afternoon clouds will result in partly sunny skies by afternoon. Although not quite as warm as recent days, high temperatures will still be above normal for this time of year.

A frontal boundary will stall out to the west of the region tonight. Light southerly flow in the low levels ahead of the boundary will likely bring low clouds and patchy fog toward the coast and Downeast Maine late tonight, with partly to mostly cloudy skies elsewhere. Lows tonight will generally range from the mid/upr 40s North and the lower 50s central and Downeast.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. Fri morning likely to start of sandwiched btwn 2 frontal bndrys with fairly weak winds acrs the entire CWA. Skies wl start off mocldy acrs the nw and the se with mocldy skies in between. A slight chance of rain wl exist acrs the far nw at the start of the pd along the stalled frontal bndry. Broad upr trof rmns back to the west with strong s/wv rounding the base of the trof in the afternoon. At the same time the area wl be in the RRQ of 120+ kt jet streak and wl interact with baroclinic zone to bring widespread rainfall to the area Friday evening. Expecting an additional 1/2 inch of rain over central areas with locally higher amnts possible as mid-level frontogenesis develops over the area as sfc low tracks thru the Gulf of Maine.

Low pressure heads northeast into the Canadian Maritimes Sat morning with NW flow bringing in a cooler and drier airmass to the FA. Highs on Sat wl be in the 50s acrs the north with stratus expected. Expect to see a little more sun over Downeast with downsloping occurring and offshore winds allowing temps to rise into the 60s.

Sat night looks to bring frost once again to nrn areas with Downeast coast rmng in the 40s overnight. High pressure over the area wl result in a fairly dry weekend tho with trof rmng back to our west, cannot rule out an isolated shower with hard-to-time s/wvs skirting thru.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Active pattern continues into the extended with trof not crossing the area until Mon night. All med range guidance has trended further south with development of coastal low. With upr trof mvs thru may see isold showers acrs the north but strong s/wv now appears to mv off of the mid-Atlantic coast Mon afternoon. Cyclogenesis expected to occur to the south and east of Cape Cod Mon evening and tracks south of the Gulf of Maine. Hv continued with idea of light rain over Downeast Mon afternoon and drg the overnight but confidence much lower on widespread rain fcst to occur drg this time.

Brief ridging is expected for Tue as system departs twd Atlantic Canada and next system heads twd the area for the very end of the period. May see another chance for moderate to heavy rainfall at the tail end of the extended. Temps through the period expected to be around normal values.

AVIATION /10Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. NEAR TERM: VFR all terminals today. VFR tonight at the northern terminals with IFR/LIFR in low cloud and patchy fog KBGR/KBHB. Southwest wind 10 to 15 kt today becoming light tonight.

SHORT TERM: Fri-Fri night . Conditions deteriorate to IFR during the afternoon at all terminals. Light winds into Fri afternoon, becoming N 5kts in the evening.

Sat . VFR Downeast terminals, with MVFR cigs possible north of HUL in the morning. NW 5kts.

Sat night . VFR though patchy fog may exist at PQI/HUL late. Light NW wind.

Sun . VFR. Lgt/vrb wind.

Sun night-Mon . Mainly VFR. Lgt wind becoming N 5kts in the afternoon.

MARINE. NEAR TERM: A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the outer waters through this afternoon, mainly for seas. Winds/seas will remain below SCA levels tonight.

SHORT TERM: Seas and winds remain SCA levels through Monday. Cannot rule out higher seas for the beginning of the week if coastal storm develops Monday.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ050- 051.



Near Term . Duda Short Term . Farrar Long Term . Farrar Aviation . Duda/Farrar Marine . Duda/Farrar


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 14 mi59 min W 8.9 G 16 61°F 55°F1010.1 hPa (+0.3)
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 32 mi115 min SSW 9.7 G 12 56°F 54°F7 ft1011.2 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 40 mi59 min S 18 G 19 1010.7 hPa (+0.8)
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 43 mi115 min WSW 14 G 18 59°F 5 ft1008.4 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME4 mi63 minSSW 310.00 miFair55°F51°F87%1010.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBHB

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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S8SW6--SW5SW4SW5SW6SW5S6SW7SW6SW5SW6SW3
1 day agoS7S3S10S9S10SW9S9SW8SE5SE6S6SE5E5S3S4SE6CalmE3SE4S3S6S15
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2 days agoSE4SE5S7S5SW7S10SW12S12S8S8S5SE4S6S11S10S9SW10S12S10S10S10SW7SW5S9

Tide / Current Tables for Union River, Maine
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Union River
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:27 AM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:59 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:37 AM EDT     10.77 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:06 PM EDT     Full Moon
Thu -- 05:42 PM EDT     0.44 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 06:35 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:52 PM EDT     10.97 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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10.79.16.53.81.60.40.51.94.379.210.510.79.57.34.62.20.80.51.63.86.58.910.5

Tide / Current Tables for Mount Desert Narrows, Maine
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Mount Desert Narrows
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:27 AM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:59 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:38 AM EDT     10.87 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:06 PM EDT     Full Moon
Thu -- 05:42 PM EDT     0.45 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 06:35 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:53 PM EDT     11.07 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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10.89.26.63.91.60.40.51.94.47.19.310.610.89.67.44.62.30.80.51.63.86.5910.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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