Sunday, March7, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Milton, VT

Version 3.4
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1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:17AMSunset 5:49PM Sunday March 7, 2021 7:20 PM EST (00:20 UTC) Moonrise 3:56AMMoonset 12:34PM Illumination 31% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Milton, VT
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location: 44.64, -73.09     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 072326 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 626 PM EST Sun Mar 7 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will ridge into the North Country through early Monday. Dry and cold weather is expected during this time. We will then have a gradual warming trend through Thursday with temperatures topping out in the lower to mid 50s. There will be a chance for rain showers on Thursday and Friday, then drier and more seasonable weather will follow for the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. As of 626 PM EST Sunday . Another quiet evening for the North Country. Trimmed back cloud cover for the overnight period, as mid-level clouds to our north are destined to just clip the Northeast Kingdom for a few hours, and with deep ridging moving overhead from the west there appears to be no other avenue for clouds tonight. So the chilly minimum temperatures currently forecast are looking good with the anticipated clear skies and light winds.

Previous Discussion . Surface high pressure that currently lies to our west will build over the North Country tonight and Monday, keeping the weather quiet. After this afternoon's plentiful sunshine, do expect clouds to increase overnight, especially over the northern mountains, as a weak upper shortwave rotates around the backside of low pressure over the Canadian Maritimes. Can't totally rule out a flurry over the higher terrain as the shortwave swings across our region, but moisture is very limited. Overnight lows will generally be in the -5F to +10F range. Expect clearing skies first thing Monday, but clouds will then increase late in the day as another upper shortwave trough approaches from the northwest. The ridge axis moves east late in the day Monday, turning flow to the south/southwest, which will result in daytime highs topping out in the upper 20s/lower 30s, which is still a bit below normal for this time of year.

Things become a little more complex Monday night as the aforementioned upper shortwave trough scoots across Ontario/Quebec and just about reaches the international border Tuesday morning. The best forcing with this feature will remain north of our region Monday night, and the best moisture will exit to the east prior to its arrival. Still, expect some snow showers to be possible overnight, mainly over the higher terrain. We dry aloft while moisture lingers at low-levels as the night progresses, so any snow showers could transition to more of a freezing drizzle, especially after midnight. Any snow accumulation would be less than an inch and limited to higher terrain, while little to no ice accretion is expected. Temperatures will likely fall early, then rise or hold steady overnight, especially from the Green Mountains westward, as a west-southwest jet proceeds the upper trough's arrival. Lows will be coldest in the Northeast Kingdom, where it will drop into the mid teens, while areas west of the Green Mountains will remain in the mid and upper 20s.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. As of 307 PM EST Sunday . A few spotty showers can be expected in the mountains Tuesday morning as the tail end of a weak system moves through the North Country. BUFkit soundings indicating little to no moisture present in the snow growth zone, so have included mention of some freezing drizzle over higher elevations Tuesday morning. Any freezing drizzle that does occur would be very light and patchy, so widespread impacts are not expected. However, please use caution if heading outside, especially over higher elevations of the northern Adirondacks/northern Greens, as surfaces may start off a little slick. Chances for precipitation quickly dwindle down through the late morning/early afternoon on Tuesday, with the remainder of the day expected to be dry and trending noticeably warmer. Highs will be in the mid 30s to low 40s, lows Tuesday night in the 20s.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 307 PM EST Sunday . Main focus for the long term continues to be the very mild temperatures along with some anticipated rainfall. Wednesday will be dry with deep southwesterly flow in place overhead, allowing us to tap into a warm and moist airmass originating over the western Gulf of Mexico/southern U.S. Temperatures Wednesday will climb into the upper 40s to mid 50s. Starting Wednesday night, chances for rain begin to increase as strong warm air/moisture advection takes place over the North Country. The forcing is weakly organized with no strong features to pinpoint and help narrow down exact timing of precip , but we are expecting one or several waves of rain in response to the strengthening isentropic ascent. Temperatures will continue to rise under the deep southwesterly flow regime . with lows in the mid 30s to low 40s expected Wednesday and Thursday nights and highs Thursday in the low to mid 50s and Friday in the upper 40s to low 50s. A front will sweep through late Friday, accompanied by a final wave of rain followed by a return to below freezing temperatures by Saturday morning.

Altogether this will combine for an extended period of above freezing temperatures between Wednesday and late Friday. With total thawing degree hours expected to be between 600 and 800 hours during this time frame, some ice movement on area rivers is expected. Just how much ice movement we get will be dependent on QPF, which is still unclear at this point. Initial estimates in the third to half inch range still look reasonable, which would aid in snowmelt and increase expected ice movement on rivers.

AVIATION /23Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Through 00Z Tuesday . VFR conditions will continue during this period. Clear skies and light winds will result from surface high pressure drifting through the region. After 18Z, some high and mid-level clouds will gradually advance eastward with any ceilings expected to remain above 6000 feet through 00Z. Slightly faster timing of the next weather system would potentially bring MVFR ceilings and light snow into MSS just before the end of this TAF period. Otherwise, light and variable winds will become steadier and out of the south or southwest from BTV westward after 20Z.

Outlook .

Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance FZDZ, Slight chance SHSN. Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance FZDZ. Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night: VFR. Slight chance RA. Thursday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance RA. Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance RA. Friday: Mainly MVFR, with local VFR possible. Chance SHRA.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. VT . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . Hastings NEAR TERM . Hastings/Kutikoff SHORT TERM . Duell LONG TERM . Duell AVIATION . Hastings/Kutikoff


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Burlington, Burlington International Airport, VT12 mi26 minN 410.00 miFair23°F7°F50%1029.4 hPa
Plattsburgh International Airport , NY20 mi27 minWSW 310.00 miFair22°F10°F60%1029.5 hPa
Franklin County State Airport, VT21 mi25 minN 010.00 miFair17°F7°F63%1029.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBTV

Wind History from BTV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW6NW6NW7NW6NW7NW7NW6E4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4N4N9N7NE5N6N6N4N8N7N4
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Tide / Current Tables for Sorel, Quebec
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Sorel
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Sun -- 03:02 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:19 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:28 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 05:47 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:10 PM EST     1.80 meters Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.91.91.91.91.91.91.91.91.91.91.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.8

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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