Friday, August23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Honor, MI

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:02AMSunset 7:44PM Friday August 23, 2019 9:20 AM CDT (14:20 UTC) Moonrise 11:45PMMoonset 1:51PM Illumination 45% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ345 Point Betsie To Sleeping Bear Point Mi- Manistee To Point Betsie Mi- 409 Am Edt Fri Aug 23 2019
Today..North wind 10 to 15 knots. Gusts up to 20 knots in the afternoon. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..East wind 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..Northeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday night..Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less. SEe the open lakes forecast for days 3 through 5.
LMZ345 Expires:201908231615;;072890 FZUS53 KAPX 230809 NSHAPX Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Gaylord MI 409 AM EDT Fri Aug 23 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lakes Huron... Michigan and Superior. Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LMZ345-346-231615-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Honor, MI
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location: 44.69, -86     debug


Area Discussion for - Gaylord, MI
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Fxus63 kapx 230643
afdapx
area forecast discussion
national weather service gaylord mi
243 am edt Fri aug 23 2019

Near term (today through tonight)
issued at 242 am edt Fri aug 23 2019
impactful weather: minimal none.

Pattern synopsis and forecast:
upper level troughing extended from new england back into the
eastern great lakes early this morning, while broad mid level
ridging and sfc higher pressure from hudson bay back through the
mississippi valley and western great lakes. Forcing across nrn
michigan was negligible nil with just some patchy mid level clouds
around. The northerly flow was bringing h8 temps of 6-8c over the
region, cool enough for 13-15c delta-t's, but nothing on radar attm.

The air mass on latest soundings are quite dry-looking, which may be
enough to hold off any lake effect.

The mid level and sfc ridging will slowly work eastward through
tonight, but remain in firm control of NRN michigan weather. Outside
of the potential light showers this morning, no rainfall expected.

Winds will remain light and northerly, keeping temperatures cooler
than normal, with highs in the upper 60s to lower half of the 70s.

The only clouds foreseen by this afternoon will be typical cumulus,
with mostly clear conditions expected tonight and with temperatures
dropping into through the 40s, with some of the typical cooler low
lying areas sneaking into the upper 30s. Pretty quiet.

Short term (Saturday through Sunday)
issued at 242 am edt Fri aug 23 2019
high impact weather potential: none.

Pattern synopsis forecast: by early Saturday morning, upper-level
heights are expected to be rebounding across the western great lakes
before a ridge axis becomes centered overhead Saturday night.

Overall, quiet and gradually warming conditions are expected across
northern michigan through the upcoming weekend.

Primary forecast concerns challenges: slowly rebounding temperatures.

Little in the way of sensible weather is anticipated across the
forecast area as mid-level ridging and attendant surface high
pressure drift overhead Saturday into Sunday. Upstream incoming cold
front next week will only advance as far as the dakotas on Sunday,
thus allowing tranquil conditions with relatively clear skies to
continue through the entirety of the upcoming weekend.

Max temps rebounding a bit on Saturday... Ranging from the low to mid
70s before climbing several more degrees for Sunday with highs
varying from the upper 70s to near 80 degrees.

Long term (Sunday night through Thursday)
issued at 242 am edt Fri aug 23 2019
high impact weather potential: scattered thunderstorms possible
early next week.

Quiet weather continues across northern michigan for much of the day
Monday before a more active pattern sets up across the midsection of
the country next week. Moisture and instability will be increasing
across the region Monday afternoon into Tuesday with accompanying
scattered shower chances arriving across parts of northern michigan
as early as Monday afternoon, but more so Monday night through
Tuesday. Lots of uncertainty at this point regarding detailed
timing, precip coverage and intensity details, but unfavorable
diurnal timing prevents a mention of thunder, at least for now
(wouldn't be surprised to see some embedded elevated storms).

Aviation (for the 06z tafs through 06z Friday night)
issued at 144 am edt Fri aug 23 2019
a large area of high pressure and relatively dry air will dominate
the great lakes over this TAF period, with fairly light and cool
northerly winds. Could be a few light lake effect rain showers
that may pop up through daybreak in parts of northwest and
northeast lower michigan, otherwise scattered afternoon cumulus
and precip-freeVFR weather for the remainder of the forecast. Am
expecting mostly clear clear skies tonight.

Marine
Issued at 242 am edt Fri aug 23 2019
a large area of high pressure will dominate the great lakes into
Saturday with fairly light northerly winds turning east. The high
pressure then slides east of the great lakes, with winds increasing
and turning more out of the south for Sunday into Monday. No
headlines foreseen through the weekend. Outside of a few possible
light lake effect rain showers into this morning, no precipitation
anticipated until late Monday Monday night. Winds and waves will be
in check.

Apx watches warnings advisories
Mi... None.

Lh... None.

Lm... None.

Ls... None.

Near term... Smd
short term... Mg
long term... Mg
aviation... Smd
marine... Smd


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45183 22 mi20 min N 9.7 G 14 64°F 68°F1025.3 hPa
MEEM4 - Manistee Harbor, MI 35 mi40 min ENE 4.1 G 6 62°F 1024.4 hPa
GTLM4 - Grand Traverse Light, MI 43 mi40 min N 8.9 G 13 65°F 1024 hPa
BSBM4 - Big Sable Point, MI 52 mi40 min NE 7 G 12 64°F 1024.7 hPa

Wind History for Ludington, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Frankfort, Frankfort Dow Memorial Field Airport, MI12 mi2 hrsN 010.00 miFair52°F46°F83%1023 hPa
Cherry Capital Airport, MI22 mi2.5 hrsSSW 310.00 miA Few Clouds51°F48°F89%1022.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFKS

Wind History from FKS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW5N7N7N8N6N9
G14
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NE7N4N3CalmCalm--Calm--CalmCalm--CalmCalmCalmCalmSE3
1 day agoW4N7N7NW10
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NW6NW6N7W4CalmN5NE4N4N4----CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoSE5S6SW3SW6W4W5W4--SW4SW4CalmCalm------------CalmCalmCalmCalm--Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Gaylord, MI (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Gaylord, MI
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.