Cumberland Head, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Cumberland Head, NY

June 22, 2024 4:42 AM EDT (08:42 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:06 AM   Sunset 8:45 PM
Moonrise 10:01 PM   Moonset 5:05 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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SLZ024 Expires:202406220315;;427327 Fzus61 Kbuf 212051 Glfsl
forecast for the saint lawrence river including the thousand islands region national weather service buffalo ny 451 pm edt Fri jun 21 2024
slz022-024-220315- saint lawrence river from cape vincent to saint regis 451 pm edt Fri jun 21 2024

Tonight - Northeast winds less than 10 knots. A chance of showers after midnight.

Saturday - Light and variable winds. A chance of showers early, then showers likely late in the morning. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Saturday night - Northeast winds less than 10 knots becoming east. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Sunday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Sunday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then just a chance of showers and Thunderstorms overnight.

Monday - Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Tuesday - Southwest winds 10 knots or less. A chance of showers Tuesday night.

Wednesday - Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

SLZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cumberland Head, NY
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Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 220821 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 421 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

SYNOPSIS
An unsettled pattern will persist into the beginning of next week, with multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms. There is the potential for strong to severe storms Sunday as a cold front moves through. These storms will also contain heavy rainfall and frequent lightning.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 420 AM EDT Saturday...Elevated convection is beginning to develop tonight due to a weak shortwave passing into the region.
These showers will continue into the day today as a warm front makes its way north across the region. Isolated flash flooding is possible if multiple storms hit the same area, but the threat is low. A few of these storms could contain lightning but there is not a severe threat. The front passes north of the international border Saturday night and there should be somewhat of a lull in the action, particularly over southern Vermont. The front looks to stall just north of the international border Saturday night into Sunday, and it will produce a narrow area of very heavy rainfall. Now that confidence has increased that it will stall north of border, the flooding threat in the region has diminished. However, with the front to the north on Sunday, the region will get into the warm sector of the storm. This has caused the severe threat on Sunday to increase. Abundant deep layer shear will be in place and there should be enough sunshine for instability to develop. CAPE looks to reach between 1000-1500 J/KG though there is a possibility that it exceeds those values. It will rely on any convective debris to move out Sunday morning, so lingering clouds could dampen the risk a little. There will also be very strong low- level helicity, and an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. However, the main threats will be strong winds and hail. There is also a flash flooding risk with these storms, given high PWATs and very deep warm cloud layers.
However, fast storm motion will help keep the risk localized to areas that receive multiple storms.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
As of 420 AM EDT Saturday...Thunderstorms will diminish Sunday night as the cold front crosses the region and instability wanes. However, showers will likely persist through much of the overnight, especially over the higher terrain as flow turns to the northwest.
The upper trough will swing overhead on Monday, so expect ample cloud cover and scattered to numerous showers through much of the day. A few rumbles of thunder will be possible, as well. Highs will be in the mid 60s to mid 70s, but with cloudy skies and breezy northwest winds, it may feel a little on the cool side. Showers will wind down Monday night and skies will clear from west to east as the upper trough departs. Lows will be in the 50s to around 60F.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 420 AM EDT Saturday...Tuesday will be dry as ridging briefly builds over the area. The break will be short-lived though as a cold frontal passage will bring another round of showers and thunderstorms to the region on Wednesday. Some storms could be on the strong side given CAPE values of 750 to 1200+ J/kg and 0-6km shear of 30-40kt, but there's some evidence on model soundings that there could be a capping inversion around for a good part of the day. Still, trends will need to be watched as we draw closer to the middle of next week. Much drier air will work in behind the cold front, so expect a more prolonged dry spell for the end of next week. Highs will be back up into the mid and upper 80s ahead of the front, but then should cool back down into the 70s to around 80F for Thursday and Friday.

AVIATION /09Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Through 06Z Sunday...A warm front will slowly pass through the region tonight and tomorrow, bringing showers and low ceilings.
After the front passes to the north tomorrow night, ceilings should increase a little. Ceilings should drop to MVFR or lower everywhere by tomorrow morning. IFR ceilings are a possibility at any terminals, but they are most likely at MPV, SLK, EFK and RUT. Showers could briefly lower visibilities to MVFR at any terminal. One or two of these showers could contain embedded thunder but the probability of one of these thunderstorms hitting a specific terminal is low. Ceilings should rise slightly during the day tomorrow with diurnal heating, but dense cloud cover and the frontal boundary will prevent much improvement. Improvement will likely not be widespread until the front lifts all the way to the north tomorrow night. WInds will be very light during this period and LLWS is not a concern.

Outlook...

Sunday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Definite SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Sunday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Monday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Likely SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Monday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Tuesday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Tuesday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VT...None.
NY...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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Wind History graph: PBG
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Tide / Current for Sorel, Quebec
   
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Sorel
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Sat -- 12:02 AM EDT     0.72 meters Low Tide
Sat -- 04:22 AM EDT     0.73 meters High Tide
Sat -- 04:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:53 AM EDT     0.72 meters Low Tide
Sat -- 07:18 PM EDT     0.79 meters High Tide
Sat -- 08:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Sorel, Quebec, Tide feet
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0.7
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Tide / Current for Islets Perces, Quebec
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Islets Perces
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Sat -- 02:14 AM EDT     0.86 meters Low Tide
Sat -- 03:07 AM EDT     0.86 meters High Tide
Sat -- 04:55 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:23 PM EDT     0.81 meters Low Tide
Sat -- 06:38 PM EDT     0.84 meters High Tide
Sat -- 08:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Islets Perces, Quebec, Tide feet
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Burlington, VT,




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