Sunday, December8, 2019
Privacy Policy
L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Greilickville, MI

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:57AMSunset 5:04PM Sunday December 8, 2019 9:12 PM EST (02:12 UTC) Moonrise 3:20PMMoonset 4:05AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LMZ323 Grand Traverse Bay South Of A Line Grand Traverse Light To Norwood Mi- 822 Pm Est Sun Dec 8 2019
Overnight..Light winds. Patchy fog after midnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..Light winds. Patchy fog. Showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday night..Northwest wind 15 to 25 knots with gusts to around 30 knots. Snow showers. Waves 4 to 6 feet.
Tuesday..West wind 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Snow showers likely. Waves 3 to 5 feet. SEe the open lakes forecast for days 3 through 5.
LMZ323 Expires:201912090930;;064735 FZUS53 KAPX 090122 NSHAPX Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Gaylord MI 822 PM EST Sun Dec 8 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lakes Huron... Michigan and Superior. Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LMZ323-090930-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Greilickville, MI
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 44.82, -85.64     debug


Area Discussion for - Gaylord, MI
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS63 KAPX 082349 AFDAPX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gaylord MI 649 PM EST Sun Dec 8 2019

NEAR TERM. (Through Tonight) Issued at 335 PM EST Sun Dec 8 2019

. Increasing precip chances late .

High Impact Weather Potential: Minimal. Some light freezing drizzle/light icing is possible in spots later tonight.

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: Afternoon composite analysis reveals broad troughing through Canada and a short-wave trough axis sliding out of the northern/central Rockies into the Plains. Area of developing low pressure is along the front range of the Rockies just ahead of the short-wave trough.

Closer to home, surface low pressure is over western Quebec with a cold front that stretches down through central Upper Michigan and on into the Midwest. Corridor of stratus spans the northern Plains into Upper Michigan along and behind the front. South of the bridge we started the day with some sunshine and lots of mid/high cloud cover. But more or less solid stratocu (with a lake component) has enveloped northern and central Lower Michigan through the course of the day. Otherwise the weather remains quiet and somewhat mild with diminishing southwest winds ahead of the front.

Primary Forecast Concerns: Precip development and type later tonight.

Surface cold front is expected to ease down into the Straits region before stalling and may yet bring some spotty light precip (SN/DZ/FZDZ) into parts of eastern Upper Michigan over the next several hours. South of bridge, generally quiet weather continues for much of tonight. Forecast soundings do show a modestly deep low level saturated layer across the region through the night suggesting there could be a little bit of drizzle/freezing drizzle . especially overnight. But I don't think the saturated layer is deep enough to warrant inclusion in the forecast at this juncture So. plan is to have a dry forecast across northern Lower MI for much of the night.

Meanwhile. upstream short-wave trough and deepening surface low slide into the Midwest tonight, with the surface low further deepening and tracking up through northern Lower Michigan along the stalled boundary on Monday. Strong moisture advection/forcing and a widespread area of precipitation is expected to develop off to our S/SW later this evening and spread up through Lower Michigan overnight, reaching our southern two tier of counties toward Monday morning. Based on forecast soundings/thermal profiles/surface temps . precip should largely be rain although just a touch of freezing rain is possible across the higher terrain early on.

Not planning any headlines at this juncture. But later shifts may consider if freezing drizzle/freezing rain becomes a bit more robust than currently expected.

SHORT TERM. (Monday through Wednesday) Issued at 335 PM EST Sun Dec 8 2019

High impact weather potential: Wintry mix of ice, snow, and rain Monday with lake effect/enhanced snow behind the departing system Tuesday and Wednesday.

A deepening low pressure system traversing from the western Great Lakes and trekking towards northern Michigan will continue to usher in "warmer" temperatures as most of the forecast area resides in the warm sector of the system. This will produce chances of a mix of rain, sleet, freezing rain, and snow. This mix will last much into Monday as temperatures vary greatly from north to south . with eastern upper only reaching into the mid 20s, while the southern part of the forecast area will still see highs in the upper 30s to near 40. This will be tricky to pinpoint the exact areas of p- types . and will most likely be a scenario where the forecast changes throughout the day. As the storm departs to the east and cold air filters in on northwesterly winds . the entire forecast area will transition to only snow. This lake effect snow may be enhanced at times early on as lingering deeper synoptic moisture remains. Winds will be light and variable as the center of the low pressure system treks over northern Michigan and become northwesterly late Monday into early Tuesday morning behind the system. Winds and fetch along Lake Superior will be the most favorable for lake effect snow over eastern upper . as a Lake Superior connection for northwest lower will only occur for several hours before the winds back to westerly . ending the connection. Eastern upper should see the higher amounts of snow . possibly some locations seeing 6-10 inches. Advisory headlines will most likely be needed at some point. Winds once again pick up in intensity (but not nearly as high as Sunday) as the system departs Tuesday morning . with gusts as high as 25 mph. Temperatures will decrease throughout the day Monday, and only reach into the teens to low 20s during the day Tuesday and even colder Wednesday. Overnight lows will be in the single digits to teens above zero Monday night.

LONG TERM. (Wednesday night through Sunday) Issued at 335 PM EST Sun Dec 8 2019

CAA continuing through Wednesday night, with 850mb temperatures still near -20C . this, along with lingering moisture will continue to generate lake effect snow through Wednesday evening. High pressure is then progged to build into the Great Lakes region from the northern Plains. This drier air will give the forecast area a very quick reprive from precipitation before other weak disturbances moves in from the west and renews chances of light snow through the rest of the period. Temperatures will reach into the low to mid 20s Thursday , but moderating a bit to the low 30s by Friday. Lows will be in the single digits above zero Wednesday night as cold air advection continues it's assault on the forecast area and warm a bit each night thereafter . to near 20 by Friday night.

AVIATION. (For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening) Issued at 643 PM EST Sun Dec 8 2019

Widespread MVFR conditions in place across the northern MI terminals early this evening. An area of low pressure will approach the area later tonight and produce impacts for the remainder of the period once it draws close. IFR condtions will develop as the low-levels moisten, and periods of drizzle and eventually rain will accompany the system. At this point, it appears temperatures will stay just above freezing and minimize the threat of surface icing. As colder air filters in behind the system by early Monday evening, the remaining precipitation should change over to snow. A stalled frontal boundary in the vicinity will provide generally light winds for much of the 00Z TAF valid time, but winds will start to swing around to the northwest and become gusty as the low pressure departs later Monday.

MARINE. Issued at 335 PM EST Sun Dec 8 2019

Gusty southwest winds continue to weaken this afternoon . below gale force at this juncture. Thus gale warnings will be cancelled with the afternoon forecast. A few small craft advisories will replace the gales through the evening.

Relatively lighter winds/waves for later tonight into Monday. Stronger winds develop later Monday and Monday night as an area of low pressure tracks through the region. Additional marine headlines may be needed at that time.

APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MI . NONE. LH . NONE. LM . SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 11 PM EST this evening for LMZ341-342- 344>346. LS . NONE.

NEAR TERM . BA SHORT TERM . TL LONG TERM . TL AVIATION . PB MARINE . BA


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTLM4 - Grand Traverse Light, MI 27 mi92 min W 9.9 G 12 41°F 1010.8 hPa
MEEM4 - Manistee Harbor, MI 54 mi32 min ESE 1.9 G 2.9 35°F 1011.5 hPa
BSBM4 - Big Sable Point, MI 70 mi92 min SW 8.9 G 11 41°F 1010.8 hPa

Wind History for Ludington, MI
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
Last
24hr
SE6
G11
S6
G10
S9
G17
S12
G17
S16
G21
S16
G22
S16
G27
S17
G27
S21
G28
S17
G31
S24
G29
S20
G31
S22
G28
S19
G25
SW22
G28
SW20
G26
SW16
G24
SW11
G21
SW11
G19
SW9
G16
SW9
G14
SW6
SW7
G10
SW5
G8
1 day
ago
E2
E2
E3
E3
E3
G6
E4
E4
SE3
SE2
SE2
E3
SE3
SE3
G6
S10
G14
S10
G16
SW18
G22
S17
G24
S15
G24
S14
G22
S13
G17
S16
G22
S10
G16
S9
G16
2 days
ago
SE4
G8
E4
E2
S5
W11
G15
NW10
G15
NW8
G15
N10
G16
N11
G18
N8
G15
N7
G12
NW8
G13
NW5
G13
N9
G13
NW7
G14
NW8
G13
NW6
G13
NW5
G11
NW4
G8
N7
G11
N3
G6
NW4
G7
N2
N3

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cherry Capital Airport, MI7 mi19 minN 07.00 miOvercast37°F33°F86%1010.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTVC

Wind History from TVC (wind in knots)
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
Last 24hrS6
G15
S11
G18
S12
G20
S11
G24
S12
G22
SW14
G27
S14
G25
S11
G25
S13
G23
S12
G20
S15
G26
S18
G30
S10
G21
SW9
G23
S7S6S5SW6SW5SW5SW4S4W3Calm
1 day agoSW3CalmS3CalmCalmSE3CalmS4S5S54S4S4S6S6S6S12
G18
S9
G16
S10
G18
S11S10
G17
S8S9S10
G20
2 days agoSE4E3CalmCalmCalmN4N4N6N4NW12
G20
NW13
G21
NW18
G27
NW11NW12
G18
NW13
G19
NW13NW12NW14NW12
G22
W9NW13NW8W6SW4

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Gaylord, MI (21,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Gaylord, MI
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Cookie Policy:
This webiste uses cookies to save your settings. No personal information is saved. You can disable cookies in your browser if you like but it is not recommended for this site. I do not sell cookies. Go to a bakery for that. In fact I do not sell anything. To disable cookies from L-36.com, please refer to the Help button in your browser.
Privacy Policy:
I do not sell or share any user data or anything else for that matter. I do not keep site logs longer than I need to to keep bad actors off the site. Basically, I delete them after looking at them. If you are subject to CCPA, Google ads on this site will not be based on your past behavior so you will likely not see an ad for a lawn mower just because you looked for one at a big box website. I do not believe this site is subject to CCPA but I am doing what I can to follow the guidelines anyway.
Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.