Monday, October21, 2019 L-36.com


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Marine Weather and Tides
Lincoln Beach, OR

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:34AMSunset 6:20PM Monday October 21, 2019 12:08 AM PDT (07:08 UTC) Moonrise 11:36PMMoonset 2:10PM Illumination 49% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ255 Coastal Waters From Cascade Head To Florence Or Out 10 Nm- Waters From Cascade Head To Florence Or From 10 To 60 Nm- 902 Pm Pdt Sun Oct 20 2019
.small craft advisory in effect tonight...
.small craft advisory in effect from Monday morning through late Monday night...
Rest of tonight..SW wind 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Wind waves sw 3 ft at 5 seconds. NW swell 10 ft at 12 seconds.
Mon..SW wind 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt by afternoon. Wind waves sw 4 ft at 5 seconds. NW swell 8 ft at 12 seconds. Chance of rain.
Mon night..SW wind 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt, easing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt after midnight. Wind waves sw 4 ft at 5 seconds. W swell 8 ft at 12 seconds. Chance of rain after midnight.
Tue..SW wind 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt, veering to N in the afternoon. Wind waves sw 4 ft at 5 seconds, shifting to the N 3 ft at 4 seconds in the afternoon. NW swell 8 ft at 11 seconds. Chance of rain.
Tue night..N wind 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Wind waves N 3 ft at 5 seconds. NW swell 8 ft at 11 seconds.
Wed..N wind 15 to 20 kt. Wind waves 4 ft. NW swell 6 ft.
Wed night..N wind 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Wind waves 5 ft. W swell 5 ft.
Thu..N wind 15 to 20 kt. Wind waves 5 ft. W swell 6 ft.
Fri..N wind 20 to 25 kt. Wind waves 6 ft. NW swell 8 ft.
PZZ200 902 Pm Pdt Sun Oct 20 2019
Synopsis for the southern washington and northern oregon coast.. On Monday a warm front will move to the waters. High pressure rebuilds late Monday and Tuesday and looks to hold through the end of the week. A thermal develops on the south oregon coast on Wednesday and could bring small craft advisory winds to our southern waters.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lincoln Beach CDP, OR
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location: 44.86, -124.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Portland, OR
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Fxus66 kpqr 210420 aaa
afdpqr
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service portland or
919 pm pdt Sun oct 20 2019
updated aviation and marine discussions.

Synopsis Light rain showers will continue over the area through
early evening, then decrease overnight. Another weather disturbance
will move into the region Monday afternoon bringing another round of
showers, mainly to far northwest oregon and western washington. High
pressure will slowly build eastward along the pacific NW coast
during the middle part of the week, bringing a period of weak
offshore flow and dry weather Wednesday and Thursday. Another
weather system will approach the area late in the work week into the
weekend.

Short term Tonight through Wednesday... A weak frontal boundary
remains draped over the region this afternoon bringing scattered
showers to most of the area. The boundary will lift northeast tonight
for decreasing showers. Upstream, a broad upper level ridge of high
pressure will approach the region on Monday. A developing frontal
wave out near 47n 149w this afternoon will ride over the top of the
ridge and bring another shot of precipitation to the region Monday
afternoon Monday night. Most of the precipitation with this wave
will be in western washington and the northern part of our forecast
area. There is a fair amount of warm air advection with this system,
so snow levels will rise to around 7kft to 8kft on Monday.

The ridge flattens on Tuesday with a weak frontal boundary draping
east-west across the area bringing another shot of precipitation.

This frontal boundary weakens and moves into southern oregon Tuesday
evening with precipitation decreasing as the front moves southward.

Expect a dry day on Wednesday as a ridge of high pressure builds
over the region. The boundary layer remains quite moist, so fog will
be prevalent in valley locations Wednesday morning as the ridge
builds in with light winds. dry weather will persist through
Thursday. Tw

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday... By Thursday, a high
pressure ridge will reside over northwest oregon southwest
washington causing skies to clear. As is typical with a ridge
building in behind a passing trough or front, there is a chance of
fog development early Thursday morning. This chance is amplified by
the clearing of skies in combination with residual moisture from the
previous few days of rain. Thursday through Friday morning will
consist of weak offshore flow.

The high pressure will remain positioned over the area through
Friday afternoon when a trough will move in, and make the return to
onshore flow. This trough extends from a low near alberta, canada
and encompasses much of the pacific north west. With this trough
migration, skies will begin to fill with marine stratus and
precipitation chances will increase. While precipitation will
consist of rain in the valley, along the coast and lower elevations,
snow is likely above 4,000 ft. By Sunday morning, the trough has
become very negatively tilted and the flow is almost completely
northerly with a slight offshore component to the wind. -rm

Aviation Onshore flow continues to weaken tonight and showers
have just about ended. Expect to seeVFR prevailing tonight but
weak high pressure moving into the area may stabilize the air
mass for some MVFR conditions to develop with CIGS around 3000
ft. However mid and high level clouds ahead of the next system
may inhibit radiational cooling for lower clouds to form. Better
chance for MVFR conditions will be with the warm front Monday
morning through afternoon, primarily affecting the coast and
inland areas north of about ksle.

Kpdx and approaches...VFR conditions expected overnight. There
is slight chance for MVFR CIGS 10 to 16z mon. More likely to have
MVFR conditions after 21z Monday with the effect from the warm
front. Winds will be light tonight, then 5 to 10 kt out of the
southeast Monday morning before switching to south in the
afternoon. Mh

Marine Small craft advisory conditions continue to hold as seas
hovering around 10 ft. Have extended the advisory out through
late tonight as models seem to be sluggish when compared to
observations at bouy 89,50 and 29.

Monday will have a new system bring back southerly winds into the
waters. This will likely bring back advisory level wind gusts to
30 kt and seas to around 10 to 11 ft, especially across the
northern waters. High pressure looks to develop by Tuesday and
linger through the week, with northerly winds to around 20 kt and
seas around 7 to 9 ft. Models are suggesting that a thermal
trough could develop, along with small craft winds to zones
pzz275 and pzz255 by Wednesday. 42

Pqr watches warnings advisories
Or... None.

Wa... None.

Pz... Small craft advisory until 3 am pdt Monday for coastal waters
from CAPE shoalwater wa to florence or out 10 nm.Columbia
river bar-coastal waters from CAPE shoalwater wa to
florence or from 10 to 60 nm.

Small craft advisory from 11 am Monday to 5 am pdt Tuesday for
coastal waters from CAPE shoalwater wa to florence or out
60 nm.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SBEO3 - 9435380 - South Beach, OR 16 mi57 min S 8 G 12 55°F 54°F1022.2 hPa
NWPO3 - Newport, OR 17 mi69 min S 12 G 15 55°F
46050 - STONEWALL BANKS - 20NM West of Newport, OR 28 mi39 min SW 7.8 G 9.7 1023 hPa
TLBO3 - 9437540 - Garibaldi, Tillamook Bay, OR 48 mi57 min 54°F1021.6 hPa

Wind History for South Beach, Yaquina River, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newport, Newport Municipal Airport, OR19 mi74 minS 85.00 miFog/Mist54°F53°F100%1023.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KONP

Wind History from ONP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE5SE5S11
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SW12SW6SW5S5S5S5S6S8S9
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Tide / Current Tables for Kernville, Siletz River, Oregon
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Kernville
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:36 AM PDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:41 AM PDT     Last Quarter
Mon -- 07:39 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:17 AM PDT     4.60 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:41 PM PDT     2.53 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:10 PM PDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:21 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 06:53 PM PDT     5.30 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.30.30.71.62.63.64.34.64.54.13.532.62.62.93.64.45.15.35.14.53.72.7

Tide / Current Tables for Newport, Yaquina Bay and River, Oregon
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Portland, OR (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, OR
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.