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Marine Weather and Tides Landfall, MN Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 6:55AM

Sunset 7:37PM

Sunday March 29, 2020 2:06 PM CDT (19:06 UTC)

Moonrise 8:42AM

Moonset 12:00AM

Illumination 31%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Landfall, MN

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Area Discussion for - Twin Cities, MN

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FXUS63 KMPX 291736 AFDMPX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 1236 PM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

SHORT TERM. (Today through Monday) Issued at 412 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

Bands of rain and snow continue to rotate around an upper low, which is crawling northeast across Dakota County early this morning during its occlusion process. Locally heavy snow continues within the most intense bands, but between them precip is generally turning back to drizzle or light rain. This is making accumulation a bit difficult in most areas and roads are wet or lightly slush covered. Reports of a few inches of snow have come in from the St. Cloud area, however, and more will come in later this morning. The upper low will begin accelerating to the east later this morning. The bands of precipitation will become increasingly disorganized with improving conditions from west to east this afternoon. An inch or less of additional snow is expected, and is most likely in a corridor from Mille Lacs Lake to St. Cloud and Litchfield. Clouds will clear western MN this afternoon and sunshine should allow temps to rebound to around 50 there, but 40s will prevail east where clouds will linger toward the evening.

Northwest winds will gust to 35 mph today, but as the system departs this evening and surface ridging builds in overnight, winds will diminish and become light and variable by Monday morning. Mostly clear skies overnight and heavy precipitation from this weekend should promote areas of fog/freezing fog after midnight.

The fog will burn off Monday morning and highs will return to the 50s area wide.

LONG TERM. (Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 412 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

There is a lot of uncertainty and little continuity from forecast to forecast in the long term. A few systems have the potential to impact the Upper Midwest through next weekend, but temporal and spatial differences continue to result in numerous periods with low chance PoPs.

A trough over the northern Rockies and Pacific Northwest will be the main feature the active pattern focuses on. The first swinging through Tuesday night and early Wednesday is generally being handled well on all the operational guidance. Rain with this feature won't be heavy and up to 1/4 inch can be expected as it clips the CWA. Did raise PoPs to likely for this period.

The second system will be more potent with more moisture and dynamics to work with. Low pressure over southeast CO will advance eastward across the southern Plains and then north into the Upper Mississippi Valley Thursday into Friday. NBM is lagging behind the latest trend and PoPs remain only in the slight chance to low chance range for now, but if the trends amongst the guidance hold then expect PoPs to increase quite a bit in the next day or two.

The third system could impact the area next Sunday and Monday, but consistency with this is very low.

Temperatures have been increased a bit mid to late week with the region remaining to the east of the trough until at least Friday.

AVIATION. (For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon) Issued at 1236 PM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

Minimal changes needed to going TAFs to handle departure of MVFR cigs and -RA off to the east through this evening. More uncertainty with tonight. MN will see clear skies and light winds, so potential for fog. HREF certainly goes this route, but several of its members tend to be over zealous with creating fog. Forecast soundings show quite a bit of boundary layer drying occurring in the subsidence region behind the departing low, so for now, will hold off on bringing fog into any terminals, but it is something that will need to be watched.

KMSP . If we do see fog develop tonight, confidence is pretty high that it will be an issue in outlying areas, so MSP will be fine.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ Tue . VFR. Wind SE 5-10 kts. Wed . MVFR chc IFR -RA likely. Wind SSE 10 kts. Thu . MVFR/IFR cigs. Chc -RA. Wind SE 10-15 kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. WI . None. MN . None.

SHORT TERM . BORGHOFF LONG TERM . BORGHOFF AVIATION . MPG

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Downtown Holman Field, MN	3 mi	74 min	NNW 16 G 26	10.00 mi	Overcast	42°F	36°F	79%	1005.9 hPa
South St. Paul Municipal-Richard E. Flemi, MN	9 mi	72 min	NNW 14 G 24	7.00 mi	Overcast	40°F	36°F	86%	1005.4 hPa
Lake Elmo Airport, MN	9 mi	72 min	NNW 15 G 21	10.00 mi	Overcast	39°F	35°F	87%	1005.1 hPa
Minneapolis, Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport, MN	12 mi	74 min	NNW 15 G 25	10.00 mi	Overcast	41°F	37°F	86%	1006.5 hPa
Minneapolis / Blaine, MN	20 mi	82 min	NNW 18 G 26	10.00 mi	Light Rain and Breezy	39°F	39°F	100%	1005.8 hPa
Minneapolis, Crystal Airport, MN	23 mi	74 min	NNW 17 G 25	10.00 mi	Light Rain	40°F	35°F	83%	1006.5 hPa
Minneapolis, Airlake Airport, MN	23 mi	72 min	NW 17 G 23	7.00 mi	Rain	41°F	39°F	93%	1005.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSTP

Wind History from STP (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for

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Tide / Current Tables for

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Twin Cities, MN (15,3,4,5)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Minneapolis, MN

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