Sunday, January19, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Spring Park, MN

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:44AMSunset 5:05PM Sunday January 19, 2020 4:53 AM CST (10:53 UTC) Moonrise 2:45AMMoonset 12:57PM Illumination 32% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Spring Park, MN
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location: 44.92, -93.62     debug


Area Discussion for - Twin Cities, MN
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FXUS63 KMPX 190923 AFDMPX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 323 AM CST Sun Jan 19 2020

SHORT TERM. (Today through Monday) Issued at 323 AM CST Sun Jan 19 2020

Winds are slowly subsiding early this morning with patchy blowing snow ending. Temperatures haven't dropped much from yesterday evening, with zero to 5 below across western and southern MN.

Cyclonic flow is in place this morning across the region as the elongated winter storm continues to slowly push easy across southeast Canada. Clouds are redeveloping across eastern MN/western WI as moisture rotates around the system. Flurries have occasionally been reported under this stratus with a very deep DGZ which is nearly saturated with respect to ice. Lift is very weak, so we shouldn't see much in the way of steadier snow showers until tonight when a shortwave descends southeast from northern MN and Manitoba. Lift will still be weak, but further moistening of the DGZ and the added lift from the disturbance should get steadier snow showers going, mainly between midnight and 6 am Monday. May see a half inch at best in some places, but it will be very dry and not very impactful. Increased PoPs to 50 percent with a scattered snow shower mention. Drier air will follow the system tonight and skies will clear gradually Monday morning.

Highs today and lows tonight were increased by a few degrees due to the increased sky cover and warmer air from the northeast wrapping around the departing winter storm. Some teens below zero are still possible nearest the ridge axis over the eastern Dakotas, assuming some clearing there which isn't too likely.

LONG TERM. (Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 323 AM CST Sun Jan 19 2020

Longer term trends continue to show temperatures warming ahead of the Wed/Thu trough. We should readings warm through the mid/upper 30s most areas which returns the 10 to 15 degrees above normal regime. Lows will start out cool Monday night as the cold high retreats to the south of the area. Readings may drop off to a few degrees below/above zero before steadying off or slowing rising overnight as a southerly wind develops.

Clouds increase into Tuesday night with the next short wave moving east from the western CONUS trough. Models differ on overall strength of this wave, but appears there will be sufficient moisture lifted north to develop some light QPF Wed/Thu at least. Initially we see some ice concerns which may lend P-Type concerns. Could see light freezing rain/drizzle before transitioning to rain/snow during the day Wednesday.

Following this wave, models diverge on overall development and amplification of upper circulation by Friday. The GFS drops the northwest CONUS trough energy southeast and develops the cutoff low over the mid Mississippi Valley and lifts toward southern Wisconsin by Friday night. This would be far enough north to affect the eastern CWA with a rain to snow scenario into Saturday. The ECMWF is a bit farther south and east with its development. We will hold onto the lower chance PoPs for this system for now.

AVIATION. (For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night) Issued at 1054 PM CST Sat Jan 18 2020

MVFR ceilings are expected to redevelop in eastern MN and western WI on Sunday morning under cyclonic flow. Could see attendant scattered light snow showers and/or flurries, but the probability at sites is too low to include in the TAF at this point. Northwest winds will persist through the period, but gusts should diminish Sunday morning.

KMSP . Expect the stratus deck to build back in Sunday morning, with MVFR ceilings returning around 15Z.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ Mon . VFR. Wind W at 5kts. Tue . VFR. Wind SW at 15kts. Wed . VFR. Chc -SN/MVFR cigs/vsby late. Wind SSW 10 kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. WI . Wind Chill Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for WIZ026-028.

MN . Wind Chill Advisory until noon CST today for MNZ041-042-047>049- 054>058-064>067-073>076-082>085-091>093.

Wind Chill Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for MNZ059-060- 068>070-077-078.



SHORT TERM . BORGHOFF LONG TERM . DWE AVIATION . LS


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Minneapolis - Flying Cloud Airport, MN10 mi60 minNW 1110.00 miOvercast1°F-7°F68%1027.8 hPa
Minneapolis, Crystal Airport, MN17 mi60 minNW 13 G 2010.00 miOvercast2°F-6°F69%1027.2 hPa
Buffalo, Buffalo Municipal Airport, MN20 mi58 minno data10.00 miOvercast1°F-5°F74%1026.4 hPa
Minneapolis, Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport, MN21 mi60 minWNW 1010.00 miOvercast2°F-6°F69%1027.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFCM

Wind History from FCM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmW3W9W12
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1 day agoSE11E10E11SE11E11E10SE11SE12SE9E11E12E13
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2 days agoW10W5W7NW6NW5N5W4NW4NW4NW5CalmSW5SW5W4CalmCalmCalmCalmSE3E4E6E6E8E9

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Twin Cities, MN (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Minneapolis, MN
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.