Tuesday, February18, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Lincoln City, OR

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:07AMSunset 5:46PM Tuesday February 18, 2020 11:45 AM PST (19:45 UTC) Moonrise 4:08AMMoonset 1:05PM Illumination 24% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ255 Expires:202002190100;;719681 Fzus56 Kpqr 181051 Cwfpqr Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Portland Or 251 Am Pst Tue Feb 18 2020 Coastal Waters From Cape Shoalwater Washington To Florence Oregon And Westward 60 Nm Pzz250-255-190100- Coastal Waters From Cape Shoalwater Wa To Cascade Head Or Out 10 Nm-coastal Waters From Cascade Head To Florence Or Out 10 Nm- 251 Am Pst Tue Feb 18 2020
Today..NE wind 5 to 10 kt with gusts to 15 kt, rising to 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Wind waves ne 2 ft at 4 seconds. NW swell 7 ft at 13 seconds.
Tonight..E wind 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Wind waves E 2 ft at 4 seconds. NW swell 6 ft at 12 seconds.
Wed..E wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves E 2 ft at 4 seconds. NW swell 4 ft at 12 seconds.
Wed night..SE wind 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Wind waves se 3 ft at 4 seconds. NW swell 4 ft at 14 seconds.
Thu..SE wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves se 1 ft at 4 seconds. W swell 5 ft at 13 seconds.
Thu night..NW wind to 5 kt. Wind waves nw 1 ft at 4 seconds in the evening, becoming less than 1 ft. W swell 7 ft at 14 seconds.
Fri..SW wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft. W swell 8 ft.
Sat..SW wind 15 to 20 kt. Wind waves 4 ft. NW swell 12 ft.
PZZ200 251 Am Pst Tue Feb 18 2020
Synopsis for the southern washington and northern oregon coast.. High pressure over the waters will persist through Friday. A surface thermal trough along the north california coast today will expand north tonight through Tuesday. A frontal system is expected to move through the waters over the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lincoln City, OR
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location: 44.93, -124.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Portland, OR
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FXUS66 KPQR 181048 AFDPQR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Portland OR 247 AM PST Tue Feb 18 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will keep the region dry for today through Friday. But, this will also bring east to northeast winds to the region for next several days. Otherwise, plenty of sunshine, with mild days and chill star-filled nights. Will see rain return to the region this weekend, with lowering snow levels.

SHORT TERM. Today through Thursday . Rather chilly morning across southwest Washington and northwest Oregon, with 3 am temperatures in the lower 30s for most areas, though do have pockets where temperatures have dropped into the upper 20s. Will see plenty of frost across the region this am, so motorists should be ready for a few slick spots, mainly in forested areas and less-traveled rural roadways. Do have areas of low clouds and fog forming across the region, mainly along the major rivers. This fog and low stratus will spread across most areas over next few hours, making for widespread low clouds and fog into this morning.

NOAA satellite imagery showing a well-defined upper trough digging into the northern Rockies, with cool northerly flow aloft over the Pac NW. Surface high pressure just offshore will build inland today, and remain over the interior Pac NW through Thursday. As the high builds inland, will see increasing east to northeast low level flow. Easterly winds will likely gust 15 to 20 mph for most lowlands areas tonight through Thu am, with gusts 25 to 35 mph over the higher terrain. But, expect east winds to gust 35 to 45 mph around the western end of the Columbia Gorge, with higher gusts between Troutdale and Bonneville. This will bring drier air west of the Cascades, with much less in way of fog or stratus for Tue night and Wed night. This pattern will also maintain mild days, with highs in the upper 40s to middle 50s, depending on elevation. Those with an interest on star-gazing will be in for a nice treat, with great star-gazing conditions under clear skies and not much moonlight as the moon that is approaching new moon phase. But, will be a tad chilly, so bundle up if outdoors next few nights. /Rockey

LONG TERM. Thursday night through Monday . Models hint that a weakening front will approach the region late Friday as a shortwave trough slides eastward into British Columbia. At this point, model and ensemble guidance has trended towards a weaker scenario, which more than likely results in the entire CWA remaining dry through Friday. Did hold onto some slight chance to low end chance PoPs for our far northwestern zones on Friday as cannot completely rule out rain yet.

Models and their ensembles remain in good agreement a more consolidated shortwave trough will drop southeastward into the Pacific Northwest late Saturday into Sunday. This storm system appears likely to bring another shot of valley rain and mountain snow during this period. While snow levels will likely begin above the Cascade passes, it appears they will likely lower down into the 1000-2000 ft range by late Sunday. It appears precipitation will likely turn showery late Sunday into Monday with precipitation chances decreasing steadily during this time. /Neuman

AVIATION. VFR conditions will slowly degrade as IFR/LIFR conditions are develop after 12Z Tue throughout the Willamette Valley and KAST. Satellite and ground observations show a well defined line of IFR cigs along the Columbia River and snaking down into the northern and central Willamette Valley. Expect IFR cigs to develop around KEUG and work into the southern and central Willamette Valley. With temperatures are at or near freezing, expect areas of light frost this am. Light offshore low-level flow develops later this am, then strengthens in the afternoon. IFR or lower conditions will gradually improve to VFR later this am, and be gone by 20Z Tuesday.

KPDX AND APPROACHES . IFR conditions will persist through at least 20Z Tuesday. After 20Z look for conditions to improve back to VFR. /42

MARINE. Offshore winds prevails over the waters through today. A thermally-induced low along the north California coast will result in SCA gusts over the PZZ275 and PZZ270. Therefore have issued a small craft advisory for our offshore waters, starting in zone PZZ275 then moving into PZZ270 by Tuesday afternoon. There is the potential for these conditions to impact the near shore waters but at this time guidance mixed on this happening. There is the possibility of isolated 25 kt gusts Tuesday night through Wednesday morning near the coastal terrain gaps.

Winds subside by Wednesday night and will remain generally 10 kt or less through Friday. Wind speeds increase Sat due to an approaching frontal system. Operational runs remain in good agreement showing solid small craft advisory level wind speeds starting Saturday.

Seas will hover around 4 to 6 ft today and remain in that range through the middle of the week. Guidance shows seas building to the mid teens on Saturday. ENP wave guidance suggests seas will get close to 20 ft Sunday. These seas appear to be generated by a ~995 mb low near British Columbia, both the GFS and ECWMF have weakened this low considerably from the previous runs. /42

PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OR . None. WA . None. PZ . Small Craft Advisory from noon today to 10 PM PST this evening for Waters from Cape Shoalwater WA to Cascade Head OR from 10 to 60 NM.

Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM early this morning to 10 PM PST this evening for Waters from Cascade Head to Florence OR from 10 to 60 NM.



Interact with us via social media: www.facebook.com/NWSPortland www.twitter.com/NWSPortland

This discussion is for Northwest oregon and Southwest Washington from the Cascade crest to 60 nm offshore. This area is commonly referred to as the forecast area.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SBEO3 - 9435380 - South Beach, OR 21 mi45 min ESE 8 G 8.9 42°F 50°F1025.2 hPa (-0.9)
NWPO3 - Newport, OR 22 mi45 min NE 8 G 9.9 43°F
46097 25 mi115 min NE 12 43°F 49°F1025 hPa
46050 - STONEWALL BANKS - 20NM West of Newport, OR 32 mi25 min NNE 14 G 16 45°F 1025.2 hPa34°F
TLBO3 - 9437540 - Garibaldi, Tillamook Bay, OR 44 mi45 min 49°F1026.3 hPa (-0.9)

Wind History for South Beach, Yaquina River, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newport, Newport Municipal Airport, OR24 mi70 minE 710.00 miFair43°F35°F76%1026.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KONP

Wind History from ONP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE7NW9N10N12
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N13N6N4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE6E7E7E7E7--NE5NE4NE7E7E7NE8
1 day agoNW5N4NW6NW4W4W4NW6CalmCalmS4NW3NW4N3N4NW7NW6CalmNE14
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N9NE3CalmE5E3E3CalmCalmCalmNE3CalmNE3CalmCalmCalmN4

Tide / Current Tables for Taft, Siletz Bay, Oregon
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Taft
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:08 AM PST     2.65 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:08 AM PST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:12 AM PST     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:55 AM PST     6.66 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:05 PM PST     Moonset
Tue -- 03:46 PM PST     0.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:47 PM PST     Sunset
Tue -- 10:13 PM PST     5.03 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.42.92.72.83.54.55.66.46.76.45.64.53.21.90.90.20.10.51.52.73.84.754.9

Tide / Current Tables for Depoe Bay, Oregon
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Portland, OR (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, OR
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.