Tuesday, January28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Shorewood, MN

Version 3.4 		NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
Sunrise 7:36AMSunset 5:17PM Tuesday January 28, 2020 7:10 PM CST (01:10 UTC) Moonrise 9:51AMMoonset 9:09PM Illumination 16% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Shorewood, MN
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location: 44.94, -93.55     debug

Area Discussion for - Twin Cities, MN
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FXUS63 KMPX 282334 AFDMPX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 534 PM CST Tue Jan 28 2020

Updated for 00Z Aviation Discussion. Issued at 529 PM CST Tue Jan 28 2020

SHORT TERM. (This evening through Wednesday night) Issued at 305 PM CST Tue Jan 28 2020

The light snow/flurries that began overnight has stuck around with most of MN reporting light snow/flurries. Visibility restrictions with the snow have minor impacts with most stations reporting 4 miles or greater. The light snow should begin to taper off this evening for the Twin Cities metro.

Model guidance has trended weaker/drier with the disturbance that will move into western MN tonight. Dry air aloft in the mid levels will limit the potential for light snow, but it cannot be completely ruled out.

As the pattern stagnation continues the stratus deck will remain in place. With no significant airmass change for Wednesday, look for temperatures Wednesday to only be a couple of degrees warmer than what we see this afternoon. Wednesday evening presents another chance for light snow/flurries in central MN as the parade of weak waves continue to pivot through.

LONG TERM. (Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 305 PM CST Tue Jan 28 2020

There was little change in the long term forecast period again today, with no significant weather systems noted, and even more mild temperatures on the way to start off the month of February.

On Thursday and Friday, a mid-level low will be rotating across the Upper Midwest. Weak lift will likely generate light snow, although given limited moisture any accumulations would most likely be an inch or less each day. Given we will be transitioning to a more mild airmass, will also need to monitor the threat for freezing drizzle, but at this point have kept an all-snow mention.

For the weekend, the southwest ridge builds into the central CONUS. We expect temperatures to moderate well into the 30s for highs, with lower 40s still possible on Sunday. There's a fairly low model spread on forecast highs for Sunday, with only about a 4 degree difference between the 25th and 90th percentiles. Therefore confidence in 35-40 degree max temps is fairly high.

Above normal temperatures look to persist into Monday, but come crashing down on Tuesday as a trough over the Rockies begins to eject into the central CONUS. Right now the main track for this system looks to be mostly south of the forecast area, but southern MN into west central WI could end up being on the northern fringes of the measurable snowfall.

AVIATION. (For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening) Issued at 529 PM CST Tue Jan 28 2020

MVFR/IFR conditions throughout. Winds will be light, so the low stratus will continue. Could see a few light snow showers overnight as well, especially at KRWF and KAXN.

KMSP .

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/

THU . MVFR cigs with IFR possible. Winds S at 05 kts. FRI . IFR. Winds SW at 05-10 kts. Sat . MVFR with VFR possible. Wind SW at 10-15 kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. WI . None. MN . None.

SHORT TERM . BPH LONG TERM . LS AVIATION . JRB

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Minneapolis - Flying Cloud Airport, MN8 mi78 minNNE 610.00 miOvercast19°F12°F77%1022 hPa
Minneapolis, Crystal Airport, MN13 mi78 minENE 410.00 miOvercast18°F12°F77%1022.5 hPa
Minneapolis, Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport, MN18 mi78 minE 69.00 miLight Snow19°F12°F77%1022.7 hPa
South St. Paul Municipal-Richard E. Flemi, MN22 mi75 minN 04.00 miLight Snow19°F15°F88%1021.3 hPa
Buffalo, Buffalo Municipal Airport, MN22 mi76 minno data10.00 miOvercast17°F12°F84%1021.3 hPa
Minneapolis / Blaine, MN23 mi86 minNE 510.00 miOvercast19°F15°F86%1021 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFCM

Wind History from FCM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW6NW7N6NW45N7W5N5NW7W4NW4N3N3W4CalmNE43W3CalmCalmCalmNE5NE6NE5
1 day agoNE3NE5NE5NE6NE6NE5NE4N4N6N4N3N5N3NW7NW3NW6W7W4NW6W4NW7W7W8NW3
2 days agoW7NW7NW6W6W8W9W5W7W5SW4SW4SW5W4CalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Twin Cities, MN (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Minneapolis, MN
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.