Wednesday, February24, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Minneapolis, MN

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:57AMSunset 5:55PM Wednesday February 24, 2021 7:52 PM CST (01:52 UTC) Moonrise 2:47PMMoonset 5:48AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Minneapolis, MN
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location: 44.95, -93.3     debug


Area Discussion for - Twin Cities, MN
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FXUS63 KMPX 242312 AFDMPX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 512 PM CST Wed Feb 24 2021

UPDATE. For 00Z Aviation discussion below

SHORT TERM. (This evening through Thursday night) Issued at 253 PM CST Wed Feb 24 2021

Most of the residual cloud cover from yesterday's system has dissipated with only a few CU evident on satellite over southern MN and western WI. However, clouds are advancing eastward into far western MN late this afternoon. The mid level clouds will continue spreading east tonight as a weak shortwave passes through. Models have toned down their enthusiasm for snow showers tonight, but there are some cells this afternoon scattered across South Dakota. Maintained some low PoPs, especially across southwestern MN.

The clouds will clear again early Thursday with high pressure centered to the south. Winds will shift southwesterly for Thursday and slight warm air advection should allow temps to increase slightly over today. Today is overachieving in some places, which will likely be the case for the foreseeable future as the snowpack begins to diminish. The biggest increase in temps will be over west central MN, as downsloping and strongest WAA will reside. Should reach the mid 40s there. Southwest flow will remain steady Thursday night and temperatures should stay relatively mild.

LONG TERM. (Friday through Wednesday) Issued at 253 PM CST Wed Feb 24 2021

While there are a couple of chances for precipitation for parts of the forecast area, the long term while be characterized by dry weather and fairly seasonable temperatures.

Southerly winds Friday will increase in speed in the afternoon as the pressure gradient tightens between high pressure to our southeast and an approaching low from the northwest. We increased gusts to 35 knots Friday, and with a low level jet at 50+ knots not too far overhead, the potential exists for higher gusts if we are able to fully mix down the stronger winds. Also increased the high temperatures to the 75th percentile for Friday with the strong southerly flow. This results in highs in the upper 30s and low 40s across the forecast area except in west central Minnesota where the lack of snowpack and downsloping winds from the Buffalo Ridge could have some locations approaching 50 degrees. Friday evening/night, as the aforementioned Canadian low to our northwest slides southeast into the Great Lakes region, there will be a chance for precipitation, mainly across west central Wisconsin. It could start as a brief period of light rain before changing to snow, but there will not be much moisture to work with, so any accumulations should be minor, but did increase PoPs a bit in this area.

Highs on Saturday will be similar to the highs on Friday. Another small chance for precipitation comes on Saturday night as a piece of energy moves through the region, but once again the active southern stream cuts off any significant gulf moisture. There could be some light snow across far southern and eastern areas, but again any accumulations should be minor.

Cold high pressure starts to move in on Sunday with high temperatures falling back into the 20s and 30s. There is not a lot of agreement in the upper pattern next week, except that it looks like things will be dry. Where the lack of agreement shows up is in the temperature spreads. While it looks like we climb back above normal again, there is not a lot of confidence in how high temperatures will get. The dwindling snow pack will also play a role in how high the temperatures can go.

AVIATION. (For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening) Issued at 512 PM CST Wed Feb 24 2021

A weak mid-level wave will bring a batch of MVFR-level clouds across the area tonight into Thursday, along with scattered flurries. Most sites will experience a 3-6 hour period of 2-3KFT ceilings, but visibility reductions are not anticipated. Clouds look to scatter out on Thursday morning, with VFR conditions thereafter. Northwest winds will back to the west/southwest for Thursday, with speeds mostly under 10 knots with the exception of slightly higher speeds during the afternoon.

KMSP . The window for ceilings around 2500 feet is between 05Z and 10Z overnight when flurries are possible. Otherwise no concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ Fri . Mainly VFR. Slgt chc MVFR/IFR with evening -SN. Wind SW 15G25 kts. Sat . Chc MVFR cigs. Wind NW 5-15 kts. Sun . VFR. Wind WNW 10-15 kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MN . None. WI . None.

SHORT TERM . Borghoff LONG TERM . CEO AVIATION . LS


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Minneapolis, Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport, MN6 mi60 minWNW 710.00 miFair32°F21°F64%1023.4 hPa
Minneapolis, Crystal Airport, MN10 mi60 minW 410.00 miFair32°F19°F59%1023 hPa
South St. Paul Municipal-Richard E. Flemi, MN11 mi58 minW 410.00 miFair33°F22°F64%1022.3 hPa
Minneapolis - Flying Cloud Airport, MN12 mi60 minW 610.00 miFair31°F20°F64%1023.3 hPa
Downtown Holman Field, MN13 mi60 minW 810.00 miFair34°F21°F59%1023.1 hPa
Minneapolis / Blaine, MN15 mi68 minN 010.00 miFair36°F21°F56%1022 hPa
Minneapolis, Airlake Airport, MN22 mi78 minW 510.00 miFair30°F19°F64%1022 hPa
Lake Elmo Airport, MN24 mi89 minno data10.00 miFair32°F14°F47%1021.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMSP

Wind History from MSP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE6E54NE4N6NW6NW9NW8N10N14N13N12N12
G22
N15
G25
N10
G18
N13N9NW12NW8NW7NW9NW11W10W7
1 day agoW9W8W7W8W11
G21
NW13NW9------W6W6SW5W6W5SW6SW6CalmSW3SE4SE6E9SE9E5
2 days agoE5S3CalmSW4SW4SW5SW7SW7S6S5SW5S4S5SW6SW11SW8SW11
G19
SW10SW9W13
G29
W8
G18
SW9W9W8

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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