Saturday, July4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
St. Paul, MN

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:29AMSunset 9:03PM Friday July 3, 2020 11:49 PM CDT (04:49 UTC) Moonrise 6:55PMMoonset 3:00AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near St. Paul, MN
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location: 44.96, -93.1     debug


Area Discussion for - Twin Cities, MN
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FXUS63 KMPX 040024 AAA AFDMPX

Area Forecast Discussion . UPDATED National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 724 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2020

SHORT TERM. (This evening through Saturday night) Issued at 227 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2020

Surface high pressure will remain anchored over the Great Lakes while and upper level ridge axis remains in place from Texas up to MN/WI tonight through Saturday night. This combination will keep precipitation out of the WFO MPX coverage area through the daytime hours tomorrow, with some isolated showers/thunderstorms potentially nudging into west-central MN Saturday evening through early Sunday morning. Any storms that arrive will be rather weak as they run into the more stable air atop the region. The main concern will continue to be the stagnant heat as winds will be light through tomorrow, highs again climb to the low 90s area-wide and dewpoints hit the mid-upper 60s (similar to today). There will again be the potential for heat illnesses along with possible air quality concerns.

LONG TERM. (Sunday through Friday) Issued at 227 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2020

With no surprise not much has changed in the extended, with hot and humid weather expected for the foreseeable future. The ridge overhead now will flatten on Sunday into Monday with a zonal flow setting up for next week. Looking toward the end of next week, models continue to bring the center of the ridge into the SW US region, this would allow for northwest flow and potential reprieve from the tropical-like airmass and 70+ dew points in place now.

A weak boundary will set up across the upper MS valley on Monday, that then lingers in the region until a stronger system can push it out toward the end of the week. There is some disagreement on where the boundary sets up on Monday, but where it does end up will have the best chances for thunderstorm development. As such, the NBM PoPs reflect the low confidence with higher PoPs through Thursday night. There will be plenty of dry periods through next week, but the pattern makes it impossible to say when it will be with much confidence at this point. One area of confidence will be the temperature forecast for this period. Highs will be near 90 and lows at or above 70 will require attention for further heat advisory headlines.

AVIATION. (For the 00Z/06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday night) Issued at 724 PM CDT Fri Jul 3 2020

Scattered CU and isolated showers will dissipate quickly early this evening. Light winds and clearing skies could allow patchy fog to form overnight again. a few CU developing again Saturday afternoon.

KMSP . No concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ Sun . VFR. Wind SW 5-10 kts. Mon . Mainly VFR. Chc TSRA/MVFR. Wind SW 5-10 kts. Tue . Mainly VFR. Chc TSRA/MVFR. Wind SW 5-10 kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. WI . None. MN . None.

SHORT TERM . JPC LONG TERM . BPH AVIATION . Borghoff


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Downtown Holman Field, MN3 mi57 minN 09.00 miFair80°F68°F67%1016.8 hPa
Minneapolis, Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport, MN8 mi57 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds80°F66°F62%1017 hPa
South St. Paul Municipal-Richard E. Flemi, MN8 mi55 minN 010.00 miFair79°F68°F70%1017.6 hPa
Lake Elmo Airport, MN13 mi74 minN 010.00 miFair72°F69°F94%1018.3 hPa
Minneapolis / Blaine, MN15 mi74 minN 010.00 miFair79°F68°F70%1017.9 hPa
Minneapolis, Crystal Airport, MN17 mi57 minN 010.00 miFair75°F64°F71%1016.7 hPa
Minneapolis - Flying Cloud Airport, MN21 mi57 minN 010.00 miFair77°F66°F69%1016.8 hPa
Minneapolis, Airlake Airport, MN23 mi74 minN 010.00 miFair75°F75°F100%1017.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSTP

Wind History from STP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4E3SE3S3SE6E6--NE53S6E4E4CalmCalmSW4Calm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE5SE5SE3S4SE3SE5SE6S7SE5S7S7SE7SE7SE4SE4S3
2 days agoSE7SE6SE5S3SE7SE6CalmSE3W8CalmE5SE6SE9
G15
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G26
SE12
G23
SE8S6SE7S7SE4S3S3CalmSE3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Twin Cities, MN (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Minneapolis, MN
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.