Sunday, December8, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Richford, VT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 4:09PM Sunday December 8, 2019 4:46 PM EST (21:46 UTC) Moonrise 3:28PMMoonset 4:13AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Richford, VT
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location: 45.42, -73     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 082053 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 353 PM EST Sun Dec 8 2019

SYNOPSIS. A light wintry mix will develop across the North Country tonight with some light ice and snow accumulation possible by early Monday morning. This will cause areas of slippery travel during the Monday morning commute, especially east of the Green Mountains and deeper valleys of the northern Adirondacks. As temperatures climb into the upper 30s to mid 40s by midday Monday, any mix precipitation will change occasional rain showers by Monday afternoon. Breezy southerly winds will continue, before a wind shift and cooler air arrives for Tuesday into Tuesday night. Rain showers will change back to snow, but any accumulations will be light and mainly over the higher terrain.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. As of 338 PM EST Sunday . A light wintry mix is anticipated to impact parts of the dacks and portions of central/eastern and northern VT tonight into Monday morning, with areas of slippery travel expected during the Monday morning commute. Have issued sps for the potential hazardous driving conditions across these areas, but any ice accumulation will be minor and only a couple hundreths of an inch and snowfall generally under an inch.

Water vapor shows deep broad southwest flow prevailing acrs the Great Lakes into the NE Conus with general waa continuing as better moisture profiles advect toward our fa. The combination of weak embedded 5h vort over the Ohio Valley, better 850 to 500mb moisture, and continued lift provided by favorable 850 to 700mb fgen forcing will produce a period of light wintry mix acrs portions of our cwa. This initial axis of moisture will be mainly confined to the northern Dacks into the mountains of central/northern VT, while strong 925mb to 850mb southwest winds of 45 to 55 knots will limit qpf/pops in the CPV. Also, best forcing/moisture is focused over our northern fa, with very limited qpf/pops expected over Rutland/Windsor Counties. Have this north to south gradient integrated into the fcst. Temps are tricky with breezy south/southwest winds and clouds prevailing overnight, so anticipate wider valleys of cpv/slv temps hold steady or increase toward 40f by 12z Monday. Meanwhile, cold air will remain trapped in the deeper/protected valleys with lows mainly in the 20s, especially east of the Greens. Soundings show complex low level thermal profiles with each model solution providing a different ptype solution. However, expecting warm layer to develop btwn 925mb and 850mb on strong southwest winds, with temps warming into the 1-3c, while cold pocket around 950mb of -2c to -3c supports the mix of some sleet. Have utilized a multiple model blend top down mixed precip approach, which indicates a mix of snow/sleet, changing to sleet/freezing rain, before changing to all rain by midday Monday. However, pockets of freezing rain are likely even with sfc temps in the mid 30s, due to very cold ground temps, especially with readings this morning in the 5 to -5f. Will issue sps to highlight the expected slippery traveling conditions acrs the dacks and east of the Greens. Periods of gusty south/southwest winds continue through tonight, especially in aligned valleys where deeper mixing occurs.

Monday, expecting areal coverage of precip to increase btwn 15-21z, especially acrs central/southern VT and upslope portions of the dacks. Given very strong 925mb to 850mb wind fields, anticipating qpf will be highly trrn driven with greatest amounts in the se upslope regions of the central/southern greens and eastern dacks. Meanwhile, downslope flow will limit qpf acrs the cpv. Have tried to show a sharp range in values from 0.15 near PBG to 0.25 BTV to 0.50 SLK and near 1.0 favorable se upslope areas. It should be noted that even with air temps mid/upper 30s, ground temps are cold, given recent cold spell, so areas of freezing rain with cold pavement temps could linger into mid morning on Monday. Pockets of slippery travel is anticipated, especially on any untreated road surfaces and bridges. Temps finally warm well into the 40s and threat for icing ends by aftn. Additional showers and very mild temps prevail on Monday night as cwa is well established in warm sector. Areas of fog are possible as warm/moist air advects over cold snow pack, especially deeper/protect valleys. Given, qpf/snow melt not anticipating any hydro related issues, but Otter Creek could approach flood stage according to the latest NERFC forecast.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. As of 349 PM EST Sunday . A cold front will pass from west to east Tuesday morning causing temperatures to decrease throughout the day. Highs are expected mid- morning in the 40s, with lows Wednesday morning in the teens and low 20s. Winds will be brisk Tuesday morning at 10-15kts with gusts near 20-25kts, but will decrease Tuesday night and remain below 10kts for Wednesday. A chance of rain showers exists across the forecast area Tuesday, especially within the higher terrain of northern New York. Additional rainfall of a few hundreths is forecast during this time. As midlevel dry air settles in behind the front Tuesday afternoon, chances of precipitation dwindle, though a chance of snow showers persist Tuesday evening and overnight as lake moisture is advected into the region.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 349 PM EST Sunday . Wednesday will bring a lingering chance of snow showers across the region due to lake moisture coupled with upper level short wave energy. This will result in snow accumulations of less than half an inch Wednesday afternoon. High pressure then settles across the area Thursday allowing for some sunshine, though remaining chilly with highs in the teens and low 20s, and lows Friday morning in the single digits. Friday becomes cloudy again as we enter a regime of warm air advection ahead of an approaching low pressure system, which is expected to bring precip across the area Saturday. High temperatures at the end of the week are expected to be in the high 30s and low 40s.

AVIATION /21Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Through 18Z Monday . Areas of moderate to severe turbulence and wind shear likely to persist this aftn/evening as strong low level jet prevails acrs our taf sites. Localized sfc gusts up to 30 knots anticipated at BTV with 20 to 25 knots likely at mss/slk/mpv and rut. A few light snow showers possible btwn 18z- 22z at slk/mss with brief mvfr vis. Additional mixed precip will spread from southwest to northeast across MSS/SLK taf sites btwn 04z- 10z tonight, with some light icing possible, especially given below freezing runaway temps. A period of light mix is likely at MPV toward sunrise on Monday, but as temps warm mixed should change to a cold rain. Strong southwest downslope winds will limit precip from impacting pbg/btv. Cigs generally in the vfr category will trend toward mvfr by 06z at slk/mss and ifr toward 12z Monday with a mix of mvfr/vfr elsewhere on Monday.

Outlook .

Monday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Definite RA, Chance SHRA. Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA, Chance SHSN. Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHSN. Wednesday: VFR. Chance SHSN. Wednesday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHSN. Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Friday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. VT . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . Taber NEAR TERM . Taber SHORT TERM . Hammond LONG TERM . Hammond AVIATION . Taber


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Franklin County State Airport, VT34 mi50 minS 11 G 1610.00 miOvercast35°F11°F38%1021 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFSO

Wind History from FSO (wind in knots)
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1 day agoW4CalmW3W3W3W4W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW5W3W4W3CalmCalmCalm
2 days agoW5W6W5W4W4W8W4W5W4W3W6W5W3W3CalmW3W3W4CalmCalmCalmW3W3W4

Tide / Current Tables for Sorel, Quebec
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Sorel
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Sun -- 01:19 AM EST     0.83 meters High Tide
Sun -- 03:14 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:16 AM EST     0.83 meters Low Tide
Sun -- 07:21 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:53 PM EST     0.85 meters High Tide
Sun -- 02:26 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:06 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:22 PM EST     0.84 meters Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.90.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.9

Tide / Current Tables for Islets Perces, Quebec
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Islets Perces
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Sun -- 02:04 AM EST     0.94 meters High Tide
Sun -- 03:13 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:10 AM EST     0.92 meters Low Tide
Sun -- 07:21 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 02:16 PM EST     0.96 meters High Tide
Sun -- 02:25 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:05 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:30 PM EST     0.94 meters Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.911110.90.90.90.90.90.91

Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.