Tuesday, June15, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Richford, VT

Version 3.4
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3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:00AMSunset 8:44PM Tuesday June 15, 2021 12:34 AM EDT (04:34 UTC) Moonrise 9:44AMMoonset 12:11AM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Richford, VT
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location: 45.42, -73     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 150201 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 1001 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

SYNOPSIS. Scattered showers will shift eastward into Vermont this evening. A lull in precipitation is expected overnight before another round of showers and thunderstorms moves through the North Country Tuesday afternoon. Quieter and cooler weather is expected Wednesday through Friday with surface high pressure building across the region. Another shot of rainfall looks possible this weekend as another frontal system approaches the North Country from the west.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. As of 957 PM EDT Monday . The area of showers left over from today's convection continues to gradually wane in intensity and coverage this evening as we stabilize. The bulk of any remaining precipitation overnight will fall in the Champlain Valley westward into the Adirondacks, with little to no additional rainfall elsewhere. Given the abundant low level moisture and light winds, patchy fog will be likely overnight, especially in the favored valley locations. Temperatures will drop into the mid 50s to around 60 for overnight lows. Made some adjustments to PoPs and weather to match the latest radar trends and lightened winds just a bit. Otherwise the forecast is in good shape and no other changes were needed with this update.

Previous discussion . A destabilizing warm sector has been developing across northern New York as subsidence in the wake of the initial shortwave this morning. SPC mesoanalysis has shown surface based CAPE of 1000-2000 J/kg has developed across northern New York with amounts close to 1000 J/kg developing across northern New York where the skies have begun to break. With plentiful moisture working into the region (dewpoints in the lower 60s), we have seen showers and a few thunderstorms develop within the warm sector but the lack of any deep layer shear has kept these storms short-lived and relatively weak. A secondary shortwave is beginning to work into the St. Lawrence Valley and will act as a trigger for additional showers and thunderstorms this afternoon across northern New York and parts of Vermont before the instability wanes this evening. With freezing levels around 9000 ft and a pocket of cold air aloft due to the proximity of the upper level low, we have very steep mid-level lapse rates in place. This will allow for some small hail to develop in stronger updrafts through the afternoon hours. The chance for severe remains quite small as the lack of deep layer shear will keep storms from organizing and forming a rotating updraft conducive to the development of large hail. Nevertheless, we will be watching these storms closely through the evening hours to watch for hail, gusty winds and brief heavy rainfall.

A lull in rainfall is expected overnight tonight as the shortwave exits off to the east and we wait for the main trough passage during the day on Tuesday. A stabilizing surface layer coupled with light boundary layer winds and recent rainfall should set the groundwork for some patchy dense fog across the northern Adirondacks and east of the Green Mountains before lifting after sunrise. A return of showers is expected during the late morning/early afternoon hours on Tuesday across northern New York as the main trough axis swings through. A weak cold front noted in the surface pressure fields should act as a catalyst for showers and thunderstorms as that moves through the region during the day. It wouldn't be surprising to see some small hail or graupel with some of the stronger thunderstorms given low freezing level and steep mid-level lapse rates but once again looks sub-severe. The trough axis should slide east during the overnight hours Tuesday into Wednesday with shower activity quickly ending after midnight.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. As of 400 PM EDT Monday . Northwesterly flow develops on Wednesday and continues into Wednesday night beginning a drying trend with temperatures cooler. Temperatures will be below seasonal normals during this period, generally highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s and lows in the 40s to around 50. Surface high pressure will ridge into our area from the west.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 400 PM EDT Monday . Northwest flow aloft continues over the region through Friday along with surface high pressure over the region. This will continue to bring dry weather to the entire area with a gradual warming trend. Highs by Friday should be in the mid 70s to lower 80s. An upper level trough moves down from Canada for the weekend and this will bring increasing precipitation chances from Friday night right into Sunday. The dry weather will continue into Monday, but warmer air will start to make it into the region as the flow becomes more southerly.

AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Through 00Z Wednesday . A mix of VFR and MVFR ceilings along with scattered showers are being observed at this time. A lull in precipitation is expected overnight, and a stable surface layer combined with today's rainfall will promote patchy fog in the climatologically favored areas. Additional showers and possibly a thunderstorm will redevelop in the 16Z to 20Z period across the airspace, with better chances east of MSS. Winds will be mainly under 10 knots through most of the period with southwesterly mean flow trending northwesterly from west to east after 18Z. Stronger winds in the 15 to 25 knot range will continue to be possible in the vicinity of showers.

Outlook .

Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA. Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA. Saturday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. VT . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . Clay NEAR TERM . Clay/Hastings SHORT TERM . Neiles LONG TERM . Neiles AVIATION . Clay/Kutikoff


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Franklin County State Airport, VT34 mi40 minSSE 37.00 miRain63°F60°F90%1007.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFSO

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2 days agoSE4SE3CalmSE3SE3SE3SE3SW4CalmNW3SW3CalmNW5NW5CalmNW3NE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Sorel, Quebec
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Sorel
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Tue -- 12:13 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:14 AM EDT     0.81 meters Low Tide
Tue -- 05:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:33 AM EDT     0.82 meters High Tide
Tue -- 09:42 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:39 PM EDT     0.78 meters Low Tide
Tue -- 08:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:15 PM EDT     0.81 meters High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.80.8

Tide / Current Tables for Islets Perces, Quebec
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Islets Perces
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Tue -- 12:13 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:15 AM EDT     0.71 meters Low Tide
Tue -- 04:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:44 AM EDT     0.72 meters High Tide
Tue -- 09:41 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:27 PM EDT     0.69 meters Low Tide
Tue -- 08:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:08 PM EDT     0.74 meters High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.70.7

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