Sunrise 5:16 AM   Sunset 7:47 PM Moonrise 4:02 AM   Moonset 4:59 PM

  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall  

ANZ151 Penobscot Bay- 712 Pm Edt Sun May 5 2024
Tonight - S winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 3 seconds. Rain until early morning, then a chance of rain late. Patchy fog late with vsby 1 nm or less. Mon - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 5 seconds. Areas of fog in the morning, then patchy fog in the afternoon. Vsby 1 nm or less, increasing to 1 to 3 nm in the afternoon. Mon night - SW winds around 5 kt, becoming nw around 5 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Tue - NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 foot or less. Tue night - W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Wed - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 6 seconds. A chance of showers. Wed night - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers. Thu - NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers in the afternoon. Thu night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight. Fri - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Showers likely, mainly in the morning. Fri night - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers.

ANZ100 712 Pm Edt Sun May 5 2024
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm rain, low clouds, and some fog develop through this evening then depart Monday morning a cold front crosses the waters later Monday bringing fresh southwesterly to westerly flow and clearing conditions. Low pressure remains nearby through the week with a couple opportunities for more organized waves to traverse the waters, leading to periods of rainy weather and potentially active seas.

FXUS61 KCAR 052248 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 648 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024

SYNOPSIS
A shortwave crosses the area tonight and Monday.Weak high pressure builds in late Monday night through Tuesday night. A frontal boundary stalls out to the south with waves of low pressure riding along it Wednesday and Thursday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
645pm update...No changes. Warm frontal rain is moving through the area this evening as expected. Still expect some coastal fog to develop tonight into Monday morning. The cold front will cross from north to south during the morning. Weak cold advection and a deep mixed layer on Monday will produce the warmest day of the year for inland locations.

Previous discussion...
An area of weak shortwave energy will cross into the region this evening and tonight. High-res models continue to do well with the progression of the rain showers on the front edge of the system. By the evening, the entire region will receive rain, though light with some embedded convection. With the warm airmass, onshore flow, and moist boundary layer, patchy fog will develop across the region. Due to the increased onshore flow earlier in the night, areas to possible dense fog will develop along the coast.

By Monday, the upper level ridge exits over the waters and a weak upper level trof moves in. This will help to quickly push the rest of the shortwave out of the region. High-res CAMS and QPF models show some lingering isolated showers Monday morning, but clearing by the afternoon with the clearing clouds. In addition, winds will shift to SW to W, becoming breezy by the afternoon. The 925-850mb model times show a strong influx of warm advection with the exiting system and approaching high pressure. Thus, temps are expected to be in the upper 60s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Cold front will be most of the way thru the CWA Monday night with skies clearing from north to south. Mins will remain above normal before colder air starts to take hold in the morning. Skies will slowly clear from north to south, though cannot rule out some stratocu developing Tuesday afternoon with nw flow. With mixing up to 800mb possible expect winds to 25-30mph likely to mix down in the afternoon. Temps during the day will be cooler than Monday, though still above seasonal norms.

A reinforcing shot of cold air looks to move in Tuesday night with secondary cold front clearing the coast around 09z Wednesday. Under mostly clear skies temps over the North Woods may be able to drop into the lower 30s though with pressure gradient increasing acrs the north with hipres building in winds should remain fairly well mixed overnight.

Sfc ridge crests over the region on Wednesday morning with area being under the influence of upper level zonal flow. Shortwave will be entering New England on Wednesday but timing and magnitude of wave varies with each model. GFS is much quicker and stronger with NAM the least aggressive. Compromise is the EC and CMC and because of this have introduced chc showers Wednesday afternoon acrs the southwest while pushing east and slightly north during the day. How far north measurable precip is able to get still remains up in the air given the magnitude of dry air associated with high pressure at the surface.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
Surface low will be skirting south of the waters and Nova Scotia on Wednesday night as high pressure regains control over the area.
Showers look to continue over Downeast early Wednesday night but have kept showers at high chance given the uncertainty on northward movement of measurable rainfall. High pressure briefly regains control on Thursday before next wave digs into New England from the Great Lakes Thursday night.

hat it does after that is pretty much anyone/s guess with EC and CMC developing a secondary low off of the coast which eventually takes over while inland low slowly fills on Friday. Latest 12z EC develops the secondary low further to the south than its prior run. The GFS shifts secondary development further south with more of an inverted trof setting up to our west. GFS ensemble falls more in line with its operational run while CMC ensemble follows its operational one.
Latest NBM gave likely-categorical pops from Thursday evening though the day on Saturday but have capped them at hichc pops with so much uncertainty still to be figured out. Yet another synoptic system will be moving up the eastern seaboard on Saturday but this may remain far enough offshore so as not to bring much in the way of showers to the area. Temperatures through the end of the week will run just below normal under cloudy skies and showers off and on at times.

AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
NEAR TERM: Aroostook Terminals...MVFR/IFR cigs with the approaching rain this evening, then vsby with the rain tonight.
By Monday, MVFR in the morning, then quickly clearing to VFR by the afternoon. S winds 5-10 kts tonight. WSW winds 5-10 kts Monday.

Downeast Terminals...MVFR/IFR cigs/vsby tonight in rain. Then IFR/LIFR in patchy to areas of fog through the rest of the night. By Monday, morning fog is expected with IFR/LIFR condition in the morning, then clearing to MVFR by the late morning. S winds 5-10 kts tonight. WSW winds 5-10 kts Monday.

SHORT TERM: Monday night-Tuesday night...Mainly VFR. NW 5-15kts with gusts to 25kts Tuesday afternoon.

Wednesday-Wednesday Night...MVFR/IFR cigs possible at BGR and BHB in light showers. NE 5-15kts.

Thursday-Thursday night...VFR. E 5-15kts.

Friday...MVFR for Downeast terminals in light showers. E 10-15kts.

MARINE
NEAR TERM: Winds and seas will remain below SCA conditions for tonight and Monday.

SHORT TERM: Winds and seas remain below small craft levels through Thursday. East winds will increase to marginal levels between 20-25kts late Thursday night into the day Friday. Seas will run between 1-3ft into Wednesday afternoon and increase to near 4ft over the outer waters on Thursday.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...None.
MARINE...None.

Bangor
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:08 AM EDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:59 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:47 AM EDT     14.77 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:30 PM EDT     -0.40 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:55 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:13 PM EDT     15.76 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bangor, Penobscot River, Maine (2), Tide feet

Bangor
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:04 AM EDT     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:59 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:49 AM EDT     14.67 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:27 PM EDT     -0.45 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:55 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:16 PM EDT     15.65 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bangor, Penobscot River, Maine, Tide feet

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Caribou, ME,