Monday, December9, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Houlton, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:54AMSunset 4:43PM Monday December 9, 2019 8:43 PM AST (00:43 UTC) Moonrise 3:26PMMoonset 4:52AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Houlton, ME
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location: 45.96, -66.64     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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FXUS61 KCAR 092330 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 630 PM EST Mon Dec 9 2019

SYNOPSIS. A warm front crosses the region this evening. Low pressure tracks northwest of the area tonight and Tuesday. A cold front crosses the area Tuesday evening. High pressure builds Thursday and moves east of the area Friday. Low pressure tracks over the area this weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/. Forecast remains on track with rain moving across the area. Modified temps a bit with areas that have bare ground significantly warmer than areas further north that have snow. Also extended dense fog advisory for central areas until 9 PM. After 9, wind should begin mixing out the denser fog.

Moist environment has moved into interior Downeast and the Bangor region late this afternoon. Result has been a misty and foggy arrival, especially as the airmass traverses areas with snowpack. Issued a Dense Fog Advisory from Bangor Region into southern Aroostook through 7pm. KBGR observer reported 1/8 mile visibility shortly after rain rates increased.

Remainder of night will continue to be wet, with winds increasing Downeast, especially along the immediate coast. LLJ is orienting towards the coast at this hour, with intensification expected overnight. NAM continues to show winds around 80kt at 925mb, and 90kt at 850mb. Heavy rain will cross much of interior and coastal Downeast this evening and overnight, bringing surface gusts upwards of 40-50mph. Gusts to 60mph will be possible along the immediate coast and some of the higher terrain.

Believe rainfall concerns only lie with ponding of water during heaviest rain rates tonight. If QPF was focused further north, would run into the issue of greater snow depth adding to melt/runoff.

Showers taper Tuesday morning with much of the area remaining warm until the late afternoon when cold front begins to slide in from the west. Chance that showers linger through the period as system is slow to exit to the east. With the cold air advection, gusty winds, up to 30-40mph, will be possible across the north as the front crosses the forecast area.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. Cold air advection will deliver temperatures dropping back below freezing. Residual moisture and snow will freeze overnight with lows dropping to the teens north and 20s for Bangor and the Downeast region. Strong winds will drop wind chills to the single digits and teens. Gusts to 30 mph can be expected. A few snowshowers will be possible in northern Aroostook County. The cold front will move offshore and stall along with the warm conveyor belt through Wednesday. A series of waves will move along the stalled front. This means a continuation of high clouds over the area Tuesday night into Wednesday. The threat of snow along the coast with these waves decreased slightly since the last forecast package, but the immediate coast could still receive up to 2 inches of snow once the colder air arrives late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. A vigorous upper level shortwave and clipper system will push the front well offshore Wednesday night and introduce the coldest air mass of the season to date. The clipper will produce a brief period of snowshowers on an hour or two with up to an inch of snow. The best instability and moisture will be along the coast. Interestingly, the -20C isotherm drops to 800mb and can't totally rule out an isolated thunderstorm towards the coast. Thursday will likely feature the coldest high temps of the season to date and subzero wind chills in northern zones all day.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. As identified in our last forecast package, high clouds from an approaching clipper system may ruin ideal radiational cooling on Thursday night and have not gone any lower than -15F in some of the normal colder northern Aroostook County locations. The clouds will continue to thicken Friday and Friday night as a warm front in the northern stream lifts across the area with little or no precip and a strong southern stream coastal low approaches from the Mid-Atlantic states. Precip may start as snow, but the warming aloft will be strong and a changeover to rain seems likely in southern zones. Snow will change to freezing rain and sleet in northern zones as colder low level air may hold as warm air advection weakens. Following the ECMWF scenario, precip will wind down Saturday night and temperatures will rise above freezing for the entire area on Sunday. There's a cold front that will sweep across the area later Sunday and introduce colder and windy conditions for Monday.

AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. NEAR TERM: LIFR to IFR expected across the forecast TAFs through tonight with heavy rain and fog across Downeast and central terminals. Winds increase this evening out of the SW, becoming gusty. Wind shear is expected to be an issue at all terminals tonight, affecting BGR and BHB for the longest period.

SHORT TERM: Tuesday night into Friday . Expect mostly VFR conditions outside of snow showers late Wednesday night. Northwesterly wind gusts over 30 mph can be expected Thursday.

Friday night into Saturday . Cigs will decrease into the IFR to LIFR category during this period. Snow will decrease vis . mostly north of GNR to HUL . later Friday night into Saturday. Freezing rain is a threat in these northern locations Saturday too.

MARINE. NEAR TERM: Storm force winds expected tonight. Fog will also reduce visibility. SW winds increase this afternoon and evening, peaking overnight with gusts up to 55kts. Waves respond building to 12 to 17 feet on the outer coastal zones. Winds and waves remain elevated into Tuesday, less than Gale, but greater than SCA criteria.

SHORT TERM: A Small Craft Advisory will be needed most of Tuesday night. A Gale Warning may be needed Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Another advisory is expected for a storm Friday night into Saturday.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . Dense Fog Advisory until 9 PM EST this evening for MEZ005-006- 010-011-015-016-031. Wind Advisory until 4 AM EST Tuesday for MEZ011-015>017-032. High Wind Warning until 4 AM EST Tuesday for MEZ029-030. MARINE . Storm Warning until 4 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ050>052.



Near Term . Cornwell/MCB Short Term . MCW Long Term . MCW Aviation . Cornwell/MCW Marine . Cornwell/MCW


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PSBM1 - 8410140 - Eastport, ME 75 mi181 min SSE 26 G 30 49°F 45°F1017.3 hPa

Wind History for Eastport, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Houlton, Houlton International Airport, ME62 mi51 minSSE 8 G 186.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist44°F42°F93%1009.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHUL

Wind History from HUL (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Fredericton, New Brunswick
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Fredericton
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Mon -- 12:49 AM AST     1.65 meters Low Tide
Mon -- 04:50 AM AST     1.68 meters High Tide
Mon -- 04:51 AM AST     Moonset
Mon -- 07:56 AM AST     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:26 AM AST     1.64 meters Low Tide
Mon -- 03:25 PM AST     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:41 PM AST     Sunset
Mon -- 05:42 PM AST     1.72 meters High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.71.61.71.71.71.71.71.71.71.61.61.61.61.71.71.71.71.71.71.71.71.71.71.7

Tide / Current Tables for Upper Gagetown, New Brunswick
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Upper Gagetown
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Mon -- 03:14 AM AST     1.12 meters High Tide
Mon -- 04:49 AM AST     Moonset
Mon -- 07:54 AM AST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:57 AM AST     1.02 meters Low Tide
Mon -- 03:24 PM AST     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:34 PM AST     1.15 meters High Tide
Mon -- 04:39 PM AST     Sunset
Mon -- 10:50 PM AST     1.01 meters Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.