Tuesday, September22, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Houlton, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 7:25PM Tuesday September 22, 2020 2:35 AM ADT (05:35 UTC) Moonrise 12:39PMMoonset 9:43PM Illumination 24% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Houlton, ME
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location: 45.96, -66.64     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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FXUS61 KCAR 220420 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 1220 AM EDT Tue Sep 22 2020

SYNOPSIS. Hurricane Teddy will pass east of the area Tuesday into Tuesday night. Weak high pressure slides back into the area on Wednesday into Thursday. A weak cold front will cross the area Thursday night. High pressure returns Friday into next weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. 1215am update: Frost formation continues overnight under clear skies and light winds. In reviewing the forecast into Monday night, the biggest change was increasing winds this afternoon and evening in the Downeast region to include Bangor. A Wind Advisory may be needed for the coast. With leaves remaining on the trees, gusts to 40 mph will likely result in some downed trees and limbs with some power outages resulting. Also trending up on precipitation amounts and cloud cover later this afternoon and tonight.

Previous discussion: Sfc ridge axis leading to sunny skies over the FA this afternoon, along with light winds and temps warming into the 60s. Meanwhile Hurricane Teddy continues to head twd the NNE, located approx 170 miles to the east of Bermuda. Outer cloud shield from Teddy is just now coming into Nova Scotia and is not expected to mv into very far sern tip of CWA until after 06z tonight. Moclr skies are expected for most of the area through the bulk of the overnight with min temps dipping down to around 30F acrs the deeper valleys in the north with widespread frost expected once again. Rmndr of the region wl settle into the m/u 30s by morning.

Impacts from Hurricane , or Extratropical, Teddy wl begin to be felt acrs Washington County and adjacent coastal waters Tuesday morning. Northeasterly LLJ wl begin to move thru the Bay of Fundy after 09z and into Downeast by 18z. LLJ wl continue to influence sern zones beyond end of the period. Cannot rule out a possibly wind advisory along the coast late Tue afternoon and drg the overnight but wl allow the mid-shift to take a closer look as models continue to disagree on extent and strength of low-level jet associated with the storm.

Rain begins to move in to the Eastport area shortly after 12z, gradually increasing in areal coverage thru the afternoon hrs. Given amount of dry air to the north and east there will be a very sharp gradient in rain acrs the area, with far sern Washington County seeing between 0.25-0.50" in the afternoon to Danforth in northern Washington County being lucky to see 0.05 inches. Temps wl be in the 50s acrs this area with temps in the 60s elsewhere acrs the region.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. Overall the forecast hasn't really changed with just some minor adjustments. Tuesday night Hurricane Teddy will be a few hundred miles southeast of the Downeast coast. As the storm continues north towards Nova Scotia it is in transition to a mid latitude cyclone. The influence of the jet stream & trough will be stretching the precipitation shield over far eastern zones. There will be a sharp cutoff in precip as you move north & west. Slight deviations west/east in the track are possible which can slightly adjust precipitation totals over far eastern areas. Best chance of beneficial rain Tuesday night into Wednesday will be across Eastern Washington county. Along with the rain we will see gusty northeast winds to 40mph into Wednesday. Across the rest of the area winds will pick up to 20-30mph area wide. Winds in the 20-40mph range pose the potential for some power outages. Wednesday into Thursday temperatures will be above average across the forecast area thanks to Teddy. A weak front will pass through the area Thursday night but will be dry. Given the warmer and dry conditions the biggest concerns from Teddy will be a fire danger threat outlined below.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. Fair conditions Thursday night through Saturday night with just some scattered clouds on any day. There will be an approaching cold front next weekend into Monday but there is some model disagreements on timing/duration. Later in the period with a southerly flow we may run the risk of some low clouds and fog along the coast. Temperatures throughout the period will be warm and above average with several places seeing low 70s again. Morning lows Friday may be cool in the North Woods but over the next several mornings lows will be in the 40s to low 50s area wide.

AVIATION /04Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. NEAR TERM: VFR next 24 hours. Expect a broken high deck at BHB by 15z from outer flow from Hurricane Teddy. Northern terminals will be calm tonight with winds from the north around 5kts by mid-morning. Southern terminals will SE winds begin to gust to near 20kts by 14z.

SHORT TERM: Tue night-Sat. Mainly VFR. N winds 5-15 kts and gusty Tue and Wed afternoons. W 5-10k ts Thu, becoming light Fri. S 5-10 kts on Sat.

MARINE. NEAR TERM: Seas will increase in serly swell late tonight with wave heights increasing to 5 to 8 feet. Long period swell on the order of 16s expected tonight with seas increasing 5 to 11 ft Tue afternoon. Winds will increase to gale force Tue afternoon as Hurricane Teddy passes to the east of the Gulf of Maine as wind field expands.

SHORT TERM: Gale force winds continue into Wednesday morning before dropping and SCA will likely be needed through the day on Wed with winds and seas remaining elevated. Waves and winds will then drop below SCA levels through the end of the period.

FIRE WEATHER. Wednesday looks like the day with the greatest fire risk as skies clear, temperatures climb to near 70F, relative humidity drops below 40 percent and northwest winds gust in excess of 30 mph. Washington County may not have high risk due to precipitation from Teddy, but rainfall amounts from Teddy to the north and west will be little to none. Therefore, fuels could be receptive.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. The high tide Tuesday afternoon around 320 pm and early Wednesday morning around 4 am looks problematic as long period swell with a period of 15 seconds will be pounding the coast. Overwash and erosion will become an issue, thus a coastal flood watch has been issued from Tue morning until Wed morning. The powerful long period seas should have ample strength to push large rocks on roads such as Seawall on MDI.

This watch not only incorporates overwash and erosion, but also addresses the issue of high surf as waves of 4 to 6 feet break in the surf zone in long period swell. Perhaps more importantly, the combination of long period swell and offshore winds during these high tides could put spectators at significant risk at popular spots such as Thunder Hole in Acadia National Park.

CLIMATE. Only 0.08" of rain has been observed in Caribou, Maine so far this September. The all-time driest September was in 1968 when 0.86" of rain was observed. The all-time driest month in Caribou was in January 1944 when only 0.12" of rain (and melted snow) was observed. Weather records in Caribou date back to 1939.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . Coastal Flood Watch from 8 AM EDT this morning through Wednesday morning for MEZ029-030. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 11 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ052. Gale Warning from 11 AM this morning to 11 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ050-051.

Near Term . CB/Farrar Short Term . Sinko Long Term . Sinko Aviation . CB/Farrar/Sinko Marine . CB/Farrar/Sinko Fire Weather . Tides/Coastal Flooding . Climate .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PSBM1 - 8410140 - Eastport, ME 75 mi47 min NW 4.1 G 5.1 47°F 55°F1027 hPa

Wind History for Eastport, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Houlton, Houlton International Airport, ME62 mi42 minN 010.00 miFair30°F27°F88%1028.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHUL

Wind History from HUL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3Calm3W33CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
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Tide / Current Tables for Fredericton, New Brunswick
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Fredericton
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Tue -- 12:20 AM ADT     1.50 meters High Tide
Tue -- 07:14 AM ADT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:12 AM ADT     1.39 meters Low Tide
Tue -- 12:30 PM ADT     1.48 meters High Tide
Tue -- 01:39 PM ADT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:23 PM ADT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:10 PM ADT     1.40 meters Low Tide
Tue -- 10:42 PM ADT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.51.51.51.51.51.41.41.41.41.41.41.51.51.51.51.41.41.41.41.41.41.41.41.5

Tide / Current Tables for Upper Gagetown, New Brunswick
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Upper Gagetown
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:10 AM ADT     1.20 meters Low Tide
Tue -- 07:12 AM ADT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:54 AM ADT     1.34 meters High Tide
Tue -- 01:37 PM ADT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:28 PM ADT     1.21 meters Low Tide
Tue -- 07:21 PM ADT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:24 PM ADT     1.37 meters High Tide
Tue -- 10:41 PM ADT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.31.31.21.21.21.21.21.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.21.21.21.21.21.31.31.41.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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