Saturday, December14, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Limestone, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:58AMSunset 4:34PM Saturday December 14, 2019 4:36 AM AST (08:36 UTC) Moonrise 7:07PMMoonset 10:16AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Limestone, ME
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location: 46.91, -66.32     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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FXUS61 KCAR 140508 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 1208 AM EST Sat Dec 14 2019

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will exit across the Maritimes overnight. Intensifying low pressure will track northward across New England to northern Maine Saturday through Saturday night. A cold front will cross the region Sunday. High pressure will cross the region Monday. Low pressure will cross the Gulf of Maine Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. 1205 AM Update . Will continue the Winter Weather Advisory for portions of the Central Highlands and Upper Penobscot Valley through 3 AM this morning, as there still may be a bit of patchy freezing rain until temperatures moderate later this morning. Otherwise, just minor tweaks to hourly temperatures and dew points.

Previous discussion: A warm front will lift north of the region early tonight. Low pressure will intensify across the Mid-Atlantic region tonight then lift north across New England Saturday. Expect rising temperatures tonight with warm advection. Moisture also begins to expand north in advance of the Mid-Atlantic low with increasing precipitation chances. Across Downeast areas, expect a rain/snow mix early tonight which will transition to rain overnight. Snow will transition to a snow/rain mix across central portions of the forecast area, with mostly snow across northern areas. Have also included patchy freezing drizzle across portions of the west-central highlands early tonight. Little or no ice accumulation is expected. Precipitation will remain in the form of rain Downeast Saturday. Snow will transition to rain across the remainder of the region through Saturday morning into the afternoon. Total snow accumulations through early Saturday, before the transition to rain, will generally range from 1 to 2 inches across the north and mountains with the greater totals across the Saint John Valley and higher terrain areas. Snow totals diminish southward across the forecast area with less than an inch expected across Downeast areas. Low temperatures tonight will occur early, then begin to warm overnight. High temperatures Saturday will range from around 40 to the lower 40s north, to around 50 interior Downeast with lower 50s along the Downeast coast.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. Low pressure lifting up to our west Saturday night will bring a warm south to southwesterly wind and some lingering showers and drizzle across the area. As the low lifts just north of Maine late Saturday night into early Sunday morning some colder air will begin circulating in from the west southwest. A period of increased mixing could result in some strong wind gusts and possibly isolated power outages early Sunday morning, especially Downeast. Sunday will remain cloudy over the north with some breaks in the clouds Downeast as strong gusty winds around the back side of the low become westerly. Some rain and snow showers, changing to snow showers, will be possible over the north on Sunday. Strong gusty west winds will continue Sunday night into Monday as the low moves away, high pressure builds in from the west, and clearing pushes from south to north across the area. The sky should be sunny midday and afternoon Monday.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. So far this month we have been in a strong positive NAO pattern which has supported occasional ridging near the east coast. This has been favoring a storm track up to our northwest with storms pulling warm air in from the Gulf Stream bringing warm-ups and rain. Now the pattern is expected to change with the positive NAO collapsing and becoming near neutral or negative in a few days possibly renewing a storm track to our south.

A low tracking across the Ohio Valley late Monday and across southern New England Tuesday morning should slide east northeast toward Nova Scotia on Tuesday keeping us on its cold side. This looks like a small to medium sized fast moving low which could bring light to moderate snow to central and Downeast areas with lighter snow over the north. A strong upper level trough and a clipper low is then expected to charge through Wednesday into Wednesday night bringing a chance of snow showers and possibly, across the north, some heavier gusty snow squalls. Arctic high pressure should following with clearing on Friday.

AVIATION /05Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. NEAR TERM: MVFR at the Downeast terminals as of 02z/9pm EST will lower to LIFR overnight. VFR at the Aroostook County terminals will lower to MVFR and eventually to LIFR in -sn overnight. IFR/LIFR conditions are expected Saturday with snow or a wintry mix transitioning to rain north, with rain Downeast. Low level wind shear is a concern across northern areas tonight into Saturday and across Downeast areas later tonight into Saturday and has been included in the Tafs.

SHORT TERM: Saturday night: IFR, possibly improving to MVFR Downeast. Strong S to SW winds. SW wind shear likely.

Sunday: IFR To MVFR north. MVFR to VFR Downeast. Strong gusty SW to W winds.

Sunday night: Possibly MVFR north early. Otherwise VFR. Strong gusty W winds.

Monday: VFR: Strong gusty west winds.

Monday night: VFR, lowering to MVFR then IFR in snow Downeast. W winds becoming light then E late.

Tuesday: IFR in snow, becoming MVFR then VFR. NE winds becoming N then NW.

MARINE. NEAR TERM: A Small Craft Advisory is in effect tonight through Saturday. A few wind gusts up to 35 knots are possible later Saturday morning through early afternoon. Visibilities will lower in developing rain tonight, with rain persisting Saturday.

SHORT TERM: A gale will be needed Saturday night through Monday morning for strong south winds becoming southwesterly then westerly. Winds will gradually diminish late Monday into Monday night. A small low will bring a mix of precipitation along the coast with rain offshore late Monday night into Tuesday and may require a SCA.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . Winter Weather Advisory until 3 AM EST early this morning for MEZ011-015-016-031-032. MARINE . Gale Watch from late tonight through Monday morning for ANZ050>052. Small Craft Advisory until midnight EST tonight for ANZ050>052.



Near Term . Duda Short Term . Bloomer Long Term . Bloomer Aviation . Duda/Bloomer Marine . Duda/Bloomer


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Caribou, Caribou Municipal Airport, ME90 mi42 minSE 53.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist35°F33°F93%1022.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCAR

Wind History from CAR (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Newcastle, Miramichi River, New Brunswick (2)
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Newcastle
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Sat -- 01:46 AM AST     0.16 meters Low Tide
Sat -- 08:00 AM AST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:11 AM AST     1.43 meters High Tide
Sat -- 10:13 AM AST     Moonset
Sat -- 01:42 PM AST     0.90 meters Low Tide
Sat -- 04:33 PM AST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:54 PM AST     1.64 meters High Tide
Sat -- 07:03 PM AST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.20.20.30.50.81.11.31.41.41.31.210.90.911.21.41.61.61.61.41.20.9

Tide / Current Tables for Newcastle, Miramichi River, New Brunswick
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Newcastle
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Sat -- 02:23 AM AST     -0.11 meters Low Tide
Sat -- 08:00 AM AST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:13 AM AST     0.77 meters High Tide
Sat -- 10:13 AM AST     Moonset
Sat -- 12:38 PM AST     0.34 meters Low Tide
Sat -- 04:33 PM AST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:03 PM AST     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:15 PM AST     1.67 meters High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20-0.1-0.10.10.30.50.70.80.70.60.50.40.40.40.60.91.31.51.71.61.41.10.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.