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Marine Weather and Tides
Version 3.4 |
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. |
| Sunrise 6:53AM | Sunset 8:05PM | Monday April 6, 2020 11:20 AM CDT (16:20 UTC) | Moonrise 5:13PM | Moonset 5:34AM | Illumination 98% |  |
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Nevis, MN
Hourly EDIT Helplocation: 47.08, -94.9 debug
Area Discussion for - Grand Forks, ND
(on/off) Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definitionFXUS63 KFGF 061506 AFDFGF
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 1006 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2020
UPDATE. Issued at 1006 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2020
Currently, high presssure sits over the Great Lakes region with a low centered over central MT. There are a few showers in an area of low/mid level warm air advection leaving the area near Wadena this morning. I don't expect these to linger too much longer as they should be east of Wadena by early afternoon. Sky grids were a little too cloudy this morning, so updated sky based on latest satellite trends. Otherwise, no major changes made with this update and no impacts expected today other than the continued flooding and potential thunderstorms tonight.
UPDATE Issued at 648 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2020
Showers are pushing eastward this morning with much of the activity east of the Red River. Partial clearing is occurring to the northwest of this activity. Temperatures this morning range from the lower 30s in the Devils Lake Basin to the lower 40s near the Fergus Falls area.
SHORT TERM. (Today through Tuesday) Issued at 334 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2020
A few showers continue working across southern portions of the CWA this morning with thunderstorms moving across Sargent county into Richland County. This morning's activity has formed along a stationary boundary draped across southeastern North Dakota into west-central Minnesota. Short range ensemble and blended guidance keeps this activity going through around 14Z, when it pushes out of the forecast area and into central portions of Minnesota.
Quiet, but cloudy conditions prevail through much of today with high temperatures climbing into the 40s where we still carry snow depth, and well into the 50s where there is no snow on the ground. Current temperature guidance allows upper 40s for northeastern North Dakota today; however, like the past couple of days, temperatures could struggle to reach forecast values. Heading into the evening and overnight, we will see our rain chances increase as a shortwave approaches the area. Ahead of this H7 wave, CAPE values are expected to increase and facilitate the development of thunderstorms during the pre-dawn hours Tuesday. Still some uncertainty regarding both dew points and forecasted CAPE (750 to 1000 J/Kg HREF), but there is consensus that we could see a stronger storm or two form south of Highway 200.
Heading into Tuesday, we will see gradual clearing from west to east, with temperatures climbing into the 50s across much of the area.
LONG TERM. (Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 334 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2020
Besides potential for advisory level winds Wednesday, minimal weather impacts during the long range forecast periods.
A strong cold front passes over our CWA Wednesday, and the main impacts will be a period of windy conditions due to CAA and good mixing potential. Momentum transfer from BUFKIT from available models indicates potential for wind gusts 40-50mph west of the Red River Valley in ND (particularly the Devils Lake Basin). This matches what we usually see with more of a west-northwest BL flow (stronger winds in our west).
Split-flow pattern with stronger north-northwest flow over southern Canada favors below average temps through the long range periods, but less impactful moisture potential. While we do have potential for several mid level trough passages within this northwest flow, the progressive northern track favors minimal precip amounts over our CWA (rain or snow). NBM probabilities/GEFS plumes both show at most 0.1" of liquid equivalent with any waves that pass our CWA and clustering is towards a few hundredths (ultimately may be non measurable passages). Best chances will tend to be near the International Border. Daytime temperatures are still expected to be above freezing despite the cooler pattern, though nighttime temps should be in 20s (or possibly teens).
AVIATION. (For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday morning) Issued at 630 AM CDT Mon Apr 6 2020
VFR conditions this morning prevail with deteriorating CIGs by mid-morning. MVFR CIGs are expected from mid-morning through early afternoon with IFR ceilings expected later this afternoon into the evening hours. Rain pushes into the region after sunset with the best chances occurring at KFAR, KBJI, and KTVF, but we could see activity in the vicinity of KGFK as well. After midnight, we could see thunderstorm development south of Hwy 2 with a strong storm or two along and south of the I-94 corridor; however, there is lower confidence in this solution.
HYDROLOGY. Issued at 1137 PM CDT Sun Apr 5 2020
Overnight low temperatures will remain above freezing for much of the Red River Valley for much of the night. The relatively mild weather will allow the rivers to continue flowing overnight and cause river levels to rise in some locations. Most of the forecast points will rise during the work week as the recent snowfall melts.
Minor to moderate flood levels are expected with the exception of major levels at Harwood and West Fargo Diversion.
At Fargo the Red River was slowly falling as another crest is expected as the recent snowfall melts. The forthcoming crest at Fargo will be lower than the previous crest. The initial snowmelt rise is slowing at Grand Forks and Oslo this weekend with points north of continuing to rise. A secondary rise is expected this week for the southern forecast points when the recent snowfall melts. A prolonged period of high water is expected at Halstad, Grand Forks and Oslo. A crest is expected in mid April near Major flood stage for Drayton and Pembina.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ND . None. MN . None.
River point flood warnings continue across portions of the region. Refer to the latest flood warnings and statements for detailed information on specific locations.
UPDATE . Knutsvig SHORT TERM . Lynch LONG TERM . DJR AVIATION . Lynch HYDROLOGY . JH
Weather Reporting Stations
EDIT (on/off) Help NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a mapAirport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Visibility | Sky/Weather | Temp | DewPt | Humidity | Pressure |
| Park Rapids Municipal Airport, MN | 15 mi | 2.5 hrs | E 8 | 10.00 mi | Mostly Cloudy | 39°F | 32°F | 76% | 1012 hPa |
Link to 5 minute data for KPKD
Wind History from PKD (wind in knots)
| 12 PM | 1 PM | 2 PM | 3 PM | 4 PM | 5 PM | 6 PM | 7 PM | 8 PM | 9 PM | 10 PM | 11 PM | 12 AM | 1 AM | 2 AM | 3 AM | 4 AM | 5 AM | 6 AM | 7 AM | 8 AM | 9 AM | 10 AM | 11 AM | |
| Last 24hr | S | S | S | S G19 | S G16 | S | S | S | SE | SE | E | E | E | E | E | E | SE | SE | E G15 | E | E | SE | ||
| 1 day ago | Calm | Calm | SE | SE | SE | SE | S | SE | E | Calm | W | E | SE | SE | SE | SE | SE | SE | SE | SE | S | S | S G19 | S |
| 2 days ago | NW G22 | NW G21 | NW | NW G23 | NW | NW | NW | W | NW | NW | NW | NW | NW | NW | W | W | W | NW | W | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm | Calm |
Tide / Current Tables for
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GEOS Local Image of EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop
Other links: Northern Pacific Contential US Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Grand Forks, ND (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Duluth, MN
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