Walker, MN Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Walker, MN

June 18, 2024 10:47 PM CDT (03:47 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:12 AM   Sunset 9:13 PM
Moonrise 5:16 PM   Moonset 1:45 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Walker, MN
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Area Discussion for - Grand Forks, ND
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FXUS63 KFGF 190330 AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 1030 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- Additional chances for thunderstorms and heavy rain are possible late Thursday through early Saturday.

UPDATE
Issued at 950 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Showers are moving in from the west currently. There could be a stray thunderstorm, but not expecting anything severe or strong out of this environment. Forecast remains on track.

UPDATE Issued at 640 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Showers and Thunderstorms will continue to track further into eastern Minnesota this evening. Another chance will pass through this evening, more along and north of HWY 2 though. Otherwise, cool night tonight with clouds lingering. Forecast remains on track.

DISCUSSION
Issued at 225 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Synopsis
One severe thunderstorm has pulsed up over Hubbard County Minnesota right now, moving northeast at about 40 mph. There is a surface low just east of Watertown South Dakota, along the South Dakota/Minnesota border, with a warm front extending out to the east-northeast. Based solely on the wind field, this warm front is now south of an Elbow Lake to Perham to Park Rapids line. For the rest of the FA, winds have turned to the north with lower temperatures (mainly upper 50s) and lower dewpoints (mainly mid 50s). There has been some patchy fog around, but for the most part it is back above 2 to 3 miles.

Severe risk through 5 pm

The severe thunderstorm risk should be fairly short over our southeast FA, generally ending by 4 to 5 pm, as the surface front mentioned above continues to push south and east. However, at 2 pm, there was a sharp thermal gradient from west central into southwest Minnesota. MLCAPE values ranged from 1000 J/kg across our southeast FA to over 2500 J/kg over southwest Minnesota. Decent 850mb winds continued to feed into the area near this surface boundary, with precipitable water values around 1.8 inches. For these reasons, SPC has issued a Tornado Watch that includes Wadena, Hubbard, Becker, Otter Tail, and Grant counties until 8 pm, but as mentioned, the threat should end much sooner for this FA.

With the surface low and warm front, there is the potential for tornadoes. Based off the SPC meso page, the various tornado parameters are all centered across either southwest Minnesota or eastward into northwest Wisconsin. Just the fringes of our southeast Minnesota FA lie on the weaker edge of these gradients. So far, not seeing much development in the areas to the south of this FA, possibly due to the warm 700mb temperatures over them yet. The HRRR and other CAMs continue to support the idea of storms ending in this FA by 4 to 5 pm, as they progress in the Duluth FA, while other storms develop south of this FA.

Thursday through early Saturday
With a 500mb high sitting over the southeast United States, it appears the FA will stay in southwest flow. Several waves may eject out in the Northern Plains, possibly showing a better potential along the North and South Dakota border into adjacent areas of west central Minnesota. This area may not have been hit as hard with the rainfall that ended this morning, but it does seem that most areas have been wet. Will therefore have to keep an eye on this system for additional heavy rain and the potential of added flooding threats.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 1030 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Low clouds make this period tricky. TSRA will continue to push to the east away from our TAF sites. Low clouds will linger into the morning hours of Wednesday for MN TAF sites, but clear quicker in ND TAF sites to MVFR or VFR levels. Winds will shift into tomorrow as a surface feature passes over, becoming more variable then southeasterly at 5 - 10 knots.

FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...None.
MN...None.




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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KXVG LONGVILLE MUNI,MN 21 sm14 minWNW 0410 smMostly Cloudy61°F61°F100%29.77
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