Friday, July10, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Eagle Lake, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 4:58AMSunset 8:38PM Friday July 10, 2020 1:23 AM EDT (05:23 UTC) Moonrise 11:52PMMoonset 10:32AM Illumination 77% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Eagle Lake, ME
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location: 47.13, -70.37     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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FXUS61 KCAR 100108 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 908 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will cross the region into Friday. Low pressure will approach from the south Friday night and track west of the area Saturday. A cold front will cross the region Sunday followed by upper level low pressure early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. 9:09 pm update: Showers and thunderstorms have ended across the region and have lowered the PoPs for the remainder of the evening. In collaboration with WFO Gray have hoisted a dense fog advisory along the coast. It is possible that the dense fog advisory might need to be expanded inland further to Bangor and interior Downeast, but confidence was not high enough at this time, especially as the low clouds/fog have not quite yet moved in along the coast. Otherwise, loaded in the past few hours of observed data and made only minor edits to the grids for the remainder of the night.

Previous discussion: An upper level disturbance along with diurnal heating is supporting isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms across northern and central portions of the forecast area late this afternoon. The showers/thunderstorms will persist into the evening then diminish with the upper disturbance exiting and the loss of diurnal heating. Partly/mostly cloudy skies are then expected across the forecast area overnight. Patchy fog is expected across northern areas overnight, with areas of fog moving inland across Downeast areas from the Gulf of Maine overnight. Low clouds and fog will dissipate Friday morning, leaving partly cloudy skies across the forecast area along with warm humid conditions. Diurnal heating will support the development of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms Friday afternoon. Low temperatures tonight will generally range from the upper 50s to lower 60s across the forecast area. High temperatures Friday will range from the upper 80s to around 90 north, to the lower to mid 80s interior Downeast with readings generally ranging through the 70s along the Downeast coast.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Our focus going into the weekend will be on the track of a small subtropical low lifting north from the Mid-Atlantic region. Strong ridging over our area in combination with a weak but negatively tilted trough in the Ohio Valley is expected to pull this small system to our west early in the weekend. Friday night will begin partly cloudy, warm and humid. Clouds will increase from the south as the subtropical low pulls just west of western New England. Some light showers, drizzle, and an increasing south wind are expected later Friday night into Saturday as the low lifts up to our west. The low will rapidly track away to the northeast Saturday night into Sunday as surface low pressure supported by the Midwestern trough, now lifting up into the northeast, tracks up across the area. Sunday, otherwise, will be very warm and humid with some thundershowers possible, especially across the north as slightly cooler air slides in aloft with the trough lifting across.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. Looking like an active pattern going into next week with a few waves of low pressure lifting out of the lakes region and up across our area bringing frequent chances for showers. One area of low pressure will be lifting north of the area Sunday night as a cold front hanging back from this low, extending west through the St. Lawrence valley, connects to another low over the upper Midwest. Some isolated showers and thunderstorms may be across the north early Sunday evening as the low lifts away. Otherwise, Sunday night will turn out partly cloudy and humid with patchy fog. A trough in the eastern Great Lakes will support low pressure lifting into southern Quebec on Monday. After a partly sunny start, some clouds will increase in the west ahead of this low late Monday. The low will then lift to the west of the area Monday night pulling some moisture across the area. Forecast guidance is not indicating much precipitation, but some light showers may affect the area, especially across western parts of our region, Monday into Monday night. As low pressure, both surface and loft, slowly approaches across southern Quebec, warm and humid air will lift across the area and the air may become a bit more unstable due to the approach of cooler air pooled aloft in the upper low. Some showers and isolated thunderstorms may persist into Tuesday night and Wednesday as this low weakens, dissipates, and crosses our region. Slightly drier air may slide into the area late Wednesday night into Thursday before another low approaches from the eastern Great Lakes on Thursday with another chance of showers and thunderstorms.

AVIATION /01Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. NEAR TERM: Conditions will lower to IFR/LIFR levels across Downeast areas late this evening with low clouds and fog. Variable conditions will also develop across northern and central areas overnight with patchy fog. Variable conditions with low clouds and fog will occur across the region early Friday, generally ranging from MVFR to LIFR. VFR conditions then develop through the morning. Variable conditions with any showers/thunderstorms are then expected Friday afternoon. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected Friday afternoon.

SHORT TERM: Friday night: VFR, possibly lowering to IFR in low clouds late. S wind.

Saturday: IFR to MVFR. SSE winds.

Sunday: IFR to MVFR, becoming VFR in the afternoon. S wind.

Sunday night: VFR except in patchy fog late. Light SW wind becoming Light and Variable.

Monday: Chance of patchy fog early. Otherwise, becoming VFR. Light and variable wind.

Monday night: VFR becoming MVFR and possibly IFR. SE wind.

Tuesday: IFR to MVFR, becoming VFR. SE wind.

MARINE. NEAR TERM: Winds/seas will remain below small craft advisory levels tonight through Friday. Visibilities will be reduced in areas of dense fog tonight through Friday morning.

SHORT TERM: Seas may build over 5 ft across the offshore waters late Saturday into Sunday due to subtropical low pressure lifting west of the waters. Otherwise, winds and seas are expected to be below SCA through early next week. Humid air over colder waters will result in dense fog across the waters through the weekend and into next week.

CLIMATE. Today was the 25th day this year with a high of 80 degrees (F) or warmer in Caribou, Maine. The long term (30 year average, 1981-2010) is 26 days. This is also the earliest in the year that we have observed 25 days with a high of 80 or warmer in Caribou.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EDT Friday for MEZ029-030. MARINE . None.



Near Term . CB/Norcross Short Term . Bloomer Long Term . Bloomer Aviation . CB/Norcross/Bloomer Marine . CB/Norcross/Bloomer Climate . CB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Clayton Lake, ME57 mi68 minN 0 mi64°F0°F%1015.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for K40B

Wind History from 40B (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm2Calm3442S64
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1 day ago334CalmCalm333S10--5CalmCalm2S74S6
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2 days agoCalm----Calm4----356464S13
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.