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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ronald, WA

June 25, 2024 11:04 AM PDT (18:04 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:06 AM   Sunset 9:03 PM
Moonrise 11:05 PM   Moonset 8:06 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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PZZ135 Puget Sound And Hood Canal- 251 Am Pdt Tue Jun 25 2024

Today - N wind around 5 kt, rising to 5 to 10 kt late this morning and afternoon. Waves around 2 ft or less.

Tonight - N wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Waves around 2 ft or less.

Wed - S wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft or less. A chance of rain in the afternoon.

Wed night - W wind 10 to 15 kt, becoming S around 5 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft or less. A chance of rain in the evening, then rain after midnight.

Thu - SW wind 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft or less. Rain likely, mainly in the morning.

Thu night - NW wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves around 2 ft or less.

Fri - SE wind around 5 kt, backing to ne in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft or less.

Fri night - N wind 5 to 10 kt, easing to around 5 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft or less.

Sat - NE wind around 5 kt, backing to sw in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft or less.

Sat night - W wind around 5 kt, backing to S after midnight. Waves around 2 ft or less. A chance of rain.

PZZ100 251 Am Pdt Tue Jun 25 2024

Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters - Onshore flow will continue as weak high pressure over the coastal waters interacts with lower pressure inland through Tuesday. Another frontal system will reach the waters Wednesday. High pressure will rebuild over the coastal waters Thursday into Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ronald, WA
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Area Discussion for - Pendleton, OR
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810 FXUS66 KPDT 251741 AAA AFDPDT

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated National Weather Service Pendleton OR 1041 AM PDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Updated aviation discussion

AVIATION
18Z TAFs...VFR conditions will continue for the next 24 hours. Skies will remain clear through around 04Z-07Z when BKN mid to high level clouds will move in as an upper trough approaches the coast with increasing moisture and instability. Light showers and a few thunderstorms will cross the area with the main impacts over the mountains though there will be a possibility at all TAF sites 11Z- 18Z. Due to low confidence, limited mention to VCSH and -SHRA at Columbia Basin sites after 14Z. Winds will remain below 12 kts through 15Z tomorrow morning except at KRDM and KBDN which will have gusts to 20 kts from 22Z-04Z this afternoon. After 15Z, winds will be increasing to 10-15 kts with gusts to 25 kts at KDLS. Perry/83

SHORT TERM
Today through Thursday night...Weather concerns for the short term period revolve around a developing low pressure trough off the eastern Pacific that will be pushing eastward and increasing the instability and moisture over the area. Winds will also increase ahead and behind the front, although winds will not be particularly strong (confidence 80%). The trough will track across WA/OR on Thurs bringing cool temperatures and mountain showers. Overall confidence in the short term forecast is moderate, as uncertainty lies in the convective activity on Wed.
Latest models are trending stronger with the approaching trough and embedded shortwaves associated with it.

Today will be a hot and dry day with the HeatRisk in the minor to moderate category. A large upper level ridge over the four corner states has amplified over eastern WA/OR. The inverted surface thermal trough has strengthened as well with 850mb temps rising to around 20-25C by the afternoon. It is highly likely for many of our lower elevations to observe mid-90s today and a few spots in the John Day Basin--Monument and Spray--are forecast to observe 100. The ridge will shift eastward tonight as a deep upper low approaches the coast. There is increasing instability aloft over southeast Oregon, and latest models are showing signs of a weak embedded disturbance that will bring a chance (30%) of high based thunderstorms south and east of John Day after midnight.

As stated previously, the low is coming in stronger and is even showing signs of a negative tilt as it moves inland tomorrow.
Confidence is high that showers and thunderstorms will develop as early as sunrise with the threat continuing through the day, but the questions remain where will convection likely occur, will storms be strong or severe, and how much precipitation to expect.
Fortunately, the CAMs now run as far out as Wed afternoon and have proven helpful on the details. The areas with the best chance of showers and thunderstorms will be along the east slopes of the WA Cascades, the Blue Mtns, and the Wallowas where PoPs are 30-60%.
There is a slight chance (10-20%) of showers and thunderstorms elsewhere. PWATs increase from around 0.7-0.8 in the morning to a little over an inch during the day, therefore wetting rain can be expected. NBM and HRRR means probability of 0.1" over the Blues and Wallowas as well as the east slopes of the WA Cascades north of Mt Adams ranges 30-60%, and the probability of 0.25" or more in these same areas is around 20%. SBCAPES have increased to 300-450 J/kg which isn`t significant but has doubled from the CAPEs in previous model runs. 0-6km shear is strong--ranging from 45-60 kts. This will mean that some storms will be strong with sustained updrafts and will be capable of heavy downpours, hail and strong outflows. Wallowa and Union Counties are shown to have the highest CAPES and impressive bulk shear. Meanwhile, a tight pressure gradient will set up with a marine push increasing winds across the Columbia Basin and surrounding areas. The eastern CR Gorge will be windy on Wed. RHs will be in the 20s and 30s for most of the forecast which is not critically low to warrant fire weather highlights.

The marine push will help to stabilize the atmosphere so that Thurs will be more showery rather than convective due to cool air at the surface. It will be breezy to windy, however. The Cascades, mainly over WA, will have numerous showers (60-70% chance) while showers over the northeast mountains will be widely scattered (20-30% chance). The upper trough will arrive into ID Thurs night followed by a drier northwest flow aloft. Wister/85


LONG TERM
Thursday through Tuesday...The long term starts off quiet, but by the weekend we should see a bit more active weather including both the return of breezy winds as well as some lower elevation rain and mountain thunderstorms while temperatures generally hover around normal, varying by a few degrees each day.

The overall pattern should be fairly simple, as we see transient ridging quickly moving across Friday into Saturday. Then by Saturday evening, a deep trough will move inland, keeping the weather active during the remainder of the weekend into early next week. Thereafter, we should remain in between separate weather features, with a deep ridge offshore of California and troughing to our east, causing zonal to northwesterly flow through the end of the long term.

In regards to sensible weather, any concerns with temperatures should be fairly nil as highs remain mostly near normal through the period. This should mean a smattering of upper 70`s to low 80`s in Central Oregon, with more widespread low to upper 80`s for the remainder of our population centers. The warmest day is expected to be Saturday during the last day of the transient ridge, where the NBM shows a a 20-40% chance of seeing highs of or above 90 degrees for the Columbia Basin of Washington and down to the Foothills of the Blues including Walla Walla and Pendleton.
Otherwise the passing of the trough over the weekend and then the westerly to northwesterly flow thereafter should help to keep us temperate and mostly near normal.

With the passing trough, two concerns should occur with regards to breezy winds and showers/thunderstorms. For winds, breezy conditions can be expected both Sunday and again Monday. The NBM indicates around a 20-70% probability at gusts of 45+ mph for our usual breezy locations (Lower Columbia Basin/Foothills of the Blues, Simcoe Highlands, and Kittitas Valley) for both days but highest chances on Monday in the post-frontal environment. This system will also be conducive of precipitation, with PWAT values on Sunday around 100-150% of normal according to ECMWF ensembles.
This combined with modest instability of around 300-600 J/kg in the eastern mountains of Oregon should promote thunderstorms for this region, while much of the rest of the CWA has a chance at a few showers. QPF amounts should still remain on the low side though, with the aforementioned eastern mountains of OR the only area likely to see more noteworthy amounts as the NBM expects a 20-40% probability of 12-hour QPF amounts 0.1 inch or more. Then through early next week, concerns for precipitation are minimal to nil, with the expected flow pattern causing rain shadowing from the Cascades, possibly allowing for some isolated activity into the eastern mountains. Goatley/87

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
PDT 91 61 86 53 / 0 10 20 10 ALW 95 63 91 57 / 0 10 20 10 PSC 95 64 93 59 / 0 10 20 0 YKM 91 60 88 52 / 0 0 20 10 HRI 95 63 90 58 / 0 10 20 0 ELN 90 60 82 53 / 0 0 20 20 RDM 92 56 83 47 / 0 10 10 0 LGD 90 60 86 53 / 0 10 30 20 GCD 95 60 90 52 / 0 10 20 0 DLS 94 63 81 58 / 0 10 20 0

PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...None.
WA...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
TCMW1 - 9446482 - Tacoma Met, WA 71 mi46 minNNW 7G8.9 61°F
TCNW1 - 9446484 - Tacoma, WA 71 mi46 min 54°F30.02


Wind History for No Ports station near this location
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No data


Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KESW EASTON STATE,WA 6 sm--no data--
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Wind History graph: SMP
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Tide / Current for Des Moines, Washington
   
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Des Moines
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Tue -- 02:30 AM PDT     7.33 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:13 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:44 AM PDT     10.02 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:10 AM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:07 PM PDT     -2.23 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:10 PM PDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:37 PM PDT     12.96 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Des Moines, Washington, Tide feet
12
am
9.7
1
am
8.3
2
am
7.4
3
am
7.4
4
am
8.1
5
am
9
6
am
9.8
7
am
10
8
am
9.4
9
am
7.8
10
am
5.6
11
am
3.1
12
pm
0.6
1
pm
-1.3
2
pm
-2.2
3
pm
-1.7
4
pm
0.2
5
pm
3
6
pm
6.2
7
pm
9.2
8
pm
11.5
9
pm
12.8
10
pm
12.9
11
pm
12.1


Tide / Current for Duwamish Waterway, Washington
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Duwamish Waterway
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Tue -- 02:33 AM PDT     6.89 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:13 AM PDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:40 AM PDT     9.44 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:10 AM PDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:10 PM PDT     -2.10 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:10 PM PDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:33 PM PDT     12.21 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Duwamish Waterway, Washington, Tide feet
12
am
9.1
1
am
7.8
2
am
7
3
am
7
4
am
7.6
5
am
8.5
6
am
9.3
7
am
9.4
8
am
8.8
9
am
7.3
10
am
5.3
11
am
2.9
12
pm
0.6
1
pm
-1.2
2
pm
-2.1
3
pm
-1.6
4
pm
0.2
5
pm
2.9
6
pm
5.9
7
pm
8.7
8
pm
10.9
9
pm
12
10
pm
12.1
11
pm
11.3


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Pacific Northwest   
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Seattle/Tacoma, WA,




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