Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lakeland North, WA

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
The front responsible for earlier stratiform rains finds itself along the Cascades as of around 8 PM PDT this evening. In its wake are some lingering showers over portions of W WA this evening out ahead of the parent upper level low. This feature can easily be spotted on latest satellite imagery well off the WA coast and slowly sinking southward. Inherited forecast suggests the prospect of some isolated thunderstorms into the early evening, but given how nothing of this sort has materialized throughout the day, difficult to imagine anything getting started now...even with a few peeks of sun breaking through here and there. 18

Expect this front to move eastward with post frontal showers in its wake for the remainder of the Memorial Day evening.
Unseasonably large waves have reached the coastal waters this evening, with significant wave heights offshore reaching 17 ft this evening. These large waves will continue to move through the waters into Tuesday, and a High Surf Advisory remains in effect.

Conditions will remain unsettled into Tuesday with an unstable air mass. Can expect scattered showers throughout most of the region with a slight chance for thunderstorms once again, but locations have been trimmed back, so the most likely locations to see any sort of isolated thunder is areas south of the Sound (mainly Lewis county) during the afternoon and evening hours.
Conditions remain the same into Wednesday, with isolated chances of thunder possible for all areas of western Washington. High temps will warm into the low 70s on Wednesday.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Ensemble guidance shows split flow regime which slowly transitions into weak high pressure building back into the region midweek. Temperatures will warm on Thursday into the upper 70s. Guidance then suggests weak troughing over the area later into the week and into the weekend which will cool temperatures down into the low 60s and may bring some showers into the mountains.

Very long period swell looks to also arrive to the coast on Thursday, which will pose a bigger threat for significant wave runup on coastal beaches as well as the potential for minor erosion.

AVIATION
Expect cigs to gradually continue to lower, but remain VFR through the evening hours. Cigs and visibilities may temporarily drop to MVFR at times through this evening in any steadier rain, but expect more widespread MVFR ceilings to develop across the area overnight into Tuesday morning. Southerly winds generally persist at 8-12 kt this afternoon and have been gusty to 25-30 kt for terminals from KPAE northward. Gusts to 20-25 kt will still be possible for central and south Sound terminals as the front moves through. Expect winds to subside again tonight into early Tuesday. Winds will then switch to the north between 16-18Z Tuesday and persist between 4-7 kt.

KSEA...Expect predominantly VFR cigs to persist through tonight, with a lowering towards MVFR expected into Tuesday morning. Southwest winds persist at 8-12 kt this afternoon and could be gusty to 20-25 kt at times into this evening.
Southwesterly winds will ease tonight into the overnight period and transition to the north at 3-7 kt between 16-18Z.

MARINE
Winds will ease in the wake of the front tonight into early Tuesday. Meanwhile, seas remain 13 to 18 ft over the coastal waters. Seas will slowly subside from their peak during the day Tuesday, but look to remain around 10 ft through much of the week.

High pressure will quickly rebuild into the coastal waters on Tuesday, allowing for winds to transition to more north/northwesterly by Tuesday afternoon. SCA northwesterly wind gusts are expected at times through much of the week for the outer coastal waters. Additional systems may move across the waters late in the week, bringing additional rounds of building seas and increasing onshore flow. Onshore flow looks to gradually increase Thursday through late week, with SCA winds (to gale gusts) expected along the Strait late Thursday into Friday. An even stronger push on Friday then looks to bring more widespread gales to the central and east Strait.

With the transition back to northwesterly winds, steep seas will also return to the coastal waters late Tuesday into Wednesday as the predominant wave group's period becomes 10 seconds. The arrival of a 7-10 ft long period swell with a period of 15-18 seconds on Thursday will help build combined seas back to around 13 ft. Seas will then slowly subside again towards 10 ft Friday into the weekend.

14/12

HYDROLOGY
The daily hydrology discussion has ended until the start of the next rainy season; it will only be updated during this time as needed.

SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...High Surf Advisory until noon PDT Tuesday for Grays Harbor County Coast-Northern Washington Coast.

PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM PDT Tuesday for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm- Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm-Grays Harbor Bar.

Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM PDT Tuesday for West Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.