Wednesday, October16, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Allyn, WA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:29AMSunset 6:22PM Wednesday October 16, 2019 2:40 PM PDT (21:40 UTC) Moonrise 7:09PMMoonset 9:17AM Illumination 89% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ135 Puget Sound And Hood Canal- 900 Am Pdt Wed Oct 16 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday morning...
Today..S wind 10 to 20 kt rising to 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. Rain.
Tonight..S wind 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. Rain likely.
Thu..S wind 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. Rain.
Thu night..SW wind 15 to 25 kt easing to 5 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft or less after midnight.
Fri..S wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Fri night..S wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Sat..SW wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Sun..S wind 10 to 20 kt becoming 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.
PZZ100 900 Am Pdt Wed Oct 16 2019
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..A strong front will move across area waters today with widespread gale and small craft conditions. Weather and seas will remain active through the weekend with a series of storm systems expected to move through region almost every day through Sunday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Allyn, WA
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location: 47.39, -122.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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Fxus66 ksew 161608
afdsew
area forecast discussion
national weather service seattle wa
906 am pdt Wed oct 16 2019

Synopsis A frontal system will move through western washington
today, brining more widespread rain and breezy to locally windy
conditions to the area. A wet and unsettled pattern will continue
throughout the remainder of the week and into next week as a series
of systems progresses through the region.

Short term today through Friday Current radar showing some weak
echoes over portions of W wa this morning although the strongest
echoes are mainly south of the area. The exception to this is a line
present over the cascades of king county and stretching southward.

Cameras over the passes show this is still falling as rain and
inherited forecast places snow levels between 6000-8000 feet... So no
immediate snow headline concerns this morning. NW movement in the
radar trend shows that the aforementioned echoes to the south of the
cwa will make their way up into W wa and as such will see rain
become more widespread by late morning early afternoon. The approach
of another front this afternoon will ramp up the winds over the area
as well... With breezy to locally windy conditions emerging. The
highest wind speeds will be in the north interior W whatcom, w
skagit, san juans, admiralty inlet area and as such a wind
advisory remains in effect there through 5 pm pdt this afternoon.

With this being potentially the first event of the season... Some
localized power outages and tree damage across portions of the
advisory area are possible. Temperatures will remain close to
normal... Generally in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

While the change in the leaves is certainly an indicator of
fall... So too is the seemingly endless march of weather systems over
the pac nw... And current models remain in sync that W wa will have
that in spades as additional systems will push through the region
Thursday and again Friday, bringing additional rounds of breezy
conditions and widespread rain. Temperatures will cool a few degrees
each day, with highs reaching mostly into the mid 50s by Friday.

Ample cloud cover will keep the overnight lows in the upper 40s to
low 50s. Snow levels will stay above the passes on Thursday, but
could fall to near stevens pass levels by Friday. Smr 14

Long term Saturday through Tuesday From previous
discussion... An upper level low situated just offshore british
columbia will keep the pattern wet and unsettled into Saturday.

Models continue to hint at a brief break Saturday night into Sunday
morning as the low moves inland, however the next system will be
right on its heels, keeping the break relatively short lived.

Further rounds of breezy conditions and precipitation will be in
store Sunday through Tuesday as additional systems make their way
through the region. Models have also started to hint at another
break in the active weather pattern by Tuesday night. High
temperatures will be in the mid to upper 50s, while overnight lows
will be in the mid 40s to low 50s throughout the extended. 14

Aviation Vfr conditions this morning with areas rain. MVFR and
even ifr conditions are possible at some locations with the rain
this morning. Rain should ease through the late morning with
ceilings and visibilities improving toVFR levels through much of
the afternoon. A cold front expected to move through the area late
this afternoon into the evening hours bringing another round of rain
and MVFR to ifr conditions overnight. Southwesterly flow aloft will
westerly behind the front. At low levels southeasterly flow will
become breezy ahead of the front this afternoon and then veer to the
southwest and behind the front.

Ksea... Ceilings have come down to around 5000 feet with light rain
this morning. There should be some improvement through midday ahead
of the next front. Increasing south to southeasterly winds this
afternoon ahead of the front, 8 to 12 knots with gusts to 20 knots
becoming south southwesterly behind the front. Ceilings will dip to
MVFR levels with rain with the front and remain near 3000 feet
behind the front.

Marine An exiting frontal boundary this morning supporting light
showers over area waters. A second, stronger front move across the
region this afternoon and evening resulting in gale southerlies for
the coastal waters, northern inland waters and eastern strait with
small craft winds and seas elsewhere. Coastal seas will build into
the 15 to 20 feet range by Thursday. Rough bar conditions with seas
over 10 feet are expected at the grays harbor bar through Thursday.

Additional weather systems will move across the waters Thursday into
early next week with further headlines needed.

Hydrology A series of wet systems moving through the area today
into early next week will cause rivers to rise. As such, the
skokomish will likely need to be monitored although given how early
in the season it is... It may take some time for the river to react.

Otherwise... River flooding is unlikely over the next seven days.

Sew watches warnings advisories
Wa... Wind advisory until 5 pm pdt this afternoon for admiralty inlet
area-san juan county-western skagit county-western whatcom
county.

High surf advisory from 9 am to 11 pm pdt Thursday for central
coast-north coast.

Pz... Small craft advisory for rough bar until 5 pm pdt Thursday for
grays harbor bar.

Small craft advisory from 5 pm this afternoon to 11 am pdt
Thursday for coastal waters from CAPE flattery to james
island 10 to 60 nm-coastal waters from CAPE flattery to
james island out 10 nm-coastal waters from james island to
point grenville 10 to 60 nm-coastal waters from james
island to point grenville out 10 nm-coastal waters from
point grenville to CAPE shoalwater 10 to 60 nm-coastal
waters from point grenville to CAPE shoalwater out 10 nm-
east entrance u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca-northern
inland waters including the san juan islands.

Gale warning until 5 pm pdt this afternoon for coastal waters
from CAPE flattery to james island 10 to 60 nm-coastal
waters from CAPE flattery to james island out 10 nm-coastal
waters from james island to point grenville 10 to 60 nm-
coastal waters from james island to point grenville out 10
nm-coastal waters from point grenville to CAPE shoalwater
10 to 60 nm-coastal waters from point grenville to cape
shoalwater out 10 nm-east entrance u.S. Waters strait of
juan de fuca-northern inland waters including the san juan
islands.

Small craft advisory until 5 pm pdt this afternoon for central
u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca.

Small craft advisory until 11 am pdt Thursday for admiralty
inlet-puget sound and hood canal.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46121 12 mi33 min 56°F 1006 hPa53°F
TCMW1 - 9446482 - Tacoma Met, WA 27 mi58 min SSW 7 G 9.9
TCNW1 - 9446484 - Tacoma, WA 28 mi58 min 57°F 55°F1006.7 hPa
WPOW1 - West Point, WA 31 mi40 min S 19 G 21 54°F 1005.9 hPa (-2.3)53°F
46120 37 mi34 min SW 7.8 55°F 1004.3 hPa52°F
46125 39 mi30 min 21 55°F 1003 hPa51°F

Wind History for Tacoma MET, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bremerton, Bremerton National Airport, WA10 mi44 minSSW 10 G 1810.00 miOvercast53°F51°F93%1007.9 hPa
Shelton, Shelton Sanderson Field, WA17 mi47 minSSE 1110.00 miOvercast56°F52°F87%1005.3 hPa
Tacoma, Tacoma Narrows Airport, WA19 mi47 minSW 510.00 miOvercast52°F51°F97%1006.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPWT

Wind History from PWT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS6SW11SW8S6SW3SW6SW4W6SW4SW4SW3SW5SW5SW4SW3W3SW5W4SW5SW8S5SW7SW8S10
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1 day agoS3CalmE3NE5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW6SW6SW8SW11
G18
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2 days agoW3CalmE5E5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--CalmCalmCalmCalmW4

Tide / Current Tables for Lynch Cove Dock, Washington
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Lynch Cove Dock
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Wed -- 01:00 AM PDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:31 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:34 AM PDT     11.52 feet High Tide
Wed -- 10:16 AM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 01:20 PM PDT     5.27 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:21 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 06:38 PM PDT     11.18 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:08 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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10.41.135.58.110.211.311.410.79.37.76.25.35.56.78.39.91111.110.28.56.23.7

Tide / Current Tables for Colville Island, 1 miles SSE of, Washington Current
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Colville Island
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:55 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:35 AM PDT     1.70 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 07:31 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:20 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 10:16 AM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 11:47 AM PDT     -1.73 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 03:15 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:27 PM PDT     0.85 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:21 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:33 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:08 PM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:26 PM PDT     -3.06 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-2.8-2-10.111.61.71.30.90.2-0.7-1.5-1.7-1.4-0.8-0.20.40.80.80.3-0.4-1.5-2.5-3

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Seattle, WA (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Seattle/Tacoma, WA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.