Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Enetai, WA

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
An upper level ridge over the region this afternoon will push inland tonight, allowing for a warm front to move into the area. Radar is already starting to show some light precipitation moving into the central coast this afternoon. Expect rain to continue to make its way inland from the southwest tonight. Snow levels will start out between 3000-3500 feet across the Cascades, so expect to see some light snow for the mountains tonight.

Rain will then continue for the lowlands and snow for the mountains on Wednesday as a trailing occluded front moves across the area. Snow levels will increase to 3500-4500 feet Wednesday for additional mountain snow. Easterly winds at Snoqualmie early Wednesday morning ahead of the front could keep the pass cooler.
Cannot rule out the possibility of a slight chance of freezing rain at Snoqualmie Pass, but current temperature profiles look more favorable for snow at this time. Expect snow accumulations to generally be between 5-7 inches for Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass, with higher amounts of 8-11 inches possible for areas like Paradise and White Pass through early Thursday. Thus, a Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for the south-central Cascades of Pierce and Lewis counties. Total rainfall amounts for the lowlands will primarily range between 1-1.5 inches for the coast and from a couple tenths of an inch to three quarters of an inch for the interior through early Thursday. Breezy conditions are also expected in the Cascade foothills, the coast, and north of Admiralty Inlet ahead of the frontal system and generally look to range between 25-40 mph. Highs will trend into the upper 40s to low 50s across the area.

Showers will then taper by late Thursday morning as a weak upper level ridge moves back into the region. A chance of light precipitation does still exist for the coast and northern interior, however, as a warm front rides the ridge and brushes the region to the north.
Highs will be in the upper 40s to low 50s across western Washington.

A trailing cold front is slated to push into western Washington on Friday and weaken over the area. Overall precipitation amounts look to remain rather light, with most lowland locations currently only looking to receive a couple hundredths to a tenth of an inch of rain. Areas along the coast could see locally higher amounts towards a half an inch. Snow levels will generally look to hover between 4000-5000 feet, so only expect light amounts of snow for the mountains. Highs will be in the low to mid 50s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
A wetter weekend is on tap for western Washington as an atmospheric river scenario develops Saturday and looks to remain over the region into early next week. While there's still a decent amount of spread in ensembles regarding the precipitation amounts across western Washington at this time, have trended the forecast towards the wetter side of the distribution for now. Have the QPF trending closer to the 90th percentile of the NBM for areas along the Olympics and 50th percentile for the Cascades. With snow levels expected to rise between 6000-7000 feet on Saturday, expect significant rises on area rivers over the weekend. Rain chances look to continue into Tuesday as latest guidance hints at another, quicker moving system traversing the region. Temperatures over the weekend and into next week look rather mild, generally trending in the low to mid 50s for highs and low to mid 40s for lows. 14

AVIATION
Westerly flow aloft will become southwesterly and increase tonight into Wednesday as a frontal system moves towards the area. Generally VFR/MVFR this afternoon across Western Washington with increasing high clouds ahead of the next system.
Cigs will mainly fluctuate between VFR/MVFR tonight into Wednesday afternoon, with predominantly MVFR for the coast for the majority of the period, although brief improvements possible. Rain will also spread onshore through this evening, and slide eastward into Puget Sound tonight through Wednesday morning. Lowering of vsbys towards 3- 5SM possible in rain during this period, especially for the coast.
Otherwise, S/SE winds will increase tonight into Wednesday, becoming breezy for some areas.

KSEA...VFR expected into tonight. Cigs may lower to MVFR between 08z- 10z as rain increases into Wednesday morning. Otherwise, low-end VFR expected into Wednesday afternoon before cigs lower Wednesday evening. Periods of rain on Wednesday. Light S/SE winds through this evening. E/SE winds will increase Wednesday morning, with gusts of 20 to 25 kts possible on Wednesday, before winds shift more SW Wednesday evening. JD

MARINE
A warm front will lift northwards across the offshore waters into tonight for increasing southerly winds. Another front will then move through on Wednesday for continued increased winds.
Gales are expected for the Coastal Waters and portions of the inner Coastal Waters through midday Wednesday. A Gale Warning has also be issued for the eastern Strait of Juan de Fuca due to increased southeast winds tonight into Wednesday. Small Craft Advisories elsewhere for the Strait of Juan de Fuca and northern inland waters.
Winds will transition more westerly for the Coastal Waters Wednesday afternoon. A Small Craft Advisory has been issued following the gales for the outer Coastal Waters, and will have to monitor any potential gale force gusts Wednesday afternoon as well. Otherwise, winds will briefly subside on Thursday.

Additional weather systems are expected Friday through the weekend resulting in increasing winds and the potential for Small Craft Advisories or gales for some of the area waters. Seas will build to 10 to 17 feet tonight into Wednesday morning. Seas will then remain above 10 feet, especially for the outer Coastal Waters through Thursday morning. Seas will subside later Thursday before building again on Friday through the weekend. JD

HYDROLOGY
A pair of frontal systems will move across western Washington tomorrow and Friday. Snow levels will remain in the 3000 to 3500 ft range. No river flooding is forecast with these systems, but this looks to push the Skokomish river into action stage on Thursday into Friday.

Model consensus remains will that an atmospheric river is expected to setup over the region this weekend and potentially into Monday.
This will be a much warmer and moist system with snow levels pushing into the 6000 to 7000 ft range. There remains discrepancies in the total duration and strength of this system, but there is a high probability (70-90%) of receiving at least 3 inches of widespread rain through much of the Olympics and Cascades by Monday morning, with the highest amounts focused along the south/southwest Olympics (where there is a 30-60% probability of seeing at least 5 inches of rain) and the central Washington Cascades.

The latest forecast has the Skokomish River cresting around the minor/moderate threshold Sunday. Many rivers in the central Cascades and Southwest Interior are forecast to get into action and close to flood stage this weekend into early next week.

SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...Winter Weather Advisory from 1 AM Wednesday to 4 AM PST Thursday for West Slopes South Central Cascades and Passes.

PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM PST Wednesday for West Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM PST Wednesday for Central U.S.
Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

Gale Warning until 1 PM PST Wednesday for East Entrance U.S.
Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 1 PM PST Wednesday for Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands.

Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM PST this evening for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm.

Gale Warning until 10 AM PST Wednesday for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm.

Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM PST Wednesday for Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm.

Gale Warning until 10 AM PST Wednesday for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm.

Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM to 10 PM PST Wednesday for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm.