Silver Firs, WA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Silver Firs, WA


November 29, 2023 8:31 PM PST (04:31 UTC)
Sunrise 7:32AM   Sunset 4:21PM   Moonrise  5:57PM   Moonset 10:27AM 

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

Marine Forecasts
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PZZ134 Admiralty Inlet- 728 Pm Pst Wed Nov 29 2023
.gale watch in effect from late Thursday night through Friday afternoon...
Tonight..Light wind. Wind waves less than 1 ft.
Thu..SE wind 5 to 15 kt rising to 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less building to 2 to 4 ft in the afternoon. A chance of rain in the morning then rain in the afternoon.
Thu night..S wind 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. Rain.
Fri..S wind 20 to 30 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft.
Fri night..S wind 5 to 15 kt rising to 15 to 25 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less building to 2 to 4 ft after midnight.
Sat..S wind 10 to 20 kt becoming 5 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.
Sat night..SE wind 5 to 15 kt becoming 10 to 20 kt after midnight. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.
Sun..S wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Mon..SE wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.

PZZ100 728 Pm Pst Wed Nov 29 2023
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..A weak surface ridge over the waters will give way to a frontal system arriving Thursday morning. A more vigorous frontal system will follow on Friday. This will begin an active period of weather with a series of potent frontal systems reaching the waters in rapid succession through early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Silver Firs, WA
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Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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FXUS66 KSEW 300043 AFDSEW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 443 PM PST Wed Nov 29 2023

SYNOPSIS
Dry and cold weather tonight. A weak system Thursday will be the first in a series that are expected to affect the Pacific Northwest into early next week. This includes two atmospheric rivers expected to affect the region - the first Saturday into Sunday, then a second potentially stronger event Monday into Tuesday. These systems will bring breezy conditions with lowland rain and heavy mountain snow Thursday and Friday, transitioning to more widespread heavy rain and potentially windy conditions over the weekend into early next week.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
One last night of dry and cool weather tonight. Overnight lows will likely be a bit warmer than we have seen over the last few days due to the increasing cloud cover ahead of the expected weak system on track to move into the area tomorrow. This will also likely help limit the fog overnight, with patchy fog likely to develop again, but not as widespread as we have had over the last few nights - mostly over the Hood Canal area and central Kitsap Peninsula south into Olympia. The weak front will begin to push light precipitation onto the coast after midnight tonight and into the interior through day break. With the colder temperatures there is a chance for wintery mix of precipitation in Eastern Grays Harbor County into Mason, Thurston and Lewis Counties early Thursday morning.
This includes a 10% chance of a short period freezing rain with no accumulation expected. Temperatures should moderate through the morning with light rain spreading through the interior. Snow levels, initially around 1500 will gradually lift to around 2500 feet - allowing for some snow to accumulate at the passes. The first round of snow at the passes will likely equate to 3 to 5 inches by Friday morning.

There will be a brief break in the precipitation early Friday morning before a more vigorous frontal system boosts precipitation, particularly over the mountains. Heaviest period of precipitation looks to be Friday night into Saturday morning, with snow levels still in the neighborhood of 2500 to 3200 feet, additional snow accumulations at the passes Friday morning through Saturday could be as much as 24 to 30 inches. A Winter Storm Watch has been issued from Thursday morning through Sunday morning. In addition this system will bring b, area rivers are likely to see rises through the weekend and likely into next week.
While extended models have had trouble at arriving at a consensus, making it difficult to get a grasp on the full potential impacts to the area, there is at least enough consistency to suggest that hydrologic products may be needed late in the weekend and for the start of next week. Unfortunately, the scope of these products is hard to nail down at this time.
Forecasts will need to be monitored for the remainder of the week in the hopes that a singular solution will eventually emerge.
breezy to windy conditions during the day Friday especially along the coast and the area from Whatcom County and the San Juans southward to Skagit and Island Counties. Precipitation may ease Saturday afternoon. Snow levels are expected to generally rise Saturday evening to above 3500 feet as the first of two atmospheric rivers begin to push warmer and very moist air into western Washington From the Southwest.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Snow levels early Sunday morning are expected to rise above 4000 feet and precipitation pushes into the area - widespread rainfall with the heaviest accumulations expected over the coast and Olympic mountain Sunday morning and the Cascades Sunday afternoon and evening. By Sunday afternoon snow levels should rang from well above 6000 feet in the south to 5000 feet in the north. Accumulations Saturday evening through early monday morning look to be around 3 inches over the Olympic mountains, and 1.5 to 2.5 inches over the Cascades with the heavier amounts over the King and Snohomish Cascades. This system is likely produce another round of windy conditions Sunday, particularly along the coast and north interior.

Ensembles including ensemble based atmospheric river guidance continue to show a second, stronger atmospheric river pushing another surge of warm and moist air into Western Washington Monday into Tuesday. NBM ensemble guidance showing snow levels easily rising to above 7000 by Tuesday morning with very deep moisture and southwesterly flow resulting in another, more significant round of heavy precipitation. This will follow on the rises on area rivers from the earlier events and will likely elevate the potential for river flooding.

AVIATION
A weak front continues to approach the region for tomorrow. Mid to high level clouds around 10,000 ft have already moved in. A couple spots continue to see MVFR and IFR/LIFR conditions (2,500 ft clouds in the Strait of Juan de Fuca around KCLM, and continuing mist/low clouds around 300 ft in KOLM, both of these issues will likely continue). For Thursday morning, the front brings the chance of rain across the region, beginning with showers around 12Z, and increasing to a steady rain after 16Z. The precipitation will start along the coast, and then move inland. As rain falls across the region, expect ceilings to drop to MVFR (couple areas will see IFR) in the morning hours. Some mist and fog may accompany the precipitation, but given the cloud cover these are not expected to be as widespread. Flow aloft will remain light and generally southwest, with light and variable surface winds.

KSEA...Solid VFR deck around 10,000 ft currently with lower clouds located to the south. As the front moves through expect rain chances to increase between 12 to 16Z Thursday, with ceilings falling to MVFR after 16Z. Winds will remain light out of the south/southeast under 5 kt.

HPR

MARINE
A series of weather systems for the next several days will kick off Thursday morning with a weak surface front moving through the system. The first front will bring widespread rain showers across the region, with potentially lower ceilings (with fog being less likely of a threat). Winds will pick up ahead of the front Thursday morning, which is expected to affect primarily the coastal waters, and the east Strait of Juan de Fuca/Northern Inland Waters.
Small craft advisories have been issued Thursday for these areas for sustained winds of 15 to 25 kt. Remaining seas will

For Friday, a more vigorous shortwave trough moves through the region with stronger winds for a majority of the waters. A gale watch has been issued for the coastal waters late Thursday night through Saturday morning as there is the potential for winds to pick up between 25 to 35 kt. Additional headlines will follow for inland waters as confidence increases for additional headlines.

Seas will begin to rise above 10 ft due to west swell building into the region on Friday, maxing out around 12 to 17 ft Saturday. They are expected to remain elevated above 10 ft in the 7 day forecast period.

HPR

HYDROLOGY
The shift to an active pattern tomorrow will set the stage for a series of two atmospheric rivers expected to affect the region - the first Saturday evening into Sunday, and second stronger AR Monday into Tuesday. Snow levels around 4000 feet Saturday night will rise to well above 5500 feet Sunday, and even higher with the second system Monday and Tuesday. Precipitation amounts through the weekend are high enough to drive the Skokomish River to minor flood stage, as well as rises on all area rivers.
The second, stronger system early next week - following on the heals of the first will surely elevate the risk of additional rivers nearing or reaching flood levels. We will continue to monitor the extended forecast as such.

PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 914 AM PST Wed Nov 29 2023/

UPDATE...No significant changes to the overall forecast. Areas of fog will clear this morning with partly sunny/clear and dry conditions this afternoon and evening. Thursday will begin a transition to more active weather that will extend through the weekend into at least early next week. Please see the aviation and marine sections below for updates to those forecasts.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 300 AM PST Wed Nov 29 2023/

SYNOPSIS...

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...

AVIATION...

HYDROLOGY...

SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...Winter Storm Watch from Thursday morning through Sunday morning for Olympics-West Slopes North Cascades and Passes-West Slopes North Central Cascades and Passes-West Slopes South Central Cascades and Passes.

PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM to 10 PM PST Thursday for East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands.

Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to midnight PST Thursday night for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm.

Gale Watch from late Thursday night through late Friday night for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
WPOW1 - West Point, WA 21 mi32 min SE 2.9G4.1 40°F 30.0637°F
BMTW1 33 mi44 min 30.08
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 36 mi44 min SE 7G8 41°F 49°F30.08
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 44 mi62 min 0 30°F 30.0629°F
TCMW1 - 9446482 - Tacoma Met, WA 44 mi44 min SE 1.9G1.9 38°F
TCNW1 - 9446484 - Tacoma, WA 44 mi44 min 52°F30.09
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 47 mi22 min SSE 5.1G7 43°F 30.0640°F

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Wind History for No Ports station near this location
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No data


Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KPAE SNOHOMISH COUNTY (PAINE FLD),WA 7 sm38 minESE 0310 smOvercast37°F30°F75%30.04
KAWO ARLINGTON MUNI,WA 19 sm35 mincalm9 smOvercast28°F28°F100%30.07

Wind History from PAE
(wind in knots)


Tide / Current for Everett, Washington
   
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Everett
Click for Map
Wed -- 07:09 AM PST     12.26 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:34 AM PST     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:28 AM PST     Moonset
Wed -- 12:16 PM PST     7.69 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:19 PM PST     Sunset
Wed -- 04:43 PM PST     10.26 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:56 PM PST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Everett, Washington, Tide feet
12
am
-2.1
1
am
-0.7
2
am
1.7
3
am
4.6
4
am
7.6
5
am
10
6
am
11.6
7
am
12.2
8
am
12
9
am
10.9
10
am
9.5
11
am
8.3
12
pm
7.7
1
pm
7.9
2
pm
8.5
3
pm
9.4
4
pm
10.1
5
pm
10.2
6
pm
9.6
7
pm
8.1
8
pm
6
9
pm
3.4
10
pm
0.9
11
pm
-1.1



Tide / Current for President Point, 1.5 mile E of, Washington Current
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President Point
Click for MapFlood direction 203 true
Ebb direction 24 true

Wed -- 12:26 AM PST     0.01 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:05 AM PST     0.62 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 07:21 AM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:34 AM PST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:32 AM PST     -0.39 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 10:28 AM PST     Moonset
Wed -- 01:55 PM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 02:37 PM PST     0.08 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 04:20 PM PST     Sunset
Wed -- 04:32 PM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:58 PM PST     Moonrise
Wed -- 08:39 PM PST     -0.71 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

President Point, 1.5 mile E of, Washington Current, knots
12
am
-0.1
1
am
0.2
2
am
0.5
3
am
0.6
4
am
0.6
5
am
0.5
6
am
0.3
7
am
0.1
8
am
-0.2
9
am
-0.4
10
am
-0.4
11
am
-0.3
12
pm
-0.2
1
pm
-0.1
2
pm
0
3
pm
0.1
4
pm
0
5
pm
-0.1
6
pm
-0.3
7
pm
-0.5
8
pm
-0.7
9
pm
-0.7
10
pm
-0.6
11
pm
-0.5




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