Hat Island, WA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hat Island, WA


December 3, 2023 11:08 PM PST (07:08 UTC)
Sunrise 7:38AM   Sunset 4:19PM   Moonrise  10:29PM   Moonset 12:37PM 

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

Marine Forecasts
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PZZ134 Admiralty Inlet- 318 Pm Pst Sun Dec 3 2023
.small craft advisory in effect from Monday morning through late Monday night...
Tonight..S wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. A chance of rain.
Mon..SE wind 15 to 25 kt rising to 20 to 30 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft. Rain.
Mon night..S wind 20 to 30 kt. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft. Rain.
Tue..SE wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Tue night..SE wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..Light wind becoming nw to 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..NW wind 5 to 15 kt becoming sw to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Thu..SE wind to 10 kt becoming w. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..S wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.

PZZ100 318 Pm Pst Sun Dec 3 2023
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..A warm front will move through Monday followed by a cold front Tuesday. Following, another frontal system will move through Wednesday into Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hat Island, WA
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Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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FXUS66 KSEW 040442 CCA AFDSEW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 838 PM PST Sun Dec 3 2023

SYNOPSIS
An atmospheric river will impact the region Monday through Tuesday, bringing periods of heavy rain to western Washington and an increased risk of river flooding. An upper level trough will cross the region late in the week for a shift toward more showery precipitation, cooler temperatures, and lowering snow levels. A brief break in the active pattern is possible on Friday, before additional systems move through the region over the weekend.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Current radar not terribly active, although there is an area of attention over central Snohomish and Skagit counties looking like a convergence zone. The trends do show this feature fizzling out and precip associated with it has been pretty light. Otherwise, W WA finds itself in a bit of a lull this evening and tonight before the expected atmospheric river scenario sets up Monday. That said, inherited forecast remains on track and as such no evening updates are expected. For additional forecast details, please refer to the Previous Discussion section below. 18

From Previous Discussion...Latest radar imagery this afternoon shows some light shower activity persisting along the coast and a convergence zone lingering along the King -Snohomish county border.
Overall, hi-res guidance is indicative of the convergence zone lingering into the early evening hours before dissipating.
Elsewhere, expect shower activity to dissipate into the evening for a brief lull in the weather in between systems.

An atmospheric river is slated to impact the region Monday through Tuesday. Moderate to heavy precipitation is expected to spread northward across western Washington starting Monday morning as a warm front lifts across the region. Snow levels will rise rapidly to 7500-9000 feet through the morning hours as a result. The trailing cold front then looks to stall offshore before making its way across the region on Tuesday. The latest forecast calls for 48 hour rainfall totals between 12Z Monday and 12Z Wednesday generally ranging from 1.5 to 3 inches for the interior lowlands, 3 to 5 inches along the coast, 5 to 9 inches along the Cascades, and 7 to 10 inches across the Olympics. The combination of QPF and runoff from rain falling on top of snow in higher elevations will lead to sharp rises on area rivers and an increased risk of river flooding across the region. See the hydro section below for more details. In addition to rain, breezy to locally windy conditions will develop across the region during the afternoon hours and persist through Tuesday morning. Large waves along the coast will build towards 20 feet on Tuesday and may run up further on area beaches at times.

Heavier rain associated with the cold front will then gradually sag southward into Oregon on Wednesday, though conditions look to remain showery across western Washington. At this time, additional rainfall amounts look to remain light, from a couple hundredths of an inch to a few tenths. 14

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
From Previous Discussion...Deterministic models remain in good agreement with an upper level trough shifting eastward through W WA through the day Thursday, keeping precipitation in the forecast into the long term.
This system will eject Friday in favor of some long-overdue upper level ridging. Enough lingering moisture may present for some morning and early afternoon showers, but the majority of the afternoon and evening will be dry. The side effect of this ridging is that it will allow for continued cooling as daytime highs slide solidly into the 40s and snow levels continue to lower below pass levels. Deterministic models disagree by 6 or so hours as to when on Saturday to bring the next frontal system into the area, and while ensembles at this point in the forecast offer an array of solutions, the ensemble mean suggests that while some rain can be expected, amounts will be generally light. There are some hints at some atmospheric river support to the back end of this system during the day Sunday, but deterministic models disagree on both placement /GFS favors W WA while ECMWF leans more toward W OR/ and strength /ECMWF shows the AR connections being tenuous at best/. Ensembles however are not biting into this solution at all, suggesting a general down turn in activity at the close of the forecast period. Current forecast blend of models is currently leaning slightly more favorably in the direction of wetter solutions, but not convincingly so, doing little to shore up any confidence for this time frame. 18

AVIATION
Westerly flow aloft becoming more northwesterly overnight before shifting west/southwest Monday afternoon. Surface winds remaining generally southerly over the next 24 hours, although there may be some shifts to either the SW or SE depending on location and local terrain effects. With FROPA Monday afternoon and evening, winds will increase in strength resulting in widespread gusts.

Generally VFR conditions this evening and overnight for most terminals, however low level moisture from earlier rains is giving rise to some scattered MVFR to IFR conditions at present. Given that this is not simply confined to locations more prone to lower cigs lowers confidence in actually forecasting when and where this will occur. As such, sites that have already seen these lower cigs materialize will be covered via TEMPO groups to address the occurrence while there is hesitance to include such groups for places where this has yet to materialize. This means updates may be necessary between issuances. Widespread rainfall expected with the next incoming system impacting most W WA terminals by mid to late Monday morning. This will result in cigs gradually lowering overnight and early Monday morning with widespread MVFR to IFR conditions in place by Monday afternoon as rains move into the area.

KSEA...VFR conditions remain in place tonight and early Monday morning. Latest guidance shows MVFR conditions in place over the terminal by mid to late morning. Have opted to follow guidance that brings these cigs in earlier given that FEW/SCT low clouds have already been observed at the terminal this evening. By late morning/early afternoon, while cigs remain MVFR, will see them dip a bit further, leveling out between 1000-2000 ft. Cigs may dip even further under moderate to heavy rainfall, but will leave that out of TAFs for now. Southwest winds 10-15 knots this evening will ease to 4-8 kts and shift more southeasterly overnight and remain that way into for much of Monday morning and afternoon. Wind speeds will return to 10-15 kts with gusts up to 25 kts by mid to late afternoon and into the evening as the front starts to pass through the area.

18

MARINE
A series of frontal systems will make their way across the waters Monday through Thursday. Winds in the inland waters have come down to below Small Craft Advisory, and this lull in winds is expected to continue overnight. Winds will increase again Monday, first along the coast and in the Central and East Strait of Juan de Fuca in the early morning, then for the rest of the coastal waters in the afternoon. Confidence is highest for gales along the coast and for the East Strait, but is less so for the Northern Inland Waters--thus keeping the watch until the next update. The Central Strait looks to avoid headlines Monday night into Tuesday with the southerly winds along the Puget Sound into the Strait of Georgia and tapering down along the coast. While a break in wind headlines for the long term is expected, SCA conditions for seas will likely remain along the coast into the end of the week.

Seas at 10 to 12 ft will rise to 15 to 17 ft on Monday before reaching 18 to 20 ft Tuesday. Seas then will drop to around 10 ft by Thursday and look to remain around 8-10 ft Friday and into the weekend.

LH/18

HYDROLOGY
From Previous Discussion...An atmospheric river will impact the region Monday through Tuesday and looks to bring rainfall amounts of 7 to 10 inches in the Olympics, 6 to 9 inches in the Cascades, 3 to 5 inches along the coast and 1.5 to 3 inches to the interior lowlands through early Wednesday. Snow levels will rise rapidly across the region on Monday, topping out and generally ranging between 8000 to 9000 feet by Monday afternoon. A Flood Watch remains in effect for the area through late Wednesday night.

The combination of heavy precipitation and rising snow levels will most likely result in river flooding on many rivers across western Washington. Rivers currently look to reach flood stage Monday night or Tuesday. Moderate to major flooding will be possible on some of the bigger rivers like the Snoqualmie, Snohomish and Skagit as well as the lower reaches of the Chehalis. While flooding looks likely across the region, there remains a degree of uncertainty in its scope and extent. This will depend largely on the reaction of the area rivers from runoff produced from rain on snow for river basins in higher elevations and the locations of the heaviest bands of precipitation, so it will be important to stay up to date on the latest forecast developments.

In addition to the river flooding, burn scars in the Cascades will have to be monitored with the heavy precipitation forecast. Elevated risks of landslide and debris flows will also be possible, especially later Monday through much of Tuesday. 14/Felton

SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...Flood Watch through late Wednesday night for Admiralty Inlet Area-Bellevue and Vicinity-Bremerton and Vicinity-Central Coast- East Puget Sound Lowlands-Eastern Strait of Juan de Fuca-Everett and Vicinity-Hood Canal Area-Lower Chehalis Valley Area-North Coast- Olympics-San Juan County-Seattle and Vicinity-Southwest Interior- Tacoma Area-West Slopes North Cascades and Passes-West Slopes North Central Cascades and Passes-West Slopes South Central Cascades and Passes-Western Skagit County-Western Strait of Juan De Fuca- Western Whatcom County.

PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM PST Tuesday for Grays Harbor Bar-West Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 1 PM PST Monday for Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

Gale Warning from 1 AM Monday to 1 AM PST Tuesday for East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

Gale Watch from Monday morning through late Monday night for Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands.

Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM Monday to 4 AM PST Tuesday for Admiralty Inlet.

Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM Monday to 4 AM PST Tuesday for Puget Sound and Hood Canal.

Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM PST Monday for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm- Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm.

Gale Warning from 10 AM Monday to 1 AM PST Tuesday for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm- Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm- Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
WPOW1 - West Point, WA 25 mi68 min SSW 15G17 51°F 29.9847°F
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 28 mi68 min E 8G8.9 49°F 49°F29.99
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 34 mi98 min SE 1 44°F 29.9842°F
BMTW1 36 mi68 min SSE 2.9G5.1 47°F 30.01
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 38 mi48 min SE 11G13 49°F 29.9849°F

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Wind History for Port Townsend, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KPAE SNOHOMISH COUNTY (PAINE FLD),WA 6 sm15 minSSE 0910 smA Few Clouds46°F43°F87%30.01
KAWO ARLINGTON MUNI,WA 12 sm12 mincalm10 smOvercast46°F43°F87%30.02

Wind History from PAE
(wind in knots)


Tide / Current for Everett, Washington
   
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Everett
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Sun -- 02:15 AM PST     0.38 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:39 AM PST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:10 AM PST     11.65 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:37 PM PST     Moonset
Sun -- 04:17 PM PST     Sunset
Sun -- 04:19 PM PST     6.94 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:02 PM PST     7.74 feet High Tide
Sun -- 10:29 PM PST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Everett, Washington, Tide feet
12
am
2.6
1
am
1.1
2
am
0.4
3
am
0.7
4
am
1.8
5
am
3.6
6
am
5.8
7
am
8
8
am
9.9
9
am
11.2
10
am
11.6
11
am
11.4
12
pm
10.6
1
pm
9.4
2
pm
8.2
3
pm
7.3
4
pm
7
5
pm
7
6
pm
7.3
7
pm
7.6
8
pm
7.7
9
pm
7.5
10
pm
6.8
11
pm
5.8



Tide / Current for Port Gamble Bay, Washington Current
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Port Gamble Bay
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Sun -- 02:12 AM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:57 AM PST     1.25 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 07:41 AM PST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:10 AM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 12:39 PM PST     Moonset
Sun -- 01:19 PM PST     -0.55 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 04:18 PM PST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:55 PM PST     -0.06 knots Min Ebb
Sun -- 10:30 PM PST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Port Gamble Bay, Washington Current, knots
12
am
-0.7
1
am
-0.4
2
am
-0.1
3
am
0.4
4
am
0.9
5
am
1.2
6
am
1.3
7
am
1.2
8
am
0.9
9
am
0.5
10
am
0.1
11
am
-0.2
12
pm
-0.4
1
pm
-0.5
2
pm
-0.5
3
pm
-0.4
4
pm
-0.3
5
pm
-0.2
6
pm
-0.1
7
pm
-0.1
8
pm
-0.1
9
pm
-0.2
10
pm
-0.4
11
pm
-0.5




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