Thursday, November14, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Everett, WA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 4:34PM Thursday November 14, 2019 3:48 PM PST (23:48 UTC) Moonrise 6:16PMMoonset 9:21AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ135 Puget Sound And Hood Canal- 215 Pm Pst Thu Nov 14 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday afternoon...
Tonight..S wind 5 to 15 kt rising to 15 to 25 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less building to 2 to 4 ft after midnight. A slight chance of showers in the evening then showers likely after midnight.
Fri..S wind 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. Showers in the morning then rain likely in the afternoon. Patchy fog in the afternoon.
Fri night..S wind 5 to 15 kt becoming to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. A chance of showers.
Sat..S wind 5 to 15 kt becoming 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.
Sat night..S wind 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft.
Sun..S wind 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft.
Sun night..S wind 5 to 15 kt in the evening becoming light. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Mon..Light wind becoming S 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Tue..S wind 10 to 20 kt becoming nw to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft subsiding to 1 ft or less.
PZZ100 215 Pm Pst Thu Nov 14 2019
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..Southerly flow will increase tonight as a cold front moves in. Winds will ease Friday afternoon over most areas. Meanwhile, seas will build to 10 to 12 feet through the period. Gales are possible over the coastal waters on Saturday as a stronger system arrives. This system will slowly weaken as it shifts through the region on Sunday. A third system will arrive early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Everett, WA
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location: 48.02, -122.2     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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Fxus66 ksew 142234
afdsew
area forecast discussion
national weather service seattle wa
234 pm pst Thu nov 14 2019

Synopsis A frontal system will slide across western washington
tonight through Friday. Another system will move southward across
the area Saturday afternoon into Sunday. A potent system Monday
night into Tuesday could drop snow levels down to some of the
higher passes. Dry weather by mid next week.

Short term tonight through Sunday High and mid level clouds
across western washington this afternoon ahead of the next frontal
system. Generally dry conditions into early tonight as the upper
level ridge slides east of the area. The front will move onshore
tonight and move across the puget sound area during the morning
hours on Friday. Rain will transition to post-frontal showers
Friday afternoon with breezy conditions as onshore flow increases.

The development of a puget sound convergence zone is possible
into Friday night, especially over snohomish county, with the
onshore flow. Cloudy conditions on Friday with temperatures in the
mid 50s.

An upper level ridge will build in Friday night into Saturday
morning with most of the area drying out briefly. A warm front
will brush the olympic peninsula and north interior Saturday as a
substantial plume of moisture takes aim at british columbia. The
best chance for rain on Saturday, especially during the afternoon,
will be along the northern olympics and north interior, especially
north of snohomish county. The frontal boundary will slide south
Saturday night into Sunday with rain spreading further south
across western washington. Sunday will be damp and breezy with the
front sliding through the area. There may be a few hours of
moderate to heavy rainfall Saturday night through Sunday which may
induce some rises on the rivers flowing off of the olympics and
north cascades (see hydro section). Temperatures will be in the
50s over the weekend across the area. Jd

Long term Monday through Thursday An upper level ridge will
dry the area briefly Monday morning into the afternoon ahead of
the next system. The frontal system will approach the area on
Monday though there is a fairly significant amount of variation in
guidance as to the progression of the Monday night-Tuesday system.

Although operational GFS and ECMWF guidance differ on the track of
the system, ensembles suggest a fairly decent chance for rain
Monday night-Tuesday, so pops increased in the forecast. Snow
levels will trend downward as the system slides Tuesday into
Wednesday. Drier weather possible by Wednesday-Thursday as an
upper level ridge builds in. Jd

Aviation A cold front and trailing upper level trough will push
inland tonight into Friday bringing rain to the region. The flow
aloft is sw. The main precipitation band will reach the interior
by 12z. MVFR ceilings are likely with rain tonight into Friday.

Showers will mainly impact the coast and cascades Friday afternoon
although we may see a puget sound convergence zone form over king
and snohomish counties. 33
ksea... Lowering clouds and rain developing by 09-12z. MVFR cigs
likely. S wind increasing to 10 kt, increasing to 10-15 kt after
18z. 33

Marine Southerly flow will increase tonight as a cold front
moves in. Expect small craft advisory winds over most waters.

Winds will ease Friday afternoon. Meanwhile, seas will build to
10- 12 feet. Southerly gales are possible over the coastal waters
with the next frontal system slated for Saturday afternoon or
evening. This system will weaken as it moves S SE over the region
on Sunday. A third system will arrive early next week. 33

Hydrology River flooding is unlikely through Saturday. Models
suggest that significant precipitation is expected to move into
british columbia this weekend. Some moisture associated with this
atmospheric river may impact the olympics, as well as whatcom and
skagit county. Rivers, especially the nooksack and skagit, are
expected to rise this week into the weekend, but no flooding
concerns are expected. Another system will move through next
Monday into Tuesday, however the progressive pattern will keep
flooding concerns low into next week. Jd

Sew watches warnings advisories
Wa... None.

Pz... Small craft advisory until 10 am pst Friday for admiralty inlet-
coastal waters from CAPE flattery to james island 10 to 60
nm-coastal waters from CAPE flattery to james island out 10
nm-coastal waters from james island to point grenville 10
to 60 nm-coastal waters from james island to point
grenville out 10 nm-coastal waters from point grenville to
cape shoalwater 10 to 60 nm-coastal waters from point
grenville to CAPE shoalwater out 10 nm-east entrance u.S.

Waters strait of juan de fuca-northern inland waters
including the san juan islands.

Small craft advisory for rough bar until 4 am pst Saturday for
grays harbor bar.

Small craft advisory until 6 am pst Friday for west entrance
u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca.

Small craft advisory until 4 pm pst Friday for puget sound and
hood canal.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46120 21 mi34 min ESE 1.9 51°F 1013.8 hPa48°F
46125 24 mi39 min Calm 50°F 1014.1 hPa47°F
WPOW1 - West Point, WA 28 mi49 min SE 1.9 G 2.9 51°F 1015 hPa (-0.5)50°F
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 30 mi55 min W 2.9 G 4.1 50°F 49°F1015.3 hPa
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 34 mi79 min NNW 4.1 49°F 1014 hPa48°F
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 39 mi19 min SE 1 G 2.9 48°F 1014.8 hPa45°F

Wind History for Port Townsend, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Everett Snohomish County, WA9 mi56 minW 810.00 miLight Rain54°F45°F72%1015.2 hPa
Arlington Municipal Airport, WA10 mi53 minN 010.00 miLight Rain54°F46°F77%1015.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPAE

Wind History from PAE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN44N4NW4CalmNE3N3CalmCalmNE3CalmCalmE3CalmSE3CalmS5S4SE7S6S4CalmCalmW8
1 day agoS5SE4CalmS4S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4CalmCalmN4N3N4NW5N6N54N6CalmN4
2 days agoE5N3N3CalmE54SE4N3N5N4N4CalmW3NW3N4N5CalmCalm5S6S6S7S5S6

Tide / Current Tables for Marysville, Quilceda Creek, Washington
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Marysville
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Thu -- 06:43 AM PST     11.04 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:13 AM PST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:21 AM PST     Moonset
Thu -- 12:26 PM PST     5.77 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:32 PM PST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:00 PM PST     10.09 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:15 PM PST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1-0.124.67.39.510.81110.49.37.96.65.95.96.98.39.610.19.78.46.54.320.1

Tide / Current Tables for Port Gamble Bay, Washington Current
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Port Gamble Bay
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:49 AM PST     1.58 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:55 AM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:14 AM PST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:22 AM PST     Moonset
Thu -- 09:35 AM PST     -0.60 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 12:18 PM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:28 PM PST     0.40 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 04:33 PM PST     Sunset
Thu -- 04:51 PM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:17 PM PST     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:59 PM PST     -1.02 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 11:53 PM PST     0.01 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.51.11.51.61.410.5-0-0.4-0.6-0.6-0.4-0.10.20.40.40.2-0-0.3-0.7-0.9-1-0.9-0.5

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Seattle, WA (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Seattle/Tacoma, WA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.