Monday, June14, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Everett, WA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:06AMSunset 9:11PM Monday June 14, 2021 8:34 PM PDT (03:34 UTC) Moonrise 7:51AMMoonset 11:41PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ135 Puget Sound And Hood Canal- 253 Pm Pdt Mon Jun 14 2021
Tonight..SW wind to 10 kt becoming 5 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Tue..S wind 5 to 15 kt becoming sw 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Showers and a slight chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night..SW wind 10 to 20 kt becoming S 5 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Showers likely and a slight chance of tstms in the evening then a slight chance of showers after midnight.
Wed..S wind to 10 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Wed night..N wind 5 to 15 kt easing to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Thu..Light wind. Wind waves less than 1 ft.
Thu night..N wind to 10 kt in the evening becoming light. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..Light wind becoming N to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..Light wind. Wind waves less than 1 ft.
PZZ100 253 Pm Pdt Mon Jun 14 2021
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..Southerly flow with increasing onshore flow later on Tuesday. There is a slight chance for Thunderstorms on Tuesday. Winds will become lighter later this week with increasing winds on the coastal waters with onshore flow.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Everett, WA
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location: 48.02, -122.2     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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FXUS66 KSEW 150325 AFDSEW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 825 PM PDT Mon Jun 14 2021

UPDATE. The forecast is largely on track this evening. Current radar imagery indicates some lingering showers over the area, mostly around the southern half of Puget Sound and also across the Northern Olympic Peninsula. A few lightning strikes were detected across the South Sound during the evening commute, essentially near I-5 from Chehalis to Olympic. These thunderstorms coincided nicely with enhanced SBCAPE values near 500 J/kg per SPC mesoanalysis. Loss of daytime heating combined with the departure of a subtle shortwave trough into BC will lead to rapidly diminishing chances for convection into the overnight period.

For tomorrow, the final shortwave trough contained within the broader scale trough will swing across the region, essentially helping to dampen the persistent high-amplitude West Coast troughing pattern. As the shortwave trough swings across the PNW, it will take on a slight negative tilt, with the best lift and more substantial height falls remaining to the south and east of the area. While this track may keep the best forcing displaced from the local area, confidence is much higher in cooler air aloft moving into the area in association with the shortwave trough. Mid level temps dropping to around -22C to -23C combined with any breaks in cloud cover should be sufficient enough to produce enough instability for isolated thunderstorms, especially from late morning through the evening. Lack of sufficient deep layer shear should prevent convection from becoming organized/severe, though the typical hazards of gusty winds, lightning, heavy rain, and small hail would be possible. Will continue to monitor the exact track of the shortwave in coming forecast updates.

Previous discussion follows with an updated marine and aviation section.

Kovacik

PREV DISCUSSION. /issued 254 PM PDT Mon Jun 14 2021/

SYNOPSIS. Moist and unstable southwesterly flow aloft will continue tonight. An upper trough will move over the area on Tuesday. High pressure will bring dry and warmer weather Wednesday through the weekend.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. Scattered showers will become isolated this evening with the loss of daytime heating.

An upper trough will move over the area on Tuesday. This will bring some modest cooling aloft and destabilize the airmass enough for a general chance of thunder for most of the area in the afternoon. The best chance for thunder looks to be over the south half of the area and the Cascades. Highs will be a few degrees cooler with the upper trough - mostly in the 60s.

Showers will taper Tuesday evening and end entirely by Wednesday morning as a broad upper ridge builds in from the west. Wednesday will be dry with the upper ridge. There will likely be some morning clouds but these will burn off for mostly sunny skies. Highs will warm a few degrees with lower to mid 70s for the interior from about Seattle south.

Thursday will be another dry day with the upper ridge. Highs will warm a few more degrees with 70s for most of the interior. Schneider

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Dry weather is expected through the period. A weak upper trough will cross the area Friday, resulting in an increase in onshore flow Friday night and a few degrees of cooling for Saturday. The ensembles show the upper ridge re-building over the area early next week for a warming trend. Highs will be in the 80s for much of the interior by Monday with 70s at the coast and in the Strait of Juan de Fuca. Schneider

AVIATION. Southerly flow aloft this evening, becoming southwest later tonight and into Tuesday as an upper trough moves through the area. The atmosphere remains moist with some slight instability early this evening before becoming more stable into tonight.

Generally VFR conditions over much of W WA this evening with some clearing taking place west of the Sound. Terminals east of the Sound seeing some breaks, but clouds continue to persist as scattered showers gradually diminish. Locations under showers may dip briefly into MVFR conditions . although this prospect seems most likely under the cell currently over the South Sound at the time of this writing. As this cell continues to diminish, the possibility of those lower cigs will diminish as well. Lingering low level moisture will allow for cigs to become widespread MVFR early Tuesday morning before recovering by Tuesday afternoon. Thunderstorms will be possible late Tuesday morning through the day, with the best chance Olympia southward and into the Cascades, though slight chance for most locations from 20z-01z. S to SW winds through Tuesday, increasing a bit late Tuesday with increasing onshore flow.

KSEA . VFR cigs expected through early tonight. MVFR cigs developing by 12Z Tuesday morning before rebounding to VFR by 18Z. Showers near the terminal this evening will taper off replaced by some limited clearing. Slight chance for t-storms on Tuesday mainly from 20-23z. Winds will be south to southwesterly. JD/18

MARINE. Light onshore surface flow tonight. Winds will increase later on Tuesday with increasing onshore flow, SCA winds possible for the central and eastern portions of the Strait of Juan de Fuca. Current solutions seem to fall just under this threshold, so will hold off on any headlines for now. A few thunderstorms possible over the area waters on Tuesday. High pressure will build over the area later this week with lighter winds. Winds over the coastal waters will increase later on Wednesday and Thursday through Saturday as N to NW winds may approach SCA criteria. Seas will be 2 to 4 feet through Tuesday. JD/18

HYDROLOGY. The daily hydrology discussion has ended until the start of the next rainy season; it will only be updated as needed.

SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. WA . None. PZ . None.

www.weather.gov/seattle


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WPOW1 - West Point, WA 28 mi35 min SSE 8 G 8.9 59°F 1017.3 hPa (+0.0)57°F
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 30 mi47 min WNW 4.1 G 6 59°F 51°F1018 hPa
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 34 mi65 min SSW 2.9 66°F 1017 hPa59°F
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 39 mi25 min W 7 G 8.9 55°F 1017.4 hPa50°F

Wind History for Port Townsend, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Everett Snohomish County, WA9 mi42 minS 610.00 miPartly Cloudy64°F54°F70%1017.5 hPa
Arlington Municipal Airport, WA10 mi39 minSSW 610.00 miPartly Cloudy65°F58°F78%1017.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPAE

Wind History from PAE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE3S4CalmS3E5S7S4S4S4SW5SW8W4W4CalmCalmSW3CalmCalmSW5S96SE7S8S6
1 day agoW5W7E3S3S6SE6SE96SE5SW10S9SE6S74S3Calm3SW5W4CalmE4E35S6
2 days ago3CalmCalmS4CalmSE55S9SE5S66SE85SE4CalmCalmW7W6W8SW11W63N3N5

Tide / Current Tables for Marysville, Quilceda Creek, Washington
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Marysville
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Mon -- 12:09 AM PDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:13 AM PDT     6.55 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:08 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:57 AM PDT     8.70 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:51 AM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:43 PM PDT     -1.18 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:09 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:04 PM PDT     11.37 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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9.48.176.66.87.68.48.78.47.45.9420.3-0.9-1.1-0.11.94.47.19.410.811.411.1

Tide / Current Tables for Port Gamble Bay, Washington Current
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Port Gamble Bay
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:10 AM PDT     Moonset
Mon -- 12:16 AM PDT     -0.54 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:10 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 05:31 AM PDT     -0.01 knots Min Ebb
Mon -- 08:52 AM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:06 AM PDT     -0.86 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 02:02 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:48 PM PDT     1.50 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 09:11 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:06 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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